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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

NEW UPGRADES View the movement timeline: Click any horse to see when significant price changes occurred. Follow the next move: Select Notify Me to receive price-movement alerts directly on your device.
LIVE MARKET PRESSURE
Odds database updated: 20:58:26 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Light The Night Up
05:15 Ayr
+56.7% (15.000 → 6.5)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Concert Boy
02:15 Ayr
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Next Of Kin
01:45 Ayr
+10.8% (2.000 → 1.784)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Spirit Of Nature
02:15 Ayr
-88.1% (4.500 → 8.464)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Light The Night Up (56.7%) 05:15 Ayr    WEAK FAVOURITE: Bridgefoot Rambler (-162.1%) 02:15 Ayr | 4/1 12/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
96
Shown After Filters
96
Active Signals (15%+)
70
Live Alerts
53
LIVE ALERTS
Millbuie Heavy sustained support (50.3%)
Limited data (2 runs)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 02:15 Ayr | Open 7/1 - Now 3/1
Concert Boy Heavy sustained support (47.6%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 02:15 Ayr | Open 17/2 - Now 4/1
Pearl Eye Heavy sustained support (45.8%)
⚠️ Historically weak • 0/4 placed
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:15 Ayr | Open 8/1 - Now 4/1
Light The Night Up Heavy sustained support (56.7%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 05:15 Ayr | Open 14/1 - Now 11/2
Spirit Catcher Heavy sustained support (43.3%)
Limited data (2 runs) • 1/2 WON
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 04:45 Ayr | Open 8/1 - Now 4/1
Edmond Halley Heavy sustained support (41.7%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:45 Ayr | Open 13/2 - Now 10/3
Full Meeting View →
AyrBallinrobeKempton (AW)Windsor
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
01:45Ayr 6f Class 4
9 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Ashina (+4.68 probability points)
Weakest support: Dadawada (-1.76 probability points)

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.05pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 26/89 won (29.2%); Open→SP 36/117 won (30.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.7% (19/60).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:45Ayr
Opened EVSMarket avg 4/5
4/5 4/5 4/5 8/11 8/11 8/11 4/5 8/11 4/5 4/5
PRICE MOVE
+6.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 10.8% • +6.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/6 1.83 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/6
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Robson De Aguiar
Jockey: Donagh O'Connor
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.38pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/23 won (21.7%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
01:45Ayr
Opened 11/4Market avg 10/3
10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-3.38pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 14.5% • -3.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 10/3
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.20pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 19/61 won (31.1%); Open→SP 19/67 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (9/24).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
01:45Ayr
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/2
5/1 6/1 5/1 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 6/1 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.20pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 7.7% • -1.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 11/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.68pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/73 won (19.2%); Open→SP 17/76 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.1% (9/28).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:45Ayr
Opened 18/1Market avg 9/1
17/2 9/1 17/2 9/1 10/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.68pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 47.1% • +4.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.76pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/61 won (21.3%); Open→SP 16/63 won (25.4%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:45Ayr
Opened 10/1Market avg 11/1
10/1 12/1 10/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 12/1 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.76pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 9.1% • -0.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.02pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/15 won (40%); Open→SP 7/17 won (41.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 57.1% (4/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:45Ayr
Opened 16/1Market avg 33/1
25/1 50/1 25/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 50/1 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 105.5% • -3.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.99pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/61 won (23%); Open→SP 17/54 won (31.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
01:45Ayr
Opened 22/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 50/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 50/1 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.99pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 84.5% • -1.99 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.80pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/24 won (29.2%); Open→SP 8/30 won (26.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:45Ayr
Opened 22/1Market avg 66/1
50/1 66/1 50/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.80pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 181.4% • -2.80 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 66/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Christopher Kellett
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.76pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 1/1 won (100%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:45Ayr
Opened 40/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.76pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 257.4% • -1.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 201 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
02:15Ayr 1m Class 6
12 runners

Trainer: Ruth Carr
Jockey: Joanna Mason
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/60 won (18.3%); Open→SP 12/65 won (18.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (38%)
02:15Ayr
Opened 3/1Market avg 5/2
9/4 5/2 9/4 5/2 5/2 9/4 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.10pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 14.1% • +4.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 11/4
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: William Pyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +12.67pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 1/7 won (14.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
02:15Ayr
Opened 7/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 11/4 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 11/4 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+12.67pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 10 previous runs.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 50.3% • +12.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 12–15pp move: 39% shortened another 1pp • 26% another 2pp • 21% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=725)
Possible next price: 3/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (3 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 67% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 12.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.55pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/14 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/15 won (13.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 14 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Mid-market mover (21%)
02:15Ayr
Opened 17/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 7/2 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 7/2 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+9.55pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 14 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 47.6% • +9.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 36% shortened another 1pp • 29% another 2pp • 22% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=1332)
Possible next price: 4/1
14 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -10.41pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/80 won (13.8%); Open→SP 10/77 won (13%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 19.4% (6/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
02:15Ayr
Opened 7/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 13/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 13/2 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-10.41pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 88.1% • -10.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 15/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gary Rutherford
Jockey: Jake Dickson(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/6 won (0%); Open→SP 0/11 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (43%)
02:15Ayr
Opened 14/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 10/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 10/1 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.20pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 15.2% • +1.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Stephen Hanlon
Jockey: Conor Whiteley(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -12.37pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/13 won (7.7%); Open→SP 1/12 won (8.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (1/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (75%)
02:15Ayr
Opened 4/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-12.37pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

16 Jul 26 | Thirsk | Open: 50/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 3
08 Jun 26 | Leicester | Open: 66/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 9
20 Apr 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 100/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 11
Price change: 162.1% • -12.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.81pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/20 won (15%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (3/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
02:15Ayr
Opened 12/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 14/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.81pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 30.8% • -1.81 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lizzie Quinlan
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/5 won (20%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
02:15Ayr
Opened 12/1Market avg 20/1
25/1 18/1 25/1 20/1 22/1 25/1 20/1 20/1 18/1 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 67.3% • -3.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.72pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/21 won (23.8%); Open→SP 5/22 won (22.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (33%)
02:15Ayr
Opened 18/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 22/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 22/1 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.72pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 48.5% • -1.72 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ben Haslam
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.83pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/27 won (40.7%); Open→SP 8/25 won (32%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 45.5% (5/11).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
02:15Ayr
Opened 12/1Market avg 33/1
40/1 28/1 40/1 33/1 33/1 40/1 33/1 33/1 28/1 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.83pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 169% • -4.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 28/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.10pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/57 won (17.5%); Open→SP 8/57 won (14%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

2/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 11/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (19.6%)
Best at SP (33%)
02:15Ayr
Opened 22/1Market avg 40/1
50/1 40/1 50/1 40/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 40/1 40/1 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.10pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/4Historical Drift Profile

01 Aug 26 | Hamilton | Open: 20/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 7
17 May 26 | Ripon | Open: 10/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 13
24 Feb 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 5/2 → Final: 4/1 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 2
20 Jan 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 7/2 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 2
Price change: 93.8% • -2.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 33/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
02:15 Ayr Sanny Doo NR @ 10:19
Last fixed odds: 66/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
8
Best Time
10am
Confidence
50%
02:45Ayr 7f50y Class 6
13 runners

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.52pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/80 won (13.8%); Open→SP 10/77 won (13%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 19.4% (6/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (71%)
02:45Ayr
Opened 9/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 4/1 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 4/1 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+3.52pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 16.2% • +3.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 5 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 36% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 7.2.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.15pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/14 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/15 won (13.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 33/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 33/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (40%)
02:45Ayr
Opened 7/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.15pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 10.7% • -2.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Ayr this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 3 runs. The current market is 67% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 15.2.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.85pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/80 won (13.8%); Open→SP 10/77 won (13%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 19.4% (6/31).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (36%)
02:45Ayr
Opened 15/2Market avg 5/1
5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.85pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
82th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 2 of 11 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 29.2% • +4.85 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 5/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 20% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 7.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Steph Hollinshead
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/11 won (18.2%); Open→SP 2/10 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
02:45Ayr
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.08pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.6% • -0.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 11/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/51 won (25.5%); Open→SP 9/43 won (20.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Bookmakers have shortened this price clearly. The market is positive, but the historical evidence is mixed.
Early money horse (31%)
02:45Ayr
Opened 17/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 11/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 6/1 11/2 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+3.00pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
77th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 13 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 22.2% • +3.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 13/2
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 4 runs at Ayr. Compared with an average course SP of 10.7, today's price is 31% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Joanna Mason
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.76pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/57 won (17.5%); Open→SP 8/57 won (14%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 5/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:45Ayr
Opened 10/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.76pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 9.1% • -0.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.45pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/17 won (17.6%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (50%)
02:45Ayr
Opened 7/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 11/1 11/1 12/1 11/1 11/1 12/1 11/1 11/1 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.45pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 55.4% • -4.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 81% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 67.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Walford
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.38pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/46 won (15.2%); Open→SP 8/44 won (18.2%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (2/10).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Mid-market mover (50%)
02:45Ayr
Opened 22/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.38pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 35.4% • +2.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.51pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/61 won (23%); Open→SP 17/54 won (31.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (80%)
02:45Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 16/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 16/1 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.51pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

10 Jul 26 | Chester | Open: 13/2 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 6
14 Jun 26 | Doncaster | Open: 13/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 3
12 Jan 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 11/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 68.3% • -4.51 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 14/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ben Haslam
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.36pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/27 won (40.7%); Open→SP 8/25 won (32%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 45.5% (5/11).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (29%)
02:45Ayr
Opened 12/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 25/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 20/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.36pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 77.5% • -3.36 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 25/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Steph Hollinshead
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.49pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/11 won (18.2%); Open→SP 2/10 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (50%)
02:45Ayr
Opened 33/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.49pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 20.2% • -0.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 40/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/80 won (13.8%); Open→SP 10/77 won (13%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 19.4% (6/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:45Ayr
Opened 80/1Market avg 80/1
80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 3.3% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 80/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 134% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 33.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
02:45 Ayr Gressington NR @ 08:56
Last fixed odds: 22/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
9
Best Time
Pre-Off
Confidence
44%
03:15Ayr 1m2f Class 4
13 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.40pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/80 won (13.8%); Open→SP 10/77 won (13%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 19.4% (6/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (57%)
Late move vs early profile
03:15Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 7/2 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 7/2 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+9.40pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
When backed like this: 0/4 WON
Price change: 45.8% • +9.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 36% shortened another 1pp • 29% another 2pp • 22% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=1332)
Possible next price: 3/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 4 runs at Ayr. Compared with an average course SP of 3.7, today's price is 32% bigger than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Gemma Tutty
Jockey: Jake Dickson(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.21pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/14 won (35.7%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 12/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
03:15Ayr
Opened 3/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 9/2 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 9/2 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.21pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 26.4% • -5.21 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 4/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is +7.78pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/73 won (19.2%); Open→SP 17/76 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.1% (9/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
03:15Ayr
Opened 10/1Market avg 5/1
6/1 4/1 6/1 5/1 11/2 11/2 5/1 5/1 4/1 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+7.78pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 46.1% • +7.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.88pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 26/89 won (29.2%); Open→SP 36/117 won (30.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.7% (19/60).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (25%)
03:15Ayr
Opened 9/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.88pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 18.8% • -2.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Joanna Mason
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.96pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/57 won (17.5%); Open→SP 8/57 won (14%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
03:15Ayr
Opened 4/1Market avg 15/2
6/1 8/1 6/1 15/2 7/1 13/2 15/2 7/1 8/1 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-7.96pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 66.1% • -7.96 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 17/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.70pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/45 won (15.6%); Open→SP 8/48 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 19% (4/21).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
03:15Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2
9/1 15/2 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 17/2 17/2 15/2 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.70pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 6.7% • -0.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 07:25
Now 5.1% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.26pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/51 won (25.5%); Open→SP 9/43 won (20.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: EVS → 9/4 | Avg: 13/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (75%)
03:15Ayr
Opened 11/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 10/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 10/1 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.26pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 0/2 won
Price change: 13.1% • +1.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Gemma Tutty
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.82pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/14 won (35.7%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 9/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (50%)
03:15Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 12/1 14/1 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.82pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 52.4% • -3.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
03:15Ayr
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 1% • +0.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 14/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Martin Todhunter
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.33pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/9 won (33.3%); Open→SP 2/9 won (22.2%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
03:15Ayr
Opened 25/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 33/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 33/1 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.33pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 52.9% • -1.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.71pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/20 won (15%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (3/9).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
03:15Ayr
Opened 40/1Market avg 50/1
40/1 80/1 40/1 50/1 40/1 40/1 66/1 50/1 80/1 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.71pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

20 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 20/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 6
19 Jun 26 | Ayr | Open: 14/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 7
20 May 26 | Ayr | Open: 11/2 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 41.1% • -0.71 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 100/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/4 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 45% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 40.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Shane Gray
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.72pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/61 won (23%); Open→SP 17/54 won (31.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
03:15Ayr
Opened 40/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 66/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 50/1 66/1 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.72pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 41.6% • -0.72 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 80/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Dianne Sayer
Jockey: William Pyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.75pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/5 won (20%); Open→SP 1/7 won (14.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:15Ayr
Opened 50/1Market avg 80/1
66/1 80/1 66/1 80/1 66/1 66/1 100/1 100/1 80/1 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.75pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 62.3% • -0.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:45Ayr 6f Class 6
15 runners

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Cian Horgan(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.53pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/61 won (21.3%); Open→SP 16/63 won (25.4%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
03:45Ayr
Opened 13/2Market avg 10/3
7/2 10/3 7/2 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+9.53pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 41.7% • +9.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 36% shortened another 1pp • 29% another 2pp • 22% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=1332)
Possible next price: 10/3
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.35pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/43 won (18.6%); Open→SP 9/50 won (18%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
03:45Ayr
Opened 7/1Market avg 9/2
4/1 4/1 4/1 9/2 4/1 4/1 9/2 9/2 4/1 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+6.35pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 33.7% • +6.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 08:57
Now 19.8% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +7.55pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/80 won (13.8%); Open→SP 10/77 won (13%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 19.4% (6/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 16 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 14/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (27%)
Late move vs early profile
03:45Ayr
Opened 14/1Market avg 6/1
13/2 11/2 13/2 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 11/2 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+7.55pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
93th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 15 previous comparable moves was stronger.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
When backed like this: 1/3 WON
Price change: 53.1% • +7.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 6/1
15 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Ayr this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 4 runs. The current market is 61% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 18.1.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: W H Harrison
Jockey: Barry McHugh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -11.49pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 22/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (33%)
03:45Ayr
Opened 7/2Market avg 17/2
15/2 15/2 15/2 17/2 17/2 8/1 17/2 17/2 15/2 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-11.49pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 9 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 107.1% • -11.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Greg Fairley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.71pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/14 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/15 won (13.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (29%)
Late move vs early profile
03:45Ayr
Opened 16/1Market avg 9/1
11/1 8/1 11/1 9/1 10/1 11/1 10/1 17/2 8/1 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.71pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 7 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 38.7% • +3.71 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 15/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Joanna Mason
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/57 won (17.5%); Open→SP 8/57 won (14%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (67%)
03:45Ayr
Opened 11/1Market avg 10/1
9/1 10/1 9/1 10/1 9/1 9/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.00pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 10.7% • +1.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/17 won (17.6%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
03:45Ayr
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 11/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 9 previous runs.
Price change: 0.5% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (11%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/17 won (17.6%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 5/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (27%)
03:45Ayr
Opened 10/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
64th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 11 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 18.2% • -1.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 3 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 49% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 25.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.76pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/51 won (25.5%); Open→SP 9/43 won (20.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 28/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (56%)
03:45Ayr
Opened 9/1Market avg 12/1
14/1 14/1 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 12/1 14/1 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.76pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

31 Jul 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 8/11 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 10
25 Jun 26 | Hamilton | Open: 9/4 → Final: 5/1 | SP: 4/1 | Fin: 5
17 May 26 | Ripon | Open: 4/1 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 6
05 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 38.2% • -2.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Christopher Kellett
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.55pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 1/1 won (100%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (50%)
03:45Ayr
Opened 22/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 12/1 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.55pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 8 previous runs.
Price change: 37% • +2.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Mark Winn
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.79pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/43 won (18.6%); Open→SP 9/50 won (18%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (75%)
Late move vs early profile
03:45Ayr
Opened 25/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.79pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 42% • +2.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Amie Waugh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.63pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/20 won (15%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (3/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Late money horse (43%)
03:45Ayr
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
22/1 20/1 22/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 22/1 20/1 20/1 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.63pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 7 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 13.5% • -0.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 20/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 37% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 15.7.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lisa Williamson
Jockey: Jack Nicholls(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.82pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 1/2 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
03:45Ayr
Opened 33/1Market avg 80/1
66/1 80/1 66/1 100/1 80/1 66/1 100/1 100/1 80/1 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.82pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 162.8% • -1.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:45 Ayr Water Of Leith NR @ 10:15
Last fixed odds: 11/2
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
15
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
40%
03:45 Ayr Monastere NR @ 09:41
Last fixed odds: 6/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
5
Best Time
Pre-Off
Confidence
80%
04:15Ayr 1m2f Class 6
12 runners

Trainer: Lisa Williamson
Jockey: Mark Winn
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.77pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 1/2 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
04:15Ayr
Opened 5/1Market avg 7/2
10/3 7/2 3/1 10/3 10/3 7/2 10/3 7/2 7/2 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+5.77pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 25.7% • +5.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 10/3
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Donald Whillans
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.02pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/11 won (27.3%); Open→SP 3/13 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 13/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
BACK
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Best at SP (38%)
04:15Ayr
Opened 11/2Market avg 7/2
4/1 10/3 4/1 7/2 7/2 7/2 4/1 4/1 10/3 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+6.02pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 8 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 28.1% • +6.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 9/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.56pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/80 won (13.8%); Open→SP 10/77 won (13%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 19.4% (6/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
04:15Ayr
Opened 3/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 4/1 4/1 7/2 7/2 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.56pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 22.3% • -4.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (5 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 62% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 13.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: Jack Nicholls(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.96pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/42 won (21.4%); Open→SP 8/40 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (7/19).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (40%)
04:15Ayr
Opened 7/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 6/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 11/2 11/2 11/2 6/1 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-6.96pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 45.6% • -6.96 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Wilf Storey
Jockey: Paula Muir(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.34pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (25%)
Late move vs early profile
04:15Ayr
Opened 11/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 7/1 13/2 13/2 13/2 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.34pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 34.2% • +4.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Cara Tuke(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.37pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/51 won (25.5%); Open→SP 9/43 won (20.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (22%)
04:15Ayr
Opened 9/1Market avg 17/2
8/1 17/2 8/1 8/1 8/1 9/1 17/2 9/1 17/2 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.37pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3.6% • +0.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 8/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 45% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 17.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.84pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/21 won (23.8%); Open→SP 5/22 won (22.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (20%)
04:15Ayr
Opened 10/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 14/1 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.84pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 25.3% • -1.84 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.63pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/24 won (29.2%); Open→SP 8/30 won (26.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 6/4 | Avg: 6/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
04:15Ayr
Opened 12/1Market avg 16/1
18/1 14/1 20/1 14/1 14/1 16/1 18/1 14/1 14/1 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.63pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 26.9% • -1.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Neville
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/18 won (38.9%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
04:15Ayr
Opened 10/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 20/1 16/1 18/1 18/1 20/1 18/1 20/1 20/1 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 81.8% • -4.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.53pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/43 won (18.6%); Open→SP 9/50 won (18%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
04:15Ayr
Opened 20/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 33/1 25/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 33/1 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.53pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 47.3% • -1.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 25/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: Greg Fairley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/23 won (13%); Open→SP 1/20 won (5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
04:15Ayr
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 66/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 66/1 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.07pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 3.8% • -0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 50/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lizzie Quinlan
Jockey: Barry McHugh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.31pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/5 won (20%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
04:15Ayr
Opened 66/1Market avg 80/1
80/1 80/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 100/1 80/1 100/1 80/1 80/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.31pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 26% • -0.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 66/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:45Ayr 1m2f Class 6
12 runners
🟢 Needs Support (11%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 07:25
Now 4.9% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.97pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/23 won (13%); Open→SP 1/20 won (5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (38%)
04:45Ayr
Opened 7/2Market avg 3/1
5/2 3/1 5/2 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.97pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 2/2 won
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Price change: 11.8% • +2.97 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 3/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Ayr this horse has recorded 2 placed efforts from 4 runs. The current market is 60% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 10.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is +7.70pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/51 won (25.5%); Open→SP 9/43 won (20.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
04:45Ayr
Opened 11/2Market avg 10/3
10/3 3/1 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 3/1 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+7.70pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 33.4% • +7.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer market read
Today's move is +8.47pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/42 won (21.4%); Open→SP 8/40 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (7/19).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 9/2 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
BACK
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Early money horse (38%)
Late move vs early profile
04:45Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 9/2 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+8.47pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
2/2 placed when backed like this (100%).
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Price change: 43.3% • +8.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 36% shortened another 1pp • 29% another 2pp • 22% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=1332)
Possible next price: 4/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Jake Dickson(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.45pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/124 won (21.8%); Open→SP 29/130 won (22.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
04:45Ayr
Opened 8/1Market avg 13/2
6/1 13/2 6/1 13/2 6/1 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.45pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 18.1% • +2.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is -8.06pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/73 won (19.2%); Open→SP 17/76 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.1% (9/28).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
04:45Ayr
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/1
8/1 9/1 8/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-8.06pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 79.5% • -8.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lizzie Quinlan
Jockey: Shane Gray
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.91pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/5 won (20%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Late money horse (67%)
04:45Ayr
Opened 15/2Market avg 9/1
8/1 11/1 8/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 11/1 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.91pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 19.3% • -1.91 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.03pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/80 won (13.8%); Open→SP 10/77 won (13%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 19.4% (6/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Best at SP (50%)
04:45Ayr
Opened 9/1Market avg 10/1
9/1 11/1 9/1 10/1 10/1 11/1 10/1 10/1 11/1 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.03pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 11.4% • -1.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 16% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 13.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/20 won (15%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (3/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
04:45Ayr
Opened 9/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 18/1 14/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 18/1 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
13th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

13 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 9/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 1
04 Jun 26 | Hamilton | Open: 20/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 6
21 May 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 3/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 5
Price change: 69.3% • -4.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 16/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Ayr this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 5 runs. The current market is 50% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 11.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gemma Tutty
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.50pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/14 won (35.7%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (100%)
04:45Ayr
Opened 12/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 33/1 25/1 33/1 28/1 33/1 33/1 28/1 33/1 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 140.7% • -4.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Phillip Makin
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/12 won (16.7%); Open→SP 3/13 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
04:45Ayr
Opened 16/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 50/1 28/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 28/1 50/1 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.01pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 104.8% • -3.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.48pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/48 won (33.3%); Open→SP 17/41 won (41.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 58.8% (10/17).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
04:45Ayr
Opened 25/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 50/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 33/1 50/1 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.48pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 62.2% • -1.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 40/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:45 Ayr Onyeisi NR @ 09:41
Last fixed odds: 33/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
9
Best Time
Pre-Off
Confidence
56%
05:15Ayr 1m Class 5
10 runners

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +7.09pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (67%)
Late support match
05:15Ayr
Opened 10/3Market avg 9/4
5/2 5/2 5/2 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 5/2 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+7.09pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 23.5% • +7.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (12%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/124 won (21.8%); Open→SP 29/130 won (22.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 2/1 | Avg: 5/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (38%)
05:15Ayr
Opened 6/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.33pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 14% • +2.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 5/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is +8.72pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/15 won (40%); Open→SP 7/17 won (41.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 57.1% (4/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (25%)
Late move vs early profile
05:15Ayr
Opened 14/1Market avg 11/2
5/1 11/2 5/1 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+8.72pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 56.7% • +8.72 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 35% shortened another 1pp • 22% another 2pp • 19% another 3pp • 10% another 5pp (n=1204)
Possible next price: 11/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ayr. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Patrick Neville
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.88pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/18 won (38.9%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 25/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (60%)
05:15Ayr
Opened 7/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-6.88pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 44.8% • -6.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.50pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/73 won (19.2%); Open→SP 17/76 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.1% (9/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
05:15Ayr
Opened 13/2Market avg 8/1
15/2 15/2 15/2 17/2 17/2 17/2 17/2 17/2 15/2 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 23.1% • -2.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 17/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ruth Carr
Jockey: Shane Gray
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.00pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/60 won (18.3%); Open→SP 12/65 won (18.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (40%)
05:15Ayr
Opened 11/2Market avg 17/2
15/2 8/1 15/2 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 8/1 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.00pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 48.1% • -5.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Harry Russell
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.45pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/61 won (23%); Open→SP 17/54 won (31.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
05:15Ayr
Opened 10/1Market avg 9/1
17/2 8/1 17/2 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 8/1 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.45pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 4.7% • +0.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 10/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.14pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/43 won (18.6%); Open→SP 9/50 won (18%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
05:15Ayr
Opened 15/2Market avg 20/1
18/1 18/1 18/1 22/1 22/1 20/1 22/1 22/1 18/1 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.14pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 154.6% • -7.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Mark Winn
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.12pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/43 won (18.6%); Open→SP 9/50 won (18%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:15Ayr
Opened 20/1Market avg 25/1
22/1 25/1 22/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 25/1 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.12pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 30.8% • -1.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Susan Corbett
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.61pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/12 won (8.3%); Open→SP 2/18 won (11.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
05:15Ayr
Opened 11/1Market avg 33/1
25/1 33/1 25/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 33/1 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.61pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 206.6% • -5.61 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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Updated 21:02
Market Form™ By DC Network
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