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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 04:59:36 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Curragh
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Ocean Echo
05:08 Curragh
+4% (29.000 → 27.826)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Beat The Devil
05:08 Curragh
100% repeat strike (2 runs)
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Ocean Echo (4%) 05:08 Curragh    WEAK FAVOURITE: Hugo's Girl (-8.3%) 05:08 Curragh | 9/2 5/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
31
Shown After Filters
31
Active Signals (15%+)
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Chester 🔒Curragh ✓Killarney 🔒Lingfield (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Newton Abbot 🔒Redcar 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:08Curragh • 0m6f0y
31 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Ocean Echo (+0.15 probability points)
Weakest support: Four Blondes (-0.88 probability points)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Thomas Dowling
Jockey: W J Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.39pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.39pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-5.56pp); finished 10th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 15 Apr 2026 (-1.40pp); and finished 3rd at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 20 Mar 2026 (-1.42pp).
Price change: 8.3% • -1.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -1.39pp
Possible next price: 6/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Ben Coen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.64pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 14/48 won (29.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.64pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Navan on 11 Jul 2026 (-2.78pp); finished 4th at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Jun 2026 (-2.42pp); finished 13th at Naas (IRE) on 09 May 2026 (-1.91pp); and finished 4th at Navan (IRE) on 25 Apr 2026 (-8.18pp).
Price change: 4.4% • -0.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.64pp
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Marnane
Jockey: Nathan Crosse
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.77pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/23 won (17.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.77pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 16 Aug 2026 (-4.44pp); finished 9th at Naas (IRE) on 22 Jul 2026 (-3.42pp); and finished 6th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 01 Jul 2026 (-3.33pp).
Price change: 6.1% • -0.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.77pp
Possible next price: 7/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: P J F Murphy
Jockey: Conor Cusack(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.51pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/4 won (0%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (43%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 13/2Market avg 15/2
7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.51pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Listowel (IRE) on 31 May 2026 (-4.27pp); and finished 8th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 11 Apr 2026 (-5.71pp).
Price change: 12.8% • -1.51 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.51pp
Possible next price: 17/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daniel McLoughlin
Jockey: Scott McCullagh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.35pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 2/12 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 17/2Market avg 9/1
17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.35pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Curragh (IRE) on 16 Aug 2026 (-7.19pp); finished 2nd at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-10.59pp); and finished 6th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 06 Mar 2026 (-3.62pp).
Price change: 3.4% • -0.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.35pp
Possible next price: 9/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Alan McIntyre
Jockey: Ronan Whelan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.48pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
05:08Curragh
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.48pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 6.2% • -0.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.48pp
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: K J Condon
Jockey: Reese Holohan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.74pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/7 won (42.9%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.74pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Aug 2026 (-8.81pp); finished 3rd at Navan on 11 Jul 2026 (-4.62pp); and finished 7th at Cork (IRE) on 04 Apr 2026 (-2.43pp).
Price change: 9.8% • -0.74 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.74pp
Possible next price: 16/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gavin Cromwell
Jockey: Jack Kearney(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/63 won (23.8%); Open→SP 14/68 won (20.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.3% (10/33).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (43%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.20pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 01 Jul 2026 (+9.72pp).
Price change: 2.9% • +0.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.20pp
Possible next price: 14/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness
Jockey: Adam Caffrey
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.47pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/40 won (25%); Open→SP 11/42 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (5/15).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 15/2 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (44%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.47pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
22th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
7 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Galway (IRE) on 27 Jul 2026 (-4.44pp); finished 2nd at Navan on 11 Jul 2026 (-3.17pp); finished 3rd at Limerick (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (-2.42pp); finished 12th at Curragh (IRE) on 23 May 2026 (-1.91pp); finished 5th at Roscommon (IRE) on 11 May 2026 (-0.65pp); finished 11th at Naas (IRE) on 27 Apr 2026 (-11.33pp); and finished 2nd at Gowran Park (IRE) on 08 Apr 2026 (-11.98pp).
Price change: 7.5% • -0.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.47pp
Possible next price: 12/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gerard O'Leary
Jockey: Shane Foley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.53pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/9 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.53pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 12th at Fairyhouse on 08 Jul 2026 (-8.33pp); finished 9th at Curragh (IRE) on 26 Jun 2026 (-0.92pp); and finished 5th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 15 Apr 2026 (-2.04pp).
Price change: 8.7% • -0.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.53pp
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.81pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.81pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 07 Aug 2026 (-4.27pp); finished 9th at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-4.44pp); and finished 4th at Fairyhouse on 08 Jul 2026 (-2.19pp).
Price change: 13.9% • -0.81 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.81pp
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness
Jockey: Sam Coen(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.57pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/40 won (25%); Open→SP 11/42 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (5/15).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 16 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (40%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.57pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
9 of 15 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-3.57pp); finished 7th at Ayr on 20 Jul 2026 (-1.40pp); finished 3rd at Limerick on 11 Jul 2026 (-0.65pp); finished 4th at Curragh (IRE) on 27 Jun 2026 (-3.11pp); finished 5th at Down Royal (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (-2.80pp); finished 3rd at Navan (IRE) on 07 Jun 2026 (-3.85pp); finished 5th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 26 May 2026 (-0.91pp); finished 4th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 20 Mar 2026 (-2.02pp); and finished 7th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 06 Mar 2026 (-1.44pp).
Price change: 10.7% • -0.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.57pp
Possible next price: 22/1
15 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daniel McLoughlin
Jockey: Jamie Powell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.59pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 2/12 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
05:08Curragh
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.59pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 11.3% • -0.59 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.59pp
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Fahey
Jockey: Joseph Harnett(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 5/19 won (26.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.40pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 12th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 12 Jun 2026 (-2.80pp).
Price change: 8.2% • -0.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.40pp
Possible next price: 20/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charles Weld
Jockey: Rory Mulligan(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.25pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (40%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.25pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-3.62pp); and finished 2nd at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-6.67pp).
Price change: 5.6% • -0.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.25pp
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch
Jockey: Orla Tynan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.34pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 20/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.34pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-2.04pp); finished 13th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 18 Jun 2026 (-8.33pp); finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Jun 2026 (-0.50pp); and finished 15th at Roscommon (IRE) on 18 May 2026 (-5.56pp).
Price change: 7.7% • -0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.34pp
Possible next price: 22/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ross O'Sullivan
Jockey: Siobhan Rutledge
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.88pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/42 won (28.6%); Open→SP 12/42 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30% (6/20).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
05:08Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.88pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 20.1% • -0.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.88pp
Possible next price: 28/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Conor David Maxwell
Jockey: Chris Hayes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/5 won (40%); Open→SP 2/5 won (40%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 33/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (25%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 22/1Market avg 25/1
22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.40pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
8 of 12 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-4.24pp); finished 5th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 03 Jul 2026 (-8.18pp); finished 1st at Naas on 24 Jun 2026 (-1.41pp); finished 12th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 05 Jun 2026 (-1.11pp); finished 11th at Navan (IRE) on 30 Mar 2026 (-4.81pp); finished 2nd at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 27 Feb 2026 (-0.98pp); finished 10th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 28 Jan 2026 (-3.21pp); and finished 5th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 13 Jan 2026 (-6.67pp).
Price change: 10.2% • -0.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.40pp
Possible next price: 25/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 01:03
Now 40.9% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Patrick Magee
Jockey: Declan McDonogh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.64pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/10 won (10%); Open→SP 0/7 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (25%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 22/1Market avg 25/1
22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.64pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 12 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-2.94pp); finished 7th at Sligo on 12 Jul 2026 (-2.04pp); finished 9th at Downpatrick (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-3.92pp); finished 5th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 01 Apr 2026 (-2.22pp); and finished 7th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 13 Mar 2026 (-9.76pp).
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 0/2 won
Price change: 17.4% • -0.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.64pp
Possible next price: 40/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Fahey
Jockey: Paddy Harnett(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 5/19 won (26.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (29%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 18 Jun 2026 (+4.85pp); finished 4th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 05 Jun 2026 (+0.51pp); and finished 6th at Cork (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (+0.95pp).
Price change: 4% • +0.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.15pp
Possible next price: 25/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daniel McLoughlin
Jockey: Nicola Burns(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.37pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 2/12 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:08Curragh
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.37pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 10.7% • -0.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.37pp
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eddie & Patrick Harty
Jockey: Jessica O'Gorman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.37pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.37pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 07 Aug 2026 (-5.19pp); finished 7th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 02 Jul 2026 (-5.00pp); and finished 15th at Curragh (IRE) on 19 Apr 2026 (-1.31pp).
Price change: 10.7% • -0.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.37pp
Possible next price: 40/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rory Anthony Devine
Jockey: Luke McAteer
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.39pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.39pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Limerick (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (-4.27pp); and finished 4th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 01 Jun 2026 (-1.03pp).
Price change: 11.2% • -0.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.39pp
Possible next price: 40/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Laura Hourigan
Jockey: Wayne Lordan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.52pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 1/2 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Late money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.52pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Sligo (IRE) on 05 Aug 2026 (-8.48pp).
Price change: 15.7% • -0.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.52pp
Possible next price: 50/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Conor David Maxwell
Jockey: James Ryan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.41pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/5 won (40%); Open→SP 2/5 won (40%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (75%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 28/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.41pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 01 Jul 2026 (-3.34pp).
Price change: 13.3% • -0.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.41pp
Possible next price: 33/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Paul W Flynn
Jockey: Leigh Roche
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.44pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/22 won (18.2%); Open→SP 4/19 won (21.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.9% (3/7).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 28/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.44pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 18th at Navan (IRE) on 07 Jun 2026 (-1.53pp).
Price change: 14.5% • -0.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.44pp
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Thomas Mullins
Jockey: N G McCullagh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/4 won (0%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Galway (IRE) on 28 Jul 2026 (+0.47pp); and finished 4th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 10 May 2026 (+0.50pp).
Price change: 3% • +0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 40/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Anthony Mullins
Jockey: Gavin Ryan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/6 won (0%); Open→SP 0/4 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 6 previous runs.
Price change: 1.9% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 40/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daniel McLoughlin
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 2/12 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 50/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 50/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (29%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 13th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 23 Jan 2026 (+6.68pp).
Price change: 1.6% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 40/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: T G McCourt
Jockey: Wesley Joyce(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/10 won (10%); Open→SP 0/12 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (60%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.
Price change: 3.4% • +0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 50/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Edward Lynam
Jockey: Keithen Kennedy(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/3 won (33.3%); Open→SP 2/6 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:08Curragh
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 2% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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