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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 03:30:45 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Lingfield (AW)
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Manton Road
03:20 Lingfield (AW)
+1.1% (7.000 → 6.92)
Strongest market support today
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Manton Road (1.1%) 03:20 Lingfield (AW)    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
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Active Signals (15%+)
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Killarney 🔒Leopardstown 🔒Lingfield (AW) ✓Newcastle (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Stratford 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
03:20Lingfield (AW) • 1m0f1y • Class 6
12 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Manton Road (+0.17 probability points)
Weakest support: Nubough (-0.43 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
Muy Muy Loco → 12 → 10 (16.7%)

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/68 won (30.9%); Open→SP 18/72 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.3% (11/28).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (75%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2
5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.20pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.7% • +0.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Jim Boyle
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.13pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 8/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (31%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
85th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 2 of 13 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.7% • -0.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/2
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 2 placed efforts from 10 runs at Lingfield (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 12.6, today's price is 56% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Morris
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/30 won (6.7%); Open→SP 3/26 won (11.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (42%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.3% • +0.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Richard Phillips
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.17pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.17pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.1% • +0.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Lingfield (AW) on our records. Today's market is 27% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 9.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lawrence Mullaney
Jockey: Alec Voikhansky
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.48pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.48pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.2% • -0.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Chamings
Jockey: Alfie Redman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.08pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.8% • +0.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 3 runs. The current market is 42% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 7.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon Dow
Jockey: Tyler Heard
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.24pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/14 won (28.6%); Open→SP 4/13 won (30.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 75% (3/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 13/8 | Avg: 13/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (16.7%)
Early money horse (50%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2.7% • -0.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 8/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 3 starts at Lingfield (AW). Historical course average SP is 5.9, while today's market is 92% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Nick Littmoden
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.38pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.38pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 4.4% • -0.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Laura Mongan
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (33%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.02pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 0.3% • +0.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 2 starts at Lingfield (AW). Historical course average SP is 3.9, while today's market is 237% bigger than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Teal
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/21 won (19%); Open→SP 5/20 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.2% • -0.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck
Jockey: Dougie Costello
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.31pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/5 won (40%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.31pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 4.8% • -0.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Pattinson
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.43pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (50%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.43pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 21.5% • -0.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 66/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 193% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 17.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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