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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 21:00:24 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Sea Founder
06:30 Kempton (AW)
+49.6% (8.000 → 4.029)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Manaar
06:00 Kempton (AW)
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Marsala
05:30 Kempton (AW)
+35.8% (3.500 → 2.248)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Miss Miniver
05:30 Kempton (AW)
-18.5% (3.750 → 4.445)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Sea Founder (49.6%) 06:30 Kempton (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Stardancer (-239.8%) 07:30 Kempton (AW) | 5/2 11/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
84
Shown After Filters
84
Active Signals (15%+)
64
Live Alerts
46
LIVE ALERTS
Sea Founder Heavy sustained support (49.6%)
🔥 Strong historical win signal • 2/3 WON (2/3 placed incl. wins)
Alert: 21:03 | Race: 06:30 Kempton (AW) | Open 7/1 - Now 3/1
Marsala Heavy sustained support (35.8%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 05:30 Kempton (AW) | Open 5/2 - Now 5/4
Kiniro Heavy sustained support (43%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 07:00 Kempton (AW) | Open 12/1 - Now 13/2
Full Meeting View →
BeverleyFfos LasGowran ParkKempton (AW)Salisbury
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:30Kempton (AW) • 7f • Class 3
13 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Marsala (+15.91 probability points)
Weakest support: Spirit Of Progress (-7.92 probability points)

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is +15.91pp, placing it in this yard's 15pp+ band.
At 15pp+: Open→1PM 7/17 won (41.2%); Open→SP 6/24 won (25%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 5/2Market avg 5/4
5/4 ↓ 6/5 ↑ 5/4 → 5/4 → 5/4 → 5/4 → 5/4 ↓ 6/5 → 6/5 ↑ 5/4
PRICE MOVE
+15.91pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 35.8% • +15.91 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/8 2.38 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 47% shortened another 1pp • 39% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=910)
Possible next price: 5/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.17pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 25/64 won (39.1%); Open→SP 28/67 won (41.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 43.6% (17/39).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
05:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-4.17pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 18.5% • -4.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/3
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: Robert Havlin
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.13pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/73 won (37%); Open→SP 27/78 won (34.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 45.9% (17/37).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
05:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 5/1
9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-8.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 48.2% • -8.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Hughes
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/59 won (27.1%); Open→SP 17/65 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.2% (7/24).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+3.21pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 24.3% • +3.21 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 13/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.50pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 57/148 won (38.5%); Open→SP 56/153 won (36.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41% (34/83).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
05:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 12/1
10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 95.1% • -7.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Philippart De Foy
Jockey: David Egan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.29pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/31 won (19.4%); Open→SP 8/35 won (22.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
05:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 14/1
10/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.29pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 33.8% • -2.29 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: Harry Davies
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.62pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/39 won (23.1%); Open→SP 10/46 won (21.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 22/1
25/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.62pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 128.6% • -5.62 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Simcock
Jockey: Dylan Hogan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.46pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/19 won (15.8%); Open→SP 2/16 won (12.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.46pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 143.1% • -3.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Simcock
Jockey: George Wood
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.98pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/19 won (15.8%); Open→SP 2/16 won (12.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
05:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 100/1
66/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.98pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 555% • -4.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Alan King
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.04pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/38 won (39.5%); Open→SP 19/47 won (40.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (11/22).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
05:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 555.3% • -4.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 201 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.69pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/15 won (26.7%); Open→SP 6/15 won (40%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
05:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.69pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 816.9% • -4.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 251 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daisy Hitchins
Jockey: Stevie Donohoe
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.92pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/5 won (20%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (2/3).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.92pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 1902.4% • -7.92 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 301 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:30 Kempton (AW) Woollahra NR @ 07:25
Last fixed odds: 9/1
06:00Kempton (AW) • 1m3f219y • Class 3
5 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.41pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 26/89 won (29.2%); Open→SP 36/117 won (30.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.7% (19/60).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 17/2 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
06:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 4/9Market avg 1/3
4/11 ↓ 1/3 ↑ 4/11 ↓ 2/7 ↑ 4/11 ↓ 1/3 → 1/3 → 1/3 → 1/3 → 1/3
PRICE MOVE
+5.41pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 7.2% • +5.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/11 1.36 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 1/3
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jane Chapple-Hyam
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.05pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/36 won (38.9%); Open→SP 13/41 won (31.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.8% (8/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
06:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.05pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 0.3% • -0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Tom Clover
Jockey: David Egan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.59pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/27 won (29.6%); Open→SP 10/29 won (34.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 44.4% (8/18).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 33/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 33/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
06:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 15/2
6/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.59pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 30.5% • -3.59 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.30pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 21/46 won (45.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
06:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.30pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 140.2% • -7.30 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jennie Candlish
Jockey: George Wood
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.98pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/43 won (23.3%); Open→SP 11/50 won (22%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 23.1% (6/26).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
06:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.98pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 148.3% • -3.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
06:30Kempton (AW) • 7f • Class 4
12 runners
🟢 Needs Support (38%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 10:52
Now 7.3% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Richard Hughes
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +12.32pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 11/27 won (40.7%); Open→SP 7/24 won (29.2%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (6/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 4/1 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
BACK
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
06:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 3/1
10/3 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+12.32pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 2/2 won
When backed like this: 2/3 WON
Price change: 49.6% • +12.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 12–15pp move: 39% shortened another 1pp • 26% another 2pp • 21% another 3pp • 13% another 5pp (n=728)
Possible next price: 3/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Kempton (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 4.4, today's price is close to its historical average.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.57pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/56 won (25%); Open→SP 12/52 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
06:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 7/2
10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.57pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 11.5% • -2.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 7/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler
Jockey: Ebrahim Nader
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.00pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/22 won (18.2%); Open→SP 6/19 won (31.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.9% (3/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
06:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.00pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 9.9% • -2.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Margarson
Jockey: Tom Queally
Trainer market read
Today's move is -10.16pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/9 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/10 won (10%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (33%)
06:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 13/2
7/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-10.16pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

11 Jul 26 | Newmarket | Open: 33/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 13
01 May 26 | Ascot | Open: 33/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 8
16 Apr 26 | Newmarket | Open: 20/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 16
Price change: 78.6% • -10.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 6/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jane Chapple-Hyam
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.78pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/36 won (38.9%); Open→SP 13/41 won (31.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.8% (8/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
06:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 10/1
12/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.78pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 20.3% • -1.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.20pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/45 won (26.7%); Open→SP 13/43 won (30.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37% (10/27).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (38%)
06:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 12/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.20pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 15.3% • -1.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Kempton (AW). The current market is close to its historical average compared with a typical course SP of 12.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.55pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/61 won (37.7%); Open→SP 22/61 won (36.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.4% (13/33).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (100%)
06:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.55pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 7.7% • -0.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Warren Greatrex
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.69pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/29 won (13.8%); Open→SP 4/29 won (13.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (3/15).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
06:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 22/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.69pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 28% • +1.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon Dow
Jockey: Harry Davies
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.71pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/11 won (27.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 75% (3/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (50%)
06:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.71pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 11.9% • -0.71 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Kempton (AW). The current market is 20% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 21.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Baker
Jockey: Benoit de la Sayette
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.26pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 3/14 won (21.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
06:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.26pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 23.3% • -1.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Pike
Jockey: Nicola Currie
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.71pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/8 won (12.5%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
06:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.71pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

08 May 26 | Ascot | Open: 12/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 5
17 Apr 26 | Newbury | Open: 25/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 16
21 Mar 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 11
Price change: 125.2% • -3.71 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 33/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim & Suzi Best
Jockey: Olivia Tubb(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.66pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/7 won (57.1%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (60%)
06:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.66pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

06 Jul 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 8
27 Apr 26 | Naas (IRE) | Open: 33/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 12
11 Apr 26 | Bellewstown (IRE) | Open: 12/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 9
28 Mar 26 | Curragh (IRE) | Open: 40/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 14
Price change: 213.9% • -1.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 201 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 100/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:00Kempton (AW) • 7f • Class 4
11 runners

Trainer: James Fanshawe
Jockey: George Wood
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.39pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/69 won (31.9%); Open→SP 19/66 won (28.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.6% (11/36).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (40%)
07:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 5/2
5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+6.39pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 22.3% • +6.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Zoe Hawkins
Jockey: Alfie Redman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.92pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/4 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
07:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.92pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 4.4% • +0.92 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Kempton (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 52% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 10.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: David Egan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.33pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/51 won (41.2%); Open→SP 19/52 won (36.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.5% (8/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (50%)
07:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.33pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 37.7% • -6.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Dan Horsford
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.80pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/11 won (36.4%); Open→SP 3/10 won (30%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
07:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.80pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 43% • +5.80 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Chris Dwyer
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.59pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/17 won (23.5%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.3% (3/11).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 15/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (63%)
07:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 10/1
9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.59pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 28% • +2.59 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 10/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Kempton (AW). The current market is 123% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 4.9.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Attwater
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.13pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 2/19 won (10.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
07:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-8.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 95.2% • -8.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Baker
Jockey: Benoit de la Sayette
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.90pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 3/14 won (21.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
07:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.90pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 13.2% • -0.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charles Hills
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -15.49pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/25 won (48%); Open→SP 11/27 won (40.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 55.6% (5/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 18/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
07:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-15.49pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 230.2% • -15.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Dylan Cunha
Jockey: Stevie Donohoe
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.36pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/35 won (14.3%); Open→SP 8/48 won (16.7%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (33%)
07:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.36pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

17 Jun 26 | Ascot | Open: 40/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 80/1 | Fin: 18
04 Jun 26 | Wetherby | Open: 7/1 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 6
23 May 26 | York | Open: 17/2 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 11
Price change: 34.8% • -1.36 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.22pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/45 won (26.7%); Open→SP 13/43 won (30.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37% (10/27).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
07:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.22pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

31 May 26 | Thirsk | Open: 28/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 7
03 Apr 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 9/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 8
27 Feb 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 5
22 Jan 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 15/8 → Final: 4/1 | SP: 3/1 | Fin: 5
Price change: 72.7% • -2.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 33/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Robert Havlin
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 19/62 won (30.6%); Open→SP 19/67 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (9/24).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (33%)
07:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 22/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

11 May 26 | Catterick | Open: 11/2 → Final: 17/2 | SP: 17/2 | Fin: 12
11 Mar 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 6/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 9
14 Jan 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: EVS → Final: 7/2 | SP: 7/2 | Fin: 7
Price change: 122.7% • -2.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 50/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Kempton (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 503% bigger than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 8.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:30Kempton (AW) • 1m • Class 4
10 runners

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Dylan Hogan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +8.20pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/33 won (39.4%); Open→SP 13/33 won (39.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
07:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 9/4Market avg 13/8
13/8 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 13/8
PRICE MOVE
+8.20pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 21% • +8.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/8 2.63 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=1510)
Possible next price: 7/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: David Egan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/51 won (41.2%); Open→SP 19/52 won (36.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.5% (8/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (29%)
07:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.07pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.3% • -0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 3/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Dan Horsford
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.78pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/11 won (36.4%); Open→SP 3/10 won (30%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
07:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.78pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 4.5% • +0.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 4/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Seamus Cronin(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.71pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/126 won (22.2%); Open→SP 38/137 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.3% (26/63).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 6/5 → 16/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
07:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 13/2
7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.71pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 20.5% • +2.71 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 13/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Kempton (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 101% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 3.8.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is -20.16pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/38 won (18.4%); Open→SP 11/45 won (24.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
07:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 5/2Market avg 11/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-20.16pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 239.8% • -20.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mike Murphy
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.05pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/15 won (33.3%); Open→SP 6/14 won (42.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 57.1% (4/7).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
07:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.05pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 57.7% • -3.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Kempton (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 4 runs. Today's market is 31% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 27.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Robert Havlin
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.85pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 19/62 won (30.6%); Open→SP 19/67 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (9/24).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
07:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.85pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 19.4% • -0.85 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Parr
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/15 won (6.7%); Open→SP 1/13 won (7.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 12.5% (1/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
07:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 3.5% • +0.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Faye Bramley
Jockey: Nicola Currie
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.83pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/18 won (55.6%); Open→SP 10/23 won (43.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (8/12).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
07:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.83pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 116.4% • -2.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.53pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/29 won (27.6%); Open→SP 7/25 won (28%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
07:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 80/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.53pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 74.7% • -0.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 201 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
08:00Kempton (AW) • 1m • Class 4
10 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -9.23pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/51 won (41.2%); Open→SP 19/52 won (36.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.5% (8/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

1/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
08:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 6/4Market avg 9/4
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
-9.23pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

09 Jul 26 | Newmarket | Open: 12/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 10
05 Jun 26 | Epsom | Open: 18/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 6
02 May 26 | Newmarket | Open: 16/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 2
06 Feb 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 11/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 3
Price change: 30% • -9.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/4
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 2/3 at Kempton (AW). The average SP at this course is 2.6 and today's market has the horse trading 26% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Tate
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/36 won (30.6%); Open→SP 13/35 won (37.1%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (6/16).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (100%)
08:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 10/3
10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.00pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 4.3% • +1.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Harry Davies
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.30pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 53/170 won (31.2%); Open→SP 54/176 won (30.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.7% (35/82).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 14/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (29%)
08:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 9/4Market avg 7/2
10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-8.30pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 37% • -8.30 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Oli Rix
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.82pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (38%)
08:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.82pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 9.1% • +1.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 4/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/38 won (18.4%); Open→SP 11/45 won (24.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
08:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 9/1
17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.32pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 33.2% • +3.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Chris Dwyer
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.97pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/17 won (23.5%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.3% (3/11).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
08:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 20/1
22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.97pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 41.9% • -1.97 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Kempton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 326% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 5.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/11 won (27.3%); Open→SP 5/14 won (35.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
08:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.14pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 3.8% • +0.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mike Murphy
Jockey: Robert Havlin
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.88pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/15 won (33.3%); Open→SP 6/14 won (42.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 57.1% (4/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (33.7%)
08:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.88pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 176.5% • -1.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Stevie Donohoe
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.59pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/81 won (29.6%); Open→SP 23/86 won (26.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (14/45).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (19.8%)
08:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 66/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.59pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 65% • -0.59 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 66/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
08:00 Kempton (AW) Gunfighter NR @ 09:01
Last fixed odds: 14/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
4
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
50%
08:30Kempton (AW) • 1m3f219y • Class 3
12 runners

Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is +10.32pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 17/38 won (44.7%); Open→SP 17/39 won (43.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.9% (13/21).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
08:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 6/5Market avg 4/5
8/13 ↑ 4/5 ↓ 8/13 ↑ 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 ↓ 4/5 → 4/5 ↑ 5/6
PRICE MOVE
+10.32pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 18.5% • +10.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/6 1.83 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 10–12pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 44% another 2pp • 32% another 3pp • 22% another 5pp (n=475)
Possible next price: 5/6
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Jonathan Portman
Jockey: Harry Davies
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.15pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/30 won (33.3%); Open→SP 10/25 won (40%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
08:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 7/2
4/1 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.15pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 23.6% • +5.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Kempton (AW). The current market is close to its historical average compared with a typical course SP of 5.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Neil Mulholland
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.69pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/66 won (24.2%); Open→SP 23/73 won (31.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (7/19).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
08:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 7/1
13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.69pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 21.2% • -2.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Warren Greatrex
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is -9.02pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/29 won (13.8%); Open→SP 4/29 won (13.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (3/15).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 20/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (40%)
08:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 8/1
9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-9.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

05 Jul 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 9/2 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 1
22 Apr 26 | Taunton | Open: 7/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 7
09 Mar 26 | Stratford | Open: 8/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 3
Price change: 82.1% • -9.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 8/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.90pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 57/148 won (38.5%); Open→SP 56/153 won (36.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41% (34/83).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
08:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 9/1
11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.90pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 19.8% • +1.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (9%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Ross Burdon
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.47pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/20 won (25%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: EVS → 5/2 | Avg: 7/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Best at SP (60%)
08:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.47pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 47.3% • -2.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Kempton (AW) this horse has recorded 2 placed efforts from 3 runs. The current market is 248% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 5.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (23%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Jim Boyle
Jockey: David Egan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.62pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 10/3 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (43%)
08:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 22/1Market avg 25/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.62pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 16.8% • -0.62 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 25/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 4 previous runs at Kempton (AW). The current market is 97% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 13.6.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Alan King
Jockey: Harry Vigors(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.42pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/38 won (39.5%); Open→SP 19/47 won (40.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (11/22).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
08:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 22/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.42pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 48.6% • -1.42 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Baker
Jockey: Benoit de la Sayette
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.11pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 3/14 won (21.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
08:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.11pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 112% • -3.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/2 at Kempton (AW). The average SP at this course is 7.0 and today's market has the horse trading 415% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Neil Mulholland
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.22pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/66 won (24.2%); Open→SP 23/73 won (31.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (7/19).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
08:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 80/1
66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.22pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 99.7% • -1.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 80/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Baker
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.73pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 3/14 won (21.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
08:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 80/1
80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 → 80/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.73pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 142.4% • -1.73 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 80/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Stevie Donohoe
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.98pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/81 won (29.6%); Open→SP 23/86 won (26.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (14/45).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
08:30Kempton (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.98pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 206% • -1.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
09:00Kempton (AW) • 1m3f219y • Class 5
11 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.95pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 53/170 won (31.2%); Open→SP 54/176 won (30.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.7% (35/82).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 8/11 → 7/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
09:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 7/4Market avg 13/8
6/4 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8
PRICE MOVE
+1.95pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.1% • +1.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/8
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.56pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/51 won (41.2%); Open→SP 19/52 won (36.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.5% (8/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
09:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 2/1
9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+6.56pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 19.7% • +6.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 2/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.57pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
09:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 6/1
13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-5.57pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 38.6% • -5.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Alan King
Jockey: Harry Vigors(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.52pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/38 won (39.5%); Open→SP 19/47 won (40.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (11/22).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
09:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 15/2
13/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.52pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 12.9% • -1.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 15/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (24%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Hayley Burton
Jockey: Alexandra Egan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/11 won (45.5%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 25/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
09:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.13pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2.1% • +0.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John O'Shea
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.37pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/9 won (11.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (38%)
09:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.37pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

13 Jun 26 | Leicester | Open: 11/2 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 3
23 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 4
02 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 13/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 7
03 Feb 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 5/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 5
Price change: 44.5% • -2.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 18/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Kempton (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 3 runs. Today's market is close to its historical average compared with a long-term course average SP of 17.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Pat Phelan
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.25pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (40%)
09:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 25/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.25pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

18 Jun 26 | Lingfield | Open: 7/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 3
25 Mar 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 7/2 → Final: 7/1 | SP: 6/1 | Fin: 4
31 Jan 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 5
10 Jan 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 7/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 4
Price change: 31.2% • -1.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 25/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Kempton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/56 won (25%); Open→SP 12/52 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (25%)
09:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 28/1
22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.07pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 85.2% • -3.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 33/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Luke Dace
Jockey: George Wood
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.78pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/4 won (50%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (40%)
09:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.78pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

19 May 26 | Huntingdon | Open: 5/1 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 3
16 Apr 26 | Hereford | Open: 12/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 80/1 | Fin: 7
05 Apr 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 253.8% • -3.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 66/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Keiran Burke
Jockey: Josephine Gordon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.37pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 3/16 won (18.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (2/8).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

1/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 50/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 50/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (40%)
09:00Kempton (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 66/1
50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.37pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

03 Apr 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 15/2 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 15
14 Feb 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 2
19 Jan 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 80/1 | Fin: 7
10 Jan 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 28/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 3
Price change: 241.8% • -3.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 100/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Kempton (AW) is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 70% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 42.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
09:00 Kempton (AW) Semper Femina NR @ 09:24
Last fixed odds: 14/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
6
Best Time
Early PM
Confidence
33%
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