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Featured meeting preview: Carlisle
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Reenie's Dream
03:13 Carlisle
+16.7% (4.500 → 3.75)
Strongest market support today
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Fate's Gambit
03:13 Carlisle
-23.6% (5.000 → 6.18)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Reenie's Dream (16.7%) 03:13 Carlisle    WEAK FAVOURITE: Why Because (-43.1%) 03:13 Carlisle | 7/2 11/2    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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10
Shown After Filters
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Active Signals (15%+)
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Carlisle ✓Kempton (AW) 🔒Sligo 🔒Worcester 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
03:13Carlisle • 6f195y • Class 6
2 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Reenie's Dream (+4.44 probability points)

Trainer: Bryan Smart
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.90pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/18 won (27.8%); Open→SP 4/18 won (22.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 7/2Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+4.44pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 16.7% • +4.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 3/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/52 won (25%); Open→SP 9/44 won (20.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (5/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (33%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.10pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 0.9% • +0.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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