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Featured meeting preview: Carlisle
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Son
04:20 Carlisle
+23.4% (6.500 → 4.981)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Havana Prince
04:20 Carlisle
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Son (23.4%) 04:20 Carlisle    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Carlisle ✓Kempton (AW) 🔒Sligo 🔒Worcester 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
04:20Carlisle • 6f195y • Class 4
5 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Son (+4.69 probability points)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.46pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.69pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 23.4% • +4.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.30pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/64 won (23.4%); Open→SP 17/57 won (29.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.4% (7/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

2/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (38%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 9/2
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.42pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
2/3 placed when backed like this (67%).
When backed like this: 1/3 WON
Price change: 19.3% • +3.42 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.10pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 7.1% • +1.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (28%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.83pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/67 won (25.4%); Open→SP 21/71 won (29.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 3/1 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.70pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.7% • +0.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 6/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Mark Winn
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 9/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.04pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 16.9% • +2.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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