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Odds database updated: 03:41:29 • LIVE
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🔥 BEST BACKED
King Cherry
04:30 Lingfield (AW)
+17.5% (19.000 → 15.667)
Strongest market support today
STRONGEST SUPPORT: King Cherry (17.5%) 04:30 Lingfield (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Berkshire Regal (-9.8%) 02:45 Lingfield (AW) | 10/3 4/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Killarney 🔒Leopardstown 🔒Lingfield (AW) ✓Newcastle (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Stratford 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:10Lingfield (AW) • 0m5f6y • Class 5
9 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Leading Raya (+0.05 probability points)
Weakest support: Fancied Angel (-0.72 probability points)

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.22pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/31 won (35.5%); Open→SP 11/36 won (30.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 47.1% (8/17).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
02:10Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/5Market avg 4/5
4/5 → 4/5 ↑ 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6
PRICE MOVE
-0.22pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.4% • -0.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/6 1.83 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 5/6
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Tate
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.51pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/36 won (30.6%); Open→SP 14/38 won (36.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.9% (11/29).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (67%)
02:10Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2
5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-0.51pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.8% • -0.51 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 4/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.28pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/46 won (28.3%); Open→SP 16/46 won (34.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.4% (12/29).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
02:10Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.28pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2.3% • -0.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 17/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Parr
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.11pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/16 won (6.3%); Open→SP 1/14 won (7.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 12.5% (1/8).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:10Lingfield (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2
17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.11pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 1.1% • -0.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Robert Cowell
Jockey: Rhys Clutterbuck
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/26 won (23.1%); Open→SP 9/29 won (31%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:10Lingfield (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 4% • -0.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Dougie Costello
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 21/46 won (45.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
02:10Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 3% • +0.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.33pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/29 won (24.1%); Open→SP 7/34 won (20.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 60% (6/10).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:10Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.33pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 7.4% • -0.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 28/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Adam Kirby
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.72pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/26 won (26.9%); Open→SP 6/20 won (30%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:10Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.72pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 17.9% • -0.72 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Alicia Perkins(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:10Lingfield (AW)
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 6.6% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
02:45Lingfield (AW) • 1m0f1y • Class 3
8 runners

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/128 won (26.6%); Open→SP 38/139 won (27.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.3% (20/64).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (75%)
02:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened EVSMarket avg EVS
EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS ↑ 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10
PRICE MOVE
-0.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.8% • -0.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/10 2.1 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/10
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Jockey: Connor Planas
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.53pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 25/53 won (47.2%); Open→SP 27/65 won (41.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 51.6% (16/31).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.53pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 5.8% • +1.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 3/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.06pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 58/152 won (38.2%); Open→SP 57/158 won (36.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (34/85).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 4/1
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.06pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 9.8% • -2.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 6/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.28pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 25/65 won (38.5%); Open→SP 23/63 won (36.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.2% (14/34).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.28pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 2.3% • -0.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.02pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 25/102 won (24.5%); Open→SP 27/116 won (23.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31% (18/58).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 0.3% • -0.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Rhys Clutterbuck
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/34 won (41.2%); Open→SP 15/38 won (39.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 1.3% • +0.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.33pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/45 won (24.4%); Open→SP 11/49 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (6/24).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.33pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 7.4% • -0.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Attwater
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 2/19 won (10.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:45Lingfield (AW)
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 4.8% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
03:20Lingfield (AW) • 1m0f1y • Class 6
12 runners

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/68 won (30.9%); Open→SP 18/72 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.3% (11/28).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (75%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2
5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.20pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.7% • +0.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 3/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Jim Boyle
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.13pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 8/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (31%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
85th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 2 of 13 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.7% • -0.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/2
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 2/10 at Lingfield (AW). The average SP at this course is 12.6 and today's market has the horse trading 56% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Morris
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/30 won (6.7%); Open→SP 3/26 won (11.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (42%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.3% • +0.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Richard Phillips
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.17pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.12pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.9% • +0.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 8/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 27% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 9.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Lawrence Mullaney
Jockey: Alec Voikhansky
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.48pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.53pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.7% • -0.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 10/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Chamings
Jockey: Alfie Redman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.08pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.8% • +0.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/3 at Lingfield (AW). The average SP at this course is 7.0 and today's market has the horse trading 42% bigger than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon Dow
Jockey: Tyler Heard
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.24pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/14 won (28.6%); Open→SP 4/13 won (30.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 75% (3/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 13/8 | Avg: 13/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.30pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3.5% • -0.30 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 3 starts at Lingfield (AW). Historical course average SP is 5.9, while today's market is 94% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Nick Littmoden
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.38pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.38pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 4.4% • -0.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Laura Mongan
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (33%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.02pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 0.3% • +0.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 2 starts at Lingfield (AW). Historical course average SP is 3.9, while today's market is 237% bigger than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Teal
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/21 won (19%); Open→SP 5/20 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.2% • -0.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck
Jockey: Dougie Costello
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.31pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/5 won (40%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.34pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 5.3% • -0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Pattinson
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.43pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (50%)
03:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.43pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 21.5% • -0.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 50/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 193% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 17.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:55Lingfield (AW) • 0m7f2y • Class 5
13 runners

Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 25/65 won (38.5%); Open→SP 23/63 won (36.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.2% (14/34).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 10/3
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.14pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.9% • +1.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.65pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/54 won (40.7%); Open→SP 19/55 won (34.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.5% (8/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.65pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 8.3% • +1.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Dragon Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: S Woods
Jockey: Millie Wonnacott(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/15 won (20%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.24pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 8% • +1.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/45 won (24.4%); Open→SP 11/49 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (6/24).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (29%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 13/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Lingfield (AW). The current market is 24% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 9.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (41%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.49pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/29 won (24.1%); Open→SP 7/34 won (20.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 60% (6/10).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 5/2 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (56%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.49pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.4% • +0.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Chamings
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.46pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.46pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 4.2% • +0.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Denis Coakley
Jockey: George Bass
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.76pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/14 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/10 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (50%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.76pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 8.3% • +0.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jack Morland
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.76pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/15 won (13.3%); Open→SP 3/12 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.76pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 8.3% • +0.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 14/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joe Tickle
Jockey: Rhys Clutterbuck
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.98pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/14 won (21.4%); Open→SP 5/16 won (31.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.98pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 12.8% • +0.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Dragon Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Hayley Burton
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.43pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/11 won (45.5%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.43pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 7.6% • +0.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (22%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Craig Benton
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 10/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (40%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 22/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 2 placed efforts from 3 runs. The current market is close to its historical average against an average course SP profile of 17.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim & Suzi Best
Jockey: Tom Queally
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.27pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/7 won (57.1%); Open→SP 2/8 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (45%)
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.27pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
45th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 11 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.9% • -0.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Vaughan
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.05pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/9 won (0%); Open→SP 1/9 won (11.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:55Lingfield (AW)
Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.05pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 1.2% • -0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:30Lingfield (AW) • 0m6f1y • Class 6
12 runners

Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.66pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/31 won (29%); Open→SP 8/27 won (29.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 38.5% (5/13).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.66pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2.5% • -0.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jack Channon
Jockey: George Bass
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.92pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/29 won (17.2%); Open→SP 10/32 won (31.3%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 3/1
3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.92pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3.8% • +0.92 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Chelsea Banham
Jockey: Joey Haynes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/13 won (61.5%); Open→SP 8/15 won (53.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (6/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 6/4 | Avg: 6/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (67%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.08pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.4% • -0.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Lingfield (AW). The current market is 97% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 159.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.27pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/45 won (24.4%); Open→SP 11/49 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (6/24).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.27pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.8% • -0.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 15/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.17pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/57 won (24.6%); Open→SP 12/54 won (22.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (7/21).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.17pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 1.3% • -0.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 15/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Appleby
Jockey: Alistair Rawlinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.03pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/52 won (23.1%); Open→SP 10/51 won (19.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.6% (9/26).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 15/8 | Avg: 15/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.03pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 0.3% • -0.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 17/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.16pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/54 won (40.7%); Open→SP 19/55 won (34.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.5% (8/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (22%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 17/2
13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.16pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 10.9% • -1.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/46 won (28.3%); Open→SP 16/46 won (34.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.4% (12/29).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (20%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.12pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 17.5% • +1.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Archie Watson
Jockey: William Cox
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/29 won (27.6%); Open→SP 7/30 won (23.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (4/16).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (75%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.5% • +0.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 20/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/31 won (12.9%); Open→SP 5/37 won (13.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 18.8% (3/16).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 12/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 2 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) stands at 3 placed efforts from 6 runs. Today's market is 28% bigger than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 13.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Teal
Jockey: Dougie Costello
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.22pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/21 won (19%); Open→SP 5/20 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.22pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 3.9% • -0.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: S Woods
Jockey: Millie Wonnacott(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.17pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/15 won (20%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.17pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 3.3% • -0.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:01Lingfield (AW) • 0m5f6y • Class 5
7 runners
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.66pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 21/46 won (45.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 9/2 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2
5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-0.66pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 2.4% • -0.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Jockey: Elle-May Croot(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.17pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/45 won (15.6%); Open→SP 8/48 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 19% (4/21).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (60%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-0.17pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.7% • -0.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/30 won (36.7%); Open→SP 8/25 won (32%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (56%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.25pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.1% • +0.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Robert Cowell
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/26 won (23.1%); Open→SP 9/29 won (31%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Archie Watson
Jockey: William Cox
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.69pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/29 won (27.6%); Open→SP 7/30 won (23.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (4/16).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.69pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 6.7% • -0.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Coral
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim & Suzi Best
Jockey: Tom Queally
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.11pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/7 won (57.1%); Open→SP 2/8 won (25%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2
17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.11pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.1% • -0.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/42 won (21.4%); Open→SP 13/49 won (26.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.1% (9/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
05:01Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 1.9% • +0.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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