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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 03:53:41 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Curragh
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Railwayview Lady
04:00 Curragh
+23.8% (17.000 → 12.957)
Strongest market support today
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Railwayview Lady (23.8%) 04:00 Curragh    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
12
Shown After Filters
12
Active Signals (15%+)
1
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Chester 🔒Curragh ✓Killarney 🔒Lingfield (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Newton Abbot 🔒Redcar 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
04:00Curragh • 1m4f0y
12 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Railwayview Lady (+1.84 probability points)
Weakest support: My Girl Grace (-1.18 probability points)
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.27pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 6/5 → 7/2 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.27pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (+7.67pp); finished 3rd at Leopardstown (IRE) on 04 Jun 2026 (+0.91pp); finished 1st at Cork (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (+8.08pp); and finished 3rd at Cork (IRE) on 24 Apr 2026 (+1.90pp).
Price change: 1.2% • +0.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.27pp
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Ben Coen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 14/48 won (29.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/10 → 20/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (100%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.09pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (-15.95pp); finished 1st at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 01 Jul 2026 (-8.06pp); finished 2nd at Gowran Park (IRE) on 12 Jun 2026 (-1.53pp); and finished 8th at Curragh (IRE) on 23 May 2026 (-3.73pp).
Price change: 0.4% • -0.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.09pp
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: W McCreery
Jockey: W J Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.36pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/18 won (5.6%); Open→SP 2/15 won (13.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (60%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.36pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Galway (IRE) on 31 Jul 2026 (+2.08pp); finished 3rd at Punchestown (IRE) on 06 Jun 2026 (+6.35pp); finished 5th at Cork (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (+4.91pp); and finished 3rd at Navan (IRE) on 30 Mar 2026 (+7.58pp).
Price change: 8.7% • +1.36 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +1.36pp
Possible next price: 11/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (28%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Mrs John Harrington
Jockey: Shane Foley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.84pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/45 won (20%); Open→SP 10/39 won (25.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (7/19).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 7/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 15/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.84pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 24 May 2026 (+2.31pp).
Price change: 6.6% • +0.84 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 4.8pp+.
At 4.8pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: +0.84pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 14/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Declan McDonogh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
04:00Curragh
Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 0.3% • +0.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.03pp
Possible next price: 9/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: J S Bolger
Jockey: Wesley Joyce(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.03pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/4 won (0%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 7/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.03pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
6 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 16 Jul 2026 (-5.71pp); finished 4th at Curragh (IRE) on 26 Jun 2026 (-2.43pp); finished 7th at Curragh (IRE) on 24 May 2026 (-3.07pp); finished 7th at Roscommon (IRE) on 11 May 2026 (-1.67pp); finished 1st at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 27 Feb 2026 (-2.50pp); and finished 2nd at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 09 Jan 2026 (-1.24pp).
Price change: 9% • -1.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -1.03pp
Possible next price: 10/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: G M Lyons
Jockey: Reese Holohan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.18pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/21 won (33.3%); Open→SP 11/24 won (45.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 53.8% (7/13).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (67%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 8/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.18pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-10.59pp); and finished 1st at Leopardstown (IRE) on 04 Jun 2026 (-4.24pp).
Price change: 11.8% • -1.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.18pp
Possible next price: 11/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Slattery
Jockey: Andrew Slattery
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.24pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/52 won (21.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
04:00Curragh
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.24pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 2.8% • -0.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.24pp
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gavin Cromwell
Jockey: Robert Whearty
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.84pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/63 won (23.8%); Open→SP 14/68 won (20.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.3% (10/33).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
04:00Curragh
Opened 16/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.84pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 23.8% • +1.84 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +1.84pp
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: A Oliver
Jockey: Wayne Lordan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 5/17 won (29.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 20/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (67%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.
Price change: 0.9% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 18/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Shay Wallace(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Ballinrobe on 22 Jun 2026 (+2.50pp); finished 8th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 05 May 2026 (+0.40pp); and finished 7th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 09 Apr 2026 (+0.58pp).
Price change: 0.9% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 28/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Gerard Keane
Jockey: Jack Kearney(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 3/15 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 11/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (45%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.01pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
55th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 11 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Dundalk (IRE) on 15 Aug 2026 (-1.49pp); finished 2nd at Down Royal (IRE) on 17 Jul 2026 (-4.91pp); finished 6th at Down Royal (IRE) on 20 Jun 2026 (-10.00pp); finished 7th at Sligo (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (-3.41pp); and finished 3rd at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 28 Jan 2026 (-1.24pp).
Price change: 0.2% • -0.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.01pp
Possible next price: 33/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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