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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 21:00:27 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Strength Of Spirit
07:00 Hamilton
+47.1% (15.000 → 7.929)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Ukiyo
05:30 Hamilton
100% repeat strike (2 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Sheikhnshah
06:30 Hamilton
+32.4% (2.380 → 1.609)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Hurt You Never
05:30 Hamilton
-58.1% (3.750 → 5.929)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Strength Of Spirit (47.1%) 07:00 Hamilton    WEAK FAVOURITE: Upper East (-165.9%) 06:30 Hamilton | 7/2 11/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
69
Shown After Filters
69
Active Signals (15%+)
48
Live Alerts
33
LIVE ALERTS
Patrick Street Heavy sustained support (36.4%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 08:30 Hamilton | Open 7/2 - Now 15/8
Top Juggler Heavy sustained support (40.2%)
Limited data (2 runs) • 1/2 WON
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 08:00 Hamilton | Open 13/2 - Now 7/2
Strength Of Spirit Heavy sustained support (47.1%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 07:00 Hamilton | Open 14/1 - Now 7/1
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CarlisleHamiltonLingfield (AW)Nottingham
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:30Hamilton • 0m5f7y • Class 6
8 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Ukiyo (+9.95 probability points)
Weakest support: Cotai Starlight (-12.18 probability points)
🟢 Needs Support (12%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 08:57
Now 15% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Andrew Kinirons
Jockey: Yudish Geerdharry
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.95pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/10 won (30%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (22%)
Late move vs early profile
05:30Hamilton
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/4
9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+9.95pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 9 previous runs.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 0/2 won
Price change: 33.2% • +9.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=1512)
Possible next price: 11/4
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Jake Dickson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.40pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/125 won (21.6%); Open→SP 29/131 won (22.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (20%)
05:30Hamilton
Opened 4/1Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.40pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 10.7% • +2.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Jude Fernandes
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.92pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/51 won (25.5%); Open→SP 9/43 won (20.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (67%)
05:30Hamilton
Opened 7/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.92pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 32.1% • +5.92 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hamilton. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Adrian Nicholls
Jockey: Matthew Lloyd Slater
Trainer market read
Today's move is -9.80pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/11 won (27.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
05:30Hamilton
Opened 11/4Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-9.80pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 9 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

20 Jul 26 | Beverley | Open: 8/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 9
18 May 26 | Carlisle | Open: 9/2 → Final: 17/2 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 9
18 Apr 26 | Thirsk | Open: 20/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 15
10 Apr 26 | Thirsk | Open: 16/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 58.1% • -9.80 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 5/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lizzie Quinlan
Jockey: Molly Keegan-Price(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.46pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/5 won (20%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
05:30Hamilton
Opened 9/2Market avg 13/2
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.46pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 32.5% • -4.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Joe Bradnam
Trainer market read
Today's move is -12.18pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/15 won (13.3%); Open→SP 2/17 won (11.8%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

1/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (20%)
05:30Hamilton
Opened 4/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-12.18pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

20 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 16/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 1
30 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 11/2 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 8
22 Apr 26 | Catterick | Open: 8/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 5
09 Apr 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 3
Price change: 155.7% • -12.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Finlay Bassett(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.49pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/83 won (13.3%); Open→SP 10/79 won (12.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 18.8% (6/32).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (57%)
05:30Hamilton
Opened 15/2Market avg 14/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.49pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

08 Aug 26 | Ayr | Open: 7/2 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 6
20 May 26 | Ayr | Open: 4/1 → Final: 17/2 | SP: 6/1 | Fin: 5
05 May 26 | Ayr | Open: 11/2 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 3
Price change: 87.4% • -5.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hamilton. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:30 Hamilton Hvar NR @ 09:18
Last fixed odds: 33/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
4
Best Time
10am
Confidence
50%
06:00Hamilton • 0m6f6y • Class 4
6 runners
🟢 Needs Support (9%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 11:05
Now 2.1% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/62 won (21%); Open→SP 16/64 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 12/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
06:00Hamilton
Opened 13/8Market avg 11/8
11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8
PRICE MOVE
+4.19pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 0/2 won
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 9.9% • +4.19 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 6/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hamilton. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.24pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
06:00Hamilton
Opened 11/8Market avg 7/4
7/4 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 7/4
PRICE MOVE
-5.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 14.2% • -5.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Shane Gray
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.10pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/48 won (33.3%); Open→SP 17/41 won (41.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 58.8% (10/17).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
06:00Hamilton
Opened 4/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-6.10pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 43.9% • -6.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 7/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hamilton. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Neville
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.19pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/18 won (38.9%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
06:00Hamilton
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.19pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 2% • -0.19 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig Lidster
Jockey: William Pyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.46pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/15 won (6.7%); Open→SP 2/13 won (15.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
06:00Hamilton
Opened 12/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.46pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 15.9% • +1.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Jude Fernandes(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.30pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (19.8%)
06:00Hamilton
Opened 40/1Market avg 80/1
100/1 ↓ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.30pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 114.8% • -1.30 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 66/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
06:30Hamilton • 1m0f68y • Class 4
8 runners

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Ryan Sexton
Trainer market read
Today's move is +20.13pp, placing it in this yard's 20pp+ band.
At 20pp+: Open→1PM 2/2 won (100%); Open→SP 2/2 won (100%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
06:30Hamilton
Opened 11/8Market avg 8/13
8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 ↓ 4/7 → 4/7 → 4/7 ↑ 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13
PRICE MOVE
+20.13pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 32.4% • +20.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/13 1.62 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 44% shortened another 1pp • 39% another 2pp • 27% another 3pp • 18% another 5pp (n=470)
Possible next price: 4/6
2 similar runs — 0 placed.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.35pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/75 won (20%); Open→SP 18/77 won (23.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.1% (9/28).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
06:30Hamilton
Opened 3/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.35pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 27.2% • -5.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 4/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hamilton. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gemma Tutty
Jockey: Jake Dickson(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.17pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/14 won (35.7%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
06:30Hamilton
Opened 7/1Market avg 5/1
9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.17pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 25% • +4.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/1
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Sean D Bowen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -13.86pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/15 won (13.3%); Open→SP 2/17 won (11.8%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
06:30Hamilton
Opened 7/2Market avg 11/1
12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-13.86pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 165.9% • -13.86 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.22pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/83 won (13.3%); Open→SP 10/79 won (12.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 18.8% (6/32).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
06:30Hamilton
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.22pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 3.3% • -0.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.12pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/51 won (25.5%); Open→SP 9/43 won (20.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
06:30Hamilton
Opened 16/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.12pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 23.5% • -1.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Hamilton. The current market is 61% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 54.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David & Nicola Barron
Jockey: William Pyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.25pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/27 won (18.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
06:30Hamilton
Opened 11/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.25pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 170.2% • -5.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.67pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/20 won (15%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (3/9).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
06:30Hamilton
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.67pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 205.1% • -0.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 501 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hamilton. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:00Hamilton • 1m1f35y • Class 3
14 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.13pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/75 won (20%); Open→SP 18/77 won (23.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.1% (9/28).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (43%)
07:00Hamilton
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-0.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.6% • -0.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/3
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.56pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 57/147 won (38.8%); Open→SP 56/152 won (36.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41% (34/83).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 2/1 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (67%)
07:00Hamilton
Opened 13/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.56pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 25.5% • +4.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jack Channon
Jockey: Nicola Currie
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.79pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/29 won (17.2%); Open→SP 10/30 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
07:00Hamilton
Opened 15/2Market avg 13/2
6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.79pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 13.2% • +1.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 13/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.28pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/83 won (13.3%); Open→SP 10/79 won (12.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 18.8% (6/32).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 7/4 | Avg: 7/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
07:00Hamilton
Opened 9/2Market avg 13/2
6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.28pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 40.9% • -5.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hamilton. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Jack Nicholls(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.95pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/17 won (35.3%); Open→SP 7/18 won (38.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (4/8).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Mid-market mover (29%)
07:00Hamilton
Opened 14/1Market avg 7/1
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+5.95pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 7 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 47.1% • +5.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 7/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.38pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/125 won (21.6%); Open→SP 29/131 won (22.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
07:00Hamilton
Opened 10/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.38pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
Price change: 20.8% • +2.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: Sean D Bowen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -16.32pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 25/63 won (39.7%); Open→SP 28/66 won (42.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 44.7% (17/38).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
07:00Hamilton
Opened 11/4Market avg 17/2
7/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-16.32pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 157.6% • -16.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.70pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/83 won (13.3%); Open→SP 10/79 won (12.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 18.8% (6/32).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 28/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (43%)
07:00Hamilton
Opened 15/2Market avg 11/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.70pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 45.8% • -3.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Shane Gray
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.05pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/48 won (33.3%); Open→SP 17/41 won (41.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 58.8% (10/17).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (60%)
07:00Hamilton
Opened 11/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.05pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

18 Jul 26 | Ripon | Open: 11/4 → Final: 9/2 | SP: 4/1 | Fin: 3
27 Jun 26 | York | Open: 12/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 1
15 May 26 | York | Open: 25/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 14
Price change: 57.7% • -3.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Phillip Makin
Jockey: Dougie Costello
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.98pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/12 won (16.7%); Open→SP 3/13 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (100%)
07:00Hamilton
Opened 11/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.98pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 91.4% • -3.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.96pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 19/61 won (31.1%); Open→SP 19/67 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (9/24).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
07:00Hamilton
Opened 18/1Market avg 22/1
25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.96pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 22.4% • -0.96 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: David & Nicola Barron
Jockey: William Pyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/27 won (18.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
07:00Hamilton
Opened 16/1Market avg 40/1
33/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 136.8% • -3.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 40/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ruth Jefferson
Jockey: Yudish Geerdharry
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.85pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/20 won (15%); Open→SP 3/19 won (15.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 18/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (40%)
07:00Hamilton
Opened 22/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.85pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

19 Jul 26 | Redcar | Open: 9/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 3
27 Jun 26 | York | Open: 1/3 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 14
14 Apr 26 | Newmarket | Open: 18/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 9
Price change: 191% • -2.85 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 71 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 66/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:00 Hamilton El Matador NR @ 07:16
Last fixed odds: 4/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
4
Best Time
10am
Confidence
25%
07:30Hamilton • 1m0f68y • Class 5
10 runners

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +11.88pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 5/26 won (19.2%); Open→SP 6/32 won (18.8%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (4/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Late money horse (25%)
Late support match
07:30Hamilton
Opened 15/8Market avg 11/10
6/5 ↓ 11/10 ↑ 6/5 ↓ 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 ↑ 6/5 → 6/5 ↓ 11/10 → 11/10
PRICE MOVE
+11.88pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 8 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 25.5% • +11.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/5 2.2 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 10–12pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 44% another 2pp • 32% another 3pp • 22% another 5pp (n=474)
Possible next price: 11/10
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 6 runs at Hamilton. Compared with an average course SP of 8.5, today's price is 75% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.85pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/51 won (25.5%); Open→SP 9/43 won (20.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 4/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (30%)
07:30Hamilton
Opened 7/2Market avg 5/1
11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.85pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
10th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 9 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

17 Jun 26 | Hamilton | Open: 14/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 4
02 Jun 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 11
17 May 26 | Hamilton | Open: 40/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 8
16 Jan 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 6/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 10
Price change: 35.7% • -5.85 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/4 at Hamilton. The average SP at this course is 26.8 and today's market has the horse trading 77% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Alan Brown
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.17pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/8 won (12.5%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (40%)
07:30Hamilton
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.17pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.1% • -0.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 2/3 at Hamilton. The average SP at this course is 13.3 and today's market has the horse trading 51% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.65pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/15 won (13.3%); Open→SP 2/17 won (11.8%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (80%)
07:30Hamilton
Opened 13/2Market avg 17/2
17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.65pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 24.8% • -2.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 17/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Hamilton is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 63% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 5.8.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: Dougie Costello
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.82pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/27 won (22.2%); Open→SP 6/33 won (18.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 55.6% (5/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
07:30Hamilton
Opened 12/1Market avg 11/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.82pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 9.6% • +0.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Alistair Rawlinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.43pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 19/61 won (31.1%); Open→SP 19/67 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (9/24).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (15.4%)
Early money horse (33%)
07:30Hamilton
Opened 14/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.43pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 17.6% • +1.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig Lidster
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.45pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/15 won (6.7%); Open→SP 2/13 won (15.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
07:30Hamilton
Opened 11/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.45pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 41.7% • -2.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/75 won (20%); Open→SP 18/77 won (23.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.1% (9/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 66/1 → 66/1 | Avg: 66/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (67%)
07:30Hamilton
Opened 15/2Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 119.3% • -6.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 18/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Hamilton stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 56% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 42.8.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Sean D Bowen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.68pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/83 won (18.1%); Open→SP 19/90 won (21.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.5% (11/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

1/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (60%)
07:30Hamilton
Opened 18/1Market avg 40/1
33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.68pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

03 Jun 26 | Nottingham | Open: 7/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 6
13 May 26 | Bath | Open: 5/2 → Final: 13/2 | SP: 6/1 | Fin: 4
28 Apr 26 | Epsom | Open: 4/1 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 2
02 Apr 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 3
Price change: 103.9% • -2.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 66/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:30 Hamilton Pink Azalea NR @ 09:18
Last fixed odds: 25/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
3
Best Time
10am
Confidence
67%
08:00Hamilton • 0m6f6y • Class 4
14 runners
🟢 Needs Support (39%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 10:28
Now 5.7% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Seb Spencer
Jockey: Dale Swift
Trainer market read
Today's move is +8.95pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/10 won (20%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 9/2 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
BACK
The price is shortening in a way that has worked for this horse before. Check the sample size before relying on it.
Early money horse (67%)
Late move vs early profile
08:00Hamilton
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+8.95pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Price change: 40.2% • +8.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 36% shortened another 1pp • 28% another 2pp • 22% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=1331)
Possible next price: 7/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 2 starts at Hamilton. Historical course average SP is 11.0, while today's market is 59% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/30 won (36.7%); Open→SP 10/33 won (30.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.7% (7/15).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
08:00Hamilton
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.97pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/125 won (21.6%); Open→SP 29/131 won (22.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
08:00Hamilton
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.97pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 6.4% • +0.97 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Shane Gray
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.14pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/48 won (33.3%); Open→SP 17/41 won (41.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 58.8% (10/17).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
08:00Hamilton
Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.14pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 8% • -1.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 6/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Bryan Smart
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.98pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/18 won (27.8%); Open→SP 4/18 won (22.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 9/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Mid-market mover (50%)
08:00Hamilton
Opened 4/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.98pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 53.6% • -6.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hamilton. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: T J Kent
Jockey: Alistair Rawlinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
08:00Hamilton
Opened 11/1Market avg 17/2
17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.00pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 19.3% • +2.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.11pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/83 won (13.3%); Open→SP 10/79 won (12.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 18.8% (6/32).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
08:00Hamilton
Opened 10/1Market avg 12/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.11pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 14% • -1.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 14/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (15%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Sam England
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.72pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/40 won (27.5%); Open→SP 13/39 won (33.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 44.4% (4/9).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 4/1 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (71%)
08:00Hamilton
Opened 9/1Market avg 14/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.72pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 59.3% • -3.72 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 12/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tristan Davidson
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.64pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/31 won (41.9%); Open→SP 12/33 won (36.4%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (42%)
08:00Hamilton
Opened 11/1Market avg 20/1
18/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.64pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

26 Jul 26 | Pontefract | Open: 4/1 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 8/1 | Fin: 3
30 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 9/2 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 6
05 May 26 | Ayr | Open: 5/1 → Final: 8/1 | SP: 15/2 | Fin: 4
18 Apr 26 | Thirsk | Open: 7/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 11
Price change: 77.4% • -3.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 22/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 4 placed efforts from 6 runs at Hamilton. Compared with an average course SP of 5.2, today's price is 312% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
08:00Hamilton
Opened 18/1Market avg 22/1
25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.07pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 25.4% • -1.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 20/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/48 won (33.3%); Open→SP 17/41 won (41.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 58.8% (10/17).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
08:00Hamilton
Opened 33/1Market avg 25/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.06pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 26.6% • +1.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Alan Brown
Jockey: Sean D Bowen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.06pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/8 won (12.5%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
08:00Hamilton
Opened 28/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.06pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 44.6% • -1.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 40/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hamilton. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
08:00 Hamilton Parisiac NR @ 12:45
Last fixed odds: 22/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
4
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
25%
08:00 Hamilton Cargin Bhui NR @ 20:19
Last fixed odds: 33/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
8
Best Time
10am
Confidence
38%
08:30Hamilton • 1m4f15y • Class 6
9 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Andrew Kinirons
Jockey: Yudish Geerdharry(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +12.69pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 2/4 won (50%); Open→SP 1/2 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 10/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
08:30Hamilton
Opened 7/2Market avg 15/8
7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+12.69pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 9 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 36.4% • +12.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 12–15pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 36% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 19% another 5pp (n=992)
Possible next price: 2/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Harriet Bethell
Jockey: Sean D Bowen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.56pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/13 won (53.8%); Open→SP 6/11 won (54.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 83.3% (5/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
08:30Hamilton
Opened 7/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.56pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 19% • -3.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.89pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/125 won (21.6%); Open→SP 29/131 won (22.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (40%)
08:30Hamilton
Opened 11/4Market avg 9/2
11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-8.89pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 50% • -8.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Jake Dickson(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.89pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/15 won (13.3%); Open→SP 2/17 won (11.8%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 12/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (30%)
08:30Hamilton
Opened 11/2Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.89pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.5% • +0.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 9/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 2 times from 2 starts at Hamilton. Historical course average SP is 9.0, while today's market is 32% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer market read
Today's move is -9.29pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/24 won (12.5%); Open→SP 1/21 won (4.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 12.5% (1/8).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (50%)
08:30Hamilton
Opened 7/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-9.29pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 71.8% • -9.29 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: Greg Fairley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.24pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/24 won (12.5%); Open→SP 1/21 won (4.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 12.5% (1/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (75%)
08:30Hamilton
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-8.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 82.8% • -8.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 8/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.36pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/83 won (13.3%); Open→SP 10/79 won (12.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 18.8% (6/32).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
08:30Hamilton
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.36pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.7% • -0.36 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 12/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Hamilton is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 76% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 9.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.95pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/83 won (13.3%); Open→SP 10/79 won (12.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 18.8% (6/32).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
08:30Hamilton
Opened 16/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.95pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 49.6% • -1.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
08:30 Hamilton Game Management NR @ 11:29
Last fixed odds: 20/1
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