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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE
Odds database updated: 21:00:27 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Valentine Catcher
04:15 Carlisle
+56.5% (34.000 → 14.786)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Hostility
02:45 Carlisle
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Rogue Passion
03:15 Carlisle
+26.1% (1.800 → 1.33)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Tees George
02:45 Carlisle
-33.2% (3.250 → 4.33)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Valentine Catcher (56.5%) 04:15 Carlisle    WEAK FAVOURITE: Truly Special (-164.9%) 05:15 Carlisle | 9/2 14/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
46
Shown After Filters
46
Active Signals (15%+)
32
Live Alerts
24
LIVE ALERTS
Jazz Queen Heavy sustained support (47.7%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:45 Carlisle | Open 17/2 - Now 4/1
Izzari Heavy sustained support (46%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 02:45 Carlisle | Open 7/1 - Now 10/3
Valentine Catcher Heavy sustained support (56.5%)
⚠️ Historically weak • 1/4 placed
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 04:15 Carlisle | Open 33/1 - Now 14/1
Pickersgill Heavy sustained support (39.9%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 04:15 Carlisle | Open 14/1 - Now 8/1
Full Meeting View →
CarlisleHamiltonLingfield (AW)Nottingham
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:45Carlisle 0m7f173y Class 6
8 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Izzari (+10.65 probability points)
Weakest support: Rajawail (-0.98 probability points)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Conor Whiteley(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.99pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/75 won (20%); Open→SP 18/77 won (23.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.1% (9/28).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Late money horse (43%)
Late support match
02:45Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 11/4
11/4 5/2 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 5/2 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+6.99pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 7 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 25.9% • +6.99 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/4
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 2/3 at Carlisle. The average SP at this course is 10.8 and today's market has the horse trading 66% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Cara Tuke(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +10.65pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 2/15 won (13.3%); Open→SP 5/19 won (26.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
02:45Carlisle
Opened 7/1Market avg 10/3
10/3 3/1 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 3/1 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+10.65pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 46% • +10.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 10–12pp move: 34% shortened another 1pp • 23% another 2pp • 19% another 3pp • 11% another 5pp (n=1087)
Possible next price: 10/3
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Adrian Nicholls
Jockey: Oliver Carmichael(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.67pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/11 won (27.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (38%)
02:45Carlisle
Opened 9/4Market avg 10/3
10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-7.67pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 33.2% • -7.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 10/3
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Cian Horgan(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.18pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/125 won (21.6%); Open→SP 29/131 won (22.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 4/1 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (40%)
02:45Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1
9/2 5/1 9/2 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.18pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 18.9% • -3.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Mark Walford
Jockey: Kyle McHugh(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -10.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/46 won (15.2%); Open→SP 8/44 won (18.2%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (2/10).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 14/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (43%)
02:45Carlisle
Opened 10/3Market avg 13/2
13/2 7/1 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 7/1 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-10.01pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

18 Jul 26 | Nottingham | Open: 8/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 1
30 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 5/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 6
18 Apr 26 | Nottingham | Open: 25/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 10
Price change: 76.5% • -10.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Amie Waugh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/125 won (21.6%); Open→SP 29/131 won (22.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (71%)
Late support match
02:45Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 10/1 9/1 17/2 17/2 17/2 9/1 9/1 10/1 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.03pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 7 previous runs.
Price change: 20.9% • +2.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 12/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 3 previous runs at Carlisle. The current market is 65% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 29.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gary Rutherford
Jockey: Alex Jary
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.39pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/6 won (0%); Open→SP 0/12 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (38%)
02:45Carlisle
Opened 18/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 40/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 40/1 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.39pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 83.3% • -2.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 33/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Brian Rothwell
Jockey: Shay Farmer(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.98pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

0/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
02:45Carlisle
Opened 66/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.98pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 5/5Historical Drift Profile

27 May 26 | Beverley | Open: 33/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 6
29 Apr 26 | Pontefract | Open: 40/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 5
22 Apr 26 | Catterick | Open: 100/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 7
08 Apr 26 | Catterick | Open: 33/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 8
15 Feb 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 40/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 12
Price change: 189.3% • -0.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 251 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 100/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:15Carlisle 0m6f195y Class 3
5 runners

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer market read
Today's move is +19.63pp, placing it in this yard's 15pp+ band.
At 15pp+: Open→1PM 4/9 won (44.4%); Open→SP 4/10 won (40%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
03:15Carlisle
Opened 4/5Market avg 1/3
2/5 3/10 2/5 2/7 1/3 1/3 1/3 3/10 3/10 1/3
PRICE MOVE
+19.63pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 26.1% • +19.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/5 1.4 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 44% shortened another 1pp • 39% another 2pp • 27% another 3pp • 18% another 5pp (n=470)
Possible next price: 1/3
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Clifford Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.67pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/17 won (35.3%); Open→SP 7/18 won (38.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (4/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
03:15Carlisle
Opened 3/1Market avg 5/2
9/4 3/1 9/4 11/4 5/2 5/2 11/4 11/4 3/1 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+2.67pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 9.7% • +2.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 3/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -10.22pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/48 won (33.3%); Open→SP 17/41 won (41.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 58.8% (10/17).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:15Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 25/1
16/1 25/1 16/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-10.22pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 251% • -10.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Cam Hardie
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/61 won (23%); Open→SP 17/55 won (30.9%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 20/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
03:15Carlisle
Opened 10/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 33/1 28/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 203.2% • -6.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.67pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/17 won (35.3%); Open→SP 7/18 won (38.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (4/8).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:15Carlisle
Opened 10/1Market avg 40/1
33/1 40/1 33/1 40/1 50/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.67pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 275.6% • -6.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:45Carlisle 0m5f0y Class 5
7 runners
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Brian Ellison
Jockey: Ben Robinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.09pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/33 won (15.2%); Open→SP 3/30 won (10%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (2/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 14/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (40%)
Late support match
03:45Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/2
9/4 9/4 9/4 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2 9/4 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+9.09pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
Price change: 31.2% • +9.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=1512)
Possible next price: 5/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Adrian Keatley
Jockey: M. P. Sheehy
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.99pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/6 won (33.3%); Open→SP 2/5 won (40%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
03:45Carlisle
Opened 3/1Market avg 5/2
11/4 5/2 11/4 5/2 11/4 11/4 9/4 11/4 5/2 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.99pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 10.7% • +2.99 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.62pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 19/61 won (31.1%); Open→SP 19/67 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (9/24).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
03:45Carlisle
Opened 17/2Market avg 4/1
7/2 9/2 7/2 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 9/2 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+9.62pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 47.7% • +9.62 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 36% shortened another 1pp • 28% another 2pp • 22% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=1331)
Possible next price: 4/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Declan Carroll
Jockey: Zak Wheatley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -11.33pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 3/1 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (50%)
03:45Carlisle
Opened 10/3Market avg 15/2
7/1 15/2 7/1 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-11.33pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

15 May 26 | York | Open: 28/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 80/1 | Fin: 7
07 May 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 7/4 → Final: 11/4 | SP: 5/2 | Fin: 1
15 Apr 26 | Beverley | Open: 25/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 3
Price change: 96.3% • -11.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Jack Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.42pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/61 won (23%); Open→SP 17/55 won (30.9%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (33%)
03:45Carlisle
Opened 9/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 7/1 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 7/1 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-6.42pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

26 Jul 26 | Pontefract | Open: 5/1 → Final: 8/1 | SP: 13/2 | Fin: 3
11 Jul 26 | Hamilton | Open: 14/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 3
21 Jun 26 | Pontefract | Open: 4/1 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 54.5% • -6.42 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 15/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.64pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/83 won (18.1%); Open→SP 19/90 won (21.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.5% (11/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (50%)
03:45Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 15/2
7/1 17/2 7/1 15/2 15/2 7/1 15/2 15/2 17/2 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.64pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

17 Jul 26 | Hamilton | Open: 11/4 → Final: 13/2 | SP: 13/2 | Fin: 3
03 Jul 26 | Doncaster | Open: 14/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 6
03 May 26 | Newmarket | Open: 12/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 31% • -3.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 8/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Duran Fentiman
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.76pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/125 won (21.6%); Open→SP 29/131 won (22.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
03:45Carlisle
Opened 14/1Market avg 25/1
22/1 25/1 22/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.76pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

23 Jul 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 18/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 9
21 Jun 26 | Pontefract | Open: 12/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 5
09 Jun 26 | Carlisle | Open: 14/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 4
Price change: 70.5% • -2.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:15Carlisle 0m5f182y Class 5
9 runners

Trainer: Jessica Macey
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.49pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/12 won (0%); Open→SP 1/18 won (5.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
04:15Carlisle
Opened 9/2Market avg 10/3
3/1 7/2 3/1 10/3 10/3 10/3 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.49pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 19.8% • +4.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (15%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Sam England
Jockey: Jonathan England
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.16pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/40 won (27.5%); Open→SP 13/39 won (33.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 44.4% (4/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (30%)
04:15Carlisle
Opened 10/3Market avg 7/2
7/2 7/2 7/2 4/1 4/1 10/3 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.16pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.3% • -1.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 7/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Nigel Tinkler
Jockey: Alex Jary(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/28 won (25%); Open→SP 11/39 won (28.2%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
04:15Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
7/2 4/1 7/2 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.22pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.1% • +0.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Mark Winn
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.50pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/75 won (20%); Open→SP 18/77 won (23.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.1% (9/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (43%)
04:15Carlisle
Opened 13/2Market avg 9/2
5/1 4/1 5/1 11/2 11/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 4/1 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.50pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 25.2% • +4.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Brian Ellison
Jockey: Ben Robinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.65pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/33 won (15.2%); Open→SP 3/30 won (10%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (2/12).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (29%)
04:15Carlisle
Opened 5/1Market avg 15/2
7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 15/2 15/2 15/2 7/1 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-4.65pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 38.7% • -4.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 15/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 08:21
Now 16.8% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: M. P. Sheehy
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.42pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/51 won (25.5%); Open→SP 9/43 won (20.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 qualifying historical matches

3/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 20/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
04:15Carlisle
Opened 14/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 15/2 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 15/2 15/2 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.42pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
90th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 10 previous comparable moves was stronger.
100% repeat place strike (3 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 3/3 placed • 1/3 won
Price change: 39.9% • +4.42 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 8/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: James Sullivan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.82pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/125 won (21.6%); Open→SP 29/131 won (22.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

1/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (57%)
Late move vs early profile
04:15Carlisle
Opened 33/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 12/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 12/1 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.82pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
1/4 placed when backed like this (25%).
When backed like this: 0/4 WON
Price change: 56.5% • +3.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.48pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/48 won (33.3%); Open→SP 17/41 won (41.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 58.8% (10/17).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (25%)
04:15Carlisle
Opened 16/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 22/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.48pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 33.6% • -1.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 25/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:15 Carlisle Stirrup Cup NR @ 08:43
Last fixed odds: 15/2
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
6
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
33%
04:45Carlisle 1m6f32y Class 4
8 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 08:21
Now 3.2% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Clifford Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.67pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/17 won (35.3%); Open→SP 7/18 won (38.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (4/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 8/11 → 8/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (20%)
04:45Carlisle
Opened 7/4Market avg 11/8
5/4 6/4 5/4 11/8 11/8 11/8 11/8 11/8 6/4 11/8
PRICE MOVE
+5.67pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 0/2 won
Price change: 13.5% • +5.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/8
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Cian Horgan(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +8.72pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/62 won (21%); Open→SP 16/64 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Mid-market mover (33%)
04:45Carlisle
Opened 7/2Market avg 9/4
9/4 2/1 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 2/1 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+8.72pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 28.2% • +8.72 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=1512)
Possible next price: 9/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Bernard Llewellyn
Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.59pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 13/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (43%)
04:45Carlisle
Opened 11/4Market avg 4/1
4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.59pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 32.9% • -6.59 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Loughnane
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.31pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/28 won (39.3%); Open→SP 10/27 won (37%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
04:45Carlisle
Opened 17/2Market avg 9/1
9/1 17/2 9/1 17/2 17/2 17/2 9/1 17/2 17/2 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.31pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3% • -0.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 10/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Duran Fentiman
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.77pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/125 won (21.6%); Open→SP 29/131 won (22.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (25%)
04:45Carlisle
Opened 10/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 18/1 16/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.77pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

31 May 26 | Thirsk | Open: 16/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 10
17 May 26 | Hamilton | Open: 25/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 6
08 May 26 | Chester | Open: 12/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 14
25 Apr 26 | Ripon | Open: 17/2 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 70.8% • -3.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 18/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.13pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/83 won (18.1%); Open→SP 19/90 won (21.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.5% (11/31).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

0/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (33%)
04:45Carlisle
Opened 14/1Market avg 22/1
25/1 20/1 25/1 22/1 18/1 20/1 22/1 20/1 20/1 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 5/5Historical Drift Profile

24 Jul 26 | Sandown | Open: 9/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 5
24 Jun 26 | Carlisle | Open: 14/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 5
01 May 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 10/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 4
12 Apr 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 13/2 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 11
21 Jan 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 5
Price change: 46.9% • -2.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 25/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:45 Carlisle Savrola NR @ 08:43
Last fixed odds: 14/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
3
Best Time
Late PM
Confidence
33%
04:45 Carlisle Ouro Preto NR @ 07:46
Last fixed odds: 40/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
6
Best Time
Pre-Off
Confidence
50%
05:15Carlisle 0m6f195y Class 6
9 runners

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Mark Winn
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.14pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
05:15Carlisle
Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4
15/8 15/8 15/8 13/8 13/8 13/8 7/4 7/4 15/8 7/4
PRICE MOVE
-0.14pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.4% • -0.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/8 2.88 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 15/8
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Ben Robinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.92pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/125 won (21.6%); Open→SP 29/131 won (22.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (50%)
05:15Carlisle
Opened 10/3Market avg 11/4
11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+2.92pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 10.9% • +2.92 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/4
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.25pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/83 won (18.1%); Open→SP 19/90 won (21.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.5% (11/31).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (40%)
05:15Carlisle
Opened 11/4Market avg 9/2
9/2 4/1 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 4/1 4/1 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-8.25pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

22 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 5/1 → Final: 17/2 | SP: 7/1 | Fin: 5
04 Jun 26 | Wetherby | Open: 7/2 → Final: 7/1 | SP: 15/2 | Fin: 6
13 May 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 11/4 → Final: 9/2 | SP: 13/2 | Fin: 3
30 Apr 26 | Redcar | Open: 6/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 3
Price change: 44.8% • -8.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Adrian Nicholls
Jockey: Jack Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/11 won (27.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (40%)
05:15Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 5/1 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 5/1 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-4.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 28.2% • -4.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Duran Fentiman
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.53pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/125 won (21.6%); Open→SP 29/131 won (22.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
05:15Carlisle
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
11/1 12/1 11/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.53pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 6.8% • -0.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Wainwright
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer market read
Today's move is -11.32pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
05:15Carlisle
Opened 9/2Market avg 14/1
12/1 16/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 12/1 14/1 16/1 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-11.32pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 164.9% • -11.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 14/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Micky Hammond
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.79pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/27 won (11.1%); Open→SP 5/31 won (16.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (40%)
05:15Carlisle
Opened 18/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 28/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 28/1 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.79pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 112.4% • -2.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 40/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:15 Carlisle Douwantitrightnow NR @ 17:41
Last fixed odds: 25/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
3
Best Time
Pre-Off
Confidence
33%
05:15 Carlisle Yoko NR @ 08:17
Last fixed odds: 20/1
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