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Odds database updated: 03:56:31 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Lingfield (AW)
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🔥 BEST BACKED
King Cherry
04:30 Lingfield (AW)
+17.5% (19.000 → 15.667)
Strongest market support today
STRONGEST SUPPORT: King Cherry (17.5%) 04:30 Lingfield (AW)    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Killarney 🔒Leopardstown 🔒Lingfield (AW) ✓Newcastle (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Stratford 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
04:30Lingfield (AW) • 0m6f1y • Class 6
8 runners
Market Intelligence
Weakest support: Love Alive (-1.16 probability points)

Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.66pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/31 won (29%); Open→SP 8/27 won (29.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 38.5% (5/13).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 11/4
3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4
PRICE MOVE
-0.66pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2.5% • -0.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Chelsea Banham
Jockey: Joey Haynes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/13 won (61.5%); Open→SP 8/15 won (53.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (6/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 6/4 | Avg: 6/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (67%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.08pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.4% • -0.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 4/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Lingfield (AW) on our records. Today's market is 97% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 159.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.27pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/45 won (24.4%); Open→SP 11/49 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (6/24).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.27pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.8% • -0.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.17pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/57 won (24.6%); Open→SP 12/54 won (22.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (7/21).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.17pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 1.3% • -0.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 6/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Appleby
Jockey: Alistair Rawlinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.03pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/52 won (23.1%); Open→SP 10/51 won (19.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.6% (9/26).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 15/8 | Avg: 15/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.03pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 0.3% • -0.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.16pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/54 won (40.7%); Open→SP 19/55 won (34.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.5% (8/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (22%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 17/2
15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.16pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 10.9% • -1.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Teal
Jockey: Dougie Costello
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.22pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/21 won (19%); Open→SP 5/20 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.22pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 3.9% • -0.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: S Woods
Jockey: Millie Wonnacott(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.17pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/15 won (20%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.17pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 3.3% • -0.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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