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Live Horse Racing Market Movement | DC Network
MARKET FORM® By DC Network
Horse Racing Market Data.
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NEW UPGRADES View the movement timeline: Click any horse to see when significant price changes occurred. Follow the next move: Select Notify Me to receive price-movement alerts directly on your device.
LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 20:59:52 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Launchpad
05:46 Lingfield (AW)
+46.1% (41.000 → 22.107)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Belle Of Kt
05:13 Lingfield (AW)
100% repeat strike (2 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Belle Of Kt
05:13 Lingfield (AW)
+36.5% (3.750 → 2.382)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Honeymoon Bear
05:46 Lingfield (AW)
-15.5% (4.500 → 5.196)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Launchpad (46.1%) 05:46 Lingfield (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Wrist Art (-124.7%) 07:16 Lingfield (AW) | 9/4 13/2    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
46
Shown After Filters
46
Active Signals (15%+)
37
Live Alerts
28
LIVE ALERTS
Sansanetti Heavy sustained support (37.8%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 07:16 Lingfield (AW) | Open 2/1 - Now 5/6
Uncle Frank Heavy sustained support (37.5%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 05:46 Lingfield (AW) | Open 11/4 - Now 11/8
Belle Of Kt Heavy sustained support (36.5%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 05:13 Lingfield (AW) | Open 11/4 - Now 11/8
Belle Amie Heavy sustained support (39.7%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 05:13 Lingfield (AW) | Open 8/1 - Now 9/2
Launchpad Heavy sustained support (46.1%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 05:46 Lingfield (AW) | Open 40/1 - Now 22/1
Full Meeting View →
DoncasterDundalkLingfield (AW)Market RasenNewburyNewmarket (July)PerthRiponTramore
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:13Lingfield (AW) • 1m5f1y • Class 6
9 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Belle Amie (+7.31 probability points)
Weakest support: Tenadaay (-11.25 probability points)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 09:52
Now 23.2% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: Millie Wonnacott(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +15.31pp, placing it in this yard's 15pp+ band.
At 15pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Mid-market mover (25%)
05:13Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 11/8
6/4 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8
PRICE MOVE
+15.31pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 12 previous runs.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
Price change: 36.5% • +15.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/8 2.63 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 47% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=916)
Possible next price: 11/8
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Lingfield (AW). The current market is 61% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 6.1.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: David Simcock
Jockey: Taryn Langley(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +7.31pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/19 won (15.8%); Open→SP 2/16 won (12.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
05:13Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+7.31pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 39.7% • +7.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (39%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Faye Bramley
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.36pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/18 won (55.6%); Open→SP 10/23 won (43.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (8/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 8/15 → 9/4 | Avg: 6/5Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
05:13Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.36pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 8.1% • -1.36 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.57pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/34 won (41.2%); Open→SP 14/36 won (38.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (50%)
05:13Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 13/2
6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.57pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 11.8% • +1.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Hughie Morrison
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.87pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/22 won (22.7%); Open→SP 5/18 won (27.8%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (33%)
05:13Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 17/2
17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.87pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 27.4% • -2.87 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 17/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Georgina Nicholls
Jockey: William Cox
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.52pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 0/7 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

1/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (33%)
05:13Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.52pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 9 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/5Historical Drift Profile

15 Jul 26 | Bath | Open: 8/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 3
10 Jun 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 7
20 Apr 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 10/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 5
20 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 11/2 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 3
14 Feb 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 11/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 1
Price change: 111.2% • -7.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 14/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 28% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 20.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John O'Shea
Jockey: Mason Paetel(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.05pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/9 won (11.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

0/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
05:13Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.05pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 5/5Historical Drift Profile

12 Aug 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 12/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 5
13 Jun 26 | Leicester | Open: 11/2 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 3
23 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 4
02 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 13/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 7
03 Feb 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 5/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 5
Price change: 57.7% • -3.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 18/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Fergal O'Brien
Jockey: Dougie Costello
Trainer market read
Today's move is -11.25pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 18/58 won (31%); Open→SP 18/63 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (12/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 16/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
05:13Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-11.25pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 272.5% • -11.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Fergal O'Brien
Jockey: Laura Coughlan(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.38pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 18/58 won (31%); Open→SP 18/63 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (12/30).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

0/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 7/4 | Avg: 7/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (38%)
05:13Lingfield (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 100/1
80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.38pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 5/5Historical Drift Profile

31 Jul 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 33/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 7
08 Jul 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 11/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 8
16 Apr 26 | Limerick (IRE) | Open: 11/4 → Final: 9/2 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 5
03 Feb 26 | Fairyhouse (IRE) | Open: 7/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 4
31 Dec 25 | Punchestown (IRE) | Open: 50/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 5
Price change: 129.5% • -1.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:46Lingfield (AW) • 0m6f1y • Class 5
11 runners

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is +16.03pp, placing it in this yard's 15pp+ band.
At 15pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 4/10 won (40%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 11/8
5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 11/10 → 11/10 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 6/5 ↑ 11/8 ↑ 6/4
PRICE MOVE
+16.03pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 37.5% • +16.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 47% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=916)
Possible next price: 2/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jack Channon
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.50pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/29 won (17.2%); Open→SP 10/31 won (32.3%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (22.2%)
05:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 3/1
10/3 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.50pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 21.6% • +5.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 15/8
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Parr
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.98pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/15 won (6.7%); Open→SP 1/13 won (7.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 12.5% (1/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
05:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 4/1
7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.98pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 15.5% • -2.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Mason Paetel(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.21pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 57/175 won (32.6%); Open→SP 55/179 won (30.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 43.4% (36/83).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 17/2
8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.21pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 21.4% • -2.21 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Dunlop
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.78pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/26 won (15.4%); Open→SP 5/27 won (18.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.78pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 140% • -7.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jamie Osborne
Jockey: William Carver
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.77pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/28 won (17.9%); Open→SP 8/33 won (24.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (3/12).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
05:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.77pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 15.1% • -0.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Nick Littmoden
Jockey: Stevie Donohoe
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 22/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.08pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 46.1% • +2.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: Millie Wonnacott(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.00pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/13 won (15.4%); Open→SP 2/13 won (15.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 25/1
18/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.00pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 26.7% • -1.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Loughnane
Jockey: Laura Pearson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.43pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/28 won (39.3%); Open→SP 10/27 won (37%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
05:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.43pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 42.9% • -1.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: William Cox
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.60pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/13 won (15.4%); Open→SP 2/13 won (15.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
05:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 50/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.60pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 44.5% • -0.60 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 80/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:46 Lingfield (AW) Silent Sadhu NR @ 13:26
Last fixed odds: 5/1
06:16Lingfield (AW) • 0m5f6y • Class 5
4 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin
Trainer market read
Today's move is +15.75pp, placing it in this yard's 15pp+ band.
At 15pp+: Open→1PM 3/6 won (50%); Open→SP 2/6 won (33.3%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: EVS → 9/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (22%)
06:16Lingfield (AW)
Opened EVSMarket avg 8/15
8/15 ↓ 4/9 ↑ 8/15 ↓ 1/2 → 1/2 → 1/2 ↑ 8/15 → 8/15 ↓ 4/9 ↑ 8/15
PRICE MOVE
+15.75pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous comparable moves was stronger.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 24% • +15.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/7 1.57 decimal CopyBet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 43% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 26% another 3pp • 18% another 5pp (n=474)
Possible next price: 4/7
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Richard Spencer
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.50pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/35 won (25.7%); Open→SP 12/36 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.3% (6/17).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (25%)
06:16Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 14.3% • -2.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Lingfield (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 2.8, today's price is 103% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Robert Cowell
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.95pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/26 won (23.1%); Open→SP 8/28 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
06:16Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-4.95pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 32.9% • -4.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.57pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/126 won (22.2%); Open→SP 38/137 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.3% (26/63).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
06:16Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-8.57pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

21 May 26 | Chepstow | Open: 3/1 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 5
14 May 26 | Salisbury | Open: 6/1 → Final: 17/2 | SP: 15/2 | Fin: 2
01 Apr 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 7/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 75% • -8.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 15/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
06:46Lingfield (AW) • 0m6f1y • Class 5
8 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.36pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/52 won (40.4%); Open→SP 19/55 won (34.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.5% (8/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (40%)
06:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 2/1Market avg 9/4
5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
-3.36pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 11.2% • -3.36 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 2/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Spencer
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.30pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/35 won (25.7%); Open→SP 12/36 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.3% (6/17).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (33%)
06:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/2Market avg 9/4
9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.30pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 4.3% • +1.30 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/4
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Dylan Cunha
Jockey: Stevie Donohoe
Trainer market read
Today's move is -15.27pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/35 won (14.3%); Open→SP 8/48 won (16.7%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 5/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
06:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 2/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-15.27pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 84.5% • -15.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jamie Osborne
Jockey: William Carver
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.94pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/28 won (17.9%); Open→SP 8/33 won (24.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (3/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (40%)
Late support match
06:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.94pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 10 previous runs.
Price change: 32% • +4.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 53% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 13.8.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (6%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: David Loughnane
Jockey: Laura Pearson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.30pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/28 won (39.3%); Open→SP 10/27 won (37%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 13/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
06:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 9/1
17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.30pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 22.6% • -2.30 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 10/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 4 runs at Lingfield (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 4.9, today's price is 101% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Baker
Jockey: Benoit de la Sayette
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.45pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 3/14 won (21.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 18/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
06:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.45pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 41.7% • -2.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: John O'Shea
Jockey: Alexandra Egan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.81pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/9 won (11.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 50/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Late money horse (62%)
06:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.81pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
69th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 13 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 13.8% • -0.81 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 16/1
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Pike
Jockey: Thomas Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.45pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/8 won (12.5%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Late money horse (33%)
06:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.45pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

13 Jul 26 | Windsor | Open: 28/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 9
24 Apr 26 | Sandown | Open: 50/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 9
16 Apr 26 | Newmarket | Open: 40/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 200.2% • -4.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 66/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:16Lingfield (AW) • 1m2f1y • Class 6
8 runners

Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is +20.29pp, placing it in this yard's 20pp+ band.
At 20pp+: Open→1PM 1/2 won (50%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (50%)
Late support match
07:16Lingfield (AW)
Opened 2/1Market avg 5/6
4/5 ↑ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 ↑ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 ↑ 5/6 ↑ 10/11 → 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↑ 10/11
PRICE MOVE
+20.29pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 37.8% • +20.29 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/11 1.91 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 47% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=916)
Possible next price: EVS
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/81 won (29.6%); Open→SP 23/86 won (26.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (14/45).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (22%)
07:16Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.25pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 9 previous runs.
Price change: 20.3% • +4.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 3/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Mason Paetel(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -17.08pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 57/175 won (32.6%); Open→SP 55/179 won (30.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 43.4% (36/83).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
9 historical matches

0/9 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 15 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (40%)
07:16Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/4Market avg 13/2
6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-17.08pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 15 of 15 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 9/9Historical Drift Profile

29 Jun 26 | Pontefract | Open: 14/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 4
21 Jun 26 | Brighton | Open: 12/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 3
21 May 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 17/2 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 5
11 May 26 | Windsor | Open: 20/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 3
17 Apr 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 40/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 124.7% • -17.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
15 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) is limited (3 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 86% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 3.9.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (18%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.17pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (36%)
07:16Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 7/1
8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-4.17pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
9th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 10 of 11 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 33.3% • -4.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 6/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) stands at 3 placed efforts from 6 runs. Today's market is 24% bigger than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 6.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Stone
Jockey: Josephine Gordon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.41pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/6 won (33.3%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 60% (3/5).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
07:16Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 11/1
10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.41pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 40.8% • -3.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Simcock
Jockey: Taryn Langley(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.03pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/19 won (15.8%); Open→SP 2/16 won (12.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
07:16Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.03pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 43.8% • -2.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Molly Gunn(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.66pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/126 won (22.2%); Open→SP 38/137 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.3% (26/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Late money horse (50%)
07:16Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 33/1
25/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.66pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 153.6% • -4.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Stephanie Cassidy
Jockey: Oliver Carmichael(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (44%)
07:16Lingfield (AW)
Opened 66/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.00pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.3% • -0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 66/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Lingfield (AW) on our records. Today's market is 215% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 21.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:46Lingfield (AW) • 1m0f1y • Class 6
6 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is +14.71pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 13/25 won (52%); Open→SP 10/29 won (34.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.5% (8/13).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/5 → 22/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Bookmakers have shortened this price clearly. The market is positive, but the historical evidence is mixed.
Early money horse (29%)
07:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/11Market avg 4/11
4/11 ↑ 4/9 ↓ 4/11 ↓ 1/3 → 1/3 → 1/3 ↑ 2/5 → 2/5 ↑ 4/9 ↓ 2/5
PRICE MOVE
+14.71pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
1/2 placed when backed like this (50%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 20.3% • +14.71 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/9 1.44 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 12–15pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 43% another 2pp • 31% another 3pp • 23% another 5pp (n=446)
Possible next price: 4/9
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 2 starts at Lingfield (AW). Historical course average SP is 2.9, while today's market is 52% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Georgina Nicholls
Jockey: Rose Dawes(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.71pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 0/7 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
07:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 5/1
11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.71pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 10.7% • +1.71 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Simon Dow
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.60pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/11 won (27.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 75% (3/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

2/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 28/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
07:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 17/2
9/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-7.60pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/4Historical Drift Profile

30 Jul 26 | Epsom | Open: 6/5 → Final: 9/4 | SP: 2/1 | Fin: 3
16 Jul 26 | Epsom | Open: 20/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 2
30 Jun 26 | Brighton | Open: 13/2 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 4
30 Dec 25 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 13/8 → Final: 9/2 | SP: 3/1 | Fin: 2
Price change: 71.7% • -7.60 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 17/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Dunlop
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.82pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/26 won (15.4%); Open→SP 5/27 won (18.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
07:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-8.82pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 161.2% • -8.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: S Woods
Jockey: Mason Paetel(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.17pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/15 won (20%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

1/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (43%)
07:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.17pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/5Historical Drift Profile

23 Jul 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 18/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 8
27 May 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 9/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 14
28 Apr 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 9/4 → Final: 4/1 | SP: 10/3 | Fin: 2
23 Jan 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 6
02 Jan 26 | Chelmsford (AW) | Open: 9/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 100.3% • -4.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.23pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/28 won (21.4%); Open→SP 6/33 won (18.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 55.6% (5/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 6/5 → 6/5 | Avg: 6/5Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (33%)
07:46Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.23pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

15 Jul 26 | Bath | Open: 7/2 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 13/2 | Fin: 6
25 Jun 26 | Nottingham | Open: 9/2 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 7
04 Feb 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 7/4 → Final: 10/3 | SP: 3/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 135.4% • -5.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 25/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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