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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 04:56:58 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Curragh
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🔥 BEST BACKED
The Austrian
01:40 Curragh
+9% (15.000 → 13.652)
Strongest market support today
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
STRONGEST SUPPORT: The Austrian (9%) 01:40 Curragh    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
14
Shown After Filters
14
Active Signals (15%+)
0
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Chester 🔒Curragh ✓Killarney 🔒Lingfield (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Newton Abbot 🔒Redcar 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
01:40Curragh • 1m2f0y
14 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: The Austrian (+0.66 probability points)
Weakest support: Montevetro (-0.67 probability points)

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.75pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 13/8Market avg 13/8
13/8 → 13/8 ↓ 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 13/8
PRICE MOVE
+0.75pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 1.9% • +0.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/8 2.63 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.75pp
Possible next price: 7/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: D K Weld
Jockey: Chris Hayes
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/16 won (31.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 11/4Market avg 5/2
11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+1.21pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 4.3% • +1.21 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +1.21pp
Possible next price: 2/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Robson De Aguiar
Jockey: Ben Coen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.14pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/23 won (21.7%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.14pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 8% • -1.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -1.14pp
Possible next price: 7/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: A Oliver
Jockey: W J Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.63pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 5/17 won (29.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 15/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.63pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 5.6% • -0.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.63pp
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: D K Weld
Jockey: Leigh Roche
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.66pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/16 won (31.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 50/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 50/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2
8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.66pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 6.3% • -0.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.66pp
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rory Anthony Devine
Jockey: Luke McAteer
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.55pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 17/2Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.55pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 5.5% • -0.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.55pp
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Slattery
Jockey: Andrew Slattery
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.56pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/52 won (21.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
01:40Curragh
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.56pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Galway (IRE) on 29 Jul 2026 (-1.67pp); and finished 4th at Curragh (IRE) on 26 Jun 2026 (-4.12pp).
Price change: 7.2% • -0.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.56pp
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mrs John Harrington
Jockey: Shane Foley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.66pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/45 won (20%); Open→SP 10/39 won (25.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (7/19).
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 14/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.66pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 9% • +0.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.66pp
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Denis Gerard Hogan
Jockey: Seamie Heffernan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.67pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/33 won (36.4%); Open→SP 13/35 won (37.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 54.5% (6/11).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 7/4 | Avg: 7/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
01:40Curragh
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.67pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 12.8% • -0.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.67pp
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jack Foley
Jockey: Adam Caffrey
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:40Curragh
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 2.2% • +0.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Kinirons
Jockey: Robbie Colgan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/11 won (27.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 2.6% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Dermot Kilmartin
Jockey: Ronan Whelan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 80/1Market avg 80/1
80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.01pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 0.6% • -0.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.01pp
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eddie & Patrick Harty
Jockey: Jamie Powell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 80/1Market avg 80/1
80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.01pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 0.6% • -0.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.01pp
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig O'Neill
Jockey: Jessica O'Gorman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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