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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 05:59:00 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Curragh
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Railwayview Lady
04:00 Curragh
+13% (17.000 → 14.783)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Marazion
04:00 Curragh
100% repeat strike (2 runs)
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Railwayview Lady (13%) 04:00 Curragh    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
12
Shown After Filters
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Active Signals (15%+)
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Chester 🔒Curragh ✓Killarney 🔒Lingfield (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Newton Abbot 🔒Redcar 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
04:00Curragh • 1m4f0y
5 runners
Market Intelligence
Weakest support: My Girl Grace (-1.15 probability points)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Ben Coen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 14/48 won (29.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/10 → 20/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (100%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.09pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (-15.95pp); finished 1st at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 01 Jul 2026 (-8.06pp); finished 2nd at Gowran Park (IRE) on 12 Jun 2026 (-1.53pp); and finished 8th at Curragh (IRE) on 23 May 2026 (-3.73pp).
Price change: 0.4% • -0.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.09pp
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: J S Bolger
Jockey: Wesley Joyce(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.03pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/4 won (0%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 7/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.03pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
6 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 16 Jul 2026 (-5.71pp); finished 4th at Curragh (IRE) on 26 Jun 2026 (-2.43pp); finished 7th at Curragh (IRE) on 24 May 2026 (-3.07pp); finished 7th at Roscommon (IRE) on 11 May 2026 (-1.67pp); finished 1st at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 27 Feb 2026 (-2.50pp); and finished 2nd at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 09 Jan 2026 (-1.24pp).
Price change: 9% • -1.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -1.03pp
Possible next price: 10/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: G M Lyons
Jockey: Reese Holohan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.15pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/21 won (33.3%); Open→SP 11/24 won (45.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 53.8% (7/13).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (67%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 8/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.15pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-10.59pp); and finished 1st at Leopardstown (IRE) on 04 Jun 2026 (-4.24pp).
Price change: 11.6% • -1.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.15pp
Possible next price: 11/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Slattery
Jockey: Andrew Slattery
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.23pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/52 won (21.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
04:00Curragh
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.16pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 1.8% • -0.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.16pp
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Gerard Keane
Jockey: Jack Kearney(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 3/15 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 11/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (45%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.01pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
55th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 11 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Dundalk (IRE) on 15 Aug 2026 (-1.49pp); finished 2nd at Down Royal (IRE) on 17 Jul 2026 (-4.91pp); finished 6th at Down Royal (IRE) on 20 Jun 2026 (-10.00pp); finished 7th at Sligo (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (-3.41pp); and finished 3rd at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 28 Jan 2026 (-1.24pp).
Price change: 0.2% • -0.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.01pp
Possible next price: 33/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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