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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 05:54:42 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Curragh
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Ibelieveicanfly
02:50 Curragh
+1.8% (9.500 → 9.326)
Strongest market support today
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Ibelieveicanfly (1.8%) 02:50 Curragh    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
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Active Signals (15%+)
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Chester 🔒Curragh ✓Killarney 🔒Lingfield (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Newton Abbot 🔒Redcar 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:50Curragh • 0m7f0y • Class 1
5 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Ibelieveicanfly (+0.20 probability points)
Weakest support: Dancing Destiny (-0.09 probability points)
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: A P O'Brien
Jockey: Wayne Lordan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/55 won (36.4%); Open→SP 24/62 won (38.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.7% (14/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 1/5 → 11/4 | Avg: 5/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
02:50Curragh
Opened 5/6Market avg 5/6
5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 ↑ 10/11
PRICE MOVE
+0.18pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Curragh (IRE) on 28 Jun 2026 (+6.90pp).
Price change: 0.3% • +0.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/11 1.91 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 3.57pp+.
At 3.57pp+: 3/3 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: +0.18pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: EVS
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:50Curragh
Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4
7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.13pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 0.4% • +0.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 2 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.13pp
Possible next price: 7/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: A P O'Brien
Jockey: Ronan Whelan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/55 won (36.4%); Open→SP 24/62 won (38.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.7% (14/30).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 9/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
02:50Curragh
Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2
17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.20pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 04 Jun 2026 (+15.99pp).
Price change: 1.8% • +0.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.20pp
Possible next price: 10/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Declan McDonogh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 22/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
02:50Curragh
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.09pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Leopardstown (IRE) on 23 Jul 2026 (-2.40pp); finished 1st at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-3.33pp); and finished 1st at Roscommon (IRE) on 11 May 2026 (-4.07pp).
Price change: 0.9% • -0.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.09pp
Possible next price: 11/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Chris Hayes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.02pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:50Curragh
Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.02pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 0.5% • -0.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.02pp
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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