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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 06:06:02 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Lingfield (AW)
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Francisco
03:20 Lingfield (AW)
+3.8% (10.000 → 9.62)
Strongest market support today
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Francisco (3.8%) 03:20 Lingfield (AW)    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
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Active Signals (15%+)
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Killarney 🔒Leopardstown 🔒Lingfield (AW) ✓Newcastle (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Stratford 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
03:20Lingfield (AW) • 1m0f1y • Class 6
12 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Francisco (+0.40 probability points)
Weakest support: Withoutfurtherado (-0.31 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
Dandy Khan → 6.5 → 5.5 (15.4%)
Muy Muy Loco → 13 → 10 (23.1%)
Warrnambool → 13 → 11 (15.4%)
Withoutfurtherado → 19 → 15 (21.1%)

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.32pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/68 won (30.9%); Open→SP 18/72 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.3% (11/28).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (75%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2
5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.32pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.1% • -0.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 5/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Jim Boyle
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.20pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 8/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (15.4%)
Best at SP (31%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.20pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
85th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 2 of 13 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.1% • -0.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/2
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) stands at 2 placed efforts from 10 runs. Today's market is 56% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 12.6.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Morris
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/30 won (6.7%); Open→SP 3/26 won (11.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (42%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.3% • +0.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Richard Phillips
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 26% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 9.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lawrence Mullaney
Jockey: Alec Voikhansky
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.11pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.11pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.9% • -0.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 10/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Chamings
Jockey: Alfie Redman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.40pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 17/2
17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.40pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3.8% • +0.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 3 runs. The current market is 37% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 7.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon Dow
Jockey: Tyler Heard
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.18pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/14 won (28.6%); Open→SP 4/13 won (30.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 75% (3/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 13/8 | Avg: 13/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (23.1%)
Early money horse (50%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.18pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2% • -0.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/3 at Lingfield (AW). The average SP at this course is 5.9 and today's market has the horse trading 91% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Nick Littmoden
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.26pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (15.4%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.26pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 2.9% • -0.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Laura Mongan
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.05pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (33%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.05pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.6% • -0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 240% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 3.9.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Teal
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/21 won (19%); Open→SP 5/20 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.2% • -0.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck
Jockey: Dougie Costello
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.31pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/5 won (40%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (21.1%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.31pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 4.8% • -0.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Pattinson
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.07pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 2.9% • -0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 66/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Lingfield (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 17.0, today's price is 148% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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