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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Updated: 21:08 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Colourband
04:15 Ayr
+42.9% (7.000 → 3.600)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Mr Cool
02:45 Ayr
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Runninsonofagun
03:45 Ayr
+30.8% (2.500 → 1.730)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Little Lady Karen
02:15 Ayr
-40% (2.000 → 2.800)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Colourband (42.9%) 04:15 Ayr    WEAK FAVOURITE: Great Profit (-96.3%) 02:45 Ayr | 4.330 8.500    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
58
Shown After Filters
58
Active Signals (15%+)
38
Live Alerts
25
LIVE ALERTS
Pearl Eye Heavy sustained support (40%)
Mixed historical results • 0/3 placed
Alert: 21:08 | Race: 04:15 Ayr | Open 5.000 - Now 3.000
Colourband Heavy sustained support (42.9%)Alert: 21:08 | Race: 04:15 Ayr | Open 7.000 - Now 3.600
Abduction Heavy sustained support (36.8%)Alert: 21:08 | Race: 03:15 Ayr | Open 9.500 - Now 6.000
Mr Cool Heavy sustained support (35.7%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:08 | Race: 02:45 Ayr | Open 7.000 - Now 4.500
Full Meeting View →
AyrGalwayRiponSouthwell (AW)Windsor
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Horse / Race
Market Pressure ?General consensus market price used for signals and pressure detection — not the best bookmaker price.
Move
Signal
Best Price
Expected Move
Timing / Momentum
02:15Ayr • 0m7f50y • Class 3
5 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Bymiddaytomorrow (22.2%)
Weakest in market: Little Lady Karen (-40%)

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 4.50 → 4.50 | Avg: 4.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
02:15Ayr
Open 2.000 - Now 2.800
2.38 ↑ 2.63 ↓ 2.38 → 2.38 ↑ 2.75 ↓ 2.63 → 2.63 ↑ 2.75 ↓ 2.5 ↑ 2.63
-40%
Abs move: +40% (-14.29pp)
Built 00:03 → 14:15
DRIFT
2.800
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 2.63
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Bymiddaytomorrow🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 43.5%

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
02:15Ayr
Open 4.500 - Now 3.250
3.5 → 3.5 ↓ 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25
22.2%
Abs move: +22.2% (+8.55pp)
STEAM
3.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.25
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weakening not attracting support
02:15Ayr
Open 3.750 - Now 4.500
4.33 ↑ 4.5 ↓ 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 ↑ 4.5 ↓ 4.33 → 4.33 ↑ 4.5 → 4.5
-20%
Abs move: +20% (-4.44pp)
DRIFT
4.500
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.5
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
02:15Ayr
Open 10.000 - Now 10.000
12 → 12 ↑ 13 ↓ 12 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 11 → 11 ↓ 9.5 → 9.5 ↑ 11
-30%
Abs move: +30% (+0pp)
DRIFT
13.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 11
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Jason Hart
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
02:15Ayr
Open 15.000 - Now 10.000
12 ↓ 10 ↑ 12 → 12 ↓ 8.5 ↑ 10 → 10 ↓ 8.5 ↑ 10 → 10
20%
Abs move: +20% (+3.33pp)
N/A
12.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 10
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
02:45Ayr • 0m6f0y • Class 6
9 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
Mr Cool🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 17.7%

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Connor Beasley
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Range: 4.33 → 6.50 | Avg: 5.42Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
02:45Ayr
Open 7.000 - Now 4.500
4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 ↑ 4.5 ↓ 4.33 ↑ 4.5 → 4.5 ↓ 4.33 ↑ 4.5
35.7%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
Abs move: +35.7% (+7.94pp)
STEAM
4.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.68
12 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 70% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 15.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Amie Waugh(3)
⬇ CLASS DROP
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (60%)
02:45Ayr
Open 4.500 - Now 4.500
4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5
0%
Abs move: +0% (+0pp)
N/A
4.500
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.5
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 3 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 51% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 9.1.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (60%)
02:45Ayr
Open 5.000 - Now 6.000
6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 ↑ 7 ↓ 6 ↑ 6.5 ↑ 7 ↓ 6 ↑ 6.5 ↓ 6
-50%
Abs move: +50% (-3.33pp)
DRIFT
7.500
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.54
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 5 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 13% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 8.6.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Jason Hart
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

1/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Range: 29.00 → 29.00 | Avg: 29.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Mid-market mover (25%)
02:45Ayr
Open 4.000 - Now 6.500
6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5
-62.5%
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

20 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 17 → Final: 29 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 1
30 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 6.5 → Final: 26 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 8
22 Apr 26 | Catterick | Open: 9 → Final: 19 | SP: 17.00 | Fin: 5
09 Apr 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 15 → Final: 29 | SP: 26.00 | Fin: 3
Abs move: +62.5% (-9.62pp)
DRIFT
6.500
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
At Ayr this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 1 run. The current market is 78% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 29.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 14:04
Now 25% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger
Water Of Leith🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 15.3%

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Mark Winn
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 qualifying historical matches

4/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 15 | Range: 1.73 → 6.50 | Avg: 4.10Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (40%)
02:45Ayr
Open 8.000 - Now 7.000
7 ↓ 6.5 ↑ 7 ↑ 7.5 ↓ 7 ↓ 6.5 ↑ 7 → 7 ↓ 6 ↑ 6.5
6.3%
100% repeat place strike (4 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 4/4 placed • 1/4 won
Abs move: +6.3% (+1.79pp)
N/A
7.500
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
15 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 36% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 5.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: W H Harrison
Jockey: Barry McHugh
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Range: 11.00 → 67.00 | Avg: 39.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (33%)
02:45Ayr
Open 4.330 - Now 8.500
8 → 8 → 8 → 8 ↑ 8.5 → 8.5 → 8.5 → 8.5 ↓ 8 ↑ 8.5
-96.3%
Abs move: +96.3% (-11.33pp)
DRIFT
8.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 8.5
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/1 at Ayr. The average SP at this course is 67.0 and today's market has the horse trading 87% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: James Sullivan
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Range: 34.00 → 34.00 | Avg: 34.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (33%)
02:45Ayr
Open 17.000 - Now 16.000
15 → 15 → 15 → 15 ↓ 13 ↑ 15 → 15 ↓ 13 → 13 ↑ 15
5.9%
Abs move: +5.9% (+0.37pp)
N/A
16.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 15
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 1 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is close to its historical average compared with a typical course SP of 15.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Tom Eaves
⬇ CLASS DROP
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

0/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (40%)
02:45Ayr
Open 19.000 - Now 26.000
29 → 29 → 29 ↓ 26 → 26 ↑ 29 ↓ 26 → 26 ↑ 29 ↑ 34
-78.9%
When drifting like this: failed 5/5Historical Drift Profile

13 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 21 → Final: 34 | SP: 34.00 | Fin: 6
20 Jun 26 | Ayr | Open: 34 → Final: 81 | SP: 67.00 | Fin: 9
27 May 26 | Hamilton | Open: 15 → Final: 29 | SP: 34.00 | Fin: 8
23 Apr 26 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | Open: 8 → Final: 11 | SP: 7.00 | Fin: 4
01 Apr 26 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | Open: 5.5 → Final: 11 | SP: 9.00 | Fin: 4
Abs move: +78.9% (-1.42pp)
DRIFT
34.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 39.86
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 33% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 50.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
02:45Ayr
Open 17.000 - Now 41.000
34 ↑ 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 ↓ 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 ↑ 41
-141.2%
Abs move: +141.2% (-3.44pp)
DRIFT
41.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 49.44
No historical data
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 58% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 26.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
03:15Ayr • 0m7f50y • Class 4
6 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Connor Beasley
⬆ CLASS RISE
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Range: 1.57 → 7.50 | Avg: 4.54Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (60%)
03:15Ayr
Open 1.910 - Now 2.880
2.63 → 2.63 → 2.63 → 2.63 ↑ 2.75 → 2.75 ↓ 2.63 ↑ 2.75 → 2.75 → 2.75
-50.8%
Abs move: +50.8% (-17.63pp)
Built 00:03 → 15:17
DRIFT
2.880
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 2.75
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Previous course evidence shows 2 placed efforts from 2 runs at Ayr. Compared with an average course SP of 5.3, today's price is 45% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Forbidden Colours🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 33%

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
↔ SAME CLASS
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (67%)
03:15Ayr
Open 4.000 - Now 3.250
3.5 → 3.5 ↓ 3.25 ↑ 3.5 ↓ 3.25 ↑ 3.75 ↓ 3.5 → 3.5 ↑ 3.75 ↓ 3.5
0%
Abs move: +0% (+5.77pp)
N/A
4.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.27
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
⬆ CLASS RISE
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Range: 5.00 → 11.00 | Avg: 8.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (33%)
03:15Ayr
Open 4.500 - Now 5.500
5 → 5 → 5 → 5 ↑ 5.5 ↓ 5 → 5 ↑ 5.5 ↓ 5 → 5
-22.2%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 1/1 won
Abs move: +22.2% (-4.04pp)
DRIFT
5.500
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 5
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
At Ayr this horse has recorded 2 placed efforts from 2 runs. The current market is 31% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 8.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
Abduction🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 15.3%

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Jake Dickson(5)
⬆ CLASS RISE
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 11 | Range: 12.00 → 17.00 | Avg: 14.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Late money horse (36%)
Late support match
03:15Ayr
Open 9.500 - Now 6.000
6 → 6 ↓ 5.5 → 5.5 ↑ 6 → 6 → 6 → 6 → 6 → 6
36.8%
Abs move: +36.8% (+6.14pp)
STEAM
6.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 6
11 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 20% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 7.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Jason Hart
⬆ CLASS RISE
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Range: 34.00 → 34.00 | Avg: 34.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (50%)
03:15Ayr
Open 10.000 - Now 12.000
11 → 11 → 11 → 11 ↓ 10 ↑ 11 → 11 ↓ 10 ↑ 11 ↑ 12
-20%
Abs move: +20% (-1.67pp)
DRIFT
12.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 13.09
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
At Ayr this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 26% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 16.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
03:15 Ayr Roaring Ralph NR @ 07:23
Last price: 13.000
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
10
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
50%
03:45Ayr • 1m0f0y • Class 6
9 runners
Runninsonofagun🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET

Trainer: Tristan Davidson
Jockey: Jason Hart
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Range: 3.25 → 3.25 | Avg: 3.25Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
03:45Ayr
Open 2.500 - Now 1.730
1.67 → 1.67 → 1.67 → 1.67 → 1.67 → 1.67 → 1.67 → 1.67 ↑ 1.73 ↓ 1.67
30.8%
0% place strike (2 runs)
0/2 placed when backed like this
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Abs move: +30.8% (+17.8pp)
Built 09:28 → 09:33
STEAM
1.730
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 1.67
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/3 at Ayr. The average SP at this course is 5.1 and today's market has the horse trading 66% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
Flat late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Range: 7.00 → 11.00 | Avg: 9.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (33%)
03:45Ayr
Open 7.000 - Now 6.500
6.5 ↓ 6 ↑ 6.5 ↑ 7 ↓ 6 → 6 ↑ 6.5 ↓ 6 ↑ 6.5 ↓ 6
0%
Abs move: +0% (+1.1pp)
N/A
7.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 6
12 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 3 starts at Ayr. Historical course average SP is 12.4, while today's market is 44% shorter than usual.
Best time: 10am was biggest
Flat late

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Range: 3.00 → 3.00 | Avg: 3.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Late money horse (38%)
03:45Ayr
Open 11.000 - Now 13.000
10 ↑ 11 ↓ 10 ↑ 11 ↑ 13 ↓ 11 ↑ 12 ↑ 13 ↓ 10 ↑ 12
-18.2%
Abs move: +18.2% (-1.4pp)
DRIFT
13.000
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 13.09
8 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/2 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 41% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 9.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Connor Beasley
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
9 historical matches

2/9 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 12 | Range: 8.00 → 23.00 | Avg: 15.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (33%)
03:45Ayr
Open 6.500 - Now 15.000
11 ↑ 12 ↓ 11 ↑ 12 → 12 ↑ 13 ↓ 12 → 12 ↓ 11 ↑ 13
-130.8%
When drifting like this: failed 7/9Historical Drift Profile

08 Jul 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 5 → Final: 9.5 | SP: 8.50 | Fin: 6
15 Jun 26 | Carlisle | Open: 12 → Final: 17 | SP: 15.00 | Fin: 3
05 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 6 → Final: 13 | SP: 12.00 | Fin: 4
27 May 26 | Hamilton | Open: 4.5 → Final: 8 | SP: 13.00 | Fin: 5
09 May 26 | Leicester | Open: 15 → Final: 23 | SP: 26.00 | Fin: 1
Abs move: +130.8% (-8.72pp)
DRIFT
15.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 13
12 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
6 historical matches

1/6 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Range: 3.25 → 21.00 | Avg: 12.13Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (38%)
03:45Ayr
Open 6.500 - Now 17.000
12 ↑ 13 ↓ 12 → 12 ↑ 13 → 13 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 ↓ 12 ↑ 13
-161.5%
When drifting like this: failed 5/6Historical Drift Profile

05 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 2.5 → Final: 3.25 | SP: 3.75 | Fin: 1
30 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 4.5 → Final: 9 | SP: 11.00 | Fin: 4
19 Jun 26 | Ayr | Open: 2.88 → Final: 4.33 | SP: 5.00 | Fin: 9
15 May 26 | Hamilton | Open: 15 → Final: 51 | SP: 41.00 | Fin: 5
05 May 26 | Ayr | Open: 26 → Final: 51 | SP: 41.00 | Fin: 7
Abs move: +161.5% (-9.5pp)
DRIFT
17.000
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 13
8 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr stands at 1 placed effort from 3 runs. Today's market is close to its historical average compared with a long-term course average SP of 16.6.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:45Ayr
Open 10.000 - Now 21.000
23 ↓ 21 ↑ 23 → 23 → 23 ↓ 21 ↑ 23 → 23 → 23 → 23
-160%
Abs move: +160% (-5.24pp)
DRIFT
26.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 25.19
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Tom Eaves
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (50%)
03:45Ayr
Open 11.000 - Now 21.000
15 ↑ 17 ↓ 15 → 15 ↑ 17 → 17 ↑ 19 ↓ 17 ↓ 15 ↑ 17
-90.9%
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

20 Jun 26 | Redcar | Open: 2.75 → Final: 7 | SP: 9.00 | Fin: 5
22 May 26 | Pontefract | Open: 17 → Final: 23 | SP: 26.00 | Fin: 7
25 Apr 26 | Ripon | Open: 7.5 → Final: 10 | SP: 12.00 | Fin: 7
Abs move: +90.9% (-4.33pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 17
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟢 Needs Support (28%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Mark Winn
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Range: 8.00 → 9.50 | Avg: 8.75Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (22%)
03:45Ayr
Open 8.000 - Now 26.000
23 → 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 ↑ 26
-225%
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

10 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 6.5 → Final: 12 | SP: 10.00 | Fin: 4
04 Mar 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 6.5 → Final: 23 | SP: 21.00 | Fin: 6
29 Dec 25 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 17 → Final: 34 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 9
Abs move: +225% (-8.65pp)
DRIFT
26.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 29.39
9 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Eeetee🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 33.3%

Trainer: John Wainwright
Jockey: Barry McHugh
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
03:45Ayr
Open 21.000 - Now 31.000
34 ↓ 29 ↑ 34 → 34 ↓ 29 → 29 → 29 → 29 ↑ 34 → 34
-71.4%
Abs move: +71.4% (-1.54pp)
DRIFT
36.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 39.86
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
04:15Ayr • 1m2f0y • Class 4
7 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
Pearl Eye🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 20.8%

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
⬆ CLASS RISE
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Range: 3.00 → 4.00 | Avg: 3.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
🟢🟢 STRONG EARLY MONEY ANGLE
When horses priced 3–6 shorten 30–40% early → profitable at SP
Historically profitable behaviour
1092 Runs • 33.2% Wins • 1.6% ROI (SP)
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
04:15Ayr
Open 5.000 - Now 3.000
2.88 → 2.88 ↑ 3 → 3 ↓ 2.88 → 2.88 → 2.88 → 2.88 ↑ 3 ↓ 2.88
40%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 1/1 won
When backed like this: 0/3 WON
Abs move: +40% (+13.33pp)
Built 08:28 → 08:28
STEAM
3.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 2.88
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
At Ayr this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 3 runs. The current market is 23% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 3.9.
Best time: Open was biggest
Late money still arriving

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
⬆ CLASS RISE
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Range: 2.00 → 2.00 | Avg: 2.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Mid-market mover (50%)
04:15Ayr
Open 1.800 - Now 3.250
3 → 3 ↓ 2.5 ↑ 3 → 3 → 3 ↓ 2.88 ↑ 3 → 3 → 3
-80.6%
Abs move: +80.6% (-24.79pp)
DRIFT
3.250
Mid-market mover — likely to fluctuate (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Colourband🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 20%

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: Jason Hart
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Range: 3.00 → 3.00 | Avg: 3.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
04:15Ayr
Open 7.000 - Now 3.600
3.5 → 3.5 ↑ 4 ↓ 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5
42.9%
Abs move: +42.9% (+13.49pp)
Built 00:03 → 16:12
STEAM
4.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.5
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
⬆ CLASS RISE
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Range: 2.50 → 13.00 | Avg: 5.94Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (44%)
04:15Ayr
Open 8.500 - Now 10.000
9.5 → 9.5 ↓ 9 ↑ 10 ↓ 9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 ↑ 10
-17.6%
Abs move: +17.6% (-1.76pp)
DRIFT
10.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 10.53
9 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr stands at 1 placed effort from 1 run. Today's market is 23% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 13.0.
Best time: 10am was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 00:31
Now 47.3% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
⬆ CLASS RISE
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 14 | Range: 2.10 → 8.00 | Avg: 3.93Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (21%)
04:15Ayr
Open 19.000 - Now 21.000
23 → 23 ↓ 19 ↑ 23 ↓ 21 ↑ 23 ↑ 26 ↓ 21 ↑ 23 → 23
-36.8%
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

04 Jul 26 | Carlisle | Open: 2.1 → Final: 4 | SP: 3.50 | Fin: 3
24 Jun 26 | Carlisle | Open: 6.5 → Final: 19 | SP: 19.00 | Fin: 9
12 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 3.25 → Final: 4.5 | SP: 4.50 | Fin: 2
Abs move: +36.8% (-0.5pp)
DRIFT
26.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 23
14 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
04:15 Ayr Rastnet NR @ 06:33
Last price: 7.500
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
5
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
40%
04:15 Ayr Obito NR @ 07:48
Last price: 14.000
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
4
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
50%
04:45Ayr • 0m5f0y • Class 6
9 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: John Wainwright
Jockey: Jason Hart
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Range: 1.67 → 11.00 | Avg: 6.34Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Late money horse (40%)
04:45Ayr
Open 5.500 - Now 5.000
5 → 5 → 5 ↓ 4.5 ↑ 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5
9.1%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
Abs move: +9.1% (+1.82pp)
N/A
5.000
Unusual early support — often weakens late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 5
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Royal Duke🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 15.8%

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
🔥 Historically Supported
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (43%)
04:45Ayr
Open 8.500 - Now 5.500
5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 ↑ 6 ↓ 5.5
29.4%
0% place strike (3 runs)
0/3 placed when backed like this
When backed like this: 0/3 WON
Abs move: +29.4% (+6.42pp)
STEAM
6.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.5
7 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 5 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 53% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 12.9.
Best time: Open was biggest
Late money still arriving
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
6 historical matches

1/6 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 14 | Range: 3.50 → 15.00 | Avg: 9.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (29%)
04:45Ayr
Open 4.000 - Now 6.000
5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5
-50%
When drifting like this: failed 5/6Historical Drift Profile

13 Jul 26 | Ayr | Open: 9 → Final: 17 | SP: 15.00 | Fin: 7
17 Jun 26 | Hamilton | Open: 7 → Final: 11 | SP: 12.00 | Fin: 8
18 Apr 26 | Thirsk | Open: 10 → Final: 15 | SP: 15.00 | Fin: 10
06 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 8 → Final: 15 | SP: 13.00 | Fin: 2
20 Jan 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 26 → Final: 81 | SP: 81.00 | Fin: 8
Abs move: +50% (-8.33pp)
DRIFT
6.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.5
14 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/2 at Ayr. The average SP at this course is 13.0 and today's market has the horse trading 54% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Range: 6.50 → 6.50 | Avg: 6.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (40%)
04:45Ayr
Open 6.500 - Now 6.000
6 → 6 → 6 ↑ 6.5 ↓ 6 → 6 → 6 → 6 → 6 → 6
0%
Abs move: +0% (+1.28pp)
N/A
6.500
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 6
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 4 runs at Ayr. Compared with an average course SP of 13.1, today's price is 50% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Mark Winn
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 17 | Range: 1.91 → 6.00 | Avg: 4.23Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (33%)
04:45Ayr
Open 6.500 - Now 6.500
6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5 ↓ 6 ↑ 6.5 → 6.5 ↓ 6 ↑ 6.5 → 6.5
0%
Abs move: +0% (+0pp)
N/A
6.500
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
15 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 4 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 13% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 7.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
Flat late
🟢 Needs Support (11%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 02:34
Now 18.2% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Connor Beasley
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 10 | Range: 4.33 → 6.00 | Avg: 5.17Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Mid-market mover (30%)
04:45Ayr
Open 11.000 - Now 10.000
9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 ↓ 9 ↑ 9.5 → 9.5 ↓ 9 → 9 ↑ 10 ↓ 9.5
9.1%
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
Abs move: +9.1% (+0.91pp)
N/A
10.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 9.5
10 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 71% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 34.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Amie Waugh(3)
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Range: 9.50 → 9.50 | Avg: 9.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (33%)
04:45Ayr
Open 8.500 - Now 11.000
9.5 → 9.5 → 9.5 ↑ 10 ↓ 9.5 → 9.5 ↑ 10 ↓ 9.5 → 9.5 ↑ 11
-29.4%
Abs move: +29.4% (-2.67pp)
DRIFT
11.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 12.74
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Ayr. The current market is 39% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 18.1.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
6 historical matches

0/6 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (29%)
04:45Ayr
Open 11.000 - Now 14.000
13 → 13 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 → 13 → 13 → 13 → 13 → 13 ↑ 15
-36.4%
When drifting like this: failed 6/6Historical Drift Profile

11 Jul 26 | Hamilton | Open: 17 → Final: 29 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 5
30 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 10 → Final: 13 | SP: 10.00 | Fin: 7
22 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 13 → Final: 19 | SP: 15.00 | Fin: 3
06 Jun 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 17 → Final: 26 | SP: 23.00 | Fin: 5
15 May 26 | Hamilton | Open: 15 → Final: 23 | SP: 26.00 | Fin: 9
Abs move: +36.4% (-1.95pp)
DRIFT
15.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 17.31
7 runs (Market Form)
Best time: 1pm was biggest
Flat late
04:45 Ayr Supremissy NR @ 15:02
Last price: 8.500
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
3
Best Time
Late PM
Confidence
33%
05:20Ayr • 1m2f0y • Class 6
13 runners
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger
Royal Blaze🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 9.5%

Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: Greg Fairley
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Range: 12.00 → 12.00 | Avg: 12.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (43%)
05:20Ayr
Open 4.500 - Now 4.200
3.75 ↑ 4 ↓ 3.75 → 3.75 ↑ 4 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 4
6.7%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 1/1 won
Abs move: +6.7% (+1.59pp)
N/A
4.200
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4
7 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr stands at 1 placed effort from 3 runs. Today's market is 65% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 12.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Penelope's Sister🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 15.3%

Trainer: Jim Goldie
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
🟢🟢 STRONG EARLY MONEY ANGLE
When horses priced 3–6 shorten 30–40% early → profitable at SP
Historically profitable behaviour
1092 Runs • 33.2% Wins • 1.6% ROI (SP)
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (40%)
05:20Ayr
Open 6.000 - Now 4.500
4.33 → 4.33 ↑ 4.5 ↓ 4.33 ↑ 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 ↑ 5 ↓ 4.33 → 4.33
16.7%
Abs move: +16.7% (+5.56pp)
STEAM
5.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.17
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr is limited (4 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 67% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 15.1.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
Falcon Nine🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 22.9%

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 6 | Range: 13.00 → 21.00 | Avg: 17.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Best at SP (50%)
05:20Ayr
Open 5.000 - Now 5.500
5 → 5 → 5 ↓ 4.5 ↑ 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 5
-10%
Abs move: +10% (-1.82pp)
N/A
5.500
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 5
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Ayr stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 69% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 17.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Just Dottie🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 15.8%

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (50%)
05:20Ayr
Open 9.500 - Now 7.000
7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7
21.1%
Abs move: +21.1% (+3.76pp)
STEAM
7.500
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 7
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
⬇ CLASS DROP
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Range: 3.25 → 3.25 | Avg: 3.25Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (25%)
05:20Ayr
Open 10.000 - Now 8.000
8 → 8 ↓ 7.5 ↓ 7 ↑ 8.5 ↓ 8 → 8 ↑ 8.5 ↓ 8 → 8
15%
Abs move: +15% (+2.5pp)
N/A
8.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 8
8 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 67% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 26.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Christopher Kellett
Jockey: Jason Hart
↔ SAME CLASS
➜ Stable Market Horse
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Range: 6.00 → 6.00 | Avg: 6.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (60%)
05:20Ayr
Open 5.500 - Now 8.500
8 → 8 ↓ 7.5 ↑ 8 ↓ 7.5 → 7.5 ↑ 8 ↓ 7.5 ↑ 8 → 8
-54.5%
Abs move: +54.5% (-6.42pp)
DRIFT
8.500
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 8.53
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
One More Bottle🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 20%

Trainer: Lizzie Quinlan
Jockey: Barry McHugh
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
05:20Ayr
Open 10.000 - Now 26.000
21 → 21 ↓ 17 → 17 ↑ 21 → 21 ↑ 23 ↓ 21 → 21 ↑ 23
-160%
Abs move: +160% (-6.15pp)
DRIFT
26.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 25.19
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: R Mike Smith
Jockey: James Sullivan
↔ SAME CLASS
⚠ Historically Weakens
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 6 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (33%)
05:20Ayr
Open 23.000 - Now 26.000
23 → 23 ↓ 21 ↓ 17 ↑ 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 → 23
-13%
Abs move: +13% (-0.5pp)
N/A
26.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 23
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/5 at Ayr on our records. Today's market is 20% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 21.6.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Christopher Kellett
Jockey: Tom Eaves
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
05:20Ayr
Open 67.000 - Now 81.000
81 ↓ 51 → 51 → 51 ↑ 81 ↓ 51 ↑ 67 ↓ 51 ↑ 67 ↑ 81
-20.9%
Abs move: +20.9% (-0.26pp)
DRIFT
81.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 128.65
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
05:20 Ayr Annandale NR @ 08:04
Last price: 6.000
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
11
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
36%
05:20 Ayr Recobella NR @ 09:05
Last price: 4.500
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
5
Best Time
10am
Confidence
40%
05:20 Ayr Lightning Galaxy NR @ 07:28
Last price: 12.000
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
4
Best Time
Mid
Confidence
25%
05:20 Ayr Zebra Star NR @ 09:05
Last price: 21.000
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Supported
Runs
4
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
50%
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