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Horse Racing Market Data.
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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Updated: 21:04 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Ramon Di Loria
03:00 Ayr
+42.1% (9.500 → 5.500)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Ramon Di Loria
03:00 Ayr
100% repeat strike (2 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Whiskey Kisses
02:30 Ayr
+15.4% (3.250 → 2.500)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Star People
02:00 Ayr
-36.6% (2.380 → 3.250)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Ramon Di Loria (42.1%) 03:00 Ayr    WEAK FAVOURITE: Mayor Of Maghera (-100%) 04:00 Ayr | 4.500 9.000    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
51
Shown After Filters
51
Active Signals (15%+)
37
Live Alerts
28
LIVE ALERTS
Royal Duke Heavy sustained support (36.4%)Alert: 21:04 | Race: 02:30 Ayr | Open 5.500 - Now 3.500
Ramon Di Loria Heavy sustained support (42.1%)Alert: 21:04 | Race: 03:00 Ayr | Open 9.500 - Now 5.500
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ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Horse / Race
Market Pressure ?General consensus market price used for signals and pressure detection — not the best bookmaker price.
Move
Signal
Best Price
Expected Move
Timing / Momentum
02:00Ayr • 0m6f0y • Class 4
2 runners
Market Intelligence
Weakest in market: Star People (-36.6%)

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Clifford Lee
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:00Ayr
Open 1.300 - Now 1.360
1.33 → 1.33 → 1.33 → 1.33 ↓ 1.3 ↑ 1.33 → 1.33 ↓ 1.3 ↑ 1.33 → 1.33
-4.6%
Abs move: +4.6% (-3.39pp)
Built 00:01 → 00:01
N/A
1.360
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 1.33
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: Jason Hart
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
02:00Ayr
Open 2.380 - Now 3.250
3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25
-36.6%
Abs move: +36.6% (-11.25pp)
DRIFT
3.250
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.25
No historical data
Best time: 12pm was biggest
Flat late
02:30Ayr • 0m6f0y • Class 6
7 runners

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Best at SP (40%)
02:30Ayr
Open 3.250 - Now 2.500
2.63 → 2.63 ↑ 2.75 → 2.75 ↓ 2.5 → 2.5 ↑ 2.63 ↓ 2.5 ↑ 2.75 ↓ 2.5
15.4%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +15.4% (+9.23pp)
Built 14:26 → 14:32
STEAM
2.750
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 2.5
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (3 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 96% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 76.0.
Best time: 12pm was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Rhys Elliott(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
02:30Ayr
Open 5.500 - Now 3.500
3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25
36.4%
Abs move: +36.4% (+10.39pp)
STEAM
3.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.25
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/4 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 77% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 15.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 13 | Range: 3.75 → 10.00 | Avg: 5.72Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (38%)
02:30Ayr
Open 4.500 - Now 5.500
5 → 5 ↓ 4.33 ↑ 4.5 ↑ 5.5 ↓ 5 ↑ 5.5 → 5.5 ↓ 4.5 ↑ 5
-22.2%
Abs move: +22.2% (-4.04pp)
DRIFT
5.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 5
13 runs (Market Form)
Best time: 10am was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (50%)
02:30Ayr
Open 9.500 - Now 7.000
7 ↓ 6.5 ↑ 7 → 7 ↓ 6 ↑ 6.5 → 6.5 ↓ 6 ↑ 6.5 → 6.5
26.3%
Abs move: +26.3% (+3.76pp)
STEAM
7.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 3 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 54% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 15.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Harry Russell
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (33%)
02:30Ayr
Open 12.000 - Now 21.000
21 → 21 → 21 → 21 → 21 → 21 ↓ 19 ↑ 21 → 21 → 21
-75%
Abs move: +75% (-3.57pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 21
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Jason Hart
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (33%)
02:30Ayr
Open 17.000 - Now 26.000
29 → 29 → 29 → 29 → 29 → 29 → 29 → 29 ↓ 26 ↑ 29
-82.4%
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

30 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 6.5 → Final: 26 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 8
22 Apr 26 | Catterick | Open: 9 → Final: 19 | SP: 17.00 | Fin: 5
09 Apr 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 15 → Final: 29 | SP: 26.00 | Fin: 3
Abs move: +82.4% (-2.04pp)
DRIFT
31.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 29
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
02:30 Ayr Water Of Leith NR @ 14:02
Last price: 3.600
03:00Ayr • 0m7f50y • Class 6
6 runners

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Range: 7.50 → 7.50 | Avg: 7.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (75%)
03:00Ayr
Open 1.830 - Now 1.570
1.62 → 1.62 → 1.62 → 1.62 → 1.62 ↓ 1.57 → 1.57 → 1.57 ↑ 1.62 ↓ 1.57
11.5%
Abs move: +11.5% (+9.05pp)
Built 09:02 → 09:02
N/A
1.620
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 1.57
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 1 runs at Ayr. Compared with an average course SP of 9.0, today's price is 82% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 15:43
Now 5.3% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: Greg Fairley
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 13 | Range: 4.00 → 13.00 | Avg: 7.38Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Late money horse (23%)
Late support match
03:00Ayr
Open 9.500 - Now 5.500
5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5
42.1%
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
Abs move: +42.1% (+7.66pp)
Built 08:47 → 08:52
STEAM
5.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 5
13 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Ayr. Compared with an average course SP of 11.0, today's price is 50% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 8 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (50%)
03:00Ayr
Open 6.500 - Now 9.000
8.5 → 8.5 → 8.5 → 8.5 → 8.5 → 8.5 ↑ 9 ↓ 8.5 → 8.5 ↑ 9
-38.5%
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

06 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 11 → Final: 19 | SP: 19.00 | Fin: 5
16 Jan 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 9 → Final: 17 | SP: 15.00 | Fin: 9
28 Dec 25 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 4 → Final: 7 | SP: 6.00 | Fin: 7
Abs move: +38.5% (-4.27pp)
DRIFT
9.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 9.53
8 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Warren Fentiman(3)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 21.00 → 21.00 | Avg: 21.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
03:00Ayr
Open 10.000 - Now 17.000
15 → 15 → 15 → 15 ↓ 13 ↑ 15 → 15 → 15 → 15 → 15
-70%
Abs move: +70% (-4.12pp)
DRIFT
17.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 15
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Nigel Tinkler
Jockey: Alex Jary(3)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (67%)
03:00Ayr
Open 6.500 - Now 21.000
19 → 19 → 19 → 19 ↓ 17 ↑ 19 → 19 → 19 → 19 → 19
-223.1%
Abs move: +223.1% (-10.62pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 19
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Sam James
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 34.00 → 34.00 | Avg: 34.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
03:00Ayr
Open 6.500 - Now 21.000
17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17
-223.1%
Abs move: +223.1% (-10.62pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 17
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
03:30Ayr • 0m6f0y • Class 3
9 runners

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 8 | Range: 51.00 → 51.00 | Avg: 51.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (50%)
03:30Ayr
Open 4.000 - Now 3.750
3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5 ↑ 3.75 ↓ 3.5 → 3.5 ↑ 3.75 ↓ 3.5 → 3.5
6.3%
Abs move: +6.3% (+1.67pp)
N/A
3.750
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.5
8 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 38% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 6.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Range: 15.00 → 15.00 | Avg: 15.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (67%)
03:30Ayr
Open 4.330 - Now 4.500
4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 ↑ 4.5 → 4.5
-3.9%
Abs move: +3.9% (-0.87pp)
N/A
4.500
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.68
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Nigel Tinkler
Jockey: Alex Jary(3)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 10.00 → 10.00 | Avg: 10.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (60%)
03:30Ayr
Open 5.500 - Now 5.500
5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 ↓ 5 ↑ 5.5 → 5.5 ↓ 5 ↑ 5.5 → 5.5
0%
Abs move: +0% (+0pp)
N/A
5.500
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.5
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness
Jockey: Clifford Lee
Runs: 14 | Range: 3.75 → 11.00 | Avg: 6.92Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (43%)
03:30Ayr
Open 7.000 - Now 10.000
9.5 → 9.5 ↓ 9 ↑ 9.5 ↓ 9 ↑ 9.5 → 9.5 ↓ 9 ↑ 9.5 ↑ 10
-42.9%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 1/1 won
Abs move: +42.9% (-4.29pp)
DRIFT
10.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 10.53
14 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 7 | Range: 8.00 → 8.00 | Avg: 8.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (29%)
03:30Ayr
Open 7.000 - Now 10.000
9 → 9 ↓ 8 ↑ 9.5 ↓ 9 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 9
-42.9%
Abs move: +42.9% (-4.29pp)
DRIFT
10.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 9
7 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/2 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 57% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 23.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Warren Fentiman(3)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Range: 19.00 → 19.00 | Avg: 19.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (33%)
03:30Ayr
Open 9.000 - Now 11.000
11 → 11 → 11 → 11 → 11 → 11 → 11 → 11 → 11 → 11
-22.2%
Abs move: +22.2% (-2.02pp)
DRIFT
11.000
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 11
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Jason Hart
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (67%)
03:30Ayr
Open 12.000 - Now 14.000
13 → 13 → 13 → 13 → 13 → 13 → 13 → 13 → 13 → 13
-16.7%
Abs move: +16.7% (-1.19pp)
DRIFT
14.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 13
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Rhys Elliott(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (33%)
03:30Ayr
Open 10.000 - Now 21.000
21 → 21 ↓ 15 ↑ 21 → 21 → 21 → 21 → 21 → 21 → 21
-110%
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

20 Jun 26 | Ayr | Open: 9 → Final: 26 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 7
12 Jun 26 | York | Open: 26 → Final: 41 | SP: 34.00 | Fin: 20
16 Jan 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 17 → Final: 41 | SP: 34.00 | Fin: 10
Abs move: +110% (-5.24pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 21
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 1 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 28% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 29.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Range: 34.00 → 34.00 | Avg: 34.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Late money horse (40%)
03:30Ayr
Open 19.000 - Now 26.000
26 → 26 ↓ 23 → 23 → 23 ↑ 26 → 26 → 26 → 26 → 26
-36.8%
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

06 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 21 → Final: 29 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 12
27 Jun 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 26 → Final: 81 | SP: 101.00 | Fin: 5
16 Jan 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 26 → Final: 34 | SP: 34.00 | Fin: 1
Abs move: +36.8% (-1.42pp)
DRIFT
26.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 26
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP of 29.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
04:00Ayr • 1m0f0y • Class 5
9 runners

Trainer: Tristan Davidson
Jockey: Jason Hart
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Range: 3.25 → 3.25 | Avg: 3.25Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (20%)
04:00Ayr
Open 4.330 - Now 3.600
3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 ↓ 3 ↑ 3.25
16.9%
Abs move: +16.9% (+4.68pp)
STEAM
3.600
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.25
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Ayr. Compared with an average course SP of 6.0, today's price is 40% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 7 | Range: 3.25 → 11.00 | Avg: 7.42Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (43%)
04:00Ayr
Open 3.500 - Now 3.750
3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 ↓ 3.5
-7.1%
Abs move: +7.1% (-1.9pp)
N/A
3.750
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.27
7 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
At Ayr this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 62% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 9.9.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Rhys Elliott(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 10 | Range: 1.50 → 21.00 | Avg: 6.51Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (40%)
04:00Ayr
Open 8.000 - Now 7.000
7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7
6.3%
Abs move: +6.3% (+1.79pp)
N/A
7.500
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 7
10 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 11 | Range: 8.50 → 9.50 | Avg: 9.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (45%)
04:00Ayr
Open 8.000 - Now 8.500
8 → 8 → 8 ↑ 8.5 ↓ 8 → 8 ↑ 8.5 ↓ 8 → 8 → 8
-6.3%
Abs move: +6.3% (-0.74pp)
N/A
8.500
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 8
11 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
At Ayr this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 1 run. The current market is 31% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 6.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Sam James
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 7 | Range: 3.00 → 3.00 | Avg: 3.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (43%)
04:00Ayr
Open 4.500 - Now 9.000
9 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 9 ↓ 8.5 ↑ 9
-100%
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

05 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 15 → Final: 51 | SP: 41.00 | Fin: 3
13 May 26 | Perth | Open: 9 → Final: 15 | SP: 15.00 | Fin: 0
17 Mar 26 | Down Royal (IRE) | Open: 101 → Final: 301 | SP: 201.00 | Fin: 14
03 Feb 26 | Fairyhouse (IRE) | Open: 34 → Final: 151 | SP: 151.00 | Fin: 8
Abs move: +100% (-11.11pp)
DRIFT
9.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 9
7 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 1 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 38% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 6.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Oliver Stammers
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 11 | Range: 5.00 → 11.00 | Avg: 8.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (36%)
04:00Ayr
Open 7.500 - Now 10.000
11 → 11 → 11 → 11 ↓ 10 ↑ 11 → 11 ↓ 10 ↑ 11 → 11
-46.7%
Abs move: +46.7% (-3.33pp)
DRIFT
11.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 11
11 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: William Pyle
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 14 | Range: 4.50 → 5.50 | Avg: 5.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (43%)
04:00Ayr
Open 9.000 - Now 15.000
15 → 15 ↓ 12 ↑ 13 ↓ 12 → 12 → 12 → 12 → 12 → 12
-66.7%
Abs move: +66.7% (-4.44pp)
DRIFT
15.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 12
14 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Previous course evidence shows 2 placed efforts from 3 runs at Ayr. Compared with an average course SP of 6.9, today's price is 116% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Best at SP (67%)
04:00Ayr
Open 21.000 - Now 51.000
41 → 41 → 41 → 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 → 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 ↑ 51
-142.9%
Abs move: +142.9% (-2.8pp)
DRIFT
51.000
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 63.44
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (3 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 40% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 36.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
04:00Ayr
Open 34.000 - Now 71.000
51 → 51 → 51 → 51 → 51 → 51 → 51 → 51 → 51 ↑ 67
-108.8%
Abs move: +108.8% (-1.53pp)
DRIFT
71.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 88.02
No historical data
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 1 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is close to its historical average compared with a typical course SP of 67.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
04:30Ayr • 1m2f0y • Class 6
11 runners

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Clifford Lee
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 7 | Range: 15.00 → 15.00 | Avg: 15.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
🟢🟢 STRONG EARLY MONEY ANGLE
When horses priced 3–6 shorten 30–40% early → profitable at SP
Historically profitable behaviour
1053 Runs • 33.3% Wins • 2.1% ROI (SP)
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (29%)
04:30Ayr
Open 5.000 - Now 3.600
3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 ↓ 3.5 → 3.5 ↑ 3.75 → 3.75 ↓ 3.5 ↑ 3.75 ↓ 3.5
20%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +20% (+7.78pp)
STEAM
4.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.27
7 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr stands at 1 placed effort from 4 runs. Today's market is 70% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 13.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟢 Needs Support (27%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: Jason Hart
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 7.00 → 8.00 | Avg: 7.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (60%)
04:30Ayr
Open 5.000 - Now 5.500
5 ↑ 5.5 → 5.5 ↓ 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 ↑ 5.5
-20%
Abs move: +20% (-1.82pp)
DRIFT
6.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.05
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: 10am was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (40%)
04:30Ayr
Open 6.500 - Now 6.000
6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 ↑ 7 ↓ 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 ↓ 6
-7.7%
Abs move: +7.7% (+1.28pp)
N/A
7.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.54
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 1 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 63% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 19.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
Jockey: Lexie Clarkson(7)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Range: 4.00 → 7.00 | Avg: 5.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (33%)
04:30Ayr
Open 7.500 - Now 8.500
7.5 → 7.5 ↓ 6 ↑ 7 ↑ 8 ↓ 7.5 ↑ 8 → 8 ↓ 7.5 ↑ 8
-13.3%
Abs move: +13.3% (-1.57pp)
N/A
8.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 8.53
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 278% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 2.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (50%)
04:30Ayr
Open 7.000 - Now 9.000
9 → 9 → 9 ↑ 10 ↓ 9 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 9
-42.9%
Abs move: +42.9% (-3.17pp)
DRIFT
10.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 9
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: 11am was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (25%)
04:30Ayr
Open 8.500 - Now 11.000
11 → 11 → 11 ↑ 13 ↓ 11 → 11 → 11 → 11 ↑ 12 ↓ 11
-52.9%
Abs move: +52.9% (-2.67pp)
DRIFT
13.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 11
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 68% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 41.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Sam James
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 21.00 → 21.00 | Avg: 21.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Best at SP (60%)
04:30Ayr
Open 11.000 - Now 16.000
12 → 12 ↓ 9 ↑ 11 → 11 ↑ 12 ↑ 13 ↓ 11 ↑ 12 ↑ 13
-45.5%
Abs move: +45.5% (-2.84pp)
DRIFT
16.000
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 14.08
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 30% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 23.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Range: 3.25 → 12.00 | Avg: 7.63Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Best at SP (43%)
04:30Ayr
Open 8.000 - Now 21.000
19 → 19 ↓ 17 → 17 → 17 ↑ 19 → 19 ↓ 17 ↑ 19 ↑ 21
-162.5%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
When drifting like this: failed 4/5Historical Drift Profile

02 Jul 26 | Nottingham | Open: 3 → Final: 5 | SP: 4.33 | Fin: 7
30 May 26 | Beverley | Open: 3.5 → Final: 5 | SP: 5.50 | Fin: 4
12 May 26 | Beverley | Open: 5.5 → Final: 12 | SP: 15.00 | Fin: 2
26 Apr 26 | Wetherby | Open: 81 → Final: 151 | SP: 201.00 | Fin: 5
15 Apr 26 | Beverley | Open: 51 → Final: 151 | SP: 126.00 | Fin: 8
Abs move: +162.5% (-7.74pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 23.21
7 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Gary Rutherford
Jockey: Jared Huggan(7)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 6 | Range: 12.00 → 19.00 | Avg: 15.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Best at SP (33%)
04:30Ayr
Open 9.000 - Now 21.000
15 → 15 ↓ 12 ↑ 15 ↑ 17 ↓ 15 ↑ 17 → 17 ↓ 15 ↑ 19
-133.3%
Abs move: +133.3% (-6.35pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 24.07
6 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Rhys Elliott(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (40%)
04:30Ayr
Open 14.000 - Now 26.000
23 → 23 ↓ 19 ↑ 21 ↑ 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 ↓ 21 ↑ 26
-85.7%
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

13 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 17 → Final: 26 | SP: 26.00 | Fin: 3
29 May 26 | Carlisle | Open: 26 → Final: 67 | SP: 67.00 | Fin: 7
20 May 26 | Ayr | Open: 19 → Final: 34 | SP: 34.00 | Fin: 5
Abs move: +85.7% (-3.3pp)
DRIFT
26.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 29.39
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 4 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 22% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 21.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
04:30 Ayr Braes Of Doune NR @ 12:47
Last price: 15.000
05:00Ayr • 0m5f0y • Class 6
7 runners

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Duran Fentiman
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
🟢🟢 STRONG EARLY MONEY ANGLE
When horses priced 3–6 shorten 30–40% early → profitable at SP
Historically profitable behaviour
1053 Runs • 33.3% Wins • 2.1% ROI (SP)
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Best at SP (40%)
05:00Ayr
Open 4.330 - Now 3.000
3 → 3 → 3 → 3 ↓ 2.88 ↑ 3 ↓ 2.88 → 2.88 ↑ 3 → 3
30.7%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +30.7% (+10.24pp)
Built 07:17 → 07:21
STEAM
3.000
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Jockey: Elle-May Croot(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Range: 10.00 → 10.00 | Avg: 10.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Late money horse (50%)
05:00Ayr
Open 5.000 - Now 4.500
4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 ↓ 4.33 ↑ 4.5 ↓ 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 ↑ 4.5
10%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 1/1 won
Abs move: +10% (+2.22pp)
N/A
4.500
Unusual early support — often weakens late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.5
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: David & Nicola Barron
Jockey: William Pyle
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Range: 5.50 → 5.50 | Avg: 5.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (50%)
05:00Ayr
Open 4.000 - Now 5.000
5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 ↓ 4.5 ↑ 5
-25%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
Abs move: +25% (-5pp)
DRIFT
5.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 5
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 11% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 4.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 5 | Range: 17.00 → 17.00 | Avg: 17.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (40%)
05:00Ayr
Open 4.330 - Now 5.500
5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 ↓ 4.5
-27%
Abs move: +27% (-4.91pp)
DRIFT
5.500
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.05
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Gary Harrison
Jockey: Clifford Lee
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 13.00 → 51.00 | Avg: 32.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (40%)
05:00Ayr
Open 7.000 - Now 12.000
11 → 11 → 11 ↓ 10 ↑ 11 → 11 → 11 → 11 → 11 ↑ 12
-71.4%
Abs move: +71.4% (-5.95pp)
DRIFT
12.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 13.09
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Rhys Elliott(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 13.00 → 13.00 | Avg: 13.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
LAST MINUTE BACKING (21.1%)
Early money horse (60%)
05:00Ayr
Open 15.000 - Now 16.000
15 → 15 → 15 ↑ 17 ↓ 15 → 15 ↑ 19 ↓ 15 → 15 → 15
-26.7%
Abs move: +26.7% (-0.42pp)
DRIFT
19.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 15
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
05:00 Ayr Bella Delizia NR @ 06:46
Last price: 10.000

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