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Live Horse Racing Market Movement | DC Network
MARKET FORM® By DC Network
Horse Racing Market Data.
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NEW UPGRADES View the movement timeline: Click any horse to see when significant price changes occurred. Follow the next move: Select Notify Me to receive price-movement alerts directly on your device.
LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 21:00:26 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Diplomata
03:23 Epsom
+63% (8.000 → 2.961)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Sir Garfield
04:00 Epsom
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Greek Symphony
02:48 Epsom
+17.6% (3.750 → 3.091)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Minster Boy
02:48 Epsom
-64.3% (4.500 → 7.393)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Diplomata (63%) 03:23 Epsom    WEAK FAVOURITE: Minster Boy (-64.3%) 02:48 Epsom | 7/2 13/2    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
42
Shown After Filters
42
Active Signals (15%+)
26
Live Alerts
17
LIVE ALERTS
Diplomata Heavy sustained support (63%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:03 | Race: 03:23 Epsom | Open 7/1 - Now 2/1
Tansy Lane Heavy sustained support (44.8%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:03 | Race: 03:23 Epsom | Open 15/8 - Now 4/7
Spacewoman Heavy sustained support (35.5%)
Limited data (2 runs) • 1/2 WON
Alert: 21:03 | Race: 05:48 Epsom | Open 11/2 - Now 10/3
Pangbourne Heavy sustained support (44.1%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 04:38 Epsom | Open 18/1 - Now 10/1
Play Me Heavy sustained support (41.9%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 05:48 Epsom | Open 28/1 - Now 16/1
Lady Margret Heavy sustained support (40.5%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:03 | Race: 04:38 Epsom | Open 50/1 - Now 28/1
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ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:48Epsom • 0m7f3y • Class 5
5 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Greek Symphony (+5.69 probability points)
Weakest support: Minster Boy (-8.70 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
Sequel Star → 6 → 5 (16.7%)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.43pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 58/150 won (38.7%); Open→SP 57/156 won (36.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40.5% (34/84).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 6/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
02:48Epsom
Opened 2/1Market avg 15/8
6/4 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.43pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 4.1% • +1.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 2/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Epsom. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Oliver Cole
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.69pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/21 won (23.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (4/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (50%)
02:48Epsom
Opened 11/4Market avg 2/1
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+5.69pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 17.6% • +5.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.4 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 2/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.64pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/101 won (33.7%); Open→SP 31/95 won (32.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.7% (20/56).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (16.7%)
02:48Epsom
Opened 5/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.64pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 13.7% • +2.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 4/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.70pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/56 won (25%); Open→SP 12/53 won (22.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 2/1 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
02:48Epsom
Opened 7/2Market avg 13/2
6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-8.70pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 64.3% • -8.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 13/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Harry Charlton
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.69pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/29 won (34.5%); Open→SP 9/29 won (31%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.2% (6/13).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:48Epsom
Opened 7/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.69pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 5.8% • -0.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 17/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:23Epsom • 0m7f3y • Class 3
5 runners

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Trainer market read
Today's move is +28.13pp, placing it in this yard's 20pp+ band.
At 20pp+: Open→1PM 8/10 won (80%); Open→SP 12/17 won (70.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
03:23Epsom
Opened 15/8Market avg 4/7
4/7 ↑ 8/13 ↓ 4/7 ↑ 8/13 ↓ 8/15 ↑ 8/13 ↑ 4/6 → 4/6 ↓ 8/13 ↓ 8/15
PRICE MOVE
+28.13pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 44.8% • +28.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/6 1.67 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 43% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 27% another 3pp • 17% another 5pp (n=474)
Possible next price: 4/9
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +21.27pp, placing it in this yard's 20pp+ band.
At 20pp+: Open→1PM 2/10 won (20%); Open→SP 3/12 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
03:23Epsom
Opened 7/1Market avg 2/1
9/4 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 7/4 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+21.27pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 63% • +21.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 15pp+ move: 39% shortened another 1pp • 32% another 2pp • 23% another 3pp • 12% another 5pp (n=603)
Possible next price: 10/3
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.42pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/11 won (27.3%); Open→SP 5/14 won (35.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
03:23Epsom
Opened 15/2Market avg 10/1
17/2 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.42pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 25.8% • -2.42 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Epsom. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Boyle
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.56pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
03:23Epsom
Opened 33/1Market avg 22/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.56pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 34.7% • +1.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
03:23 Epsom Tiora Time NR @ 08:55
Last fixed odds: 10/11
04:00Epsom • 0m6f3y • Class 4
8 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer market read
Today's move is +11.89pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 2/5 won (40%); Open→SP 2/6 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 12/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
04:00Epsom
Opened 3/1Market avg 7/4
7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+11.89pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 32.2% • +11.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 10–12pp move: 45% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 19% another 5pp (n=1139)
Possible next price: 15/8
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Epsom. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.95pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 55/172 won (32%); Open→SP 54/176 won (30.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.7% (35/82).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 5/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
04:00Epsom
Opened 9/4Market avg 2/1
2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.95pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 8.7% • +2.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 2/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.11pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/82 won (24.4%); Open→SP 18/78 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.1% (12/46).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (33%)
04:00Epsom
Opened 5/1Market avg 7/1
13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.11pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 32.7% • -4.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.44pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/11 won (27.3%); Open→SP 5/14 won (35.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (75%)
04:00Epsom
Opened 13/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.44pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 22.4% • -2.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 17/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Christopher Mason
Jockey: Gina Mangan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.65pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/11 won (45.5%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 100% (4/4).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
04:00Epsom
Opened 11/2Market avg 12/1
12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.65pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 98.9% • -7.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Peter Crate
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.30pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (43%)
04:00Epsom
Opened 9/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.30pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 49.3% • -3.30 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.40pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/45 won (26.7%); Open→SP 13/43 won (30.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37% (10/27).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/6 → 4/6 | Avg: 4/6Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
04:00Epsom
Opened 18/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.40pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 7.1% • +0.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tom Dascombe
Jockey: William Cox
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.03pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/19 won (31.6%); Open→SP 6/21 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 2/1 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (40%)
04:00Epsom
Opened 20/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.03pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 27.7% • -1.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 25/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:38Epsom • 1m2f17y • Class 6
11 runners

Trainer: Jonathan Portman
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.36pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/31 won (32.3%); Open→SP 10/26 won (38.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 2/1 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
04:38Epsom
Opened 9/2Market avg 10/3
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+5.36pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 22.8% • +5.36 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal CopyBet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 7/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Epsom. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (34%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Joe Tickle
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is -9.69pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/14 won (21.4%); Open→SP 5/16 won (31.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/10 → 9/2 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
04:38Epsom
Opened 9/4Market avg 7/2
7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-9.69pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 46% • -9.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.89pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/45 won (26.7%); Open→SP 13/43 won (30.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37% (10/27).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
04:38Epsom
Opened 3/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-5.89pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 30.8% • -5.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 5/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Jim Boyle
Jockey: Olivia Haines(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 50/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (44%)
04:38Epsom
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
11/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.10pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.6% • +0.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Epsom. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Karen Jewell
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.34pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
04:38Epsom
Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2
8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.34pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 3.1% • -0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Roger Teal
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/20 won (15%); Open→SP 4/19 won (21.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (43%)
Late support match
04:38Epsom
Opened 18/1Market avg 10/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.15pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 7 previous runs.
Price change: 44.1% • +4.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Keiran Burke
Jockey: Josephine Gordon
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 3/16 won (18.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (2/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
04:38Epsom
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.6% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal BresBet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Pat Phelan
Jockey: J F Egan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (20%)
04:38Epsom
Opened 22/1Market avg 22/1
18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.16pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
Price change: 3.6% • +0.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 28/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: William Carson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/126 won (22.2%); Open→SP 38/137 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.3% (26/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Mid-market mover (33%)
04:38Epsom
Opened 50/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.33pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 40.5% • +1.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Boyle
Jockey: Tyler Heard
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.34pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

0/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
04:38Epsom
Opened 25/1Market avg 40/1
33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.34pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 5/5Historical Drift Profile

15 Jul 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 11/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 5
09 Jul 26 | Epsom Downs | Open: 20/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 5
15 Jun 26 | Windsor | Open: 66/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 8
26 May 26 | Lingfield | Open: 100/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 4
12 May 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 66/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 12
Price change: 53.6% • -1.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 50/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:38 Epsom Time To Sparkle NR @ 07:53
Last fixed odds: 4/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
7
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
43%
05:13Epsom • 1m0f113y • Class 4
4 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Jack Gilligan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +10.40pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 6/15 won (40%); Open→SP 7/19 won (36.8%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 10/11 → 11/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Best at SP (50%)
05:13Epsom
Opened 15/8Market avg 6/5
6/5 → 6/5 → 6/5 → 6/5 → 6/5 ↓ 11/10 ↑ 5/4 ↓ 6/5 → 6/5 → 6/5
PRICE MOVE
+10.40pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 23.1% • +10.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/4 2.25 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 10–12pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 44% another 2pp • 32% another 3pp • 21% another 5pp (n=480)
Possible next price: 5/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Epsom. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -9.17pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/56 won (25%); Open→SP 12/53 won (22.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 11/4 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (33%)
05:13Epsom
Opened 11/10Market avg 13/8
6/4 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8
PRICE MOVE
-9.17pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 23.9% • -9.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 13/8
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 2/2 at Epsom. The average SP at this course is 3.5 and today's market has the horse trading 26% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: S Woods
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.33pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/15 won (20%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (40%)
05:13Epsom
Opened 7/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.33pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 11.7% • -2.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Neil Mulholland
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.98pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/66 won (24.2%); Open→SP 23/73 won (31.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (7/19).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (67%)
05:13Epsom
Opened 16/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.98pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 14.3% • +0.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 14/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Epsom. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
05:48Epsom • 0m7f3y • Class 5
9 runners

Trainer: Henry Candy
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is +8.45pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/13 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong bookmaker support and a positive past profile. This runner deserves a closer look.
Early money horse (100%)
Late move vs early profile
05:48Epsom
Opened 11/2Market avg 10/3
10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+8.45pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
1/2 placed when backed like this (50%).
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Price change: 35.5% • +8.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 36% shortened another 1pp • 28% another 2pp • 22% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=1340)
Possible next price: 3/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Spencer
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -11.85pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/35 won (25.7%); Open→SP 12/36 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.3% (6/17).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 6/5 → 6/5 | Avg: 6/5Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
05:48Epsom
Opened 2/1Market avg 7/2
7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-11.85pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 55.1% • -11.85 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 5/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Epsom. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Oliver Cole
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.43pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/21 won (23.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (4/12).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
05:48Epsom
Opened 13/2Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.43pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 20.5% • +3.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Betano
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Edward Smyth-Osbourne
Jockey: Alistair Rawlinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.28pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/5 won (20%); Open→SP 2/8 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (83%)
05:48Epsom
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.28pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 19.6% • -3.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 5/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Epsom stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is close to its historical average compared with a long-term course average SP of 5.6.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.25pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/21 won (23.8%); Open→SP 5/22 won (22.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (20%)
05:48Epsom
Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.25pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2% • -0.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 8/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Wigham
Jockey: J F Egan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.50pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/4 won (50%); Open→SP 3/7 won (42.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 5/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (20%)
05:48Epsom
Opened 10/1Market avg 11/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 5.8% • -0.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Teal
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/20 won (15%); Open→SP 4/19 won (21.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
05:48Epsom
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.07pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 0.9% • -0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Jim Boyle
Jockey: Donagh Murphy(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.48pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (33%)
05:48Epsom
Opened 28/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.48pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 41.9% • +2.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 16/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rachel Cook & John Bridger
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.66pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/12 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/10 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

0/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (30%)
05:48Epsom
Opened 12/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.66pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 5/5Historical Drift Profile

23 Jul 26 | Sandown | Open: 12/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 8
11 Jul 26 | Ascot | Open: 6/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 13
14 Jun 26 | Salisbury | Open: 25/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 4
05 Jun 26 | Goodwood | Open: 12/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 6
14 May 26 | Salisbury | Open: 7/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 52.7% • -2.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 20/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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