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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 08:06:06 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Carlisle
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Golden Strike
04:20 Carlisle
+21.8% (7.000 → 5.473)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Havana Prince
04:20 Carlisle
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Golden Strike (21.8%) 04:20 Carlisle    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Active Signals (15%+)
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Carlisle ✓Kempton (AW) 🔒Sligo 🔒Worcester 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
04:20Carlisle • 6f195y • Class 4
12 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Golden Strike (+3.99 probability points)
Weakest support: Hunky Dory (-4.02 probability points)
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/64 won (23.4%); Open→SP 17/57 won (29.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.4% (7/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

2/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and similar moves have produced good results before.
Early money horse (38%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.99pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
2/3 placed when backed like this (67%).
When backed like this: 1/3 WON
Price change: 21.8% • +3.99 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.28pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
2/2 placed when backed like this (100%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 12.9% • +2.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.96pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.24pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 8% • +1.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jessica Macey
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/12 won (0%); Open→SP 1/18 won (5.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
42th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3.4% • -0.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 7/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (28%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.82pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/67 won (25.4%); Open→SP 21/71 won (29.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 3/1 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.51pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3.7% • -0.51 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 13/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Mark Winn
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 9/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.25pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 18.4% • +2.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Spreadex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.58pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 11/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (43%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 9/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.76pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 50% • -4.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (40%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.14pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.8% • +0.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (13%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.18pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/49 won (34.7%); Open→SP 18/42 won (42.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.1% (11/18).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (70%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.64pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 27.1% • -1.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 20/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (31%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.50pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/17 won (17.6%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 7/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (57%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 9/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 67.2% • -4.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.69pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 20/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.90pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 23.4% • -0.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Seb Spencer
Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.05pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/11 won (18.2%); Open→SP 3/10 won (30%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
04:20Carlisle
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.35pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 10% • -0.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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