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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 20:59:02 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Music And Song
03:51 Chepstow
+63.7% (29.000 → 10.519)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Our Fella
02:41 Chepstow
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Global Success
03:16 Chepstow
+13.5% (2.750 → 2.379)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Macanudo
02:06 Chepstow
-42.2% (5.500 → 7.821)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Music And Song (63.7%) 03:51 Chepstow    WEAK FAVOURITE: Dancingondiamonds (-324.3%) 05:01 Chepstow | 4/1 20/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
51
Shown After Filters
51
Active Signals (15%+)
26
Live Alerts
14
LIVE ALERTS
Music And Song Heavy sustained support (63.7%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:51 Chepstow | Open 28/1 - Now 10/1
Ken Brulee Heavy sustained support (38.7%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:51 Chepstow | Open 11/1 - Now 13/2
Cici's Secret Heavy sustained support (58.4%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:51 Chepstow | Open 50/1 - Now 20/1
Windmill Heavy sustained support (37%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:16 Chepstow | Open 33/1 - Now 20/1
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:06Chepstow • 0m6f16y • Class 6
8 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Sundiata Keita (+5.11 probability points)
Weakest support: Macanudo (-5.40 probability points)

Trainer: John & Rhys Flint
Jockey: Charlie Tucker(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.11pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/13 won (7.7%); Open→SP 0/10 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
02:06Chepstow
Opened 4/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+5.11pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 20.4% • +5.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 3/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Chepstow this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 81% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 21.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (27%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Rod Millman
Jockey: Jake Dickson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.69pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/45 won (24.4%); Open→SP 15/51 won (29.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 45.5% (10/22).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 8/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
02:06Chepstow
Opened 4/1Market avg 10/3
11/4 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+3.69pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
1/2 placed when backed like this (50%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 15.6% • +3.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Chepstow. Compared with an average course SP of 7.9, today's price is 47% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: Olivia Haines
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.73pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/29 won (34.5%); Open→SP 8/24 won (33.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (40%)
02:06Chepstow
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/2
5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.73pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 11.6% • -1.73 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Chepstow is limited (3 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 59% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 16.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Finlay Bassett(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/80 won (30%); Open→SP 23/86 won (26.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (14/45).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
02:06Chepstow
Opened 9/2Market avg 7/1
13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 42.2% • -5.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 15/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John O'Shea
Jockey: Jude Fernandes(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.76pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/9 won (11.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (38%)
02:06Chepstow
Opened 6/1Market avg 7/1
8/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.76pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 14% • -1.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 5/1
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/4 at Chepstow on our records. Today's market is 35% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 12.4.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John O'Shea
Jockey: Alexandra Egan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.67pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/9 won (11.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (17%)
02:06Chepstow
Opened 9/1Market avg 17/2
13/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.67pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 6.3% • +0.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 10/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Chepstow stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 35% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 14.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Christopher Mason
Jockey: Matthew Lloyd Slater
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.03pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/11 won (45.5%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 100% (4/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
02:06Chepstow
Opened 9/1Market avg 10/1
11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.03pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 11.4% • -1.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 17/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: Hope Regan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.64pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/27 won (22.2%); Open→SP 6/33 won (18.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 55.6% (5/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (43%)
02:06Chepstow
Opened 11/1Market avg 10/1
11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.64pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 7.1% • +0.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
02:41Chepstow • 0m5f16y • Class 6
8 runners

Trainer: Richard Spencer
Jockey: George Wood
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.38pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/35 won (25.7%); Open→SP 12/36 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.3% (6/17).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
02:41Chepstow
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+0.38pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 1.6% • +0.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Dylan Cunha
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/34 won (14.7%); Open→SP 8/45 won (17.8%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (60%)
02:41Chepstow
Opened 4/1Market avg 10/3
10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+3.19pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 13.7% • +3.19 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 10/3
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Archie Watson
Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.68pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/27 won (29.6%); Open→SP 7/29 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.7% (4/15).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
02:41Chepstow
Opened 4/1Market avg 10/3
7/2 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.68pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 11.8% • +2.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -10.05pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 21/46 won (45.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (50%)
02:41Chepstow
Opened 11/4Market avg 5/1
9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-10.05pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 60.5% • -10.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 2 starts at Chepstow. Historical course average SP is 9.3, while today's market is 35% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.43pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 1/11 won (9.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
02:41Chepstow
Opened 9/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.43pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 30.7% • +4.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rod Millman
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.31pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/45 won (24.4%); Open→SP 15/51 won (29.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 45.5% (10/22).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
02:41Chepstow
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.31pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 5% • +0.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Pike
Jockey: Thomas Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.30pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/8 won (12.5%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (67%)
02:41Chepstow
Opened 14/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.30pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 24.3% • -1.30 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 18/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Tyler Heard
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.51pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 3/13 won (23.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 80/1 → 80/1 | Avg: 80/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
02:41Chepstow
Opened 12/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.51pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 48.4% • -2.51 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:16Chepstow • 0m6f16y • Class 5
9 runners

Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.67pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 1/11 won (9.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (60%)
03:16Chepstow
Opened 7/4Market avg 11/8
11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8
PRICE MOVE
+5.67pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 13.5% • +5.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/8
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John S O'Donoghue
Jockey: Donagh Murphy(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
03:16Chepstow
Opened 4/1Market avg 7/2
7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.44pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 10.9% • +2.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Coral
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (21%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Charlie Clover
Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.36pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/27 won (37%); Open→SP 7/19 won (36.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 38.5% (5/13).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 10/3 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
03:16Chepstow
Opened 9/4Market avg 7/2
10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-8.36pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 37.3% • -8.36 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Chepstow this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is close to its historical average against an average course SP profile of 4.8.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.89pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/29 won (27.6%); Open→SP 7/25 won (28%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:16Chepstow
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.89pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 7.1% • -0.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Adam Kirby
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.79pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/26 won (26.9%); Open→SP 6/20 won (30%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:16Chepstow
Opened 17/2Market avg 12/1
12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.79pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 36.1% • -2.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: George Wood
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.73pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 21/46 won (45.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:16Chepstow
Opened 33/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.73pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 37% • +1.73 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Gallagher
Jockey: Joe Leavy
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/13 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:16Chepstow
Opened 22/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 2% • -0.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Alan McIntyre
Jockey: Gina Mangan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:16Chepstow
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 1.7% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lisa Williamson
Jockey: Millie Wonnacott(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 1/2 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:16Chepstow
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 6.9% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 201 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
03:51Chepstow • 0m6f16y • Class 6
8 runners

Trainer: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.95pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/13 won (7.7%); Open→SP 2/19 won (10.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 11.1% (1/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:51Chepstow
Opened 13/8Market avg 13/8
6/4 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.95pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 2.4% • +0.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Adam Kirby
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/26 won (26.9%); Open→SP 6/20 won (30%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (29%)
03:51Chepstow
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 0.2% • +0.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 5/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: R Harris
Jockey: William Carver
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.63pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 5/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
03:51Chepstow
Opened 9/2Market avg 6/1
6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.63pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 24.9% • -3.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Rose Dawes(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.27pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 3/13 won (23.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 50/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 50/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (40%)
Late support match
03:51Chepstow
Opened 11/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↓ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.27pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 38.7% • +5.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Chepstow is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 41% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 12.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joe Tickle
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.29pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/14 won (21.4%); Open→SP 5/16 won (31.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
03:51Chepstow
Opened 8/1Market avg 9/1
10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.29pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 13.2% • -1.29 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Flood
Jockey: Alexandra Egan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.06pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/2 won (100%); Open→SP 3/4 won (75%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (67%)
Late support match
03:51Chepstow
Opened 28/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+6.06pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 63.7% • +6.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lisa Williamson
Jockey: Millie Wonnacott(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -10.18pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 1/2 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
03:51Chepstow
Opened 11/2Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-10.18pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 195.7% • -10.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 14/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Pike
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.75pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/8 won (12.5%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:51Chepstow
Opened 50/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.75pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 58.4% • +2.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
04:26Chepstow • 1m0f14y • Class 6
12 runners
🟢 Needs Support (5%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
MIXED SURFACE
Triggered at 17:07
Now 7.3% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Mike Murphy
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.55pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/14 won (35.7%); Open→SP 6/13 won (46.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 57.1% (4/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 qualifying historical matches

3/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 8/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
BACK
The price is shortening in a way that has worked for this horse before. Check the sample size before relying on it.
Early money horse (75%)
Late move vs early profile
04:26Chepstow
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/2
5/2 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+9.55pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100% repeat place strike (3 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 3/3 placed • 2/3 won
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Price change: 32.3% • +9.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 45% shortened another 1pp • 37% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=1499)
Possible next price: 2/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rod Millman
Jockey: George Wood
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.24pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/45 won (24.4%); Open→SP 15/51 won (29.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 45.5% (10/22).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:26Chepstow
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/2
5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 8% • -1.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 7/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 3 previous runs at Chepstow. The current market is close to its historical average compared with a typical course SP of 6.7.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/14 won (28.6%); Open→SP 5/14 won (35.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Mid-market mover (33%)
04:26Chepstow
Opened 15/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+3.33pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 22.1% • +3.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Adrian Wintle
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.87pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/28 won (14.3%); Open→SP 7/27 won (25.9%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (67%)
04:26Chepstow
Opened 5/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.87pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 20.8% • -2.87 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Bernard Llewellyn
Jockey: Charlie Tucker(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.97pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Late money horse (38%)
04:26Chepstow
Opened 17/2Market avg 7/1
15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.97pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 15.8% • +1.97 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 13/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 2 times from 3 starts at Chepstow. Historical course average SP is 7.8, while today's market is close to its historical average.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Joe Tickle
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.63pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/14 won (21.4%); Open→SP 5/16 won (31.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 9/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (29%)
04:26Chepstow
Opened 5/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.63pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 66.1% • -6.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 9/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 09:45
Now 2.5% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/29 won (34.5%); Open→SP 8/24 won (33.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 qualifying historical matches

3/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (38%)
04:26Chepstow
Opened 16/1Market avg 14/1
11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.10pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100% repeat place strike (3 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 3/3 placed • 2/3 won
Price change: 15.8% • +1.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 22/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Chepstow this horse has recorded 3 placed efforts from 7 runs. The current market is 118% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 6.6.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: Ben Ffrench Davis(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.15pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/29 won (34.5%); Open→SP 8/24 won (33.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (40%)
04:26Chepstow
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.15pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 2.4% • -0.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 4 previous runs at Chepstow. The current market is close to its historical average compared with a typical course SP of 15.4.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: Joe Leavy
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/29 won (34.5%); Open→SP 8/24 won (33.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (40%)
04:26Chepstow
Opened 9/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.07pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

08 Jul 26 | Chepstow | Open: 33/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 3
23 Jun 26 | Ffos Las | Open: 100/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 6
01 Jun 26 | Newbury | Open: 100/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 5
23 May 26 | Salisbury | Open: 40/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 9
Price change: 68.6% • -4.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Chepstow. The current market is 54% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 36.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Pike
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.12pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/8 won (12.5%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:26Chepstow
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.12pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 2.1% • -0.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 20/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Harris
Jockey: William Carver
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.04pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (56%)
04:26Chepstow
Opened 14/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 83.8% • -3.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Chepstow stands at 1 placed effort from 4 runs. Today's market is 123% bigger than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 12.4.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed de Giles
Jockey: Gina Mangan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/4 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
04:26Chepstow
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.01pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 1.2% • -0.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 100/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:01Chepstow • 1m2f0y • Class 5
6 runners

Trainer: John & Rhys Flint
Jockey: William Carson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.45pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/13 won (7.7%); Open→SP 0/10 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (50%)
05:01Chepstow
Opened 5/4Market avg EVS
EVS ↓ 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 ↑ EVS ↓ 5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↑ EVS
PRICE MOVE
+6.45pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 12.7% • +6.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
EVS 2 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/10
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.67pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/80 won (30%); Open→SP 23/86 won (26.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (14/45).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
05:01Chepstow
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.67pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 3.6% • +0.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Molly Gunn(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.05pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/126 won (22.2%); Open→SP 38/137 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.3% (26/63).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (36%)
05:01Chepstow
Opened 11/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.05pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 15.4% • -2.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 13/2
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 13:01
Now 8.6% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Donagh Murphy(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/126 won (22.2%); Open→SP 38/137 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.3% (26/63).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 14/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (50%)
05:01Chepstow
Opened 10/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.15pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 2/2 won
Price change: 31.3% • +4.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: George Wood
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.36pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/27 won (22.2%); Open→SP 6/33 won (18.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 55.6% (5/9).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (57%)
05:01Chepstow
Opened 8/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.36pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 10.9% • +1.36 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Olly Murphy
Jockey: Hugh Horgan(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -15.29pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 39/111 won (35.1%); Open→SP 39/111 won (35.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 49.2% (29/59).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
05:01Chepstow
Opened 4/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-15.29pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

23 Jul 26 | Doncaster | Open: 28/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 3
07 Jul 26 | Uttoxeter | Open: 20/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 0
11 Jun 26 | Worcester | Open: 11/4 → Final: 17/2 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 324.3% • -15.29 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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