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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 06:09:04 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Lingfield (AW)
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Over Spiced
05:01 Lingfield (AW)
+2% (4.330 → 4.244)
Strongest market support today
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Over Spiced (2%) 05:01 Lingfield (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Sea Her Excel (-5.3%) 05:01 Lingfield (AW) | 3/1 10/3    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Killarney 🔒Leopardstown 🔒Lingfield (AW) ✓Newcastle (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Stratford 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:01Lingfield (AW) • 0m5f6y • Class 5
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Over Spiced (+0.47 probability points)
Weakest support: Sea Her Excel (-1.26 probability points)
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.12pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 21/46 won (45.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 9/2 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/2Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↑ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-1.12pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 4.1% • -1.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Jockey: Elle-May Croot(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.19pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/45 won (15.6%); Open→SP 8/48 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 19% (4/21).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (60%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 10/3
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.26pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.3% • -1.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.47pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/30 won (36.7%); Open→SP 8/25 won (32%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (56%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.47pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 2% • +0.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Robert Cowell
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.13pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/26 won (23.1%); Open→SP 9/29 won (31%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.7% • -0.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim & Suzi Best
Jockey: Tom Queally
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/7 won (57.1%); Open→SP 2/8 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2
17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.16pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.5% • +0.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 10/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Archie Watson
Jockey: William Cox
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.54pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/29 won (27.6%); Open→SP 7/30 won (23.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (4/16).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2
17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.54pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.1% • -0.54 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/42 won (21.4%); Open→SP 13/49 won (26.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.1% (9/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 1.9% • +0.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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