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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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Market Exhaustion Guide

🎛️ Live Scale Testing Tool
This price change represents an active contraction of 8.3 Probability Points.
← Click what price the horse opened
Already Shortened +1pp +2pp +3pp +5pp Samples
0–2pp 44% 32% 24% 15% 16,995
2–4pp 43% 33% 25% 15% 10,866
4–6pp 44% 34% 26% 16% 8,057
6–8pp 45% 35% 27% 17% 5,692
8–10pp 43% 34% 27% 18% 4,116
10–12pp 43% 34% 27% 16% 3,324
12–15pp 43% 34% 26% 17% 2,637
15pp+ 45% 36% 27% 17% 2,326

How to use the Market Exhaustion Guide

▼
Refreshed daily. Metrics measure the historical remaining market contraction volume relative to overall baseline opening lines.
Updated: 21:05 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Mr Rafiki
07:02 Worcester
+41.2% (8.500 → 4.500)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Thickthorn Tom
05:52 Worcester
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Jorah d'Alma
07:02 Worcester
+33.3% (3.000 → 2.000)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Atreides
05:52 Worcester
-42.9% (4.200 → 6.000)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Mr Rafiki (41.2%) 07:02 Worcester    WEAK FAVOURITE: Thank You Blue (-75%) 05:52 Worcester | 4.000 7.000    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
22
Shown After Filters
22
Active Signals (15%+)
14
Live Alerts
10
LIVE ALERTS
Mr Rafiki Heavy sustained support (41.2%)Alert: 21:05 | Race: 07:02 Worcester | Open 8.500 - Now 4.500
Walkingtheline Heavy sustained support (35.7%)Alert: 21:05 | Race: 07:02 Worcester | Open 126.000 - Now 71.000
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ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Horse / Race
Market Pressure ? General consensus market price used for signals and pressure detection — not the best bookmaker price.
Move
Signal
Best Price
Expected Move
Timing / Momentum
05:52 Worcester
6 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Keep Me Posted (10.5%)
Weakest in market: Suttons Hill (-157.1%)
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
EMERGING REPEAT SETUP Only one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger
Thickthorn Tom
Runs: 6 | Range: 2.50 → 3.25 | Avg: 2.85 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (33%)
05:52Worcester
Open 2.000 - Now 1.830
1.8 → 1.8 → 1.8 ↑ 1.83 ↓ 1.73 ↑ 1.8 → 1.8 ↓ 1.73 ↑ 1.8 → 1.8
8.5%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
Abs move: +8.5% (+4.64pp)
Built 00:02 → 00:02
N/A
1.830
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 1.8
6 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Atreides
Runs: 4 | Range: 4.33 → 4.33 | Avg: 4.33 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (50%)
05:52Worcester
Open 4.200 - Now 6.000
5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 ↑ 6 ↓ 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5
-42.9%
Abs move: +42.9% (-7.14pp)
DRIFT
6.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.5
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Worcester is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 37% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 9.5.
Best time: 10am was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Thank You Blue
Runs: 9 | Range: 2.38 → 5.50 | Avg: 4.13 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (22%)
05:52Worcester
Open 4.000 - Now 7.000
6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 ↑ 7 ↓ 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5
-75%
Abs move: +75% (-10.71pp)
DRIFT
7.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
9 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Atlanta Brave
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (33%)
05:52Worcester
Open 6.500 - Now 8.000
7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7
-23.1%
Abs move: +23.1% (-2.88pp)
DRIFT
8.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 7
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Worcester is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 47% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 15.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Keep Me Posted
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
05:52Worcester
Open 19.000 - Now 17.000
17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17
10.5%
Abs move: +10.5% (+0.62pp)
N/A
17.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 17
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Suttons Hill
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
05:52Worcester
Open 14.000 - Now 34.000
34 → 34 → 34 → 34 ↓ 29 ↑ 34 ↓ 29 → 29 ↑ 34 → 34
-157.1%
Abs move: +157.1% (-4.2pp)
DRIFT
36.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 34
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
06:27 Worcester
8 runners
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Knightsbridge
Runs: 4 | Range: 3.00 → 3.50 | Avg: 3.25 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (50%)
06:27Worcester
Open 3.000 - Now 3.750
3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5 ↑ 4 ↓ 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5
-33.3%
Abs move: +33.3% (-6.67pp)
DRIFT
4.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.5
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/1 at Worcester. The average SP at this course is 2.9 and today's market has the horse trading 39% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Huckleberry Sting
Runs: 6 | Range: 2.25 → 13.00 | Avg: 6.25 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (33%)
06:27Worcester
Open 3.600 - Now 4.200
4 → 4 ↓ 3.75 ↑ 4 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 4
-16.7%
Abs move: +16.7% (-3.97pp)
DRIFT
4.200
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 4
6 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Stay Hopeful
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
LAST MINUTE BACKING (15.4%)
Mid-market mover (50%)
06:27Worcester
Open 8.500 - Now 6.000
6.5 ↓ 5.5 ↑ 6 ↑ 6.5 ↑ 7 → 7 ↓ 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 ↓ 5.5
11.8%
Abs move: +11.8% (+4.9pp)
N/A
7.500
Mid-market mover — likely to fluctuate (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.32
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/2 at Worcester on our records. Today's market is 44% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 13.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
Flat late
I'm A Starman
Runs: 2 | Range: 15.00 → 15.00 | Avg: 15.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
06:27Worcester
Open 6.500 - Now 7.000
6 → 6 ↓ 5.5 ↑ 6 → 6 → 6 ↑ 6.5 ↓ 6 → 6 ↑ 6.5
-7.7%
Abs move: +7.7% (-1.1pp)
N/A
7.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 7.04
No historical data
📊 Course Market Form
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 1 runs at Worcester. Compared with an average course SP of 15.0, today's price is 53% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Carpe Diem
Runs: 7 | Range: 2.38 → 12.00 | Avg: 6.03 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Late money horse (29%)
06:27Worcester
Open 5.000 - Now 8.500
7.5 → 7.5 ↑ 8 → 8 ↓ 7.5 → 7.5 ↑ 8 ↓ 7.5 → 7.5 ↑ 8
-70%
When drifting like this: failed 1/3 Historical Drift Profile

19 Feb 26 | Huntingdon | Open: 1.62 → Final: 2.38 | SP: 2.38 | Fin: 2
09 Mar 26 | Plumpton | Open: 3.25 → Final: 5.5 | SP: 5.00 | Fin: 3
19 Apr 26 | Stratford | Open: 5 → Final: 7 | SP: 6.50 | Fin: 2
Abs move: +70% (-8.24pp)
DRIFT
8.500
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 8.53
7 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Henry Box Brown
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (25%)
06:27Worcester
Open 9.000 - Now 11.000
10 → 10 → 10 → 10 → 10 → 10 → 10 → 10 → 10 → 10
-22.2%
Abs move: +22.2% (-2.02pp)
DRIFT
11.000
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 10
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
School For Scandal
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (60%)
06:27Worcester
Open 17.000 - Now 19.000
17 → 17 → 17 ↓ 15 ↑ 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 ↑ 19
-11.8%
Abs move: +11.8% (-0.62pp)
N/A
19.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 21.24
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Elfride
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (33%)
06:27Worcester
Open 34.000 - Now 56.000
51 → 51 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 ↑ 51 → 51 → 51 → 51 → 51 ↑ 67
-97.1%
Abs move: +97.1% (-1.16pp)
DRIFT
67.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 88.02
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
07:02 Worcester
8 runners
Jorah d'Alma
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (25%)
Late move vs early profile
07:02Worcester
Open 3.000 - Now 2.000
1.91 → 1.91 ↓ 1.83 → 1.83 ↑ 1.91 → 1.91 → 1.91 → 1.91 ↓ 1.83 ↑ 1.91
33.3%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +33.3% (+16.67pp)
Built 00:02 → 10:37
STEAM
2.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 1.91
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Worcester is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 82% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 11.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Loman Lady
Runs: 2 | Range: 1.91 → 1.91 | Avg: 1.91 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
07:02Worcester
Open 2.100 - Now 3.200
3 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 3
-52.4%
Abs move: +52.4% (-16.37pp)
DRIFT
3.200
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 3
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Mr Rafiki
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Late money horse (67%)
Late support match
07:02Worcester
Open 8.500 - Now 4.500
4.5 → 4.5 ↑ 5 → 5 ↓ 4.33 ↑ 4.5 → 4.5 ↓ 4.33 ↑ 4.5 → 4.5
41.2%
Abs move: +41.2% (+10.46pp)
Built 15:57 → 15:57
STEAM
5.000
Unusual early support — often weakens late (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.5
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Flat late
Walkingtheline
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
07:02Worcester
Open 126.000 - Now 71.000
67 → 67 ↓ 51 → 51 ↑ 67 → 67 → 67 → 67 ↑ 81 ↓ 67
35.7%
Abs move: +35.7% (+0.61pp)
N/A
81.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 67
No historical data
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Worcester is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 73% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 301.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Witheros Hill
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
LAST MINUTE BACKING (23.9%)
07:02Worcester
Open 46.000 - Now 81.000
51 → 51 → 51 → 51 → 51 → 51 ↑ 67 ↓ 51 → 51 → 51
-76.1%
Abs move: +76.1% (-0.94pp)
DRIFT
81.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 51
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
07:02 Worcester Trigger The Light NR @ 10:37
Last price: 3.250
07:02 Worcester Mirabello NR @ 09:10
Last price: 14.000
07:02 Worcester Snow Is In The Sky NR @ 11:47
Last price: 41.000

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