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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 04:56:58 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Curragh
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Moltophino
02:15 Curragh
+5.1% (17.000 → 16.13)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Finika
02:15 Curragh
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Moltophino (5.1%) 02:15 Curragh    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
12
Shown After Filters
12
Active Signals (15%+)
0
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Chester 🔒Curragh ✓Killarney 🔒Lingfield (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Newton Abbot 🔒Redcar 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:15Curragh • 0m6f0y
12 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Moltophino (+0.32 probability points)
Weakest support: Gavoo (-0.65 probability points)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Mulvany
Jockey: Wesley Joyce(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/19 won (10.5%); Open→SP 1/20 won (5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (43%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.21pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 17th at Curragh (IRE) on 23 May 2026 (+2.31pp); and finished 4th at Naas (IRE) on 09 May 2026 (+6.35pp).
Price change: 1% • +0.21 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.21pp
Possible next price: 3/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Edward Lynam
Jockey: W J Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/3 won (33.3%); Open→SP 2/6 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 17/2 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (71%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.07pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
7 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Aug 2026 (-7.07pp); finished 4th at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (-4.44pp); finished 1st at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-3.99pp); finished 5th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-6.25pp); finished 3rd at Naas (IRE) on 17 May 2026 (-4.62pp); finished 1st at Naas (IRE) on 27 Apr 2026 (-0.64pp); and finished 8th at Curragh (IRE) on 28 Mar 2026 (-4.86pp).
Price change: 0.4% • -0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.07pp
Possible next price: 9/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (15%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Ben Coen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 14/48 won (29.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.07pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Cork (IRE) on 04 Apr 2026 (-0.65pp).
Price change: 0.4% • -0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.79pp+.
At 2.79pp+: 2/3 finished 1st or 2nd (67%).
Today: -0.07pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 9/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daniel James Murphy
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/15 won (26.7%); Open→SP 5/15 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:15Curragh
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (37%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness
Jockey: Shane Foley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/40 won (25%); Open→SP 11/42 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (5/15).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 10/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (22%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.06pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-3.57pp); finished 6th at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (-3.07pp); finished 10th at Curragh (IRE) on 28 Mar 2026 (-2.82pp); and finished 7th at Curragh (IRE) on 15 Mar 2026 (-0.76pp).
Price change: 0.4% • -0.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 3.82pp+.
At 3.82pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: -0.06pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 6/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Marnane
Jockey: Andrew Slattery
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.65pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/23 won (17.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 5/6 | Avg: 5/6Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 15/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.65pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (-3.30pp); and finished 4th at Naas (IRE) on 09 May 2026 (-3.33pp).
Price change: 5.9% • -0.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.65pp
Possible next price: 8/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: H Rogers
Jockey: Siobhan Rutledge
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (29%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Navan on 11 Jul 2026 (+1.11pp); and finished 6th at Navan (IRE) on 25 Apr 2026 (+1.81pp).
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 8/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Edward Lynam
Jockey: Reese Holohan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/3 won (33.3%); Open→SP 2/6 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Navan (IRE) on 07 Jun 2026 (+4.17pp); and finished 7th at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Jun 2026 (+3.17pp).
Price change: 1.2% • +0.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.11pp
Possible next price: 10/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Andrew Kinsella
Jockey: Chris Hayes
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (50%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.32pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 9th at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (+2.38pp); finished 9th at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (+0.42pp); and finished 9th at Curragh (IRE) on 23 May 2026 (+5.24pp).
Price change: 5.1% • +0.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.32pp
Possible next price: 22/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: G M Lyons
Jockey: Jack Kearney(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/21 won (33.3%); Open→SP 11/24 won (45.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 53.8% (7/13).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.04pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-4.74pp); finished 8th at Dundalk (AW) on 12 Jul 2026 (-6.29pp); finished 4th at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-9.41pp); finished 7th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 05 Jun 2026 (-6.42pp); and finished 1st at Navan (IRE) on 16 May 2026 (-4.62pp).
Price change: 1% • -0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.04pp
Possible next price: 40/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: John James Feane
Jockey: Gavin Ryan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/9 won (22.2%); Open→SP 1/10 won (10%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (1/5).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.04pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 12th at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-6.59pp); finished 1st at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-1.57pp); finished 3rd at Cork (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-0.50pp); and finished 11th at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Jun 2026 (-0.50pp).
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 1% • -0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.04pp
Possible next price: 40/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Denis Gerard Hogan
Jockey: Jared Huggan(10)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/33 won (36.4%); Open→SP 13/35 won (37.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 54.5% (6/11).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Kempton (AW) on 20 May 2026 (+9.76pp); and finished 2nd at Southwell (AW) on 25 Apr 2026 (+0.91pp).
Price change: 1.3% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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