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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

LIVE MARKET PRESSURE
Updated: 21:05 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Santa Paula
06:48 Bellewstown
+84% (81.000 → 13.000)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Mighty Magnus
01:30 Newmarket (July)
100% repeat strike (2 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Likedbymike
01:57 Naas
+13.8% (3.250 → 2.800)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Breckenbrough
01:15 Deauville
-23.7% (3.500 → 3.750)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Santa Paula (84%) 06:48 Bellewstown    WEAK FAVOURITE: Brasil Power (-1372.7%) 05:22 Sandown | 5.500 81.000    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
583
Shown After Filters
45
Active Signals (15%+)
458
Live Alerts
332
LIVE ALERTS
Inspired Heavy sustained support (47.1%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:05 | Race: 07:09 Carlisle | Open 4.500 - Now 2.250
Lumenbourg Heavy sustained support (35.7%)
Limited data (1 run) • 1/1 WON
Alert: 21:05 | Race: 08:39 Carlisle | Open 7.000 - Now 4.330
Wheres The Crumpet Heavy sustained support (38.2%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:05 | Race: 06:39 Carlisle | Open 34.000 - Now 21.000
🏁 OFF NEXT → 12:05 - Deauville
Horse / Race
Market Pressure ? General consensus market price used for signals and pressure detection — not the best bookmaker price.
Move
Signal
Best Price
Expected Move
Timing / Momentum
06:09 Carlisle 1m1f Class 5
9 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Izzari (34.6%)
Weakest in market: Jewel Maker (-115.8%)
Financer
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Supported (9.6pp). Trainer improves from 9.3% to 18.6%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (60%)
Late move vs early profile
06:09Carlisle
Open 5.500 - Now 3.600
3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.5 3.25 3.25 3.5
34.5%
0% place strike (2 runs)
0/2 placed when backed like this
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Abs move: +34.5% (+9.6pp)
STEAM
3.600
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.77
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Carlisle on our records. Today's market is 28% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 5.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟢 Needs Support (13%) This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 09:04
Still holding the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
Mr Lincoln
Trainer: Iain Jardine
Supported (4pp). Trainer improves from 9.4% to 18.0%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Range: 10.00 → 13.00 | Avg: 11.50 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
🟢🟢 STRONG EARLY MONEY ANGLE
When horses priced 3–6 shorten 30–40% early → profitable at SP
Historically profitable behaviour
982 Runs • 33.7% Wins • 3.3% ROI (SP)
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (44%)
06:09Carlisle
Open 5.500 - Now 4.500
4 4 4 4 4.33 4 4.33 4.33 4 4
18.2%
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 0/2 won
Abs move: +18.2% (+4.04pp)
STEAM
4.500
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4
9 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Carlisle stands at 1 placed effort from 1 run. Today's market is 55% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 10.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Krissy
Trainer: Jim Goldie
Drifting (10pp). Trainer falls from 11.9% to 15.3%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Range: 1.50 → 21.00 | Avg: 6.51 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (44%)
06:09Carlisle
Open 3.750 - Now 6.000
5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 6 5.5 6 6 5.5 6
-60%
Abs move: +60% (-10pp)
DRIFT
6.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.55
9 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/1 at Carlisle. The average SP at this course is 1.5 and today's market has the horse trading 300% bigger than usual.
Best time: 10am was biggest
Late money still arriving
Bellasio
Trainer: Grant Tuer
⬆ CLASS RISE
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Range: 5.00 → 5.00 | Avg: 5.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Late money horse (50%)
06:09Carlisle
Open 5.500 - Now 6.500
7 7 7 6.5 6.5 6.5 7 6.5 7 6.5
-27.3%
Abs move: +27.3% (-2.8pp)
DRIFT
7.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 1 starts at Carlisle. Historical course average SP is 5.0, while today's market is 40% bigger than usual.
Best time: 12pm was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
EMERGING REPEAT SETUP Only one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger
Hostility
Trainer: David O'Meara
Drifting (7.9pp). Trainer falls from 11.5% to 7.1%.
⬆ CLASS RISE
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Range: 7.00 → 21.00 | Avg: 14.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (33%)
06:09Carlisle
Open 4.500 - Now 7.000
6.5 6.5 6.5 6 6.5 6.5 6 6.5 6.5 6.5
-55.6%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 1/1 won
Abs move: +55.6% (-7.94pp)
DRIFT
7.000
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
At Carlisle this horse has recorded 2 placed efforts from 2 runs. The current market is 46% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 13.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Izzari
Trainer: Iain Jardine
⬇ CLASS DROP
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (25%)
Late move vs early profile
06:09Carlisle
Open 26.000 - Now 17.000
17 17 17 15 17 17 17 17 17 17
34.6%
Abs move: +34.6% (+2.04pp)
N/A
17.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 17
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Eagles Dream
Trainer: Tristan Davidson
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
06:09Carlisle
Open 13.000 - Now 19.000
19 19 21 19 19 19 19 19 21 19
-61.5%
Abs move: +61.5% (-2.43pp)
DRIFT
21.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 19
No historical data
Best time: 11am was biggest
Flat late
Jewel Maker
Trainer: Tim Easterby
⬆ CLASS RISE
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

0/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (60%)
06:09Carlisle
Open 19.000 - Now 41.000
34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 41
-115.8%
When drifting like this: failed 5/5 Historical Drift Profile

15 Jun 26 | Carlisle | Open: 9 → Final: 15 | SP: 21.00 | Fin: 8
10 Apr 26 | Thirsk | Open: 17 → Final: 67 | SP: 67.00 | Fin: 11
08 May 26 | Ripon | Open: 21 → Final: 67 | SP: 51.00 | Fin: 7
29 May 26 | Carlisle | Open: 17 → Final: 26 | SP: 26.00 | Fin: 4
20 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 13 → Final: 29 | SP: 34.00 | Fin: 9
Abs move: +115.8% (-2.82pp)
DRIFT
41.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 49.44
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/2 at Carlisle on our records. Today's market is 74% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 23.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
06:09 Carlisle Kisiyra NR @ 15:56
Last price: 71.000
06:39 Carlisle 7f173y Class 6
9 runners
🟢 Needs Support (51%) This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
Mertoun
Trainer: Jane Chapple-Hyam
Supported (7.8pp). Trainer improves from 13.1% to 37.5%.
↔ SAME CLASS
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Range: 1.73 → 5.00 | Avg: 3.37 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (67%)
06:39Carlisle
Open 2.000 - Now 1.730
1.73 1.73 1.67 1.73 1.62 1.67 1.67 1.62 1.67 1.67
13.5%
Abs move: +13.5% (+7.8pp)
Built 16:43 → 17:03
STEAM
1.730
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 1.67
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Misemerald
Trainer: Philip Kirby
Drifting (7.1pp). Trainer falls from 6.3% to 2.9%.
↔ SAME CLASS
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Range: 10.00 → 10.00 | Avg: 10.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (75%)
06:39Carlisle
Open 5.500 - Now 9.000
8.5 8.5 9 8.5 8.5 8.5 9 8.5 8.5 8.5
-63.6%
Abs move: +63.6% (-7.07pp)
DRIFT
9.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 8.5
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Wrist Art
Trainer: James Owen
⬇ CLASS DROP
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 12 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Late money horse (42%)
06:39Carlisle
Open 11.000 - Now 11.000
11 11 10 10 10 11 11 10 11 11
0%
Abs move: +0% (+0pp)
N/A
11.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 11
12 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
EMERGING REPEAT SETUP Only one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger
Captain Pickles
Trainer: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay
Drifting (7.1pp). Trainer falls from 12.3% to 18.8%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Range: 3.25 → 6.50 | Avg: 4.50 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (38%)
06:39Carlisle
Open 6.500 - Now 12.000
12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
-84.6%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
Abs move: +84.6% (-7.05pp)
DRIFT
12.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 12
8 runs (Market Form)
Best time: 2pm was biggest
Late money still arriving
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Book Of Life
Trainer: Patrick Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 12 | Range: 4.50 → 29.00 | Avg: 12.63 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weakening not attracting support
Best at SP (33%)
06:39Carlisle
Open 10.000 - Now 12.000
10 10 10 10 10 10 11 10 10 11
-20%
Abs move: +20% (-1.67pp)
DRIFT
12.000
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 12.1
12 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Top Gun Tina
Trainer: David Thompson
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (33%)
06:39Carlisle
Open 17.000 - Now 13.000
10 11 10 10 9.5 9.5 9.5 10 11 10
23.5%
Abs move: +23.5% (+1.81pp)
N/A
13.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 10.53
6 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Wheres The Crumpet
Trainer: David Thompson
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
06:39Carlisle
Open 34.000 - Now 21.000
17 17 15 13 19 17 19 19 17 19
38.2%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +38.2% (+1.82pp)
STEAM
21.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 21.24
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Flat late
Shoptilyoudrop
Trainer: Philip Kirby
Drifting (3.3pp). Trainer falls from 6.3% to 2.9%.
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (20%)
06:39Carlisle
Open 21.000 - Now 67.000
51 51 41 41 51 51 51 51 41 51
-219%
When drifting like this: failed 4/4 Historical Drift Profile

20 Jan 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 26 → Final: 51 | SP: 41.00 | Fin: 7
06 Feb 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 34 → Final: 51 | SP: 51.00 | Fin: 4
03 Jan 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 26 → Final: 101 | SP: 81.00 | Fin: 6
10 Jun 26 | Hamilton | Open: 26 → Final: 34 | SP: 41.00 | Fin: 5
Abs move: +219% (-3.27pp)
DRIFT
67.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 51
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Sanny Doo
Trainer: Jim Goldie
Drifting (4.6pp). Trainer falls from 11.9% to 15.3%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
LAST MINUTE BACKING (23.9%)
Early money horse (60%)
06:39Carlisle
Open 17.000 - Now 81.000
51 51 41 41 51 51 67 51 51 51
-376.5%
When drifting like this: failed 3/3 Historical Drift Profile

09 Jun 26 | Carlisle | Open: 101 → Final: 251 | SP: 301.00 | Fin: 8
20 Jun 26 | Ayr | Open: 11 → Final: 17 | SP: 21.00 | Fin: 8
25 Apr 26 | Doncaster | Open: 19 → Final: 34 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 8
Abs move: +376.5% (-4.65pp)
DRIFT
81.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 51
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 1 previous runs at Carlisle. The current market is 73% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 301.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
07:09 Carlisle 7f173y Class 4
7 runners
EMERGING REPEAT SETUP Only one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
Inspired
Trainer: K R Burke
Supported (22.2pp). Trainer improves from 18.5% to 28.6%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Range: 1.57 → 1.57 | Avg: 1.57 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
07:09Carlisle
Open 4.500 - Now 2.250
2.25 2.25 2.38 2.38 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.38 2.38
47.1%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
Abs move: +47.1% (+22.22pp)
Built 05:31 → 05:31
STEAM
2.380
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 2.52
6 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Jannas Journey
Trainer: Jim Goldie
Supported (7.7pp). Trainer improves from 11.9% to 14.9%.
↔ SAME CLASS
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
07:09Carlisle
Open 6.500 - Now 4.330
4 4 3.75 3.75 3.75 4 4 3.75 4 4
33.4%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +33.4% (+7.71pp)
STEAM
4.330
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 1 previous runs at Carlisle. The current market is 77% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 19.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Barley
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Drifting (17.9pp). Trainer falls from 9.3% to 4.8%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Range: 4.33 → 9.50 | Avg: 6.92 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (50%)
07:09Carlisle
Open 3.000 - Now 6.500
6 6 6.5 5.5 6.5 6 6.5 6.5 6 6.5
-116.7%
Abs move: +116.7% (-17.95pp)
DRIFT
6.500
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 7.04
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 1 starts at Carlisle. Historical course average SP is 8.5, while today's market is 24% shorter than usual.
Best time: 1pm was biggest
Late money still arriving
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Benacre
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Range: 5.00 → 11.00 | Avg: 8.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (30%)
07:09Carlisle
Open 9.000 - Now 10.000
9 9 9 9.5 9 9 9.5 10 9 9.5
-11.1%
Abs move: +11.1% (-1.11pp)
N/A
10.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 10.03
10 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
The Green Man
Trainer: Philip Kirby
Drifting (10.8pp). Trainer falls from 6.3% to 2.9%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

1/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Range: 2.88 → 19.00 | Avg: 10.94 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Late money horse (40%)
07:09Carlisle
Open 6.000 - Now 17.000
15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
-183.3%
When drifting like this: failed 3/4 Historical Drift Profile

20 Apr 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 7 → Final: 19 | SP: 17.00 | Fin: 2
20 Jun 26 | Doncaster | Open: 17 → Final: 34 | SP: 34.00 | Fin: 4
31 Jan 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 2.75 → Final: 4.33 | SP: 4.33 | Fin: 7
01 Jan 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 6.5 → Final: 10 | SP: 9.50 | Fin: 3
Abs move: +183.3% (-10.78pp)
DRIFT
17.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 15
10 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Bravo Zulu
Trainer: David Loughnane
Drifting (8.4pp). Trainer falls from 11.9% to 6.8%.
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
7 historical matches

1/7 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Range: 10.00 → 21.00 | Avg: 15.50 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (50%)
07:09Carlisle
Open 7.000 - Now 17.000
15 15 17 15 15 15 15 15 15 17
-142.9%
When drifting like this: failed 6/7 Historical Drift Profile

20 Mar 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 6 → Final: 8 | SP: 9.00 | Fin: 8
19 Jun 26 | Newmarket (July) | Open: 13 → Final: 21 | SP: 19.00 | Fin: 6
20 Feb 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 21 → Final: 29 | SP: 26.00 | Fin: 5
09 May 26 | Haydock | Open: 11 → Final: 34 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 5
25 May 26 | Redcar | Open: 15 → Final: 21 | SP: 21.00 | Fin: 2
Abs move: +142.9% (-8.4pp)
DRIFT
17.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 19.27
10 runs (Market Form)
Best time: 10am was biggest
Weakening late
Calyxoh
Trainer: Patrick Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
07:09Carlisle
Open 21.000 - Now 19.000
15 13 19 13 15 15 15 15 15 15
9.5%
Abs move: +9.5% (+0.5pp)
N/A
19.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 15
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
07:39 Carlisle 1m3f39y Class 5
5 runners
Covert Legend
Trainer: Maurice Andrew Ahern
Supported (9.2pp). Trainer improves from 15.4% to 16.7%.
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
🟢🟢 STRONG EARLY MONEY ANGLE
When horses priced 3–6 shorten 30–40% early → profitable at SP
Historically profitable behaviour
982 Runs • 33.7% Wins • 3.3% ROI (SP)
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
07:39Carlisle
Open 3.250 - Now 2.500
2.38 2.38 2.25 2.25 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.1
23.1%
Abs move: +23.1% (+9.23pp)
Built 08:56 → 09:01
STEAM
2.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 1.85
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Alpine Sierra
Trainer: Jim Goldie
Drifting (22.6pp). Trainer falls from 11.9% to 15.3%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 13 | Range: 2.10 → 8.00 | Avg: 3.93 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (23%)
07:39Carlisle
Open 2.100 - Now 4.000
3.5 3.5 3.5 3.25 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.75 4
-90.5%
Abs move: +90.5% (-22.62pp)
DRIFT
4.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.57
13 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/2 at Carlisle. The average SP at this course is 10.6 and today's market has the horse trading 62% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Valley Of Flowers
Trainer: Samantha & Jacqueline Coward
Supported (3.1pp). Trainer improves from 7.7% to %.
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 4 | Range: 26.00 → 26.00 | Avg: 26.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Mid-market mover (50%)
07:39Carlisle
Open 5.000 - Now 4.330
3.75 4 4.33 4.33 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.5 4
13.4%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +13.4% (+3.09pp)
STEAM
4.330
Mid-market mover — likely to fluctuate (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.27
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
V Twelve
Trainer: Martin Todhunter
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
07:39Carlisle
Open 11.000 - Now 10.000
11 11 13 13 11 11 11 11 10 12
-18.2%
Abs move: +18.2% (+0.91pp)
DRIFT
13.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 13.09
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Junkyard Dog
Trainer: Iain Jardine
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (50%)
07:39Carlisle
Open 19.000 - Now 26.000
21 21 17 17 21 21 21 21 21 26
-36.8%
Abs move: +36.8% (-1.42pp)
DRIFT
26.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 32.19
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Carlisle is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP profile of 27.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
08:09 Carlisle 2m1f47y Class 5
6 runners
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Laravie
Trainer: James Owen
Drifting (14.2pp). Trainer falls from 15.9% to 13.5%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Range: 1.25 → 3.75 | Avg: 2.45 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (38%)
08:09Carlisle
Open 1.910 - Now 2.620
2.5 2.5 2.38 2.38 2.5 2.5 2.38 2.5 2.5 2.5
-37.2%
When drifting like this: failed 3/3 Historical Drift Profile

23 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 34 → Final: 101 | SP: 101.00 | Fin: 9
04 Mar 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 8 → Final: 34 | SP: 26.00 | Fin: 7
16 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 15 → Final: 67 | SP: 67.00 | Fin: 4
Abs move: +37.2% (-14.19pp)
Built 16:43 → 20:10
DRIFT
2.620
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 2.5
8 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟢 Needs Support (17%) This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
Cascade Hall
Trainer: Jim Goldie
Supported (6.7pp). Trainer improves from 11.9% to 14.9%.
⬇ CLASS DROP
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Range: 1.57 → 3.75 | Avg: 3.02 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move with strong historical backing — worth attention
Early money horse (50%)
08:09Carlisle
Open 3.750 - Now 3.000
3 3 2.88 3 2.88 3 3 2.88 3 3
20%
100% place strike (1 runs)
1/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +20% (+6.67pp)
Built 07:01 → 07:10
STEAM
3.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Carlisle stands at 1 placed effort from 1 run. Today's market is 14% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 3.5.
Best time: 10am was biggest
Late money still arriving
Tarbat Ness
Trainer: John Berry
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Range: 3.00 → 3.00 | Avg: 3.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (29%)
08:09Carlisle
Open 6.500 - Now 7.000
6.5 6 6 6 6 6.5 6.5 6.5 6 6
-7.7%
Abs move: +7.7% (-1.1pp)
N/A
7.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.54
7 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Rupert The Prince
Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
⬆ CLASS RISE
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Range: 3.50 → 3.50 | Avg: 3.50 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (60%)
08:09Carlisle
Open 12.000 - Now 10.000
9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9 9.5 9.5 9 9 9.5
16.7%
Abs move: +16.7% (+1.67pp)
N/A
10.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 9.5
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Arctic Fox
Trainer: Martin Todhunter
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Range: 17.00 → 17.00 | Avg: 17.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Late money horse (67%)
08:09Carlisle
Open 15.000 - Now 14.000
13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13
6.7%
Abs move: +6.7% (+0.48pp)
N/A
14.000
Unusual early support — often weakens late (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 13
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Carlisle on our records. Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP of 13.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Animato
Trainer: Donald McCain
⬆ CLASS RISE
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (50%)
08:09Carlisle
Open 19.000 - Now 36.000
34 34 34 29 29 29 34 29 26 29
-89.5%
Abs move: +89.5% (-2.49pp)
DRIFT
36.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 29
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
08:39 Carlisle 5f182y Class 5
9 runners
EMERGING REPEAT SETUP Only one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
Lumenbourg
Trainer: Julie Camacho
Supported (8.8pp). Trainer improves from 10.6% to 26.3%.
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 4 | Range: 3.25 → 3.25 | Avg: 3.25 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong support with historical backing — worth close attention
Early money horse (25%)
Late move vs early profile
08:39Carlisle
Open 7.000 - Now 4.330
4 4 4.33 4 4 4 4 4 3.75 3.75
35.7%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 1/1 won
Abs move: +35.7% (+8.81pp)
STEAM
4.500
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.52
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 1 starts at Carlisle. Historical course average SP is 3.3, while today's market is 38% bigger than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Another Investment
Trainer: Nigel Tinkler
Drifting (4pp). Trainer falls from 6.3% to 4.5%.
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Range: 6.00 → 6.00 | Avg: 6.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (33%)
08:39Carlisle
Open 4.500 - Now 5.500
5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
-33.3%
Abs move: +33.3% (-4.04pp)
DRIFT
6.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 5
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Invincible Ruby
Trainer: Iain Jardine
⬆ CLASS RISE
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Range: 8.00 → 8.00 | Avg: 8.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (33%)
08:39Carlisle
Open 6.500 - Now 5.500
5.5 5.5 6 6 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5
-15.4%
Abs move: +15.4% (+2.8pp)
DRIFT
7.500
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.5
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Carlisle. Compared with an average course SP of 20.8, today's price is 64% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
No Return
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Range: 51.00 → 51.00 | Avg: 51.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Late money horse (29%)
08:39Carlisle
Open 7.000 - Now 7.000
6 6 6 6 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6 6.5
0%
Abs move: +0% (+0pp)
N/A
7.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
7 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed Profile No consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Sherlock
Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Drifting (5.4pp). Trainer falls from 12.0% to 7.9%.
⬆ CLASS RISE
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

1/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Range: 6.50 → 15.00 | Avg: 9.33 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (20%)
08:39Carlisle
Open 6.500 - Now 10.000
9 9 8.5 8.5 8.5 9 9.5 8.5 8.5 9
-53.8%
When drifting like this: failed 3/4 Historical Drift Profile

11 Apr 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 6 → Final: 10 | SP: 9.50 | Fin: 4
25 Jun 26 | Hamilton | Open: 4.33 → Final: 6.5 | SP: 6.50 | Fin: 2
12 May 26 | Beverley | Open: 7 → Final: 10 | SP: 7.00 | Fin: 4
01 Jan 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 4.5 → Final: 6.5 | SP: 6.00 | Fin: 8
Abs move: +53.8% (-5.38pp)
DRIFT
10.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 9
10 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Fan Mail
Trainer: Tim Easterby
⬆ CLASS RISE
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Range: 8.00 → 8.00 | Avg: 8.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (25%)
08:39Carlisle
Open 8.000 - Now 10.000
10 10 10 9.5 10 10 10 10 10 10
-37.5%
When drifting like this: failed 2/3 Historical Drift Profile

24 Feb 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 6 → Final: 9 | SP: 9.00 | Fin: 7
18 May 26 | Carlisle | Open: 5 → Final: 8 | SP: 8.00 | Fin: 2
18 Jun 26 | Ripon | Open: 3.75 → Final: 5.5 | SP: 5.00 | Fin: 5
Abs move: +37.5% (-2.5pp)
DRIFT
11.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 10
8 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 1 runs at Carlisle. Compared with an average course SP of 8.0, today's price is 38% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Maui Breeze
Trainer: Wilf Storey
⬆ CLASS RISE
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Range: 67.00 → 67.00 | Avg: 67.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Late money horse (43%)
08:39Carlisle
Open 15.000 - Now 17.000
17 17 17 15 13 15 15 17 15 15
-13.3%
Abs move: +13.3% (-0.78pp)
N/A
17.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 15
7 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Too Much
Trainer: David Thompson
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
08:39Carlisle
Open 21.000 - Now 17.000
15 15 15 15 13 15 15 13 15 15
9.5%
Abs move: +9.5% (+1.12pp)
N/A
19.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 15
No historical data
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Carlisle on our records. Today's market is 63% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 51.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Thistle Nil
Trainer: Jim Goldie
Drifting (12.8pp). Trainer falls from 11.9% to 15.3%.
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Range: 201.00 → 201.00 | Avg: 201.00 Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (67%)
08:39Carlisle
Open 6.000 - Now 26.000
29 29 29 23 23 29 29 23 29 29
-416.7%
When drifting like this: failed 2/3 Historical Drift Profile

19 Jun 26 | Ayr | Open: 101 → Final: 201 | SP: 201.00 | Fin: 1
05 May 26 | Ayr | Open: 34 → Final: 67 | SP: 67.00 | Fin: 7
09 Jun 26 | Carlisle | Open: 151 → Final: 251 | SP: 301.00 | Fin: 9
Abs move: +416.7% (-12.82pp)
DRIFT
31.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 29
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Carlisle is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 90% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 301.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

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