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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 06:47:18 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Carlisle
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Peace Belle
02:38 Carlisle
+13.1% (1.440 → 1.251)
Strongest market support today
⭐ STRONG FAV
Peace Belle
02:38 Carlisle
+13.1% (1.440 → 1.251)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Green Area
02:38 Carlisle
-17.8% (2.750 → 3.24)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Peace Belle (13.1%) 02:38 Carlisle    WEAK FAVOURITE: Green Area (-17.8%) 02:38 Carlisle | 7/4 9/4    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Carlisle ✓Kempton (AW) 🔒Sligo 🔒Worcester 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:38Carlisle • 1m3f39y • Class 3
4 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Peace Belle (+10.49 probability points)
Weakest support: Lazy In Red (-1.31 probability points)

Trainer: Jennie Candlish
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.54pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/43 won (23.3%); Open→SP 11/50 won (22%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 23.1% (6/26).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (75%)
02:38Carlisle
Opened 4/9Market avg 1/4
1/4 → 1/4 → 1/4 ↓ 2/9 ↑ 1/4 → 1/4 → 1/4 → 1/4 → 1/4 → 1/4
PRICE MOVE
+10.49pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 13.1% • +10.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/10 1.3 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 10–12pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 44% another 2pp • 32% another 3pp • 21% another 5pp (n=488)
Possible next price: 1/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/83 won (24.1%); Open→SP 18/79 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.1% (12/46).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 8/15 → 10/3 | Avg: 15/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:38Carlisle
Opened 4/7Market avg 4/7
4/7 → 4/7
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/7 1.57 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.02pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/85 won (18.8%); Open→SP 20/92 won (21.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.4% (11/32).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
02:38Carlisle
Opened 7/4Market avg 9/4
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
-5.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 17.8% • -5.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Donald Whillans
Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.27pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/12 won (33.3%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
02:38Carlisle
Opened 20/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.31pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 38.1% • -1.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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