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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 04:53:36 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Lingfield (AW)
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Red Hat Eagle
03:55 Lingfield (AW)
+16.9% (7.000 → 5.82)
Strongest market support today
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Red Hat Eagle (16.9%) 03:55 Lingfield (AW)    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Killarney 🔒Leopardstown 🔒Lingfield (AW) ✓Newcastle (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Stratford 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
03:55Lingfield (AW) • 0m7f2y • Class 5
13 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Red Hat Eagle (+2.90 probability points)
Weakest support: Dontspoilasale (-0.27 probability points)

Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.41pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 25/65 won (38.5%); Open→SP 23/63 won (36.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.2% (14/34).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 10/3
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.41pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 6% • +1.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 3/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.65pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/54 won (40.7%); Open→SP 19/55 won (34.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.5% (8/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.65pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 8.3% • +1.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Dragon Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.90pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/45 won (24.4%); Open→SP 11/49 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (6/24).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (29%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 5/1
9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.90pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 7 previous runs.
0/3 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/3 WON
Price change: 16.9% • +2.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Lingfield (AW). The current market is 37% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 9.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: S Woods
Jockey: Millie Wonnacott(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.34pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/15 won (20%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.34pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 8.6% • +1.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (41%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.46pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/29 won (24.1%); Open→SP 7/34 won (20.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 60% (6/10).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 5/2 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (56%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.46pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.2% • +0.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Chamings
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.39pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.39pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 3.6% • +0.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jack Morland
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.72pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/15 won (13.3%); Open→SP 3/12 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.72pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 8% • +0.72 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 10/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Denis Coakley
Jockey: George Bass
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/14 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/10 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (50%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.7% • +0.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joe Tickle
Jockey: Rhys Clutterbuck
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/14 won (21.4%); Open→SP 5/16 won (31.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.6% • +0.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Hayley Burton
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.23pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/11 won (45.5%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.23pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 4.2% • +0.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 28/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (22%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Craig Benton
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 10/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (40%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.07pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.3% • -0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 28/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 2/3 at Lingfield (AW). The average SP at this course is 17.5 and today's market has the horse trading close to its historical average.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim & Suzi Best
Jockey: Tom Queally
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.27pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/7 won (57.1%); Open→SP 2/8 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (45%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.27pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
45th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 11 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.9% • -0.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 22/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Vaughan
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/9 won (0%); Open→SP 1/9 won (11.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.08pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 2% • -0.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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