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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE
Odds database updated: 09:15:30 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Carlisle
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Heathers Feather
04:55 Carlisle
+23.1% (19.000 → 14.615)
Strongest market support today
⭐ STRONG FAV
Yellow Diamonds
04:55 Carlisle
+10.2% (2.900 → 2.605)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Hares Bredth
04:55 Carlisle
-30% (5.000 → 6.5)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Heathers Feather (23.1%) 04:55 Carlisle    WEAK FAVOURITE: Hares Bredth (-30%) 04:55 Carlisle | 4/1 11/2    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
8
Shown After Filters
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Active Signals (15%+)
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Carlisle ✓Kempton (AW) 🔒Sligo 🔒Worcester 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
04:55Carlisle 5f182y Class 6
4 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Heathers Feather (+1.58 probability points)

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Ryan Sexton
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.90pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/31 won (35.5%); Open→SP 11/36 won (30.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 47.1% (8/17).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (40%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 15/8Market avg 13/8
13/8 13/8 13/8 13/8 13/8 6/4 13/8 13/8 6/4 6/4
PRICE MOVE
+3.90pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 10.2% • +3.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/8 2.63 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/4
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Nigel Tinkler
Jockey: Alex Jary(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.26pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/31 won (22.6%); Open→SP 11/42 won (26.2%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 7/2 4/1 4/1 10/3 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.26pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 11.1% • +2.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/2
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: Dougie Costello
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/22 won (22.7%); Open→SP 5/23 won (21.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 5/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 4/1 4/1 4/1 5/1 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.04pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 10.9% • +2.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tracy Waggott
Jockey: Barry McHugh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.58pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/8 won (25%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Best at SP (50%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 18/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.58pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 23.1% • +1.58 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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