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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 21:00:27 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Twitch
05:00 Lingfield (AW)
+51.8% (13.000 → 6.268)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Arlecchino's Rex
02:30 Lingfield (AW)
100% repeat strike (2 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Ouragan
03:00 Lingfield (AW)
+24.3% (3.250 → 2.461)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Crazy Plan
02:30 Lingfield (AW)
-118.1% (3.750 → 8.179)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Twitch (51.8%) 05:00 Lingfield (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Crazy Plan (-118.1%) 02:30 Lingfield (AW) | 11/4 7/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
58
Shown After Filters
58
Active Signals (15%+)
38
Live Alerts
23
LIVE ALERTS
Chico Dulce Heavy sustained support (41.7%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 02:30 Lingfield (AW) | Open 9/2 - Now 9/4
Twitch Heavy sustained support (51.8%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 05:00 Lingfield (AW) | Open 12/1 - Now 11/2
King David Heavy sustained support (50.3%)
Limited data (2 runs)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 05:00 Lingfield (AW) | Open 12/1 - Now 11/2
Dotties Star Heavy sustained support (37.2%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 04:00 Lingfield (AW) | Open 16/1 - Now 10/1
Crack of Thunder Heavy sustained support (50.2%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 04:00 Lingfield (AW) | Open 100/1 - Now 50/1
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CarlisleHamiltonLingfield (AW)Nottingham
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:30Lingfield (AW) • 1m2f0y • Class 6
14 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Chico Dulce (+13.02 probability points)
Weakest support: Crazy Plan (-14.44 probability points)

Trainer: Michael Madgwick
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +13.02pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/4
9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+13.02pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 41.7% • +13.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 12–15pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 36% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 19% another 5pp (n=992)
Possible next price: 9/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (17%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Pat Phelan
Jockey: Seamus Cronin(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.35pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 14/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-0.35pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.5% • -0.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/3
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Nick Littmoden
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.79pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 6/1
13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.79pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 12.5% • +1.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 6/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Dan Horsford
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -14.44pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/11 won (36.4%); Open→SP 3/10 won (30%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 7/1
7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-14.44pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 118.1% • -14.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (20%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 07:51
Now 23.3% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.37pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 7/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (30%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 17/2
17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.37pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
When backed like this: 1/3 WON
Price change: 22.2% • +2.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 17/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lawrence Mullaney
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.02pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 0/7 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 20/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
12/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.3% • -0.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Pat Phelan
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.77pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (38%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 12/1
11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.77pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 23.1% • +1.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) is limited (4 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 155% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 5.1.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Stone
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.72pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/6 won (33.3%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 60% (3/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 12/1
12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.72pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 75.2% • -5.72 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mrs I G-Leveque
Jockey: Benoit de la Sayette
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.50pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (33%)
Late support match
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.50pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 33.8% • +1.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Keiran Burke
Jockey: Josephine Gordon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.19pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 3/16 won (18.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (2/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 22/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.19pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

21 Jul 26 | Salisbury | Open: 6/1 → Final: 17/2 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 9
07 Jul 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 3/1 → Final: 15/2 | SP: 15/2 | Fin: 8
10 Jan 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 9/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 37.6% • -1.19 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 143% bigger than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 13.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Flood
Jockey: Tyler Heard
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/2 won (100%); Open→SP 3/4 won (75%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 100/1 → 100/1 | Avg: 100/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (27%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.08pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
91th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 11 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 2.6% • -0.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/4 at Lingfield (AW). The average SP at this course is 36.3 and today's market has the horse trading close to its historical average.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tom Dascombe
Jockey: William Cox
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.13pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/19 won (31.6%); Open→SP 6/21 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 62% • -1.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
02:30 Lingfield (AW) Lady Of Chivalry NR @ 09:01
Last fixed odds: 40/1
02:30 Lingfield (AW) Moonlit Cloud NR @ 07:15
Last fixed odds: 25/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
4
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
50%
03:00Lingfield (AW) • 5f6y • Class 3
5 runners

Trainer: Archie Watson
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.86pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/27 won (29.6%); Open→SP 7/29 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.7% (4/15).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Mid-market mover (33%)
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/4Market avg 6/4
6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4
PRICE MOVE
+9.86pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 24.3% • +9.86 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=1512)
Possible next price: 6/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos
Jockey: Benoit de la Sayette
Trainer market read
Today's move is -13.62pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (33%)
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened EVSMarket avg 7/4
13/8 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8
PRICE MOVE
-13.62pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 37.5% • -13.62 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/8 2.88 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.77pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/83 won (18.1%); Open→SP 19/90 won (21.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.5% (11/31).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.77pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 22% • -2.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Tate
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.95pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/36 won (30.6%); Open→SP 13/35 won (37.1%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (6/16).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 17/2
8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.95pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 27.7% • +2.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Hughes
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.83pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/59 won (27.1%); Open→SP 17/65 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.2% (7/24).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
03:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.83pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 18% • +1.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
03:30Lingfield (AW) • 1m2f • Class 4
10 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: Robbie Downey
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.16pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 25/63 won (39.7%); Open→SP 28/66 won (42.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 44.7% (17/38).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 4/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (50%)
03:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/2
11/4 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+9.16pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 31.4% • +9.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=1512)
Possible next price: 15/8
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/98 won (34.7%); Open→SP 31/93 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (20/55).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
03:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 11/4
3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+3.01pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 11.5% • +3.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: David Egan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.79pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/50 won (42%); Open→SP 19/51 won (37.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.5% (8/13).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
03:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.79pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 26.4% • +4.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.11pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/80 won (25%); Open→SP 18/75 won (24%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.9% (12/43).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
03:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 8/1
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.11pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 18.8% • -2.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.20pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 26/89 won (29.2%); Open→SP 36/117 won (30.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.7% (19/60).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 13/8 | Avg: 13/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (60%)
03:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 9/1
10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.20pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 12.1% • -1.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 8/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.14pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/61 won (37.7%); Open→SP 22/61 won (36.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.4% (13/33).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.14pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 75% • -7.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (6%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.24pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/33 won (39.4%); Open→SP 13/33 won (39.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 1/6 → 4/1 | Avg: 13/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Mid-market mover (75%)
03:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 11/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 64.8% • -5.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Alan King
Jockey: Luke Catton(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.49pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/38 won (39.5%); Open→SP 19/47 won (40.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (11/22).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
03:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 25/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.49pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 39.7% • -1.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Boyle
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.99pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
03:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 28/1Market avg 66/1
50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.99pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

13 Jul 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 3/1 → Final: 15/2 | SP: 8/1 | Fin: 7
08 Jul 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 7/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 1
08 Apr 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 25/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 5
Price change: 136.2% • -1.99 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 100/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:30 Lingfield (AW) Pomme Pomme NR @ 12:10
Last fixed odds: 33/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
3
Best Time
10am
Confidence
33%
04:00Lingfield (AW) • 1m4f • Class 6
11 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.91pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/80 won (30%); Open→SP 23/86 won (26.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (14/45).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (60%)
04:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/4Market avg 11/4
11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
-3.91pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 14.6% • -3.91 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/4
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Christian Howarth(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +7.38pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 53/169 won (31.4%); Open→SP 54/175 won (30.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.7% (35/82).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 14 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Late money horse (43%)
Late support match
04:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 3/1
10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+7.38pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
93th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 14 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 30.7% • +7.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/4
14 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Lingfield (AW). The current market is close to its historical average compared with a typical course SP of 3.9.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Thomas Faulkner
Jockey: Zoe Lewis(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.85pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/25 won (16%); Open→SP 3/23 won (13%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (29%)
04:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 5/1
11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.85pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 35.7% • -5.85 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 5/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: John Gallagher
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.67pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/13 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
6 historical matches

1/6 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (38%)
04:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 13/2
6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-6.67pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
13th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 5/6Historical Drift Profile

28 Jul 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 10/3 → Final: 7/1 | SP: 5/1 | Fin: 3
02 Jun 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 1
06 May 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 6
23 Apr 26 | Beverley | Open: 12/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 7
09 Apr 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 9
Price change: 50% • -6.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 13/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim & Suzi Best
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.34pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/7 won (57.1%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 5/4 | Avg: 5/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (33%)
04:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 15/2
13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.34pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 27.8% • -3.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 15/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Berry
Jockey: David Egan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.67pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/4 won (0%); Open→SP 0/7 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (60%)
04:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.67pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 14.3% • +1.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 15/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Pat Phelan
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.48pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (17%)
Late move vs early profile
04:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 10/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.48pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 37.2% • +3.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/29 won (27.6%); Open→SP 7/25 won (28%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (50%)
04:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 100/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.00pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 50.2% • +1.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 50/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Phillips
Jockey: Robert Havlin
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.47pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (40%)
Late support match
04:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 66/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.47pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
Price change: 24.1% • +0.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 50/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Paddy Butler
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.02pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1% • -0.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 50/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: F Brennan
Jockey: Tyler Heard
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.47pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/2 won (50%); Open→SP 1/2 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
04:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.47pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 90.2% • -0.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 301 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:30Lingfield (AW) • 0m7f1y • Class 4
7 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Stevie Donohoe
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.95pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 21/46 won (45.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (25%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/4Market avg 13/8
13/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 13/8 ↓ 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 7/4
PRICE MOVE
-6.95pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 18.5% • -6.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 2/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Hayley Burton
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.83pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/11 won (45.5%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 10/11 → 8/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (33%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↓ 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+3.83pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 14.7% • +3.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/4
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Loughnane
Jockey: David Egan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.84pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/28 won (39.3%); Open→SP 10/27 won (37%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 33/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 33/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
11/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.84pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 4.9% • -0.84 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jamie Osborne
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/28 won (17.9%); Open→SP 8/33 won (24.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (3/12).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.28pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 26.7% • +4.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jonathan Portman
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.84pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/29 won (34.5%); Open→SP 10/24 won (41.7%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 11/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.84pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 21.7% • +1.84 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Philippart De Foy
Jockey: Taryn Langley(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.92pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/31 won (19.4%); Open→SP 8/35 won (22.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 12/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.92pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 50% • -3.92 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim & Suzi Best
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.45pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/7 won (57.1%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 4/1 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (33%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 25/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.45pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 60.4% • -1.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 40/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:00Lingfield (AW) • 0m7f1y • Class 6
11 runners

Trainer: Michael Attwater
Jockey: Seamus Cronin
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.63pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 2/19 won (10.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
05:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.63pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 8.9% • +1.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) stands at 2 placed efforts from 4 runs. Today's market is close to its historical average compared with a long-term course average SP of 5.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Craig Benton
Jockey: Charlie Tucker(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +8.26pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/3 won (33.3%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (17%)
Late move vs early profile
05:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 11/2
5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+8.26pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 51.8% • +8.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 35% shortened another 1pp • 22% another 2pp • 19% another 3pp • 10% another 5pp (n=1203)
Possible next price: 7/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 3 runs. Today's market is 48% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 12.2.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Gay Kelleway
Jockey: Toby Moore(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +7.78pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 2/1 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (30%)
Late move vs early profile
05:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 11/2
5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+7.78pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 2 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 50.3% • +7.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 13/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Donagh Murphy(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.93pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 11/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (50%)
05:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 6/1
11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-5.93pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 42.1% • -5.93 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: Hope Regan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.66pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/27 won (22.2%); Open→SP 6/33 won (18.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 55.6% (5/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (67%)
05:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 13/2
7/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.66pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 12.1% • -1.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 6/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Hughes
Jockey: Oliver Hoodless(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/59 won (27.1%); Open→SP 17/65 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.2% (7/24).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
05:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
17/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.4% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Archie Watson
Jockey: Mason Paetel
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.42pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/27 won (29.6%); Open→SP 7/29 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.7% (4/15).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (75%)
05:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 17/2
17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.42pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 13.5% • +1.42 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 17/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Thomas Faulkner
Jockey: Zoe Lewis(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.82pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/25 won (16%); Open→SP 3/23 won (13%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

2/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (43%)
05:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.82pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/4Historical Drift Profile

24 Jul 26 | Chepstow | Open: 7/2 → Final: 5/1 | SP: 11/2 | Fin: 2
06 Jun 26 | Chepstow | Open: 8/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 1
06 Apr 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 10/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 3
16 Feb 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 52.4% • -3.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Dominic Ffrench Davis
Jockey: Isobelle Chalmers(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.88pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 20/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Late money horse (33%)
05:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.88pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 14.3% • +0.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 4 runs at Lingfield (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 25.6, today's price is 36% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Ashley Lewis
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.78pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 21/46 won (45.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
05:00Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 16/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.78pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 96.6% • -5.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:00 Lingfield (AW) African Spirit NR @ 11:53
Last fixed odds: 15/2
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
4
Best Time
Pre-Off
Confidence
25%
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