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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 09:06:16 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Carlisle
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Son
04:20 Carlisle
+22.5% (6.500 → 5.038)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Havana Prince
04:20 Carlisle
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Son (22.5%) 04:20 Carlisle    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Carlisle ✓Kempton (AW) 🔒Sligo 🔒Worcester 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
04:20Carlisle • 6f195y • Class 4
12 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Son (+4.46 probability points)
Weakest support: Hunky Dory (-5.88 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
Misunderstood → 7 → 5.5 (21.4%)
Hunky Dory → 29 → 23 (20.7%)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.46pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 4/1
9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.46pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 22.5% • +4.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.30pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/64 won (23.4%); Open→SP 17/57 won (29.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.4% (7/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

2/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (38%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 9/2
5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+3.30pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
2/3 placed when backed like this (67%).
When backed like this: 1/3 WON
Price change: 18.8% • +3.30 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (21.4%)
Late money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↓ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.14pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 7.4% • +1.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (28%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.83pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/67 won (25.4%); Open→SP 21/71 won (29.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 3/1 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.83pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.5% • +0.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 5/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jessica Macey
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.88pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/12 won (0%); Open→SP 1/18 won (5.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.88pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 10 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 23.1% • -2.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 7/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Mark Winn
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 9/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.01pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 16.7% • +2.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.14pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 11/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (43%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.14pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 75.3% • -6.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.31pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (40%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.31pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 4.1% • -0.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (13%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.97pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/49 won (34.7%); Open→SP 18/42 won (42.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.1% (11/18).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (70%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.97pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 34.3% • -1.97 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 20/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (31%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.88pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/17 won (17.6%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 7/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (20.7%)
Early money horse (57%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 9/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.88pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 142.7% • -5.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 22/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.88pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 20/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.88pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 22.7% • -0.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 28/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Seb Spencer
Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.86pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/11 won (18.2%); Open→SP 3/10 won (30%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
04:20Carlisle
Opened 25/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.86pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 28.7% • -0.86 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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