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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Updated: 21:05 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Senor Cortez
04:50 Southwell (AW)
+58.9% (7.000 → 2.880)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Sovereign Bay
02:02 Southwell (AW)
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Altareq
03:15 Ayr
+14.3% (3.500 → 3.000)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Oneinthewell
01:50 Market Rasen
-38.5% (3.250 → 4.500)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Senor Cortez (58.9%) 04:50 Southwell (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Forever Penywern (-281.8%) 05:25 Southwell (AW) | 5.500 21.000    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
206
Shown After Filters
75
Active Signals (15%+)
156
Live Alerts
124
LIVE ALERTS
Senor Cortez Heavy sustained support (58.9%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:05 | Race: 04:50 Southwell (AW) | Open 7.000 - Now 2.880
Honky Tonk Girl Heavy sustained support (53.8%)Alert: 21:05 | Race: 03:40 Southwell (AW) | Open 13.000 - Now 6.000
Crystal Mariner Heavy sustained support (45.5%)Alert: 21:05 | Race: 05:25 Southwell (AW) | Open 11.000 - Now 6.000
Just A Gambler Heavy sustained support (52.4%)Alert: 21:05 | Race: 02:02 Southwell (AW) | Open 21.000 - Now 8.500
Blazing Son Heavy sustained support (36.4%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:05 | Race: 03:05 Southwell (AW) | Open 11.000 - Now 7.000
🏁 OFF NEXT →
Horse / Race
Market Pressure ? General consensus market price used for signals and pressure detection — not the best bookmaker price.
Move
Signal
Best Price
Expected Move
Timing / Momentum
02:02 Southwell (AW) • 1m13y • Class 5
14 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Just A Gambler (52.4%)
Weakest in market: Lillie Margot (-154.5%)
🟢 Needs Support (9%) This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
Kalokalo
Trainer: Charles Hills
Supported (6.4pp). Trainer improves from 10.8% to 31.8%.
↔ SAME CLASS
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Range: 1.80 → 5.50 | Avg: 3.23 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong support with proven historical edge — this is a serious betting signal
Early money horse (50%)
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 6.000 - Now 4.330
3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 ↑ 4.33 ↓ 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75
27.8%
100% place strike (1 runs)
1/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +27.8% (+6.43pp)
STEAM
4.330
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.75
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/1 at Southwell (AW). The average SP at this course is 5.0 and today's market has the horse trading 13% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Alpine Culture
Trainer: James Owen
Drifting (4.6pp). Trainer falls from 15.9% to 13.4%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (25%)
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 5.000 - Now 6.500
6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 ↑ 7 → 7 ↓ 6.5 → 6.5 ↑ 7 ↓ 6.5 → 6.5
-40%
Abs move: +40% (-4.62pp)
DRIFT
7.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Just A Gambler
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Supported (7pp). Trainer improves from 11.2% to 21.3%.
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Range: 13.00 → 13.00 | Avg: 13.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (43%)
Late move vs early profile
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 21.000 - Now 8.500
9 → 9 ↑ 10 ↓ 9.5 ↓ 9 → 9 → 9 → 9 ↓ 7.5 ↑ 8.5
52.4%
Abs move: +52.4% (+7pp)
Built 12:26 → 12:26
STEAM
10.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 8.03
7 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Lightning Glory
Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Drifting (3.2pp). Trainer falls from 13.0% to 16.4%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (33%)
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 7.000 - Now 9.000
8.5 ↓ 8 → 8 → 8 ↑ 8.5 → 8.5 → 8.5 → 8.5 ↓ 8 → 8
-28.6%
Abs move: +28.6% (-3.17pp)
DRIFT
9.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 7.53
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 108% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 4.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Areti
Trainer: Oliver Cole
Drifting (4.2pp). Trainer falls from 8.2% to 10.3%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Range: 3.50 → 8.00 | Avg: 5.75 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (67%)
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 8.000 - Now 12.000
10 → 10 ↓ 9.5 → 9.5 ↑ 11 ↓ 10 ↑ 11 → 11 ↓ 10 ↑ 11
-50%
Abs move: +50% (-4.17pp)
DRIFT
12.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 12.1
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 1 starts at Southwell (AW). Historical course average SP is 8.0, while today's market is 50% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Paranjape
Trainer: S Woods
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Range: 5.00 → 5.00 | Avg: 5.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (33%)
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 9.500 - Now 12.000
12 → 12 → 12 ↓ 11 ↑ 12 → 12 → 12 → 12 → 12 → 12
-26.3%
Abs move: +26.3% (-2.19pp)
DRIFT
12.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 12
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/1 at Southwell (AW). The average SP at this course is 5.0 and today's market has the horse trading 140% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Lillie Margot
Trainer: Jedd O'Keeffe
Drifting (11pp). Trainer falls from 16.7% to 7.7%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Range: 6.00 → 17.00 | Avg: 11.50 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Mid-market mover (33%)
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 5.500 - Now 14.000
9.5 → 9.5 ↓ 8.5 → 8.5 ↑ 10 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 10 → 10 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 10
-154.5%
Abs move: +154.5% (-11.04pp)
DRIFT
14.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 10.53
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Picture Palace
Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Drifting (5.2pp). Trainer falls from 13.0% to 16.4%.
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Range: 2.63 → 2.63 | Avg: 2.63 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (25%)
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 9.000 - Now 17.000
13 → 13 → 13 → 13 → 13 → 13 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 → 13 → 13
-88.9%
Abs move: +88.9% (-5.23pp)
DRIFT
17.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 13
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Cliff Danger
Trainer: Pam Sly
⬇ CLASS DROP
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (100%)
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 15.000 - Now 17.000
13 → 13 ↓ 12 ↓ 11 ↑ 13 → 13 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 → 13 ↑ 15
-13.3%
Abs move: +13.3% (-0.78pp)
N/A
17.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 17.31
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 1 previous runs at Southwell (AW). The current market is 11% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 19.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Decem Starr
Trainer: Jack Jones
↔ SAME CLASS
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (67%)
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 17.000 - Now 19.000
15 → 15 ↓ 13 → 13 ↑ 15 → 15 ↑ 17 ↓ 15 → 15 → 15
-11.8%
Abs move: +11.8% (-0.62pp)
N/A
19.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 15
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
EMERGING REPEAT SETUP Only one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger
Sovereign Bay
Trainer: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
Drifting (4pp). Trainer falls from 8.7% to 3.5%.
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Range: 5.50 → 5.50 | Avg: 5.50 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Best at SP (40%)
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 12.000 - Now 21.000
19 ↑ 21 ↑ 23 ↓ 19 → 19 → 19 ↑ 21 ↓ 19 → 19 ↑ 21
-91.7%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
When drifting like this: failed 4/4 Historical Drift Profile

22 May 26 | Haydock | Open: 4.33 → Final: 11 | SP: 10.00 | Fin: 4
06 Jun 26 | Lingfield | Open: 4 → Final: 6 | SP: 6.50 | Fin: 5
28 Feb 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 2.5 → Final: 3.5 | SP: 3.75 | Fin: 3
13 Apr 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 8 → Final: 12 | SP: 10.00 | Fin: 4
Abs move: +91.7% (-3.57pp)
DRIFT
23.000
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 23.21
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Pepsea
Trainer: Grant Tuer
Drifting (3.2pp). Trainer falls from 13.4% to 6.9%.
↔ SAME CLASS
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Range: 19.00 → 19.00 | Avg: 19.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (25%)
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 15.000 - Now 26.000
29 → 29 ↓ 26 ↓ 23 ↑ 29 → 29 → 29 → 29 ↓ 26 ↑ 29
-93.3%
Abs move: +93.3% (-2.82pp)
DRIFT
29.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 29
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🔴 Ignores Market This horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
Constant Star
Trainer: Tom Clover
⬇ CLASS DROP
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Range: 2.25 → 15.00 | Avg: 8.63 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Best at SP (67%)
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 19.000 - Now 41.000
29 ↑ 34 ↑ 41 ↓ 29 → 29 → 29 ↑ 34 ↓ 29 ↑ 34 → 34
-115.8%
Abs move: +115.8% (-2.82pp)
DRIFT
41.000
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 39.86
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Lightening Lad
Trainer: Grant Tuer
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
02:02Southwell (AW)
Open 101.000 - Now 71.000
67 → 67 → 67 ↓ 41 ↑ 67 → 67 → 67 → 67 → 67 ↑ 81
19.8%
Abs move: +19.8% (+0.42pp)
N/A
81.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 97.93
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
02:32 Southwell (AW) • 7f14y • Class 5
10 runners
Onemorenomore
Trainer: Philip McBride
⬆ CLASS RISE
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Range: 10.00 → 10.00 | Avg: 10.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (60%)
02:32Southwell (AW)
Open 4.000 - Now 4.200
4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 ↓ 4
-8.3%
Abs move: +8.3% (-1.19pp)
N/A
4.330
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.7
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/2 at Southwell (AW) on our records. Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP of 4.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Tennessee Gold
Trainer: Joseph Parr
↔ SAME CLASS
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (67%)
02:32Southwell (AW)
Open 4.000 - Now 4.500
4 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 4 ↑ 4.33 ↓ 4
-12.5%
Abs move: +12.5% (-2.78pp)
N/A
4.500
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Southwell (AW). The current market is 49% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 8.8.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Gunfighter
Trainer: John Butler
Supported (4.2pp). Trainer improves from 17.8% to 42.6%.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
02:32Southwell (AW)
Open 8.000 - Now 6.000
5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 ↑ 6 ↓ 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5
25%
Abs move: +25% (+4.17pp)
STEAM
6.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.5
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Anthropologist
Trainer: Michael Herrington
⬇ CLASS DROP
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Range: 9.00 → 9.00 | Avg: 9.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (50%)
02:32Southwell (AW)
Open 6.500 - Now 6.500
6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5
0%
Abs move: +0% (+0pp)
N/A
6.500
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
8 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 69% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 21.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Suhub
Trainer: James Owen
Drifting (9.5pp). Trainer falls from 15.9% to 13.4%.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 23.00 → 23.00 | Avg: 23.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
02:32Southwell (AW)
Open 6.000 - Now 14.000
12 → 12 → 12 ↓ 11 ↑ 12 → 12 → 12 → 12 → 12 ↑ 13
-133.3%
Abs move: +133.3% (-9.52pp)
DRIFT
14.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 14.08
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Wadacre Maestro
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
02:32Southwell (AW)
Open 11.000 - Now 15.000
13 → 13 → 13 ↓ 12 ↑ 13 → 13 → 13 → 13 → 13 → 13
-36.4%
Abs move: +36.4% (-2.42pp)
DRIFT
15.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 13
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟢 Needs Support (23%) This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
Vitalline
Trainer: Keiran Burke
Drifting (8.4pp). Trainer falls from 8.1% to 5.0%.
⬆ CLASS RISE
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Range: 2.63 → 5.50 | Avg: 4.07 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (55%)
02:32Southwell (AW)
Open 7.000 - Now 17.000
15 → 15 ↓ 11 ↑ 13 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 → 13 ↑ 15
-142.9%
Abs move: +142.9% (-8.4pp)
DRIFT
17.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 17.31
11 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Symphony Of Joy
Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
02:32Southwell (AW)
Open 19.000 - Now 17.000
17 → 17 → 17 ↓ 15 ↑ 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17
10.5%
Abs move: +10.5% (+0.62pp)
N/A
17.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 17
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Surprised
Trainer: Bryan Smart
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (25%)
02:32Southwell (AW)
Open 13.000 - Now 21.000
23 → 23 → 23 → 23 ↓ 21 ↑ 23 ↓ 21 → 21 ↑ 23 → 23
-76.9%
When drifting like this: failed 4/4 Historical Drift Profile

08 Jun 26 | Carlisle | Open: 5.5 → Final: 8 | SP: 8.50 | Fin: 8
23 Apr 26 | Beverley | Open: 13 → Final: 26 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 10
11 May 26 | Catterick | Open: 15 → Final: 67 | SP: 67.00 | Fin: 6
18 May 26 | Carlisle | Open: 15 → Final: 26 | SP: 26.00 | Fin: 3
Abs move: +76.9% (-2.93pp)
DRIFT
23.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 23
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Jimmy Knocker
Trainer: Andi Brown
Drifting (5.2pp). Trainer falls from 12.5% to 0.0%.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
02:32Southwell (AW)
Open 11.000 - Now 26.000
23 → 23 → 23 ↓ 19 ↑ 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 ↑ 26
-136.4%
Abs move: +136.4% (-5.24pp)
DRIFT
26.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 29.39
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
03:05 Southwell (AW) • 7f14y • Class 5
9 runners
Noble Guest
Trainer: George Margarson
Drifting (8.5pp). Trainer falls from 1.9% to 0.0%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Mid-market mover (50%)
03:05Southwell (AW)
Open 3.250 - Now 4.500
4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5
-38.5%
Abs move: +38.5% (-8.55pp)
DRIFT
4.500
Mid-market mover — likely to fluctuate (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.5
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
King Of Fury
Trainer: Michael Dods
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (40%)
03:05Southwell (AW)
Open 5.500 - Now 4.500
4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 ↑ 5 ↓ 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 ↓ 4.33
9.1%
Abs move: +9.1% (+4.04pp)
N/A
5.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.17
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟢 Needs Support (7%) This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
Pickersgill
Trainer: Iain Jardine
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Range: 3.50 → 11.00 | Avg: 7.25 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (33%)
03:05Southwell (AW)
Open 5.000 - Now 5.500
5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 ↓ 5 ↑ 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5
-10%
Abs move: +10% (-1.82pp)
N/A
5.500
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.5
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 1 runs at Southwell (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 3.8, today's price is 47% bigger than usual.
Best time: 12pm was biggest
Weakening late
Blazing Son
Trainer: Bryan Smart
Supported (5.2pp). Trainer improves from 11.7% to 25.0%.
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Range: 9.00 → 9.00 | Avg: 9.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (43%)
Late move vs early profile
03:05Southwell (AW)
Open 11.000 - Now 7.000
6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5
36.4%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +36.4% (+5.19pp)
STEAM
7.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
7 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/3 at Southwell (AW) on our records. Today's market is 35% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 10.8.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Shamacid
Trainer: S Woods
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Range: 5.00 → 5.00 | Avg: 5.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (40%)
03:05Southwell (AW)
Open 11.000 - Now 8.500
8.5 → 8.5 → 8.5 → 8.5 ↓ 8 ↑ 8.5 → 8.5 ↓ 8 ↑ 8.5 → 8.5
18.2%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +18.2% (+2.67pp)
STEAM
9.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 8.5
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 1 run. Today's market is 108% bigger than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 4.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Portman Blue
Trainer: Joseph Parr
Drifting (6.6pp). Trainer falls from 3.0% to 5.3%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (40%)
03:05Southwell (AW)
Open 7.000 - Now 13.000
9 ↑ 12 → 12 → 12 → 12 → 12 → 12 ↑ 13 ↓ 12 ↓ 11
-85.7%
Abs move: +85.7% (-6.59pp)
DRIFT
13.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 10.08
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 86% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 7.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
EMERGING REPEAT SETUP Only one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger
Tough Enough
Trainer: Antony Brittain
Drifting (4.1pp). Trainer falls from 9.0% to 10.3%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Range: 21.00 → 21.00 | Avg: 21.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (33%)
03:05Southwell (AW)
Open 8.500 - Now 13.000
11 → 11 → 11 ↓ 9 ↑ 12 → 12 → 12 → 12 ↓ 11 ↑ 12
-52.9%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
Abs move: +52.9% (-4.07pp)
DRIFT
13.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 12
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/2 at Southwell (AW). The average SP at this course is 21.0 and today's market has the horse trading 38% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Reputation
Trainer: Ruth Carr
Drifting (4.4pp). Trainer falls from 8.6% to 4.3%.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Range: 10.00 → 10.00 | Avg: 10.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
03:05Southwell (AW)
Open 9.000 - Now 15.000
15 → 15 → 15 ↓ 12 → 12 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 ↓ 12 ↑ 13 ↑ 15
-66.7%
Abs move: +66.7% (-4.44pp)
DRIFT
15.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 15
No historical data
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 1 run. Today's market is 67% bigger than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 9.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Crystal Dagger
Trainer: Joey Ramsden
Drifting (3.4pp). Trainer falls from 7.0% to 13.2%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Range: 34.00 → 34.00 | Avg: 34.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Late money horse (40%)
03:05Southwell (AW)
Open 17.000 - Now 41.000
34 ↑ 41 ↓ 34 → 34 → 34 ↑ 41 → 41 → 41 → 41 → 41
-141.2%
When drifting like this: failed 2/3 Historical Drift Profile

31 Dec 25 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 15 → Final: 34 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 2
14 Jan 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 2 → Final: 17 | SP: 13.00 | Fin: 5
10 Mar 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 13 → Final: 34 | SP: 41.00 | Fin: 6
Abs move: +141.2% (-3.44pp)
DRIFT
41.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 41
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP profile of 41.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
03:40 Southwell (AW) • 7f14y • Class 5
13 runners
Cixi
Trainer: Michael Bell
Supported (5.5pp). Trainer improves from 14.7% to 25.0%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
🟢🟢 STRONG EARLY MONEY ANGLE
When horses priced 3–6 shorten 30–40% early → profitable at SP
Historically profitable behaviour
991 Runs • 33.6% Wins • 3.1% ROI (SP)
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
03:40Southwell (AW)
Open 4.330 - Now 3.500
3.5 ↓ 3.25 ↑ 3.5 ↓ 3.25 → 3.25 ↓ 3.13 ↑ 3.2 ↑ 3.25 ↑ 3.5 ↓ 3
19.2%
Abs move: +19.2% (+5.48pp)
STEAM
3.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 2.88
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Hamda's Joy
Trainer: Tom Clover
Drifting (8.6pp). Trainer falls from 13.0% to 13.9%.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 5.00 → 5.00 | Avg: 5.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
03:40Southwell (AW)
Open 3.500 - Now 5.000
4.33 → 4.33 ↑ 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 ↓ 4.33 ↑ 4.5 → 4.5 ↓ 4.33 → 4.33
-42.9%
Abs move: +42.9% (-8.57pp)
DRIFT
5.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.33
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Honky Tonk Girl
Trainer: Oliver Cole
Supported (9pp). Trainer improves from 8.2% to 14.3%.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
03:40Southwell (AW)
Open 13.000 - Now 6.000
5.5 → 5.5 ↓ 5 → 5 ↑ 5.5 → 5.5 ↑ 6 ↓ 5.5 ↓ 5 ↑ 6
53.8%
Abs move: +53.8% (+8.97pp)
Built 06:01 → 06:01
STEAM
6.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.55
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Royale Union
Trainer: K R Burke
Drifting (11.7pp). Trainer falls from 18.6% to 14.4%.
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:40Southwell (AW)
Open 4.000 - Now 7.500
6 ↑ 6.5 ↓ 6 ↓ 5.5 ↑ 6.5 ↑ 7 → 7 ↓ 6.5 ↓ 6 ↑ 7
-87.5%
Abs move: +87.5% (-11.67pp)
DRIFT
7.500
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 7
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Clementines Star
Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler
Drifting (10.5pp). Trainer falls from 11.7% to 10.5%.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
03:40Southwell (AW)
Open 4.500 - Now 8.500
8.5 ↓ 8 → 8 ↑ 8.5 → 8.5 ↓ 8 ↑ 8.5 → 8.5 ↓ 8 → 8
-88.9%
Abs move: +88.9% (-10.46pp)
DRIFT
8.500
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 8
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Miss Gallant
Trainer: Marco Botti
Drifting (5.4pp). Trainer falls from 18.2% to 14.6%.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
03:40Southwell (AW)
Open 6.500 - Now 10.000
10 ↓ 9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 ↑ 10 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 10 ↓ 9.5
-53.8%
Abs move: +53.8% (-5.38pp)
DRIFT
10.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 9.5
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Sterling Fortune
Trainer: James Tate
Drifting (4.3pp). Trainer falls from 13.5% to 8.3%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
03:40Southwell (AW)
Open 11.000 - Now 21.000
17 ↑ 19 ↓ 17 → 17 ↑ 19 → 19 → 19 → 19 ↓ 17 ↑ 19
-90.9%
Abs move: +90.9% (-4.33pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 19
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Coxy's Star
Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
03:40Southwell (AW)
Open 29.000 - Now 34.000
34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34
-41.4%
Abs move: +41.4% (-0.51pp)
DRIFT
41.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 34
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Twilight Baby
Trainer: Gay Kelleway
Drifting (3.4pp). Trainer falls from 2.5% to 0.0%.
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:40Southwell (AW)
Open 21.000 - Now 51.000
67 ↓ 51 ↑ 67 → 67 ↓ 51 → 51 → 51 → 51 ↑ 67 → 67
-238.1%
Abs move: +238.1% (-2.8pp)
DRIFT
71.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 88.02
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
For Ever Hopefull
Trainer: J R Jenkins
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:40Southwell (AW)
Open 51.000 - Now 151.000
151 ↑ 201 ↑ 251 ↓ 101 ↑ 151 ↑ 251 ↓ 201 ↓ 151 ↑ 201 ↑ 251
-392.2%
Abs move: +392.2% (-1.3pp)
DRIFT
251.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 251
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Matilda Bea
Trainer: Ivan Furtado
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
03:40Southwell (AW)
Open 101.000 - Now 151.000
101 ↓ 81 ↑ 101 ↓ 81 → 81 → 81 → 81 → 81 ↑ 101 → 101
-49.5%
Abs move: +49.5% (-0.33pp)
DRIFT
151.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 125.94
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Victorian Rose
Trainer: Mike Murphy
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
03:40Southwell (AW)
Open 151.000 - Now 201.000
251 → 251 ↓ 201 ↓ 151 → 151 ↑ 251 ↓ 201 ↓ 151 → 151 ↑ 301
-99.3%
Abs move: +99.3% (-0.16pp)
DRIFT
301.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 360.96
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
03:40 Southwell (AW) Navona Grey NR @ 06:46
Last price: 11.000
04:15 Southwell (AW) • 4f214y • Class 3
9 runners
Kylian
Trainer: Robert Cowell
⬇ CLASS DROP
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Late money horse (29%)
04:15Southwell (AW)
Open 3.250 - Now 3.600
3.5 → 3.5 ↓ 3.25 ↑ 3.5 ↓ 3.25 ↑ 3.5 → 3.5 ↓ 3.25 ↑ 3.5 → 3.5
-10.8%
Abs move: +10.8% (-2.99pp)
N/A
3.600
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.5
7 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 67% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 11.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Rapper's Delight
Trainer: Richard Spencer
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
04:15Southwell (AW)
Open 5.000 - Now 4.500
4.5 → 4.5 ↓ 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 ↑ 4.5 ↓ 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33
10%
Abs move: +10% (+2.22pp)
N/A
4.500
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.33
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Canon's House
Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
⬇ CLASS DROP
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (75%)
04:15Southwell (AW)
Open 6.500 - Now 5.500
5 → 5 → 5 → 5 ↑ 5.5 ↓ 5 → 5 ↑ 5.5 → 5.5 ↓ 5
15.4%
Abs move: +15.4% (+2.8pp)
N/A
5.500
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 5
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Naana's Sparkle
Trainer: Lemos De Souza
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 8.00 → 8.00 | Avg: 8.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
04:15Southwell (AW)
Open 7.500 - Now 7.500
7 ↑ 8 ↓ 7.5 → 7.5 → 7.5 → 7.5 → 7.5 → 7.5 → 7.5 → 7.5
-6.7%
Abs move: +6.7% (+0pp)
N/A
8.000
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 7.5
No historical data
Best time: 10am was biggest
Weakening late
Tropical Storm
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Drifting (5.4pp). Trainer falls from 20.5% to 14.7%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Best at SP (100%)
04:15Southwell (AW)
Open 6.500 - Now 10.000
8 → 8 ↓ 7.5 → 7.5 ↑ 8.5 ↓ 8 ↑ 8.5 → 8.5 ↓ 8 ↑ 9
-53.8%
Abs move: +53.8% (-5.38pp)
DRIFT
10.000
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 10.13
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Blinky
Trainer: Antony Brittain
Drifting (3.3pp). Trainer falls from 9.0% to 10.3%.
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (67%)
04:15Southwell (AW)
Open 10.000 - Now 15.000
15 → 15 ↓ 13 → 13 → 13 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 → 13 → 13 ↑ 15
-50%
Abs move: +50% (-3.33pp)
DRIFT
15.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 15
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 150% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 6.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Buzz Box
Trainer: Michael Herrington
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
04:15Southwell (AW)
Open 15.000 - Now 19.000
17 → 17 ↓ 15 → 15 ↑ 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 → 17
-26.7%
Abs move: +26.7% (-1.4pp)
DRIFT
19.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 17
No historical data
Best time: 10am was biggest
Weakening late
Alligator Alley
Trainer: Ruth Carr
Drifting (6.7pp). Trainer falls from 8.6% to 4.3%.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
04:15Southwell (AW)
Open 9.500 - Now 26.000
23 → 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 ↑ 26 ↓ 23 → 23 ↑ 26
-173.7%
Abs move: +173.7% (-6.68pp)
DRIFT
26.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 29.39
No historical data
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Southwell (AW) on our records. Today's market is 160% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 10.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Cloud King
Trainer: Robert Cowell
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
04:15Southwell (AW)
Open 15.000 - Now 26.000
29 → 29 ↓ 26 → 26 → 26 ↑ 29 → 29 ↓ 26 ↑ 29 ↑ 34
-126.7%
Abs move: +126.7% (-2.82pp)
DRIFT
34.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 39.86
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
04:50 Southwell (AW) • 1m6f21y • Class 5
7 runners
Senor Cortez
Trainer: John Butler
Supported (20.4pp). Trainer improves from 17.8% to 42.6%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Mid-market mover (67%)
04:50Southwell (AW)
Open 7.000 - Now 2.880
2.75 → 2.75 → 2.75 ↓ 2.63 ↑ 2.75 → 2.75 → 2.75 → 2.75 → 2.75 → 2.75
58.9%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +58.9% (+20.44pp)
Built 11:41 → 11:46
STEAM
2.880
Mid-market mover — likely to fluctuate (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 2.75
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🔴 Ignores Market This horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
John Galt
Trainer: Jamie Osborne
Supported (6.8pp). Trainer improves from 10.6% to 22.6%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Range: 6.00 → 8.00 | Avg: 7.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Best at SP (43%)
04:50Southwell (AW)
Open 5.500 - Now 4.000
3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 ↑ 4 ↓ 3.75
27.3%
Abs move: +27.3% (+6.82pp)
STEAM
4.000
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.75
7 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/2 at Southwell (AW). The average SP at this course is 7.0 and today's market has the horse trading 43% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
Flat late
Premier
Trainer: Warren Greatrex
Drifting (23.7pp). Trainer falls from 8.9% to 5.2%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Range: 7.00 → 7.00 | Avg: 7.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Best at SP (50%)
04:50Southwell (AW)
Open 2.630 - Now 7.000
7 → 7 → 7 ↑ 7.5 ↓ 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7
-185.2%
Abs move: +185.2% (-23.74pp)
DRIFT
7.500
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 7
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Dino Bellagio
Trainer: Donald McCain
Drifting (4.3pp). Trainer falls from 12.8% to 11.0%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
04:50Southwell (AW)
Open 6.500 - Now 9.000
8 → 8 → 8 ↓ 7.5 ↑ 8 → 8 ↑ 8.5 ↓ 8 → 8 ↑ 8.5
-38.5%
Abs move: +38.5% (-4.27pp)
DRIFT
9.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 9.03
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Shushi
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Drifting (6.3pp). Trainer falls from 20.5% to 14.7%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (67%)
04:50Southwell (AW)
Open 6.500 - Now 11.000
9.5 ↑ 10 → 10 ↓ 9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 ↑ 10 ↓ 9.5
-69.2%
Abs move: +69.2% (-6.29pp)
DRIFT
11.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 9.5
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Baltic
Trainer: Lucy Wadham
Drifting (3.4pp). Trainer falls from 17.4% to 10.0%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
04:50Southwell (AW)
Open 8.000 - Now 11.000
10 ↑ 11 ↓ 10 → 10 → 10 → 10 → 10 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 11 ↓ 9.5
-37.5%
Abs move: +37.5% (-3.41pp)
DRIFT
11.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 9.03
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Spooky Wooky
Trainer: Simon West
Drifting (10.8pp). Trainer falls from 4.2% to 11.1%.
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
04:50Southwell (AW)
Open 6.000 - Now 17.000
15 ↑ 17 ↓ 15 → 15 → 15 → 15 ↑ 17 ↓ 15 ↑ 17 → 17
-183.3%
Abs move: +183.3% (-10.78pp)
DRIFT
17.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 19.27
No historical data
Best time: 2pm was biggest
Flat late
05:25 Southwell (AW) • 1m3f23y • Class 4
8 runners
Club Class
Trainer: James Fanshawe
Drifting (3pp). Trainer falls from 18.9% to 14.3%.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 2.75 → 2.75 | Avg: 2.75 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
05:25Southwell (AW)
Open 2.750 - Now 3.000
2.75 → 2.75 ↑ 3 → 3 ↓ 2.88 → 2.88 → 2.88 ↓ 2.75 ↑ 2.88 → 2.88
-9.1%
Abs move: +9.1% (-3.03pp)
Built 00:01 → 00:01
N/A
3.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 2.88
No historical data
Best time: 2pm was biggest
Flat late
Jupiter Ammon
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Drifting (11.1pp). Trainer falls from 20.5% to 14.7%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (67%)
05:25Southwell (AW)
Open 3.000 - Now 4.500
4 ↑ 4.5 ↓ 4.33 → 4.33 ↑ 4.5 ↓ 4.33 → 4.33 ↑ 4.5 ↓ 4.33 → 4.33
-50%
Abs move: +50% (-11.11pp)
DRIFT
4.500
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.33
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Southwell (AW) on our records. Today's market is 187% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 1.6.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Crystal Mariner
Trainer: Jamie Osborne
Supported (7.6pp). Trainer improves from 10.6% to 22.6%.
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
05:25Southwell (AW)
Open 11.000 - Now 6.000
5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 ↑ 6 ↓ 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5
45.5%
Abs move: +45.5% (+7.58pp)
Built 02:26 → 02:31
STEAM
6.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.5
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Northwest Passage
Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Drifting (6.7pp). Trainer falls from 7.8% to 7.3%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Range: 17.00 → 17.00 | Avg: 17.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (50%)
05:25Southwell (AW)
Open 6.000 - Now 10.000
9.5 ↑ 10 ↑ 11 ↓ 10 ↓ 9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 ↑ 10 → 10
-83.3%
Abs move: +83.3% (-6.67pp)
DRIFT
11.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 10.53
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Vaguer
Trainer: James Fanshawe
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
05:25Southwell (AW)
Open 13.000 - Now 10.000
11 → 11 ↓ 10 → 10 → 10 → 10 ↑ 11 ↓ 10 ↑ 11 → 11
15.4%
Abs move: +15.4% (+2.31pp)
N/A
11.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 12.1
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Victors Spirit
Trainer: Neil King
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Range: 7.50 → 19.00 | Avg: 13.25 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (25%)
05:25Southwell (AW)
Open 12.000 - Now 11.000
10 → 10 → 10 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 10 → 10 → 10 → 10 → 10 ↑ 11
8.3%
Abs move: +8.3% (+0.76pp)
N/A
11.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 12.1
8 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 2 starts at Southwell (AW). Historical course average SP is 32.0, while today's market is 66% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Forever Penywern
Trainer: Warren Greatrex
Drifting (13.4pp). Trainer falls from 8.9% to 5.2%.
⬆ CLASS RISE
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Range: 7.50 → 7.50 | Avg: 7.50 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (50%)
05:25Southwell (AW)
Open 5.500 - Now 21.000
17 ↑ 19 ↓ 13 → 13 ↑ 19 → 19 ↑ 21 ↓ 19 ↓ 17 ↑ 21
-281.8%
Abs move: +281.8% (-13.42pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 23.21
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Aulis
Trainer: Tina Jackson
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
05:25Southwell (AW)
Open 17.000 - Now 21.000
19 → 19 ↑ 21 ↓ 19 → 19 ↑ 21 → 21 ↓ 19 ↑ 21 → 21
-23.5%
Abs move: +23.5% (-1.12pp)
DRIFT
21.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 21
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
05:55 Southwell (AW) • 2m102y • Class 3
5 runners
Boatswain
Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Supported (8.3pp). Trainer improves from 13.0% to 16.2%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Mid-market mover (67%)
05:55Southwell (AW)
Open 3.000 - Now 2.400
2.25 → 2.25 → 2.25 → 2.25 → 2.25 → 2.25 ↑ 2.38 ↓ 2.25 ↑ 2.38 → 2.38
20%
0% place strike (2 runs)
0/2 placed when backed like this
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Abs move: +20% (+8.33pp)
Built 15:31 → 15:31
STEAM
2.400
Mid-market mover — likely to fluctuate (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 2.52
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Late money still arriving
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Sax Appeal
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Drifting (4.1pp). Trainer falls from 11.2% to 7.2%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Range: 2.20 → 2.50 | Avg: 2.35 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (27%)
05:55Southwell (AW)
Open 3.250 - Now 3.750
3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75
-15.4%
Abs move: +15.4% (-4.1pp)
DRIFT
3.750
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.75
11 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/1 at Southwell (AW). The average SP at this course is 2.2 and today's market has the horse trading 70% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
New York Minute
Trainer: Joey Ramsden
Supported (6.7pp). Trainer improves from 7.0% to 11.1%.
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Range: 6.00 → 6.00 | Avg: 6.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Late money horse (50%)
Late support match
05:55Southwell (AW)
Open 7.500 - Now 5.000
5.5 ↓ 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 ↑ 5.5 ↓ 5 ↑ 5.5 ↓ 5 → 5
26.7%
Abs move: +26.7% (+6.67pp)
STEAM
5.500
Unusual early support — often weakens late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.55
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 1 previous runs at Southwell (AW). The current market is 50% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 11.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Flat late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Sixpack
Trainer: James Owen
Drifting (20.8pp). Trainer falls from 15.9% to 13.4%.
⬆ CLASS RISE
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Range: 2.25 → 3.25 | Avg: 2.75 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (40%)
05:55Southwell (AW)
Open 3.000 - Now 8.000
7.5 → 7.5 → 7.5 ↓ 7 ↑ 7.5 → 7.5 → 7.5 → 7.5 → 7.5 ↑ 8
-166.7%
Abs move: +166.7% (-20.83pp)
DRIFT
8.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 8.53
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Alrazeen
Trainer: Keiran Burke
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
05:55Southwell (AW)
Open 9.000 - Now 12.000
11 → 11 ↓ 10 ↓ 9 ↑ 11 → 11 → 11 → 11 → 11 → 11
-33.3%
Abs move: +33.3% (-2.78pp)
DRIFT
12.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 11
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

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