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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 05:54:42 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Curragh
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Railwayview Lady
04:00 Curragh
+13% (17.000 → 14.783)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Marazion
04:00 Curragh
100% repeat strike (2 runs)
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Railwayview Lady (13%) 04:00 Curragh    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
12
Shown After Filters
7
Active Signals (15%+)
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Chester 🔒Curragh ✓Killarney 🔒Lingfield (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Newton Abbot 🔒Redcar 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
04:00Curragh • 1m4f0y
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Railwayview Lady (+0.88 probability points)
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.27pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 6/5 → 7/2 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.27pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (+7.67pp); finished 3rd at Leopardstown (IRE) on 04 Jun 2026 (+0.91pp); finished 1st at Cork (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (+8.08pp); and finished 3rd at Cork (IRE) on 24 Apr 2026 (+1.90pp).
Price change: 1.2% • +0.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.27pp
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: W McCreery
Jockey: W J Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.58pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/18 won (5.6%); Open→SP 2/15 won (13.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (60%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.58pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Galway (IRE) on 31 Jul 2026 (+2.08pp); finished 3rd at Punchestown (IRE) on 06 Jun 2026 (+6.35pp); finished 5th at Cork (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (+4.91pp); and finished 3rd at Navan (IRE) on 30 Mar 2026 (+7.58pp).
Price change: 9.9% • +1.58 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +1.58pp
Possible next price: 10/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (28%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 04:05
Now 25.9% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Mrs John Harrington
Jockey: Shane Foley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.94pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/45 won (20%); Open→SP 10/39 won (25.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (7/19).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 7/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 15/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.94pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 24 May 2026 (+2.31pp).
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
Price change: 7.4% • +0.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 4.8pp+.
At 4.8pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: +0.94pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 14/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Declan McDonogh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
04:00Curragh
Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 0.5% • +0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gavin Cromwell
Jockey: Robert Whearty
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.88pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/63 won (23.8%); Open→SP 14/68 won (20.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.3% (10/33).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
04:00Curragh
Opened 16/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.88pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 13% • +0.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.88pp
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Shay Wallace(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Ballinrobe on 22 Jun 2026 (+2.50pp); finished 8th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 05 May 2026 (+0.40pp); and finished 7th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 09 Apr 2026 (+0.58pp).
Price change: 0.9% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 28/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: A Oliver
Jockey: Wayne Lordan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 5/17 won (29.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 20/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (67%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.
Price change: 0.9% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 18/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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