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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
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Featured meeting preview: Carlisle
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Son
04:20 Carlisle
+30.5% (6.500 → 4.518)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Native Instinct
04:20 Carlisle
100% repeat strike (2 runs)
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Son (30.5%) 04:20 Carlisle    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Active Signals (15%+)
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Carlisle ✓Kempton (AW) 🔒Sligo 🔒Worcester 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
🏁 OFF NEXT → 05:30 - Carlisle
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
04:20Carlisle • 6f195y • Class 4
12 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Son (+6.75 probability points)
Weakest support: Hunky Dory (-7.43 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
Lord Bertie → 9 → 7.5 (16.7%)
Lord Capulet → 17 → 13 (23.5%)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +10.00pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 17/63 won (27%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 52.6% (10/19).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
04:20Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 7/2
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+6.75pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 30.5% • +6.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Betano
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/3
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (28%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 13:45
Now 7.4% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.68pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/67 won (25.4%); Open→SP 21/71 won (29.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 3/1 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening in a way that has worked for this horse before. Check the sample size before relying on it.
Early money horse (67%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 4/1
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+5.64pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
Price change: 28.3% • +5.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 10/3
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 11:11
Now 51.4% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.88pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/65 won (24.6%); Open→SP 18/58 won (31%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (8/24).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 qualifying historical matches

4/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (38%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 7/1
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.94pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
100% repeat place strike (4 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 4/4 placed • 2/4 won
Price change: 15.7% • -1.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jessica Macey
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.67pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/12 won (0%); Open→SP 1/18 won (5.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.67pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 9 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

18 Apr 26 | Nottingham | Open: 9/2 → Final: 15/2 | SP: 7/1 | Fin: 3
03 Feb 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 11/2 → Final: 9/1 | SP: 9/1 | Fin: 2
11 Jan 26 | Chelmsford (AW) | Open: 6/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 9/1 | Fin: 4
Price change: 31.3% • -3.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 13/2
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Mark Winn
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.56pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (16.7%)
Early money horse (40%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 9/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.56pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 13.5% • +1.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.79pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 8/1
9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 5/1 ↓ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.08pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 27.5% • -3.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.56pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Best at SP (40%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 9/1
17/2 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.52pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 24.7% • +2.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 17/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (13%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.34pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/49 won (34.7%); Open→SP 18/42 won (42.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.1% (11/18).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (23.5%)
Early money horse (70%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.34pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 21% • -1.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Betano
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 10/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.47pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 11/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (43%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 16/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-8.47pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 145.6% • -8.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Betano
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.09pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 1.9% • +0.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (31%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.43pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/18 won (22.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 7/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (57%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 9/1Market avg 40/1
33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 50/1 ↓ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.43pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 289.2% • -7.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 40/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Seb Spencer
Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.23pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/11 won (18.2%); Open→SP 3/10 won (30%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
04:20Carlisle
Opened 25/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 1/6 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.23pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 138.6% • -2.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 66/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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