DCN Market Behaviour Finder™
Today’s runners via TheRacingAPI. Behaviour + conversion built from Market Form joined to Results.
Today’s Market Evidence
Funnel: 363 runners → 187 profiles → 53 positive historical signals → 7 high-confidence profiles. Scores use historical evidence only; no live-price activation is inferred.
What the Evidence Points and confidence labels mean
Evidence Points are not a percentage or predicted chance of winning. They rank the strength and consistency of the recorded market-behaviour profile.
Guide: 0–9 weak/conflicting · 10–19 some evidence · 20–29 notable · 30–44 strong · 45+ unusually strong. Confidence only reflects sample size: Low under 6 runs, Medium 6–11, High 12+.
| Score | Runner | Evidence | Signals & risks |
|---|---|---|---|
|
40
High
Why 40?Late Support Converter +14 · Beats SP Often +8 · Efficient Winner +8 · Market Outperformer +8 · High Volatility −5 · sample +7 = 40. |
Dream Illusion
Wolverhampton (AW) – 5:10
|
Runs: 14
Win%: 21.4
Beat SP: 71.4%
A/E: 1.11
SP ROI: 162.5%
Full evidence
SP P/L (1pt): 22.75 pts Average SP: 9.40 Late Support count (LS+SL): 4 Drift count (LD+SD): 0 Open→SP: supported 7, drifted 6 Average movement: 35.5% |
Late Support Converter
1/4 wins when supported late
Beats SP Often
71.4% of recorded runs
Efficient Winner
21.4% wins and 71.4% beat SP
Market Outperformer
A/E 1.11
High Volatility
Why it’s here: It is here because the history triggered Late Support Converter and Beats SP Often, plus 2 further positive signals. Why High confidence: Confidence is High because there are 14 joined runs (12+). This means the profile is better established; it does not mean a high chance of winning. Good-run outlook — Mixed: There is meaningful market-behaviour evidence, but the case is mixed because of high volatility. Treat it as a watch candidate, not a confident prediction of a good run. The score does not assess today’s live price, going, distance, draw or opposition. |
|
31
High
Why 31?Late Support Converter +14 · Efficient Winner +8 · Market Outperformer +8 · High Volatility −5 · sample +6 = 31. |
Belle Of Kt
Lingfield (AW) – 3:30
|
Runs: 13
Win%: 38.5
Beat SP: 38.5%
A/E: 2.11
SP ROI: 87.5%
Full evidence
SP P/L (1pt): 11.38 pts Average SP: 8.41 Late Support count (LS+SL): 3 Drift count (LD+SD): 3 Open→SP: supported 5, drifted 8 Average movement: 33.7% |
Late Support Converter
1/3 wins when supported late
Efficient Winner
38.5% wins and 38.5% beat SP
Market Outperformer
A/E 2.11
High Volatility
Why it’s here: It is here because the history triggered Late Support Converter and Efficient Winner, plus 1 further positive signal. Why High confidence: Confidence is High because there are 13 joined runs (12+). This means the profile is better established; it does not mean a high chance of winning. Good-run outlook — Mixed: There is meaningful market-behaviour evidence, but the case is mixed because of high volatility. Treat it as a watch candidate, not a confident prediction of a good run. The score does not assess today’s live price, going, distance, draw or opposition. |
