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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 05:06:05 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Curragh
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Railwayview Lady
04:00 Curragh
+15.6% (17.000 → 14.348)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Finika
02:15 Curragh
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Railwayview Lady (15.6%) 04:00 Curragh    WEAK FAVOURITE: Kizlyar (-8.5%) 04:35 Curragh | 7/2 4/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
103
Shown After Filters
103
Active Signals (15%+)
5
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Chester 🔒Curragh ✓Killarney 🔒Lingfield (AW) 🔒Newmarket (July) 🔒Newton Abbot 🔒Redcar 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
01:05Curragh • 0m7f0y
16 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Salt Lake (+0.81 probability points)
Weakest support: War Artist (-0.83 probability points)

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 11/8Market avg 11/8
11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 13/8
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: A P O'Brien
Jockey: Wayne Lordan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.91pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/55 won (36.4%); Open→SP 24/62 won (38.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.7% (14/30).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 3/1Market avg 11/4
3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.91pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 3.5% • +0.91 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Ben Coen
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 14/48 won (29.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1
17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: D K Weld
Jockey: Chris Hayes
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.53pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/16 won (31.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 17/2Market avg 8/1
17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.53pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 4.8% • +0.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: A P O'Brien
Jockey: Jack Cleary(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.54pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/55 won (36.4%); Open→SP 24/62 won (38.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.7% (14/30).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2
17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.54pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 5.1% • -0.54 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Robson De Aguiar
Jockey: Leigh Roche
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.81pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/23 won (21.7%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 11/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.81pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 8.9% • +0.81 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mrs John Harrington
Jockey: Shane Foley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/45 won (20%); Open→SP 10/39 won (25.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (7/19).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 1.8% • +0.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: G M Lyons
Jockey: James Ryan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.46pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/21 won (33.3%); Open→SP 11/24 won (45.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 53.8% (7/13).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.46pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 9.6% • -0.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Declan McDonogh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.48pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.48pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 10.1% • -0.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Seamie Heffernan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.83pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 14/48 won (29.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.83pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 18.8% • -0.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Jamie Powell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.41pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 14/48 won (29.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.41pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 9.5% • -0.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: N G McCullagh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 14/48 won (29.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.02pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 0.8% • +0.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Noel Meade
Jockey: W J Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/22 won (18.2%); Open→SP 7/34 won (20.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (2/8).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.09pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 3.7% • +0.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Donal Commins
Jockey: Wesley Joyce(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.02pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 1.2% • +0.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness
Jockey: Adam Caffrey
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/40 won (25%); Open→SP 11/42 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (5/15).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.02pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 1.2% • +0.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ms Sheila Lavery
Jockey: Robbie Colgan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/4 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:05Curragh
Opened 66/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 3.1% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 66/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
01:40Curragh • 1m2f0y
14 runners

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.75pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 13/8Market avg 13/8
13/8 → 13/8 ↓ 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 13/8
PRICE MOVE
+0.75pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 1.9% • +0.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/8 2.63 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.75pp
Possible next price: 7/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: D K Weld
Jockey: Chris Hayes
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/16 won (31.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 11/4Market avg 5/2
11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+1.21pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 4.3% • +1.21 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +1.21pp
Possible next price: 2/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Robson De Aguiar
Jockey: Ben Coen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.14pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/23 won (21.7%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.14pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 8% • -1.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -1.14pp
Possible next price: 7/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: A Oliver
Jockey: W J Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.63pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 5/17 won (29.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 15/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.63pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 5.6% • -0.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.63pp
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: D K Weld
Jockey: Leigh Roche
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.66pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/16 won (31.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 50/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 50/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2
8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.66pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 6.3% • -0.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.66pp
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rory Anthony Devine
Jockey: Luke McAteer
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.55pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 17/2Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.55pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 5.5% • -0.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.55pp
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Slattery
Jockey: Andrew Slattery
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.56pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/52 won (21.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
01:40Curragh
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.56pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Galway (IRE) on 29 Jul 2026 (-1.67pp); and finished 4th at Curragh (IRE) on 26 Jun 2026 (-4.12pp).
Price change: 7.2% • -0.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.56pp
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mrs John Harrington
Jockey: Shane Foley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.66pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/45 won (20%); Open→SP 10/39 won (25.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (7/19).
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 14/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.66pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 9% • +0.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.66pp
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Denis Gerard Hogan
Jockey: Seamie Heffernan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.67pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/33 won (36.4%); Open→SP 13/35 won (37.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 54.5% (6/11).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 7/4 | Avg: 7/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
01:40Curragh
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.67pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 12.8% • -0.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.67pp
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jack Foley
Jockey: Adam Caffrey
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:40Curragh
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 2.2% • +0.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Kinirons
Jockey: Robbie Colgan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/11 won (27.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 2.6% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Dermot Kilmartin
Jockey: Ronan Whelan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 80/1Market avg 80/1
80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.01pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 0.6% • -0.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.01pp
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eddie & Patrick Harty
Jockey: Jamie Powell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 80/1Market avg 80/1
80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.01pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 0.6% • -0.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.01pp
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig O'Neill
Jockey: Jessica O'Gorman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
01:40Curragh
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
02:15Curragh • 0m6f0y
12 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Mulvany
Jockey: Wesley Joyce(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/19 won (10.5%); Open→SP 1/20 won (5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (43%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.21pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 17th at Curragh (IRE) on 23 May 2026 (+2.31pp); and finished 4th at Naas (IRE) on 09 May 2026 (+6.35pp).
Price change: 1% • +0.21 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.21pp
Possible next price: 3/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Edward Lynam
Jockey: W J Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/3 won (33.3%); Open→SP 2/6 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 17/2 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (71%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.07pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
7 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Aug 2026 (-7.07pp); finished 4th at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (-4.44pp); finished 1st at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-3.99pp); finished 5th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-6.25pp); finished 3rd at Naas (IRE) on 17 May 2026 (-4.62pp); finished 1st at Naas (IRE) on 27 Apr 2026 (-0.64pp); and finished 8th at Curragh (IRE) on 28 Mar 2026 (-4.86pp).
Price change: 0.4% • -0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.07pp
Possible next price: 9/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (15%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Ben Coen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 14/48 won (29.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.07pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Cork (IRE) on 04 Apr 2026 (-0.65pp).
Price change: 0.4% • -0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.79pp+.
At 2.79pp+: 2/3 finished 1st or 2nd (67%).
Today: -0.07pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 9/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daniel James Murphy
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/15 won (26.7%); Open→SP 5/15 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:15Curragh
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (37%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness
Jockey: Shane Foley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/40 won (25%); Open→SP 11/42 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (5/15).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 10/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (22%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.06pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-3.57pp); finished 6th at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (-3.07pp); finished 10th at Curragh (IRE) on 28 Mar 2026 (-2.82pp); and finished 7th at Curragh (IRE) on 15 Mar 2026 (-0.76pp).
Price change: 0.4% • -0.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 3.82pp+.
At 3.82pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: -0.06pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 6/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Marnane
Jockey: Andrew Slattery
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.65pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/23 won (17.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 5/6 | Avg: 5/6Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 15/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.65pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (-3.30pp); and finished 4th at Naas (IRE) on 09 May 2026 (-3.33pp).
Price change: 5.9% • -0.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.65pp
Possible next price: 8/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: H Rogers
Jockey: Siobhan Rutledge
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (29%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Navan on 11 Jul 2026 (+1.11pp); and finished 6th at Navan (IRE) on 25 Apr 2026 (+1.81pp).
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 8/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Edward Lynam
Jockey: Reese Holohan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/3 won (33.3%); Open→SP 2/6 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Navan (IRE) on 07 Jun 2026 (+4.17pp); and finished 7th at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Jun 2026 (+3.17pp).
Price change: 1.2% • +0.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.11pp
Possible next price: 10/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Andrew Kinsella
Jockey: Chris Hayes
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (50%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.32pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 9th at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (+2.38pp); finished 9th at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (+0.42pp); and finished 9th at Curragh (IRE) on 23 May 2026 (+5.24pp).
Price change: 5.1% • +0.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.32pp
Possible next price: 22/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: G M Lyons
Jockey: Jack Kearney(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/21 won (33.3%); Open→SP 11/24 won (45.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 53.8% (7/13).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.04pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-4.74pp); finished 8th at Dundalk (AW) on 12 Jul 2026 (-6.29pp); finished 4th at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-9.41pp); finished 7th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 05 Jun 2026 (-6.42pp); and finished 1st at Navan (IRE) on 16 May 2026 (-4.62pp).
Price change: 1% • -0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.04pp
Possible next price: 40/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: John James Feane
Jockey: Gavin Ryan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/9 won (22.2%); Open→SP 1/10 won (10%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (1/5).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.04pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 12th at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-6.59pp); finished 1st at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-1.57pp); finished 3rd at Cork (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-0.50pp); and finished 11th at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Jun 2026 (-0.50pp).
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 1% • -0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.04pp
Possible next price: 40/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Denis Gerard Hogan
Jockey: Jared Huggan(10)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/33 won (36.4%); Open→SP 13/35 won (37.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 54.5% (6/11).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
02:15Curragh
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Kempton (AW) on 20 May 2026 (+9.76pp); and finished 2nd at Southwell (AW) on 25 Apr 2026 (+0.91pp).
Price change: 1.3% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
02:50Curragh • 0m7f0y • Class 1
5 runners
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: A P O'Brien
Jockey: Wayne Lordan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/55 won (36.4%); Open→SP 24/62 won (38.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.7% (14/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 1/5 → 11/4 | Avg: 5/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
02:50Curragh
Opened 5/6Market avg 5/6
8/11 ↑ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 → 4/5 ↑ 5/6 → 5/6 ↓ 4/5 ↑ 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6
PRICE MOVE
+0.18pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Curragh (IRE) on 28 Jun 2026 (+6.90pp).
Price change: 0.3% • +0.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/11 1.91 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 3.57pp+.
At 3.57pp+: 3/3 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: +0.18pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 5/6
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:50Curragh
Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4
13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.13pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 0.4% • +0.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 2 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.13pp
Possible next price: 7/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: A P O'Brien
Jockey: Ronan Whelan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/55 won (36.4%); Open→SP 24/62 won (38.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.7% (14/30).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 9/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
02:50Curragh
Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2
8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.20pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 04 Jun 2026 (+15.99pp).
Price change: 1.8% • +0.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.20pp
Possible next price: 15/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Declan McDonogh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 22/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
02:50Curragh
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.09pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Leopardstown (IRE) on 23 Jul 2026 (-2.40pp); finished 1st at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-3.33pp); and finished 1st at Roscommon (IRE) on 11 May 2026 (-4.07pp).
Price change: 0.9% • -0.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.09pp
Possible next price: 11/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Chris Hayes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.02pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:50Curragh
Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1
28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.02pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 0.5% • -0.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.02pp
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:25Curragh • 0m7f0y • Class 1
6 runners

Trainer: A P O'Brien
Jockey: Wayne Lordan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/55 won (36.4%); Open→SP 24/62 won (38.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.7% (14/30).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 1/2 → 1/2 | Avg: 1/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:25Curragh
Opened 11/8Market avg 11/8
11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 0.3% • +0.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.11pp
Possible next price: 11/8
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (6%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: J A Stack
Jockey: Seamie Heffernan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.59pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/8 won (12.5%); Open→SP 1/9 won (11.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 8/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:25Curragh
Opened 3/1Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+1.59pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 6% • +1.59 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 2 top-two finishes.
Today: +1.59pp
Possible next price: 11/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: A P O'Brien
Jockey: Ronan Whelan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.14pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/55 won (36.4%); Open→SP 24/62 won (38.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.7% (14/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 4/1 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:25Curragh
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.14pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Leopardstown (IRE) on 23 Jul 2026 (-3.90pp); and finished 4th at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-8.86pp).
Price change: 0.8% • -0.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.14pp
Possible next price: 9/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: P Twomey
Jockey: W J Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/30 won (26.7%); Open→SP 8/28 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (4/13).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
03:25Curragh
Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2
6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.08pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 0.6% • +0.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 13/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.74pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:25Curragh
Opened 7/1Market avg 15/2
7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.74pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 6.3% • -0.74 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.74pp
Possible next price: 15/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Declan McDonogh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:25Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 1.4% • +0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
04:00Curragh • 1m4f0y
12 runners
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.27pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 6/5 → 7/2 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+0.27pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (+7.67pp); finished 3rd at Leopardstown (IRE) on 04 Jun 2026 (+0.91pp); finished 1st at Cork (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (+8.08pp); and finished 3rd at Cork (IRE) on 24 Apr 2026 (+1.90pp).
Price change: 1.2% • +0.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.27pp
Possible next price: 10/3
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Ben Coen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 14/48 won (29.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/10 → 20/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (100%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.09pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (-15.95pp); finished 1st at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 01 Jul 2026 (-8.06pp); finished 2nd at Gowran Park (IRE) on 12 Jun 2026 (-1.53pp); and finished 8th at Curragh (IRE) on 23 May 2026 (-3.73pp).
Price change: 0.4% • -0.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.09pp
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: W McCreery
Jockey: W J Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.36pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/18 won (5.6%); Open→SP 2/15 won (13.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (60%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.69pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Galway (IRE) on 31 Jul 2026 (+2.08pp); finished 3rd at Punchestown (IRE) on 06 Jun 2026 (+6.35pp); finished 5th at Cork (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (+4.91pp); and finished 3rd at Navan (IRE) on 30 Mar 2026 (+7.58pp).
Price change: 10.6% • +1.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +1.69pp
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (28%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 04:05
Now 25.6% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Mrs John Harrington
Jockey: Shane Foley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.84pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/45 won (20%); Open→SP 10/39 won (25.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (7/19).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 7/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 15/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.98pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 24 May 2026 (+2.31pp).
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
Price change: 7.7% • +0.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 4.8pp+.
At 4.8pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: +0.98pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 5/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Declan McDonogh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
04:00Curragh
Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 0.3% • +0.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.03pp
Possible next price: 7/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: J S Bolger
Jockey: Wesley Joyce(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.03pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/4 won (0%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 7/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.03pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
6 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 16 Jul 2026 (-5.71pp); finished 4th at Curragh (IRE) on 26 Jun 2026 (-2.43pp); finished 7th at Curragh (IRE) on 24 May 2026 (-3.07pp); finished 7th at Roscommon (IRE) on 11 May 2026 (-1.67pp); finished 1st at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 27 Feb 2026 (-2.50pp); and finished 2nd at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 09 Jan 2026 (-1.24pp).
Price change: 9% • -1.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -1.03pp
Possible next price: 11/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: G M Lyons
Jockey: Reese Holohan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.18pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/21 won (33.3%); Open→SP 11/24 won (45.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 53.8% (7/13).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (67%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 8/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.15pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-10.59pp); and finished 1st at Leopardstown (IRE) on 04 Jun 2026 (-4.24pp).
Price change: 11.6% • -1.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.15pp
Possible next price: 11/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Slattery
Jockey: Andrew Slattery
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.24pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/52 won (21.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
04:00Curragh
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.23pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 2.6% • -0.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.23pp
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gavin Cromwell
Jockey: Robert Whearty
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.84pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/63 won (23.8%); Open→SP 14/68 won (20.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.3% (10/33).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
04:00Curragh
Opened 16/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.09pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 15.6% • +1.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +1.09pp
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Shay Wallace(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Ballinrobe on 22 Jun 2026 (+2.50pp); finished 8th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 05 May 2026 (+0.40pp); and finished 7th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 09 Apr 2026 (+0.58pp).
Price change: 0.9% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 14/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: A Oliver
Jockey: Wayne Lordan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 5/17 won (29.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 20/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (67%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.
Price change: 0.9% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 18/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Gerard Keane
Jockey: Jack Kearney(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 3/15 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 11/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (45%)
04:00Curragh
Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.01pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
55th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 11 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Dundalk (IRE) on 15 Aug 2026 (-1.49pp); finished 2nd at Down Royal (IRE) on 17 Jul 2026 (-4.91pp); finished 6th at Down Royal (IRE) on 20 Jun 2026 (-10.00pp); finished 7th at Sligo (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (-3.41pp); and finished 3rd at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 28 Jan 2026 (-1.24pp).
Price change: 0.2% • -0.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.01pp
Possible next price: 20/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:35Curragh • 1m6f0y
7 runners

Trainer: P Twomey
Jockey: W J Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.41pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/30 won (26.7%); Open→SP 8/28 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (4/13).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 5/6 | Avg: 5/6Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
04:35Curragh
Opened 15/8Market avg 15/8
7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8
PRICE MOVE
+0.41pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Ascot on 18 Jun 2026 (+0.50pp); and finished 5th at Navan (IRE) on 25 Apr 2026 (+3.57pp).
Price change: 1.2% • +0.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/8 2.88 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.41pp
Possible next price: 15/8
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: A P O'Brien
Jockey: Wayne Lordan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.34pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/55 won (36.4%); Open→SP 24/62 won (38.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.7% (14/30).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
04:35Curragh
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+0.34pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 1.4% • +0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.73pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
04:35Curragh
Opened 7/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.73pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Ascot on 16 Jun 2026 (-1.90pp); finished 1st at Killarney (IRE) on 12 May 2026 (-2.78pp); and finished 9th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 27 Dec 2025 (-3.21pp).
Price change: 8.5% • -1.73 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -1.73pp
Possible next price: 4/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Noel Meade
Jockey: Adam Caffrey
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.59pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/22 won (18.2%); Open→SP 7/34 won (20.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (2/8).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 10/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (60%)
04:35Curragh
Opened 6/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.59pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 06 Aug 2026 (-4.70pp); finished 1st at Limerick (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (-2.78pp); finished 6th at Navan (IRE) on 25 Apr 2026 (-0.92pp); and finished 1st at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Apr 2026 (-3.33pp).
Price change: 4.3% • -0.59 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.59pp
Possible next price: 13/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Ben Coen
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 14/48 won (29.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 10/3 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
04:35Curragh
Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 7/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Declan McDonogh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (67%)
04:35Curragh
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.06pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Limerick (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (-1.10pp); and finished 4th at Navan (IRE) on 25 Apr 2026 (-2.32pp).
Price change: 0.6% • -0.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.06pp
Possible next price: 11/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Robson De Aguiar
Jockey: Seamie Heffernan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.38pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/23 won (21.7%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 50/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (38%)
04:35Curragh
Opened 28/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.38pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Down Royal (IRE) on 29 May 2026 (+4.62pp); and finished 3rd at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Apr 2026 (+4.44pp).
Price change: 9.9% • +0.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.38pp
Possible next price: 25/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
05:08Curragh • 0m6f0y
31 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Thomas Dowling
Jockey: W J Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.39pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.39pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-5.56pp); finished 10th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 15 Apr 2026 (-1.40pp); and finished 3rd at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 20 Mar 2026 (-1.42pp).
Price change: 8.3% • -1.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -1.39pp
Possible next price: 6/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J P Murtagh
Jockey: Ben Coen
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.64pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 14/48 won (29.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.64pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Navan on 11 Jul 2026 (-2.78pp); finished 4th at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Jun 2026 (-2.42pp); finished 13th at Naas (IRE) on 09 May 2026 (-1.91pp); and finished 4th at Navan (IRE) on 25 Apr 2026 (-8.18pp).
Price change: 4.4% • -0.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.64pp
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Marnane
Jockey: Nathan Crosse
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.77pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/23 won (17.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.77pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 16 Aug 2026 (-4.44pp); finished 9th at Naas (IRE) on 22 Jul 2026 (-3.42pp); and finished 6th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 01 Jul 2026 (-3.33pp).
Price change: 6.1% • -0.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.77pp
Possible next price: 7/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: P J F Murphy
Jockey: Conor Cusack(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.51pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/4 won (0%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (43%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 13/2Market avg 15/2
7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.51pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Listowel (IRE) on 31 May 2026 (-4.27pp); and finished 8th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 11 Apr 2026 (-5.71pp).
Price change: 12.8% • -1.51 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.51pp
Possible next price: 17/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daniel McLoughlin
Jockey: Scott McCullagh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.35pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 2/12 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 17/2Market avg 9/1
17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.35pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Curragh (IRE) on 16 Aug 2026 (-7.19pp); finished 2nd at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-10.59pp); and finished 6th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 06 Mar 2026 (-3.62pp).
Price change: 3.4% • -0.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.35pp
Possible next price: 9/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Alan McIntyre
Jockey: Ronan Whelan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.48pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
05:08Curragh
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.48pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 6.2% • -0.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.48pp
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: K J Condon
Jockey: Reese Holohan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.74pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/7 won (42.9%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.74pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Aug 2026 (-8.81pp); finished 3rd at Navan on 11 Jul 2026 (-4.62pp); and finished 7th at Cork (IRE) on 04 Apr 2026 (-2.43pp).
Price change: 9.8% • -0.74 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.74pp
Possible next price: 16/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gavin Cromwell
Jockey: Jack Kearney(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/63 won (23.8%); Open→SP 14/68 won (20.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.3% (10/33).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (43%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.20pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 01 Jul 2026 (+9.72pp).
Price change: 2.9% • +0.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.20pp
Possible next price: 14/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness
Jockey: Adam Caffrey
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.47pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/40 won (25%); Open→SP 11/42 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (5/15).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 15/2 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (44%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.47pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
22th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
7 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Galway (IRE) on 27 Jul 2026 (-4.44pp); finished 2nd at Navan on 11 Jul 2026 (-3.17pp); finished 3rd at Limerick (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (-2.42pp); finished 12th at Curragh (IRE) on 23 May 2026 (-1.91pp); finished 5th at Roscommon (IRE) on 11 May 2026 (-0.65pp); finished 11th at Naas (IRE) on 27 Apr 2026 (-11.33pp); and finished 2nd at Gowran Park (IRE) on 08 Apr 2026 (-11.98pp).
Price change: 7.5% • -0.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.47pp
Possible next price: 12/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gerard O'Leary
Jockey: Shane Foley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.53pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/9 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.53pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 12th at Fairyhouse on 08 Jul 2026 (-8.33pp); finished 9th at Curragh (IRE) on 26 Jun 2026 (-0.92pp); and finished 5th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 15 Apr 2026 (-2.04pp).
Price change: 8.7% • -0.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.53pp
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.81pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/129 won (26.4%); Open→SP 39/141 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (20/65).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.81pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 07 Aug 2026 (-4.27pp); finished 9th at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-4.44pp); and finished 4th at Fairyhouse on 08 Jul 2026 (-2.19pp).
Price change: 13.9% • -0.81 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.81pp
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness
Jockey: Sam Coen(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.57pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/40 won (25%); Open→SP 11/42 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (5/15).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 16 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (40%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.57pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
9 of 15 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-3.57pp); finished 7th at Ayr on 20 Jul 2026 (-1.40pp); finished 3rd at Limerick on 11 Jul 2026 (-0.65pp); finished 4th at Curragh (IRE) on 27 Jun 2026 (-3.11pp); finished 5th at Down Royal (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (-2.80pp); finished 3rd at Navan (IRE) on 07 Jun 2026 (-3.85pp); finished 5th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 26 May 2026 (-0.91pp); finished 4th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 20 Mar 2026 (-2.02pp); and finished 7th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 06 Mar 2026 (-1.44pp).
Price change: 10.7% • -0.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.57pp
Possible next price: 22/1
15 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daniel McLoughlin
Jockey: Jamie Powell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.59pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 2/12 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
05:08Curragh
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.59pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 11.3% • -0.59 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.59pp
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Fahey
Jockey: Joseph Harnett(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 5/19 won (26.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.40pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 12th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 12 Jun 2026 (-2.80pp).
Price change: 8.2% • -0.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.40pp
Possible next price: 20/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charles Weld
Jockey: Rory Mulligan(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.25pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (40%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.25pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-3.62pp); and finished 2nd at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-6.67pp).
Price change: 5.6% • -0.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.25pp
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch
Jockey: Orla Tynan(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.34pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 20/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.34pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-2.04pp); finished 13th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 18 Jun 2026 (-8.33pp); finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Jun 2026 (-0.50pp); and finished 15th at Roscommon (IRE) on 18 May 2026 (-5.56pp).
Price change: 7.7% • -0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.34pp
Possible next price: 22/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ross O'Sullivan
Jockey: Siobhan Rutledge
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.88pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/42 won (28.6%); Open→SP 12/42 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30% (6/20).
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
05:08Curragh
Opened 18/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.88pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 20.1% • -0.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.88pp
Possible next price: 28/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Conor David Maxwell
Jockey: Chris Hayes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/5 won (40%); Open→SP 2/5 won (40%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 33/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (25%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 22/1Market avg 25/1
22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.40pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
8 of 12 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-4.24pp); finished 5th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 03 Jul 2026 (-8.18pp); finished 1st at Naas on 24 Jun 2026 (-1.41pp); finished 12th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 05 Jun 2026 (-1.11pp); finished 11th at Navan (IRE) on 30 Mar 2026 (-4.81pp); finished 2nd at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 27 Feb 2026 (-0.98pp); finished 10th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 28 Jan 2026 (-3.21pp); and finished 5th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 13 Jan 2026 (-6.67pp).
Price change: 10.2% • -0.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.40pp
Possible next price: 25/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 01:03
Now 40.9% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Patrick Magee
Jockey: Declan McDonogh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.64pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/10 won (10%); Open→SP 0/7 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (25%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 22/1Market avg 25/1
22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.64pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 12 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-2.94pp); finished 7th at Sligo on 12 Jul 2026 (-2.04pp); finished 9th at Downpatrick (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-3.92pp); finished 5th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 01 Apr 2026 (-2.22pp); and finished 7th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 13 Mar 2026 (-9.76pp).
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 0/2 won
Price change: 17.4% • -0.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.64pp
Possible next price: 40/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Fahey
Jockey: Paddy Harnett(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 5/19 won (26.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (29%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 18 Jun 2026 (+4.85pp); finished 4th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 05 Jun 2026 (+0.51pp); and finished 6th at Cork (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (+0.95pp).
Price change: 4% • +0.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.15pp
Possible next price: 25/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daniel McLoughlin
Jockey: Nicola Burns(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.37pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 2/12 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:08Curragh
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.37pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Price change: 10.7% • -0.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.37pp
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eddie & Patrick Harty
Jockey: Jessica O'Gorman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.37pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.37pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 07 Aug 2026 (-5.19pp); finished 7th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 02 Jul 2026 (-5.00pp); and finished 15th at Curragh (IRE) on 19 Apr 2026 (-1.31pp).
Price change: 10.7% • -0.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.37pp
Possible next price: 40/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rory Anthony Devine
Jockey: Luke McAteer
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.39pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.39pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Limerick (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (-4.27pp); and finished 4th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 01 Jun 2026 (-1.03pp).
Price change: 11.2% • -0.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.39pp
Possible next price: 40/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Laura Hourigan
Jockey: Wayne Lordan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.52pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 1/2 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Late money horse (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.52pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Sligo (IRE) on 05 Aug 2026 (-8.48pp).
Price change: 15.7% • -0.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.52pp
Possible next price: 50/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Conor David Maxwell
Jockey: James Ryan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.41pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/5 won (40%); Open→SP 2/5 won (40%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (75%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 28/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.41pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 01 Jul 2026 (-3.34pp).
Price change: 13.3% • -0.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.41pp
Possible next price: 33/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Paul W Flynn
Jockey: Leigh Roche
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.44pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/22 won (18.2%); Open→SP 4/19 won (21.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.9% (3/7).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (33%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 28/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.44pp
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 18th at Navan (IRE) on 07 Jun 2026 (-1.53pp).
Price change: 14.5% • -0.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.44pp
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Thomas Mullins
Jockey: N G McCullagh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/4 won (0%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Galway (IRE) on 28 Jul 2026 (+0.47pp); and finished 4th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 10 May 2026 (+0.50pp).
Price change: 3% • +0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 40/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Anthony Mullins
Jockey: Gavin Ryan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/6 won (0%); Open→SP 0/4 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 6 previous runs.
Price change: 1.9% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 40/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daniel McLoughlin
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 2/12 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 50/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 50/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (29%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 13th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 23 Jan 2026 (+6.68pp).
Price change: 1.6% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 40/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: T G McCourt
Jockey: Wesley Joyce(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/10 won (10%); Open→SP 0/12 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (60%)
05:08Curragh
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.
Price change: 3.4% • +0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 50/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Edward Lynam
Jockey: Keithen Kennedy(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/3 won (33.3%); Open→SP 2/6 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:08Curragh
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Price change: 2% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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