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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 21:00:27 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Hope Rising
06:45 Nottingham
+50.8% (2.750 → 1.353)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Hope Rising
06:45 Nottingham
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Apulia Bay
05:45 Nottingham
+14.6% (1.400 → 1.196)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Time For The Moon
05:45 Nottingham
-40.9% (2.880 → 4.059)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Hope Rising (50.8%) 06:45 Nottingham    WEAK FAVOURITE: Beauty Generation (-97.5%) 07:15 Nottingham | 4/1 9/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
32
Shown After Filters
32
Active Signals (15%+)
20
Live Alerts
13
LIVE ALERTS
Hope Rising Heavy sustained support (50.8%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 06:45 Nottingham | Open 7/4 - Now 4/11
Come On Eibhlin Heavy sustained support (35.7%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 08:15 Nottingham | Open 8/1 - Now 5/1
Full Meeting View →
CarlisleHamiltonLingfield (AW)Nottingham
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:45Nottingham • 1m75y • Class 4
2 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Apulia Bay (+12.18 probability points)
Weakest support: Time For The Moon (-10.09 probability points)

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: James Doyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +12.18pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 6/24 won (25%); Open→SP 4/24 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: EVS → EVS | Avg: EVSFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
05:45Nottingham
Opened 2/5Market avg 1/5
1/5 ↑ 2/9 ↓ 1/5 ↓ 1/6 → 1/6 → 1/6 ↑ 1/5 → 1/5 ↑ 2/9 ↓ 1/5
PRICE MOVE
+12.18pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 14.6% • +12.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/9 1.22 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 12–15pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 43% another 2pp • 31% another 3pp • 23% another 5pp (n=440)
Possible next price: 2/9
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer market read
Today's move is -10.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/83 won (18.1%); Open→SP 19/90 won (21.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.5% (11/31).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/5 → 4/5 | Avg: 4/5Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
05:45Nottingham
Opened 15/8Market avg 3/1
3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-10.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 40.9% • -10.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 3/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
06:15Nottingham • 0m6f18y • Class 4
3 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.35pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/80 won (25%); Open→SP 18/75 won (24%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.9% (12/43).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 4/9 → 12/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
06:15Nottingham
Opened 11/8Market avg 11/10
11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 ↑ 6/5 → 6/5 → 6/5 ↓ EVS ↑ 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10
PRICE MOVE
+5.35pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 11.3% • +5.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/5 2.2 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: EVS
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: James Doyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is -14.38pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/39 won (23.1%); Open→SP 9/45 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
06:15Nottingham
Opened 15/8Market avg 4/1
7/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-14.38pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 70.7% • -14.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
06:15 Nottingham Baddaddan NR @ 15:35
Last fixed odds: 6/4
06:45Nottingham • 2m0f0y • Class 6
6 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Jamie Snowden
Jockey: Harry Vigors(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +37.55pp, placing it in this yard's 20pp+ band.
At 20pp+: Open→1PM 3/7 won (42.9%); Open→SP 5/7 won (71.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (20%)
Late move vs early profile
06:45Nottingham
Opened 7/4Market avg 4/11
4/11 → 4/11 → 4/11 ↓ 1/3 → 1/3 → 1/3 ↑ 4/11 ↓ 1/3 ↑ 4/11 → 4/11
PRICE MOVE
+37.55pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 50.8% • +37.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/5 1.4 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 44% shortened another 1pp • 39% another 2pp • 27% another 3pp • 18% another 5pp (n=470)
Possible next price: 2/5
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Owen Burrows
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.58pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/22 won (9.1%); Open→SP 4/23 won (17.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
06:45Nottingham
Opened 10/3Market avg 7/2
10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.58pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 7.1% • -1.58 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.67pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/80 won (30%); Open→SP 23/86 won (26.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (14/45).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
06:45Nottingham
Opened 11/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.67pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 24.3% • +2.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 8/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Nottingham this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 21% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 7.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Connor Planas
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.81pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/29 won (27.6%); Open→SP 7/25 won (28%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 13/8 | Avg: 13/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (33%)
06:45Nottingham
Opened 12/1Market avg 20/1
18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.81pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 57.4% • -2.81 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 22/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tom Gretton
Jockey: Warren Fentiman
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.12pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/9 won (22.2%); Open→SP 3/11 won (27.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
06:45Nottingham
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.12pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 13.8% • -0.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
06:45 Nottingham Free World NR @ 10:25
Last fixed odds: 2/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
4
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
50%
07:15Nottingham • 1m2f50y • Class 6
8 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.77pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/15 won (26.7%); Open→SP 5/14 won (35.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 20/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Late money horse (38%)
07:15Nottingham
Opened 7/2Market avg 11/4
11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+4.77pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
2/2 placed when backed like this (100%).
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Price change: 17.7% • +4.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 11/4
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Owen Burrows
Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.48pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/22 won (9.1%); Open→SP 4/23 won (17.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
07:15Nottingham
Opened 7/2Market avg 3/1
11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.48pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 13.6% • +3.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 10/3
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.40pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/62 won (21%); Open→SP 16/64 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
07:15Nottingham
Opened 4/1Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.40pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 10.7% • +2.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ross Burdon
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer market read
Today's move is -9.87pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/20 won (25%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (57%)
07:15Nottingham
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/1
8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-9.87pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 97.5% • -9.87 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Nottingham this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 68% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 5.9.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: D Donovan
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.04pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
07:15Nottingham
Opened 7/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

10 Jul 26 | Newmarket | Open: 16/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 9
06 Jun 26 | Lingfield | Open: 10/3 → Final: 5/1 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 3
15 May 26 | Newmarket | Open: 7/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 3
14 Apr 26 | Newmarket | Open: 50/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 9
Price change: 32.1% • -3.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 8/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Nottingham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
Jockey: Jack Doughty
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.34pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/45 won (24.4%); Open→SP 11/43 won (25.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 52.9% (9/17).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (40%)
07:15Nottingham
Opened 11/2Market avg 10/1
17/2 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.34pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

18 May 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 12/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 6
15 Apr 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 6
17 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 25/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 3
Price change: 70.1% • -6.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.81pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/15 won (26.7%); Open→SP 5/14 won (35.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (23.1%)
Early money horse (33%)
07:15Nottingham
Opened 10/1Market avg 11/1
14/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.81pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 9.7% • -0.81 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 15/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 3 starts at Nottingham. Historical course average SP is 27.3, while today's market is 56% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Joanna Mason
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.45pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/57 won (17.5%); Open→SP 8/57 won (14%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (43%)
07:15Nottingham
Opened 11/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.45pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

14 May 26 | York | Open: 28/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 13
24 Apr 26 | Doncaster | Open: 17/2 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 3
28 Feb 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 11/2 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 17/2 | Fin: 5
Price change: 41.7% • -2.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:45Nottingham • 0m5f8y • Class 4
7 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: George Scott
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.54pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 19/48 won (39.6%); Open→SP 19/41 won (46.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 7/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (38%)
07:45Nottingham
Opened 6/4Market avg 7/4
7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4
PRICE MOVE
-3.54pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 9.7% • -3.54 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/8 2.88 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 15/8
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ross Burdon
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.75pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/20 won (25%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (71%)
07:45Nottingham
Opened 5/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.75pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 9.5% • +1.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Horton
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.72pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/15 won (26.7%); Open→SP 5/16 won (31.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
07:45Nottingham
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.72pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 22.9% • -3.72 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Nottingham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/75 won (20%); Open→SP 18/77 won (23.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.1% (9/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (67%)
07:45Nottingham
Opened 8/1Market avg 6/1
11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.21pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 22.4% • +3.21 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 6/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Christopher Mason
Jockey: Gina Mangan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.89pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/11 won (45.5%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 100% (4/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
07:45Nottingham
Opened 11/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.89pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 14% • -1.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 13/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Robert Cowell
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.21pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/26 won (23.1%); Open→SP 8/28 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Late money horse (43%)
07:45Nottingham
Opened 5/1Market avg 15/2
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.21pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 45.5% • -5.21 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 17/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Nottingham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon Pearce
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.70pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
07:45Nottingham
Opened 9/1Market avg 18/1
14/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.70pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 88.6% • -4.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
08:15Nottingham • 0m6f18y • Class 5
6 runners
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Jonathan Portman
Jockey: Rob Hornby
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/29 won (34.5%); Open→SP 10/24 won (41.7%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (57%)
08:15Nottingham
Opened 9/4Market avg 2/1
2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+2.44pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 7.4% • +2.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/4
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Jack Channon
Jockey: George Bass
Trainer market read
Today's move is -18.23pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/29 won (17.2%); Open→SP 10/30 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
08:15Nottingham
Opened 5/4Market avg 11/4
5/2 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-18.23pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

14 Jul 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 11/4 → Final: 4/1 | SP: 5/1 | Fin: 2
21 Jun 26 | Brighton | Open: 18/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 3
10 Jun 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 25/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 9
Price change: 69.6% • -18.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/3
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (12%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Michael Herrington
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.61pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/43 won (23.3%); Open→SP 11/47 won (23.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.4% (7/23).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 4/1 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (57%)
08:15Nottingham
Opened 6/1Market avg 9/2
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+3.61pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 20.2% • +3.61 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Dylan Cunha
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.17pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/35 won (14.3%); Open→SP 8/47 won (17%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (16.7%)
Early money horse (43%)
Late move vs early profile
08:15Nottingham
Opened 8/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+6.17pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 7 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 35.7% • +6.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/3
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.74pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/44 won (25%); Open→SP 11/48 won (22.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (6/24).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 9/4 | Avg: 11/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (43%)
08:15Nottingham
Opened 6/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.74pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 16.1% • +2.74 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Steph Hollinshead
Jockey: George Wood
Trainer market read
Today's move is -10.86pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/11 won (18.2%); Open→SP 2/10 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (67%)
08:15Nottingham
Opened 13/2Market avg 40/1
40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-10.86pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 439.5% • -10.86 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 40/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Nottingham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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