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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 21:00:02 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Talis Evolvere
07:05 Chepstow
+36.3% (6.500 → 4.143)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Eightthreeone
08:15 Chepstow
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Calef
05:55 Chepstow
+17.2% (3.750 → 3.105)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Curran
05:20 Chepstow
-49.2% (4.000 → 5.967)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Talis Evolvere (36.3%) 07:05 Chepstow    WEAK FAVOURITE: Sydney Rock (-126.7%) 07:40 Chepstow | 4/1 10/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
36
Shown After Filters
36
Active Signals (15%+)
27
Live Alerts
18
LIVE ALERTS
Talis Evolvere Heavy sustained support (36.3%)
Mixed historical results • 1/4 WON (2/4 placed incl. wins)
Alert: 21:03 | Race: 07:05 Chepstow | Open 11/2 - Now 3/1
Full Meeting View →
BrightonChepstowLeopardstownNewmarket (July)SandownSligoSouthwell (AW)
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:20Chepstow • 1m4f0y • Class 5
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Aravalli (+4.64 probability points)
Weakest support: Polemon (-3.67 probability points)
🟢 Needs Support (17%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Henry Candy
Jockey: Rob Hornby
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 9/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
05:20Chepstow
Opened 10/3Market avg 5/2
9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+6.10pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 20.9% • +6.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: Ray Dawson
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 16/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (30%)
05:20Chepstow
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+0.20pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 0.9% • +0.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 10/3
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Chepstow stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 22% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 5.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Rod Millman
Jockey: Charlie Tucker(7)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 4/5 → 18/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (40%)
05:20Chepstow
Opened 3/1Market avg 5/1
9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-8.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

11 Jul 26 | Chester | Open: 13/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 17/2 | Fin: 5
27 Jun 26 | Chester | Open: 3/1 → Final: 15/2 | SP: 15/2 | Fin: 6
15 May 26 | Newbury | Open: 16/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 14
Price change: 49.2% • -8.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Joe Tickle
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 33/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Mid-market mover (33%)
05:20Chepstow
Opened 8/1Market avg 11/2
9/2 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.64pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 29.4% • +4.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 4/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Chepstow stands at 2 placed efforts from 2 runs. Today's market is 67% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 19.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (75%)
05:20Chepstow
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/2
13/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.00pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 6.4% • -1.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Amanda Perrett
Jockey: Harry Davies
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (33%)
05:20Chepstow
Opened 9/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.66pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 45.1% • -5.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 7/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Vaughan
Jockey: William Carver
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
05:20Chepstow
Opened 20/1Market avg 100/1
80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.67pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 337.6% • -3.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:55Chepstow • 0m5f16y • Class 4
4 runners

Trainer: Michael Bell
Jockey: David Egan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
05:55Chepstow
Opened 10/11Market avg EVS
5/6 ↑ 6/5 ↓ 5/6 ↑ 6/5 ↓ 11/10 ↓ 5/6 → 5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↑ 10/11
PRICE MOVE
-1.44pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 2.8% • -1.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/5 2.2 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: EVS
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Ray Dawson
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (60%)
05:55Chepstow
Opened 11/4Market avg 2/1
2/1 → 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+5.54pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 17.2% • +5.54 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/4
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Archie Watson
Jockey: Harry Davies
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
05:55Chepstow
Opened 2/1Market avg 10/3
4/1 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-10.46pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 45.7% • -10.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rod Millman
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
05:55Chepstow
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
28/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.16pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 3.2% • -0.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
06:30Chepstow • 0m5f16y • Class 4
7 runners
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Christopher Mason
Jockey: Gina Mangan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (67%)
Late move vs early profile
06:30Chepstow
Opened 7/2Market avg 2/1
7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+10.16pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 31.4% • +10.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 10–12pp move: 48% shortened another 1pp • 41% another 2pp • 32% another 3pp • 19% another 5pp (n=1115)
Possible next price: 7/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Harry Davies
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 5/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
06:30Chepstow
Opened 2/1Market avg 11/4
11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4
PRICE MOVE
-7.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 26.7% • -7.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: R Harris
Jockey: David Egan
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 28/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (29%)
06:30Chepstow
Opened 3/1Market avg 9/2
5/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-6.67pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 36.4% • -6.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: Seamus Cronin(5)
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 9/2 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (67%)
06:30Chepstow
Opened 13/2Market avg 6/1
13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.85pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 6% • +0.85 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 6/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: Ray Dawson
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (63%)
06:30Chepstow
Opened 9/2Market avg 7/1
15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.68pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 45.5% • -5.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 15/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: David Evans
Jockey: Miss Amy Tucker(7)
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 10/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (38%)
06:30Chepstow
Opened 15/2Market avg 12/1
10/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.93pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 50.2% • -3.93 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 12/1
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/2 at Chepstow. The average SP at this course is 5.9 and today's market has the horse trading 115% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Christopher Mason
Jockey: Rose Dawes(5)
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (40%)
06:30Chepstow
Opened 14/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.27pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 51.8% • -2.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:05Chepstow • 1m14y • Class 4
7 runners

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
07:05Chepstow
Opened 4/1Market avg 11/4
5/2 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+6.87pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 25.6% • +6.87 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/2
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Seamus Cronin(5)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 15/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong bookmaker support and a positive past profile. This runner deserves a closer look.
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
07:05Chepstow
Opened 11/2Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+8.75pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
2/4 placed when backed like this (50%).
Price change: 36.3% • +8.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 38% shortened another 1pp • 30% another 2pp • 23% another 3pp • 15% another 5pp (n=1313)
Possible next price: 10/3
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Horton
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
07:05Chepstow
Opened 9/4Market avg 5/1
11/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-14.16pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 82.8% • -14.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Rhys Flint
Jockey: Millie Wonnacott(5)
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (33%)
07:05Chepstow
Opened 15/2Market avg 11/2
5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+3.46pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 22.7% • +3.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Harry Davies
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 15/8 | Avg: 15/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Mid-market mover (75%)
07:05Chepstow
Opened 11/4Market avg 13/2
7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-13.48pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 102.2% • -13.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (33%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: John & Rhys Flint
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 15/2 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (20%)
07:05Chepstow
Opened 8/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 10.9% • -1.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 10/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Chepstow this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 3 runs. The current market is 19% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 12.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (27%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: David Egan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 17/2 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (43%)
07:05Chepstow
Opened 7/1Market avg 11/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.98pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 46.7% • -3.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:40Chepstow • 0m7f16y • Class 5
7 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler
Jockey: William Carver
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 8/13 → 7/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
07:40Chepstow
Opened 6/4Market avg 6/4
5/4 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 6/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.58pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 1.4% • +0.58 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 13/8
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (40%)
07:40Chepstow
Opened 5/1Market avg 7/2
7/2 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.90pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 26.1% • +5.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Christian Howarth(3)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 6/5 → 11/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (29%)
07:40Chepstow
Opened 6/1Market avg 5/1
9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.06pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 12.6% • +2.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 5/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Rimell
Jockey: Rob Hornby
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
07:40Chepstow
Opened 9/2Market avg 13/2
7/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-4.42pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 32.1% • -4.42 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 13/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Oliver Cole
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
07:40Chepstow
Opened 4/1Market avg 10/1
12/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-11.18pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 126.7% • -11.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Adrian Wintle
Jockey: David Egan
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 10/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (60%)
07:40Chepstow
Opened 8/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.42pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 44.4% • -3.42 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: Ray Dawson
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (80%)
07:40Chepstow
Opened 10/1Market avg 14/1
16/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.19pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 31.8% • -2.19 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 14/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
08:15Chepstow • 0m6f16y • Class 5
4 runners

Trainer: Kevin Philippart De Foy
Jockey: David Egan
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
08:15Chepstow
Opened 6/5Market avg 5/4
6/5 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 5/4 → 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↓ 6/5 → 6/5
PRICE MOVE
-2.00pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 4.6% • -2.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/10
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Chepstow. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Kathy Turner
Jockey: Charlie Tucker(7)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 16/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
08:15Chepstow
Opened 7/4Market avg 9/4
5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
-5.83pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 19.1% • -5.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 11/4
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Rob Hornby
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 22/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
08:15Chepstow
Opened 5/1Market avg 10/3
3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+7.25pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 30.3% • +7.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/3
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: Ray Dawson
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
08:15Chepstow
Opened 5/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.32pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 47% • -5.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 8/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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