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Featured meeting preview: Carlisle
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Ma Blushin Rosie
02:05 Carlisle
+65.7% (12.000 → 4.119)
Strongest market support today
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Diamond New Bay
02:05 Carlisle
-25.2% (3.000 → 3.755)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Ma Blushin Rosie (65.7%) 02:05 Carlisle    WEAK FAVOURITE: Diamond New Bay (-25.2%) 02:05 Carlisle | 2/1 11/4    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Carlisle ✓Kempton (AW) 🔒Sligo 🔒Worcester 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
🏁 OFF NEXT → 05:30 - Carlisle
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:05Carlisle • 5f182y • Class 4
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Ma Blushin Rosie (+15.94 probability points)
Weakest support: Sara's Silver Girl (-5.18 probability points)

Trainer: Charlie Fellowes
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.58pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/26 won (19.2%); Open→SP 6/24 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (75%)
02:05Carlisle
Opened 5/4Market avg 5/4
6/5 → 6/5 → 6/5 ↑ 5/4 ↑ 7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.58pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.3% • -0.58 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.70pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/19 won (42.1%); Open→SP 8/19 won (42.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (4/8).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
02:05Carlisle
Opened 2/1Market avg 11/4
11/4 ↑ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.70pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 25.2% • -6.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Dragon Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 6/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Adrian Keatley
Jockey: Barry McHugh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +15.94pp, placing it in this yard's 15pp+ band.
At 15pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 1/2 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:05Carlisle
Opened 11/1Market avg 3/1
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+15.94pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 65.7% • +15.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Spreadex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 15pp+ move: 39% shortened another 1pp • 28% another 2pp • 22% another 3pp • 13% another 5pp (n=479)
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.87pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/49 won (34.7%); Open→SP 18/42 won (42.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.1% (11/18).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
02:05Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 14/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.87pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 122.8% • -7.87 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Betano
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Ryan Sexton
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.61pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/31 won (35.5%); Open→SP 11/36 won (30.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 47.1% (8/17).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
02:05Carlisle
Opened 16/1Market avg 22/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.61pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 37.8% • -1.61 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.26pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/24 won (29.2%); Open→SP 8/30 won (26.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
02:05Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.26pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 124% • -4.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.18pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/58 won (17.2%); Open→SP 8/59 won (13.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
02:05Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.18pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 206.2% • -5.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 80/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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