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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 20:58:55 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
My Mate Fitz
02:20 Musselburgh
+57.1% (81.000 → 34.786)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Gemini Man
01:50 Musselburgh
100% repeat strike (4 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Minster Man
02:20 Musselburgh
+20.8% (3.500 → 2.773)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Samra Star
01:50 Musselburgh
-30.7% (4.330 → 5.661)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: My Mate Fitz (57.1%) 02:20 Musselburgh    WEAK FAVOURITE: Big Fun (-142.9%) 03:50 Musselburgh | 5/1 14/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
47
Shown After Filters
47
Active Signals (15%+)
28
Live Alerts
18
LIVE ALERTS
Keep Me Stable Heavy sustained support (38.9%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 04:54 Musselburgh | Open 8/1 - Now 9/2
Tiva Heavy sustained support (38.1%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:50 Musselburgh | Open 8/1 - Now 9/2
Zarvali Heavy sustained support (53.2%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:20 Musselburgh | Open 22/1 - Now 10/1
Willow Wood Heavy sustained support (38.5%)
Limited data (1 run) • 1/1 WON
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 04:24 Musselburgh | Open 10/1 - Now 6/1
Ashen Heavy sustained support (35%)
Mixed historical results • 1/3 placed
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:20 Musselburgh | Open 12/1 - Now 15/2
My Mate Fitz Heavy sustained support (57.1%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 02:20 Musselburgh | Open 80/1 - Now 33/1
Full Meeting View →
BrightonGowran ParkHaydockMusselburghNewmarket (July)ThirskWexford
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
01:50Musselburgh • 1m0f208y • Class 6
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Gemini Man (+6.93 probability points)
Weakest support: Approaching Dawn (-4.14 probability points)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (43%)
01:50Musselburgh
Opened 5/2Market avg 9/4
2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+3.10pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 9.8% • +3.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/4
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Musselburgh. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 14:19
Now 9.3% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Jack Nicholls(3)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 8/11 → 5/1 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
BACK
The price is shortening in a way that has worked for this horse before. Check the sample size before relying on it.
Early money horse (67%)
01:50Musselburgh
Opened 4/1Market avg 11/4
11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+6.93pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100% repeat place strike (4 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 4/4 placed • 2/4 won
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Price change: 25.7% • +6.93 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/4
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 3 placed efforts from 5 runs at Musselburgh. Compared with an average course SP of 5.2, today's price is 28% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Brian Ellison
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
01:50Musselburgh
Opened 7/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-4.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 22.2% • -4.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (20%)
01:50Musselburgh
Opened 10/3Market avg 9/2
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-5.43pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

27 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 9/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 1
10 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 11/2 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 9/1 | Fin: 4
04 Mar 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 11/2 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 6
29 Dec 25 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 9
Price change: 30.7% • -5.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Musselburgh stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 69% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 18.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
Jockey: Lexie Clarkson(7)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (43%)
01:50Musselburgh
Opened 17/2Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.42pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 15.6% • -1.42 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 20/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (33%)
01:50Musselburgh
Opened 7/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.14pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 6/7Historical Drift Profile

27 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 6/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 8
05 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 6/4 → Final: 9/4 | SP: 11/4 | Fin: 1
30 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 7/2 → Final: 8/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 4
19 Jun 26 | Ayr | Open: 15/8 → Final: 10/3 | SP: 4/1 | Fin: 9
15 May 26 | Hamilton | Open: 14/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 5
Price change: 49.6% • -4.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 11/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/4 at Musselburgh. The average SP at this course is 17.1 and today's market has the horse trading 30% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Adam Nicol
Jockey: James Sullivan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
01:50Musselburgh
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 3.5% • +0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Musselburgh. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
02:20Musselburgh • 0m5f1y • Class 2
5 runners

Trainer: Robert Cowell
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
02:20Musselburgh
Opened 5/2Market avg 7/4
7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+7.49pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 20.8% • +7.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/8 2.88 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (19%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: James Fanshawe
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 6/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:20Musselburgh
Opened 15/8Market avg 2/1
2/1 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 2/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.90pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 2.7% • -0.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 2/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 11/10 → 11/10 | Avg: 11/10Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
02:20Musselburgh
Opened 6/4Market avg 2/1
2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.78pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 20.4% • -6.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 2/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Declan Carroll
Jockey: Zak Wheatley
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:20Musselburgh
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.58pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 9.5% • -0.58 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
02:20Musselburgh
Opened 80/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.64pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 57.1% • +1.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 33/1
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
02:50Musselburgh • 0m7f15y • Class 5
5 runners
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 09:41
Now 9.6% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Roger Fell
Jockey: Joanna Mason
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (20%)
02:50Musselburgh
Opened 6/4Market avg EVS
10/11 ↑ 11/10 ↓ 10/11 ↑ EVS ↓ 10/11 ↑ EVS ↓ 10/11 ↑ EVS ↑ 11/10 ↓ 10/11
PRICE MOVE
+11.02pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 0/2 won
Price change: 21.6% • +11.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/10 2.1 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 5/6
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Musselburgh. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Phillip Makin
Jockey: Jack Nicholls(3)
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (63%)
02:50Musselburgh
Opened 9/4Market avg 4/1
4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-10.55pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

14 Jul 26 | Leicester | Open: 7/2 → Final: 13/2 | SP: 9/1 | Fin: 10
18 May 26 | Redcar | Open: 6/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 6
07 May 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 6/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 2
15 Apr 26 | Beverley | Open: 2/1 → Final: 7/2 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 8
Price change: 52.2% • -10.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 4/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Musselburgh. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gemma Tutty
Jockey: William Pyle
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:50Musselburgh
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.57pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 9.4% • -1.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Brian Ellison
Jockey: Luke Morris
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 20/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (43%)
02:50Musselburgh
Opened 15/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.73pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 12.8% • +1.73 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 3 starts at Musselburgh. Historical course average SP is 14.5, while today's market is 49% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Best at SP (67%)
02:50Musselburgh
Opened 7/1Market avg 8/1
15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.28pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 11.4% • -1.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 8/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:20Musselburgh • 0m7f15y • Class 4
11 runners
🟢 Needs Support (2%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Harriet Bethell
Jockey: Sean D Bowen
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 10/11 → 6/5 | Avg: 11/10Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
03:20Musselburgh
Opened 9/4Market avg 3/1
10/3 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.38pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 26.2% • -6.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 3/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Jack Nicholls(3)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (80%)
03:20Musselburgh
Opened 7/2Market avg 4/1
7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.61pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 7.8% • -1.61 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 4/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:20Musselburgh
Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 0.9% • +0.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (60%)
Late support match
03:20Musselburgh
Opened 11/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.11pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 33% • +4.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Musselburgh. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 2/1 | Avg: 7/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (38%)
Late move vs early profile
03:20Musselburgh
Opened 12/1Market avg 15/2
7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.15pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
When backed like this: 0/3 WON
Price change: 35% • +4.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 15/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Musselburgh. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Tom Eaves
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (60%)
03:20Musselburgh
Opened 7/1Market avg 10/1
8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.07pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 32.6% • -3.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 10/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Musselburgh is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 12% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 9.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Fell
Jockey: Joanna Mason
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Best at SP (50%)
03:20Musselburgh
Opened 22/1Market avg 10/1
9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.94pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 53.2% • +4.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gemma Tutty
Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (50%)
03:20Musselburgh
Opened 10/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.26pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 33.1% • -2.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon West
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
03:20Musselburgh
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 3.8% • -0.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 14/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Fanshawe
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Best at SP (50%)
03:20Musselburgh
Opened 9/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.53pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 82.9% • -4.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (43%)
03:20Musselburgh
Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1
16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.20pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 4.1% • +0.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 20/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Musselburgh. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
03:50Musselburgh • 0m5f1y • Class 4
6 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (71%)
03:50Musselburgh
Opened 9/4Market avg 2/1
9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.92pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 5.9% • +1.92 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 2/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 4/4 at Musselburgh. The average SP at this course is 4.4 and today's market has the horse trading 31% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 25/1 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (30%)
03:50Musselburgh
Opened 2/1Market avg 9/4
15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
-1.70pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 5.4% • -1.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 9/4
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Musselburgh stands at 2 placed efforts from 3 runs. Today's market is 62% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 8.4.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David & Nicola Barron
Jockey: William Pyle
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
03:50Musselburgh
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 0.7% • +0.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 4/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 3 previous runs at Musselburgh. The current market is 12% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 4.4.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (50%)
03:50Musselburgh
Opened 8/1Market avg 9/2
5/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+6.84pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 38.1% • +6.84 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Musselburgh. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
03:50Musselburgh
Opened 5/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-9.80pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 142.9% • -9.80 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Ryan
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Best at SP (57%)
03:50Musselburgh
Opened 40/1Market avg 25/1
20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.61pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 39.8% • +1.61 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 25/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
04:24Musselburgh • 1m5f0y • Class 5
7 runners
🟢 Needs Support (15%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 3/10 → 11/8 | Avg: 5/6Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
04:24Musselburgh
Opened 4/7Market avg EVS
EVS → EVS → EVS ↓ 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 ↑ EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS
PRICE MOVE
-13.57pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 27.1% • -13.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/10 2.1 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/10
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Fanshawe
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (50%)
04:24Musselburgh
Opened 7/2Market avg 11/4
5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+4.83pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 17.9% • +4.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
04:24Musselburgh
Opened 10/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.68pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 38.5% • +5.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: Greg Fairley
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Best at SP (40%)
04:24Musselburgh
Opened 10/1Market avg 15/2
7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.48pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 21.4% • +2.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 17/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
04:24Musselburgh
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.43pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 8% • -0.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 20/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gary Rutherford
Jockey: Jack Nicholls(3)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:24Musselburgh
Opened 22/1Market avg 20/1
18/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.40pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 8.4% • +0.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 20/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 4 starts at Musselburgh. Historical course average SP is 21.9, while today's market is close to its historical average.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
04:24 Musselburgh Tommy's Promise NR @ 11:12
Last fixed odds: 33/1
04:54Musselburgh • 0m7f15y • Class 6
6 runners
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Mid-market mover (33%)
04:54Musselburgh
Opened 9/4Market avg 13/8
15/8 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8
PRICE MOVE
+6.64pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 17.8% • +6.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 13/8
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Musselburgh this horse has recorded 2 placed efforts from 3 runs. The current market is 75% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 10.7.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (27%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (43%)
04:54Musselburgh
Opened 15/8Market avg 9/4
9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
-3.78pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 12.2% • -3.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/4
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Musselburgh. Compared with an average course SP of 6.2, today's price is 48% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (67%)
Late support match
04:54Musselburgh
Opened 8/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+7.07pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 38.9% • +7.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Musselburgh. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ruth Carr
Jockey: James Sullivan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: EVS → 9/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (43%)
04:54Musselburgh
Opened 4/1Market avg 6/1
11/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.68pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 39.6% • -5.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Musselburgh. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Ryan
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (50%)
04:54Musselburgh
Opened 6/1Market avg 10/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.79pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 50.5% • -4.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:54 Musselburgh Maui Breeze NR @ 11:12
Last fixed odds: 16/1
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Updated 05:55
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