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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 21:00:02 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Unbeatable Fame
05:27 Ayr
+68.8% (101.000 → 31.538)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Harb
06:00 Ayr
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Beechwood Glory
05:27 Ayr
+26.8% (3.750 → 2.746)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Mick's The Boy
05:27 Ayr
-20.5% (4.500 → 5.423)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Unbeatable Fame (68.8%) 05:27 Ayr    WEAK FAVOURITE: Whiskey Kisses (-1001%) 07:30 Ayr | 5/6 20/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
85
Shown After Filters
85
Active Signals (15%+)
70
Live Alerts
44
LIVE ALERTS
South Parade Heavy sustained support (49.1%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 06:00 Ayr | Open 9/1 - Now 4/1
Flying Moonlight Heavy sustained support (47.2%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 08:30 Ayr | Open 6/1 - Now 11/4
Supreme Clarets Heavy sustained support (48.9%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 08:00 Ayr | Open 10/1 - Now 9/2
Dryburgh Heavy sustained support (35%)
Limited data (1 run) • 1/1 placed
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 06:30 Ayr | Open 6/1 - Now 7/2
Unbeatable Fame Heavy sustained support (68.8%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 05:27 Ayr | Open 100/1 - Now 33/1
Falcon Queen Heavy sustained support (51.7%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 06:00 Ayr | Open 66/1 - Now 33/1
Full Meeting View →
AscotAyrHaydockKilbegganLingfield (AW)Newmarket (July)RedcarWexford
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:27Ayr • 0m6f0y • Class 5
10 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Unbeatable Fame (+2.18 probability points)
Weakest support: Redrosecastana (-2.38 probability points)

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: M. P. Sheehy
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
05:27Ayr
Opened 11/4Market avg 7/4
7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8
PRICE MOVE
+9.75pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 26.8% • +9.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/8 2.88 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 45% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=1495)
Possible next price: 2/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (50%)
05:27Ayr
Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.37pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 11.5% • +2.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Jake Dickson(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 18/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (33%)
05:27Ayr
Opened 7/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.78pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 20.5% • -3.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 5/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Walford
Jockey: Jason Hart
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:27Ayr
Opened 9/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+5.20pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 34.2% • +5.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 6/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
05:27Ayr
Opened 4/1Market avg 7/1
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-7.71pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 62.7% • -7.71 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 15/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig Lidster
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
05:27Ayr
Opened 16/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.29pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 28.1% • +2.29 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:27Ayr
Opened 22/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.56pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 14.7% • -0.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Christopher Kellett
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
05:27Ayr
Opened 16/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.38pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 67.8% • -2.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Jack Garritty
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
05:27Ayr
Opened 100/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.18pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 68.8% • +2.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
05:27 Ayr Lone Striker NR @ 09:59
Last fixed odds: 18/1
06:00Ayr • 0m5f0y • Class 6
13 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 13:37
Now 7.7% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 qualifying historical matches

4/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 16 | Fixed-odds range: 8/11 → 11/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Bookmakers have shortened this price clearly. The market is positive, but the historical evidence is mixed.
Early money horse (33%)
06:00Ayr
Opened 11/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.62pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100% repeat place strike (4 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 4/4 placed • 1/4 won
When backed like this: 1/4 WON
Price change: 23.1% • +4.62 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 4/1
15 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 3 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 12% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 5.7.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (38%)
Late move vs early profile
06:00Ayr
Opened 9/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+9.65pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 49.1% • +9.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 35% shortened another 1pp • 22% another 2pp • 19% another 3pp • 10% another 5pp (n=1202)
Possible next price: 9/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Tristan Davidson
Jockey: Lexie Clarkson(7)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Bookmakers have shortened this price clearly. The market is positive, but the historical evidence is mixed.
Early money horse (31%)
06:00Ayr
Opened 6/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.02pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Price change: 21.9% • +4.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 9/2
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (41%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Steph Hollinshead
Jockey: Dougie Costello
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 17/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (40%)
06:00Ayr
Opened 11/4Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-10.94pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 69.5% • -10.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: W H Harrison
Jockey: Barry McHugh
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
06:00Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.42pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 17.9% • +2.42 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (38%)
06:00Ayr
Opened 14/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.64pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
0/4 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/4 WON
Price change: 19.8% • +1.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 14/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (6 runs without making the frame). Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP profile of 11.8.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
06:00Ayr
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 2.1% • +0.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 3 starts at Ayr. Historical course average SP is 9.8, while today's market is 49% bigger than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: John Wainwright
Jockey: Jason Hart
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/6 → 10/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Late money horse (33%)
06:00Ayr
Opened 15/2Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.86pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 99.2% • -5.86 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 20/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
06:00Ayr
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.86pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 14.8% • -0.86 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (20%)
06:00Ayr
Opened 15/2Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.38pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 118.5% • -6.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
06:00Ayr
Opened 33/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.52pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 34% • +1.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 28/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Ayr stands at 1 placed effort from 5 runs. Today's market is 93% bigger than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 11.6.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: James Sullivan
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
06:00Ayr
Opened 66/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.59pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 51.7% • +1.59 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 50/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 32% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 47.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
06:00 Ayr King Of The Jungle NR @ 08:35
Last fixed odds: 15/2
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
3
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
67%
06:30Ayr • 1m2f0y • Class 5
13 runners
🟢 Needs Support (18%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 7/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (75%)
06:30Ayr
Opened 5/6Market avg 11/8
11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8
PRICE MOVE
-12.91pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 30.9% • -12.91 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/8 2.63 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (27%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Oli Rix
Jockey: Sam James
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/2 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
06:30Ayr
Opened 6/1Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+7.70pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 35% • +7.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: Jason Hart
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Early money horse (50%)
06:30Ayr
Opened 7/1Market avg 5/1
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.68pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 22.8% • +3.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 06:06
Now 6.9% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 12/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (45%)
Late move vs early profile
06:30Ayr
Opened 14/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.37pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 0/2 won
When backed like this: 0/3 WON
Price change: 33.6% • +3.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Ayr this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 38% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 16.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: Dougie Costello
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 5/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
06:30Ayr
Opened 15/2Market avg 12/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.32pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 58% • -4.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 14/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
06:30Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.00pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 56.3% • -4.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 12/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (50%)
06:30Ayr
Opened 11/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.33pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 19.1% • -1.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/2 at Ayr. The average SP at this course is 11.0 and today's market has the horse trading 30% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
06:30Ayr
Opened 20/1Market avg 14/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.56pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 24.7% • +1.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (25%)
06:30Ayr
Opened 20/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.75pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 13.6% • +0.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 22/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 190% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 6.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Jack Nicholls(3)
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (50%)
06:30Ayr
Opened 22/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.79pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 69.9% • -1.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 40/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: James Sullivan
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

1/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 2/1 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (33%)
06:30Ayr
Opened 50/1Market avg 80/1
80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.71pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 4/5Historical Drift Profile

20 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 5/1 → Final: 8/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 7
05 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 14/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 3
13 May 26 | Perth | Open: 8/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 0
17 Mar 26 | Down Royal (IRE) | Open: 100/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 14
03 Feb 26 | Fairyhouse (IRE) | Open: 33/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 56.3% • -0.71 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 100/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 659% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 10.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Greg Fairley
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
06:30Ayr
Opened 33/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.87pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

01 Jul 26 | Fairyhouse (IRE) | Open: 100/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 6
04 Jun 26 | Leopardstown (IRE) | Open: 40/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 80/1 | Fin: 10
10 May 26 | Leopardstown (IRE) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 9
Price change: 173.3% • -1.87 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Boyle Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 100/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lizzie Quinlan
Jockey: Barry McHugh
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (60%)
06:30Ayr
Opened 50/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

29 Jul 26 | Redcar | Open: 28/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 8
01 May 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 9
31 Mar 26 | Newcastle | Open: 16/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 10
05 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 28/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 4
Price change: 133% • -1.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 100/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:00Ayr • 1m0f0y • Class 4
10 runners

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Jason Hart
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (40%)
07:00Ayr
Opened 4/1Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.62pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 11.6% • +2.62 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (38%)
07:00Ayr
Opened 11/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.83pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
When backed like this: 1/3 WON
Price change: 23.9% • +4.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 4/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Phillip Makin
Jockey: Sam James
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (40%)
07:00Ayr
Opened 5/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.33pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 16.7% • +3.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Billy Garritty
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 5/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (50%)
07:00Ayr
Opened 7/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.68pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 19.8% • -3.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (38%)
07:00Ayr
Opened 9/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.87pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 60.7% • -6.87 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 10/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 2 placed efforts from 3 runs at Ayr. Compared with an average course SP of 7.7, today's price is 15% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Harriet Bethell
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
07:00Ayr
Opened 11/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.76pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 17.4% • +1.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
07:00Ayr
Opened 11/2Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-9.58pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 164.8% • -9.58 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (25%)
07:00Ayr
Opened 15/2Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.98pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

07 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 66/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 11
28 Jan 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 50/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 10
01 Jan 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 9/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 5
Price change: 210.9% • -7.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 28/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
07:00Ayr
Opened 16/1Market avg 25/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

12 Jun 26 | York | Open: 16/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 14
16 May 26 | Thirsk | Open: 22/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 10
18 Apr 26 | Thirsk | Open: 14/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 13
Price change: 61.6% • -2.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (20%)
07:00Ayr
Opened 10/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.52pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

27 May 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 10/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 11
25 Mar 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 11/2 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 3
11 Mar 26 | Huntingdon | Open: 40/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 11
Price change: 154.5% • -5.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 33/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:30Ayr • 0m6f0y • Class 6
13 runners

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 10/3Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.12pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 8.4% • +2.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 4/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 4 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 50% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 7.9.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Oliver Stammers
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 11/2 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (38%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 11/4Market avg 10/3
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.94pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 17.3% • -3.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/2
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 2 starts at Ayr. Historical course average SP is 9.8, while today's market is 55% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 33/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 33/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 15/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.06pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 8.3% • +1.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 8/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 44% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 14.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Phillip Makin
Jockey: Sam James
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 4/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-8.00pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 66.7% • -8.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 15/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 15/2 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 7/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.76pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 6.5% • -0.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 17/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (12%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 12:03
Now 34.5% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Andrew Kinirons
Jockey: M. P. Sheehy
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2
17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.31pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 0/2 won
Price change: 2.9% • -0.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 10/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Phillip Makin
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (33%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 17/2Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.88pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

04 Jun 26 | Hamilton | Open: 6/1 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 3
12 Apr 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 14/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 10
29 Mar 26 | Doncaster | Open: 20/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 4
Price change: 37.6% • -2.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 16/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Harriet Bethell
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.39pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 65.4% • -4.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 20/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: Jason Hart
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (33%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 3/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-19.57pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 360.2% • -19.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Greg Fairley
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Best at SP (33%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 5/6Market avg 20/1
20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-49.68pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 1001% • -49.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 28/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 4 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 65% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 57.6.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Jack Garritty
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 22/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.55pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 11.3% • +0.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 22/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Barry McHugh
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
6 historical matches

1/6 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 15 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 14/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (27%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 2/1Market avg 28/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-30.12pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 5/6Historical Drift Profile

13 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 8/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 7
17 Jun 26 | Hamilton | Open: 6/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 8
18 Apr 26 | Thirsk | Open: 9/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 10
06 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 7/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 2
20 Jan 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 25/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 80/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 937% • -30.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 33/1
15 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 3 starts at Ayr. Historical course average SP is 10.5, while today's market is 196% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Billy Garritty
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
07:30Ayr
Opened 20/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.95pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 162.4% • -2.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 66/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
08:00Ayr • 0m7f50y • Class 5
13 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tristan Davidson
Jockey: Jack Garritty
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/6 → 9/4 | Avg: 6/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (43%)
08:00Ayr
Opened 10/3Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.58pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 18.4% • -3.58 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 2 placed efforts from 4 runs at Ayr. Compared with an average course SP of 4.2, today's price is 22% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Warren Fentiman(3)
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
08:00Ayr
Opened 10/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+8.69pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 48.9% • +8.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 35% shortened another 1pp • 22% another 2pp • 19% another 3pp • 10% another 5pp (n=1202)
Possible next price: 5/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Greg Fairley
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
08:00Ayr
Opened 7/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.79pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 12.5% • +1.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (40%)
08:00Ayr
Opened 15/2Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.41pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 17% • +2.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Late money horse (29%)
08:00Ayr
Opened 9/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.49pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 32.8% • -4.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 7/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 18/1 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (33%)
08:00Ayr
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-8.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 79.2% • -8.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 11/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (75%)
08:00Ayr
Opened 17/2Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 24.1% • -2.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: Jason Hart
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (33%)
08:00Ayr
Opened 9/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.05pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 25.7% • -2.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig Lidster
Jockey: Sam James
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
08:00Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.08pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 57.9% • -4.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 18/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (50%)
08:00Ayr
Opened 11/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.35pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 39.3% • -2.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (6 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 101% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 8.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: M. P. Sheehy
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (33%)
08:00Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.69pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 151.2% • -6.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: Dougie Costello
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (38%)
08:00Ayr
Opened 4/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-17.12pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

27 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 9/2 → Final: 13/2 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 4
20 Feb 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 3
10 Feb 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 9/2 → Final: 9/1 | SP: 9/1 | Fin: 5
Price change: 594.3% • -17.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Susan Corbett
Jockey: Lexie Clarkson(7)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
08:00Ayr
Opened 80/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.28pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 29.9% • -0.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
08:30Ayr • 1m2f0y • Class 6
13 runners

Trainer: Mrs A M Thomson
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
08:30Ayr
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+12.77pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 47.2% • +12.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 12–15pp move: 40% shortened another 1pp • 27% another 2pp • 21% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=724)
Possible next price: 10/3
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 66% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 10.8.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (30%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Mark Walford
Jockey: Jack Garritty
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (57%)
08:30Ayr
Opened 15/8Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-10.05pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 40.7% • -10.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Mark Walford
Jockey: Jason Hart
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 6/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (29%)
08:30Ayr
Opened 7/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.88pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 18.8% • +2.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 13/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Kinirons
Jockey: M. P. Sheehy
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (38%)
08:30Ayr
Opened 9/2Market avg 6/1
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-4.22pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 30.2% • -4.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 13/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 14:41
Now 2.7% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Jake Dickson(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 qualifying historical matches

3/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 12/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
BACK
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Late money horse (33%)
Late support match
08:30Ayr
Opened 16/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.79pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100% repeat place strike (3 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 3/3 placed • 0/3 won
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 32.1% • +2.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 11/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
08:30Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.44pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 66.7% • -4.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (3 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 43% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 10.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (40%)
08:30Ayr
Opened 20/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.84pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 27.9% • +1.84 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lizzie Quinlan
Jockey: Barry McHugh
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
08:30Ayr
Opened 20/1Market avg 14/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.49pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 23.8% • +1.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: Greg Fairley
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
08:30Ayr
Opened 15/2Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.39pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 168.9% • -7.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 28/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: James Sullivan
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (43%)
08:30Ayr
Opened 6/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-10.45pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

20 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 12/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 6
13 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 16/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 3
29 May 26 | Carlisle | Open: 25/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 7
20 May 26 | Ayr | Open: 18/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 5
Price change: 272.4% • -10.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 40/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/6 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 19% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 21.8.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
08:30Ayr
Opened 20/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.98pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 25.9% • -0.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (43%)
08:30Ayr
Opened 50/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.43pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 18% • +0.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 66/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 18% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 51.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
08:30 Ayr Charencey NR @ 09:59
Last fixed odds: 5/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
5
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
60%
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