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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 08:03:00 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Carlisle
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Reenie's Dream
03:13 Carlisle
+16.7% (4.500 → 3.75)
Strongest market support today
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Fate's Gambit
03:13 Carlisle
-23.6% (5.000 → 6.18)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Reenie's Dream (16.7%) 03:13 Carlisle    WEAK FAVOURITE: Why Because (-43.1%) 03:13 Carlisle | 7/2 11/2    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Carlisle ✓Kempton (AW) 🔒Sligo 🔒Worcester 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
03:13Carlisle • 6f195y • Class 6
10 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Reenie's Dream (+4.44 probability points)
Weakest support: Why Because (-6.69 probability points)

Trainer: Bryan Smart
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.90pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/18 won (27.8%); Open→SP 4/18 won (22.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 7/2Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+4.44pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 16.7% • +4.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 3/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.33pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 10/3 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (38%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.89pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 10.4% • -1.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ruth Carr
Jockey: James Sullivan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/62 won (17.7%); Open→SP 12/66 won (18.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.82pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 23.6% • -3.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Paul Midgley
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/29 won (17.2%); Open→SP 5/32 won (15.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (2/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 7/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-6.69pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

31 Jul 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 5
03 Jul 26 | Doncaster | Open: 16/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 7
21 May 26 | Catterick | Open: 20/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 4
30 Apr 26 | Redcar | Open: 6/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 43.1% • -6.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/52 won (25%); Open→SP 9/44 won (20.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (5/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (33%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.10pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 0.9% • +0.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.30pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/58 won (17.2%); Open→SP 8/59 won (13.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:13Carlisle
Opened 17/2Market avg 9/1
17/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.55pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 5.5% • -0.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Wainwright
Jockey: Gianluca Sanna(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.52pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 6.6% • -0.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 14/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/17 won (17.6%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:13Carlisle
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.57pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 7.3% • -0.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Donald Whillans
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.71pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/12 won (33.3%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (67%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 16/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.10pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

19 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 7/1 → Final: 9/1 | SP: 7/1 | Fin: 4
11 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 7
27 Feb 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 7/2 → Final: 9/2 | SP: 4/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 23% • -1.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
Possible next price: 22/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Brian Rothwell
Jockey: Faye McManoman
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.33pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (71%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 50/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.33pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 20.4% • -0.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 71 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 80/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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