MARKET FORM® By DC Network
Horse Racing Market Data.
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Live Horse Racing Market Movement | DC Network
MARKET FORM® By DC Network
Horse Racing Market Data.
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NEW UPGRADES View the movement timeline: Click any horse to see when significant price changes occurred. Follow the next move: Select Notify Me to receive price-movement alerts directly on your device.
LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 21:00:26 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Lyra Lea
05:58 Newbury
+37.3% (7.500 → 4.705)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Raintown
03:00 Newbury
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
We Ride At Dawn
03:00 Newbury
+21.8% (2.500 → 1.955)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Sockdolager
03:35 Newbury
-89% (5.500 → 10.393)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Lyra Lea (37.3%) 05:58 Newbury    WEAK FAVOURITE: Acting Lady (-104.5%) 05:23 Newbury | 9/2 10/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
48
Shown After Filters
48
Active Signals (15%+)
22
Live Alerts
12
LIVE ALERTS
Lyra Lea Heavy sustained support (37.3%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 05:58 Newbury | Open 13/2 - Now 7/2
Media Legend Heavy sustained support (37.2%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 05:58 Newbury | Open 17/2 - Now 5/1
Full Meeting View →
CorkEpsomNewburyNewmarket (July)ThirskTramoreYarmouth
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
03:00Newbury • 1m2f • Class 5
5 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Raintown (+10.20 probability points)
Weakest support: Living In Hope (-5.04 probability points)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Robert Edwards
Jockey: Harry Vigors
Trainer market read
Today's move is +11.15pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 40/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
03:00Newbury
Opened 6/4Market avg EVS
EVS ↓ 10/11 ↑ EVS ↓ 10/11 → 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↑ EVS → EVS ↓ 10/11 → 10/11
PRICE MOVE
+11.15pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 21.8% • +11.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
EVS 2 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 10–12pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 44% another 2pp • 32% another 3pp • 21% another 5pp (n=480)
Possible next price: EVS
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: Kyle McHugh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +10.20pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 1/3 won (33.3%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (38%)
Late move vs early profile
03:00Newbury
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/4
5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+10.20pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
When backed like this: 0/3 WON
Price change: 33.8% • +10.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 10–12pp move: 45% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 19% another 5pp (n=1139)
Possible next price: 9/4
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 2 times from 3 starts at Newbury. Historical course average SP is 19.5, while today's market is 83% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Emma Lavelle
Jockey: Taryn Langley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.74pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/37 won (27%); Open→SP 11/46 won (23.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (8/20).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
03:00Newbury
Opened 5/1Market avg 10/3
3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+6.74pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 28.8% • +6.74 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 10/3
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Harry Eustace
Jockey: Travis Ford(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.04pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/28 won (46.4%); Open→SP 11/26 won (42.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 57.1% (4/7).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
03:00Newbury
Opened 9/1Market avg 20/1
18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 101.4% • -5.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:00 Newbury Decalogue NR @ 08:11
Last fixed odds: 11/4
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
3
Best Time
Pre-Off
Confidence
67%
03:35Newbury • 1m • Class 3
7 runners

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer market read
Today's move is +7.87pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 58/150 won (38.7%); Open→SP 57/156 won (36.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40.5% (34/84).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
03:35Newbury
Opened 6/4Market avg 11/10
11/10 ↑ 5/4 ↓ 11/10 ↓ EVS → EVS → EVS ↑ 11/10 → 11/10 ↑ 5/4 ↓ 11/10
PRICE MOVE
+7.87pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 16.4% • +7.87 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/4 2.25 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 6/5
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Sean Levey
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/101 won (23.8%); Open→SP 26/114 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.8% (17/57).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:35Newbury
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 0.3% • +0.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Owen Burrows
Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.63pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/23 won (8.7%); Open→SP 4/23 won (17.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:35Newbury
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.63pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 9.8% • -1.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 6/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: Robbie Downey
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.56pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 26/65 won (40%); Open→SP 28/68 won (41.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.5% (17/40).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:35Newbury
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/1
10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-8.56pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 89% • -8.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Oliver Cole
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.94pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/21 won (23.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (4/12).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:35Newbury
Opened 11/1Market avg 10/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.94pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 10.1% • +0.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Brian Meehan
Jockey: Joe Leavy
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/8 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
03:35Newbury
Opened 20/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.24pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 4.8% • +0.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charles Hills
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.34pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/25 won (48%); Open→SP 11/27 won (40.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 55.6% (5/9).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:35Newbury
Opened 18/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.34pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 34% • -1.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:10Newbury • 7f • Class 3
4 runners

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.38pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 26/89 won (29.2%); Open→SP 36/118 won (30.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.7% (19/60).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
04:10Newbury
Opened 4/5Market avg 8/13
8/15 ↑ 4/6 ↓ 8/15 ↑ 8/13 ↓ 4/7 ↑ 8/13 ↑ 4/6 → 4/6 → 4/6 ↑ 8/11
PRICE MOVE
+5.38pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 8.8% • +5.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/11 1.73 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/6
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.78pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/101 won (33.7%); Open→SP 31/95 won (32.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.7% (20/56).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
04:10Newbury
Opened 10/3Market avg 5/2
10/3 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+5.78pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 20% • +5.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Joe Leavy
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.53pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/39 won (20.5%); Open→SP 12/46 won (26.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 38.1% (8/21).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
04:10Newbury
Opened 3/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-8.53pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 51.8% • -8.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Newbury. Compared with an average course SP of 10.7, today's price is 43% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Amanda Perrett
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.52pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/10 won (20%); Open→SP 2/13 won (15.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
04:10Newbury
Opened 28/1Market avg 25/1
20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.52pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 13.2% • +0.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
04:45Newbury • 6f • Class 2
6 runners

Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/61 won (37.7%); Open→SP 22/61 won (36.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.4% (13/33).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
04:45Newbury
Opened EVSMarket avg 10/11
4/5 ↑ 6/5 ↓ 4/5 ↑ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 → 4/5 ↑ 10/11 → 10/11 ↑ 6/5 ↓ EVS
PRICE MOVE
+3.02pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 5.7% • +3.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/5 2.2 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 6/5
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Jockey: William Buick
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/49 won (46.9%); Open→SP 24/59 won (40.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 51.9% (14/27).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 11/8 | Avg: 11/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
04:45Newbury
Opened 2/1Market avg 2/1
2/1 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.28pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 0.8% • +0.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 13/8
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/40 won (25%); Open→SP 10/46 won (21.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 10/11 → 10/11 | Avg: 10/11Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening in a way that has worked for this horse before. Check the sample size before relying on it.
04:45Newbury
Opened 17/2Market avg 13/2
7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.16pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 23.1% • +3.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jane Chapple-Hyam
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.39pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/37 won (40.5%); Open→SP 14/43 won (32.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.8% (8/23).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
04:45Newbury
Opened 11/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.39pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 14.3% • +1.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Brian Meehan
Jockey: Joe Leavy
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.73pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/8 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
04:45Newbury
Opened 40/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.73pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 42.9% • -0.73 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 71 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 66/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:45 Newbury Spirit Of Lyra NR @ 07:16
Last fixed odds: 16/1
05:23Newbury • 5f34y • Class 1
13 runners
🟢 Needs Support (15%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer market read
Today's move is +10.47pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 32/82 won (39%); Open→SP 34/84 won (40.5%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (14/28).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 1/10 → 6/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
BACK
The price is shortening and similar moves have produced good results before.
Early money horse (80%)
Late move vs early profile
05:23Newbury
Opened 10/3Market avg 2/1
2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+10.47pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
2/2 placed when backed like this (100%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 31.2% • +10.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 10–12pp move: 45% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 19% another 5pp (n=1139)
Possible next price: 2/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Scott
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.82pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 19/48 won (39.6%); Open→SP 20/42 won (47.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:23Newbury
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/2
4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.82pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 10% • -1.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Henry Candy
Jockey: Nicola Currie
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/13 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
05:23Newbury
Opened 7/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.02pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 24.3% • +4.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 55/172 won (32%); Open→SP 54/176 won (30.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.7% (35/82).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
05:23Newbury
Opened 8/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.01pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 8.3% • +1.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Jockey: William Buick
Trainer market read
Today's move is -9.29pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/49 won (46.9%); Open→SP 24/59 won (40.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 51.9% (14/27).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 7/4 | Avg: 7/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
05:23Newbury
Opened 9/2Market avg 10/1
11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-9.29pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 104.5% • -9.29 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Fanshawe
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/69 won (31.9%); Open→SP 19/67 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.6% (11/36).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
05:23Newbury
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 1.3% • +0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.67pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/61 won (37.7%); Open→SP 22/61 won (36.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.4% (13/33).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (67%)
05:23Newbury
Opened 18/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.67pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 11.3% • +0.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Richard Spencer
Jockey: George Wood
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.56pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/35 won (25.7%); Open→SP 12/36 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.3% (6/17).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 9/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Mid-market mover (67%)
05:23Newbury
Opened 10/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.56pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 64.3% • -3.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Clifford Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.67pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/19 won (42.1%); Open→SP 8/19 won (42.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (4/8).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 4/6 → 3/1 | Avg: 15/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
05:23Newbury
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
22/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.67pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 14.5% • -0.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 20/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Sean Levey
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.20pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/101 won (23.8%); Open→SP 26/114 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.8% (17/57).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Late money horse (67%)
05:23Newbury
Opened 8/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.20pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 183.7% • -7.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Archie Watson
Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.67pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/29 won (27.6%); Open→SP 7/30 won (23.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (4/16).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/10 → 11/10 | Avg: 11/10Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
05:23Newbury
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
33/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.67pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 21% • -0.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Kevin Philippart De Foy
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.27pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/31 won (19.4%); Open→SP 8/35 won (22.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
05:23Newbury
Opened 25/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.27pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 49.6% • -1.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Richard Hughes
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/60 won (26.7%); Open→SP 17/66 won (25.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 18/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (17.1%)
Early money horse (40%)
05:23Newbury
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.08pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3.2% • +0.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
05:58Newbury • 7f • Class 4
8 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Rod Millman
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer market read
Today's move is +7.92pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/45 won (24.4%); Open→SP 15/52 won (28.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 45.5% (10/22).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 11/2 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (25%)
Late move vs early profile
05:58Newbury
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/2
4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+7.92pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 37.3% • +7.92 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 3/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/61 won (37.7%); Open→SP 22/61 won (36.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.4% (13/33).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/9 → 3/1 | Avg: 11/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
05:58Newbury
Opened 5/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 35% • -7.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost
Jockey: Joe Leavy
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.62pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/16 won (31.3%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (25%)
05:58Newbury
Opened 11/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.62pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 23.1% • +4.62 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 4/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Harry Charlton
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.25pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/29 won (34.5%); Open→SP 9/29 won (31%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.2% (6/13).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:58Newbury
Opened 17/2Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+6.25pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 37.2% • +6.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.10pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/56 won (25%); Open→SP 12/53 won (22.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
05:58Newbury
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.10pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.6% • -0.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/101 won (33.7%); Open→SP 31/95 won (32.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.7% (20/56).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
05:58Newbury
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.01pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 8.2% • -1.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 17/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Sean Levey
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.64pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/101 won (23.8%); Open→SP 26/114 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.8% (17/57).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
05:58Newbury
Opened 14/1Market avg 12/1
14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.64pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 8.7% • +0.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
05:58 Newbury Scutari NR @ 09:55
Last fixed odds: 13/2
06:30Newbury • 1m • Class 1
5 runners

Trainer: X Thomas-Demeaulte
Jockey: Guillaume Guedj-Gay
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.52pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
06:30Newbury
Opened 7/4Market avg 6/4
6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4
PRICE MOVE
+3.52pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 8.8% • +3.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 6/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mme J-F Bernard
Jockey: Antoine Werle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.75pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
06:30Newbury
Opened 9/4Market avg 9/4
9/4 ↓ 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.75pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 2.4% • +0.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mme J-F Bernard
Jockey: Mickael Forest
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.73pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
06:30Newbury
Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.73pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 8.7% • +1.73 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 4/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: P Collington
Jockey: Jean-Bernard Eyquem
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.49pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 1/1 won (100%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
06:30Newbury
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/2
6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.49pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 9.8% • -1.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 6/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: P Collington
Jockey: Sean Levey
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.53pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 1/1 won (100%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
06:30Newbury
Opened 17/2Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.53pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 5.3% • -0.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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