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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 08:06:06 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Carlisle
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Barley
05:30 Carlisle
+35.6% (6.000 → 3.862)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Havana Prince
04:20 Carlisle
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Peace Belle
02:38 Carlisle
+10.3% (1.440 → 1.291)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Green Area
02:38 Carlisle
-28.8% (2.750 → 3.542)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Barley (35.6%) 05:30 Carlisle    WEAK FAVOURITE: Between Me And U (-51.6%) 05:30 Carlisle | 7/2 6/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Carlisle ✓Kempton (AW) 🔒Sligo 🔒Worcester 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:05Carlisle • 5f182y • Class 4
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Guadalevin (+4.77 probability points)
Weakest support: Oh So Slow Sloth (-2.56 probability points)

Trainer: Charlie Fellowes
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.27pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/25 won (20%); Open→SP 6/23 won (26.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (75%)
02:05Carlisle
Opened 5/4Market avg EVS
EVS ↑ 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10
PRICE MOVE
+4.77pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 9.7% • +4.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/10 2.1 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/10
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.56pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/19 won (42.1%); Open→SP 8/19 won (42.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (4/8).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
02:05Carlisle
Opened 2/1Market avg 9/4
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.42pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 7.8% • -2.42 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.20pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/49 won (34.7%); Open→SP 18/42 won (42.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.1% (11/18).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
02:05Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 15/2
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.82pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 24.6% • -2.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Adrian Keatley
Jockey: Barry McHugh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.22pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/7 won (42.9%); Open→SP 4/7 won (57.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:05Carlisle
Opened 11/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.84pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 9.2% • +0.84 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/58 won (17.2%); Open→SP 8/59 won (13.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
02:05Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.57pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 25.6% • -1.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.92pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/24 won (29.2%); Open→SP 8/30 won (26.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
02:05Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.56pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 49.8% • -2.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Ryan Sexton
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/31 won (35.5%); Open→SP 11/36 won (30.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 47.1% (8/17).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:05Carlisle
Opened 16/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.90pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 18.1% • -0.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
02:38Carlisle • 1m3f39y • Class 3
4 runners

Trainer: Jennie Candlish
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is +10.43pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 6/26 won (23.1%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (75%)
02:38Carlisle
Opened 4/9Market avg 2/7
2/7 → 2/7 → 2/7 ↑ 3/10 → 3/10 → 3/10 → 3/10 → 3/10 → 3/10 ↑ 1/3
PRICE MOVE
+8.01pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 10.3% • +8.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
1/3 1.33 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 54% shortened another 1pp • 46% another 2pp • 40% another 3pp • 30% another 5pp (n=418)
Possible next price: 4/11
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/83 won (24.1%); Open→SP 18/79 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.1% (12/46).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 8/15 → 10/3 | Avg: 15/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:38Carlisle
Opened 4/7Market avg 4/7
4/7 → 4/7
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/7 1.57 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.74pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/85 won (18.8%); Open→SP 20/92 won (21.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.4% (11/32).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
02:38Carlisle
Opened 7/4Market avg 5/2
5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4
PRICE MOVE
-8.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 28.8% • -8.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Donald Whillans
Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.41pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/12 won (33.3%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:38Carlisle
Opened 20/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.75pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 18.7% • -0.75 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Spreadex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:13Carlisle • 6f195y • Class 6
10 runners

Trainer: Bryan Smart
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.90pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/18 won (27.8%); Open→SP 4/18 won (22.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 7/2Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.44pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 16.7% • +4.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.33pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 10/3 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (38%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.89pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 10.4% • -1.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ruth Carr
Jockey: James Sullivan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/62 won (17.7%); Open→SP 12/66 won (18.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.82pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 23.6% • -3.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Paul Midgley
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/29 won (17.2%); Open→SP 5/32 won (15.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (2/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 7/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.69pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

31 Jul 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 5
03 Jul 26 | Doncaster | Open: 16/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 7
21 May 26 | Catterick | Open: 20/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 4
30 Apr 26 | Redcar | Open: 6/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 43.1% • -6.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/52 won (25%); Open→SP 9/44 won (20.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (5/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (33%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.10pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 0.9% • +0.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.30pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/58 won (17.2%); Open→SP 8/59 won (13.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:13Carlisle
Opened 17/2Market avg 9/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.55pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 5.5% • -0.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Wainwright
Jockey: Gianluca Sanna(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.52pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 6.6% • -0.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 12/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/17 won (17.6%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:13Carlisle
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.57pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 7.3% • -0.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Donald Whillans
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.71pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/12 won (33.3%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (67%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 16/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.10pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

19 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 7/1 → Final: 9/1 | SP: 7/1 | Fin: 4
11 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 7
27 Feb 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 7/2 → Final: 9/2 | SP: 4/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 23% • -1.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
Possible next price: 25/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Brian Rothwell
Jockey: Faye McManoman
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.33pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (71%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 50/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.33pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 20.4% • -0.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 71 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 80/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:48Carlisle • 6f195y • Class 6
9 runners
🟢 Needs Support (35%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Geoffrey Harker
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/6 won (0%); Open→SP 0/7 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 6/1 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 9/4Market avg 5/2
5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.82pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 6.3% • -1.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (11%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.86pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/58 won (17.2%); Open→SP 8/59 won (13.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (67%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 10/3Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.86pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 14.3% • +3.86 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal BetTom
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 10/3
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/64 won (23.4%); Open→SP 17/57 won (29.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.4% (7/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (100%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.10pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 0.5% • +0.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Denis Coakley
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.11pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/14 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/10 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 15/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.22pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 9.4% • +1.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Spreadex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Fionn McSharry
Jockey: Harry Russell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.16pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/8 won (25%); Open→SP 2/8 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (2/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
03:48Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.91pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 15.4% • -1.91 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 15/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Sam England
Jockey: Shane Gray
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/40 won (27.5%); Open→SP 13/39 won (33.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 44.4% (4/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (33%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 14/1Market avg 18/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.38pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 26.1% • -1.38 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Steph Hollinshead
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/11 won (18.2%); Open→SP 2/10 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.39pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 8% • -0.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 20/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David & Nicola Barron
Jockey: William Pyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.50pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/27 won (18.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
03:48Carlisle
Opened 18/1Market avg 22/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 24.6% • -1.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.15pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 28/1Market avg 33/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 18.3% • -0.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 40/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:20Carlisle • 6f195y • Class 4
12 runners
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/64 won (23.4%); Open→SP 17/57 won (29.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.4% (7/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

2/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and similar moves have produced good results before.
Early money horse (38%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.99pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
2/3 placed when backed like this (67%).
When backed like this: 1/3 WON
Price change: 21.8% • +3.99 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.28pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
2/2 placed when backed like this (100%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 12.9% • +2.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.96pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.24pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 8% • +1.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jessica Macey
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/12 won (0%); Open→SP 1/18 won (5.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
42th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3.4% • -0.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 7/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (28%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.82pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/67 won (25.4%); Open→SP 21/71 won (29.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 3/1 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.51pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3.7% • -0.51 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 13/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Mark Winn
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 9/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.25pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 18.4% • +2.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Spreadex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.58pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 11/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (43%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 9/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.76pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 50% • -4.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (40%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.14pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.8% • +0.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (13%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.18pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/49 won (34.7%); Open→SP 18/42 won (42.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.1% (11/18).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (70%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.64pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 27.1% • -1.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 20/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (31%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.50pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/17 won (17.6%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 7/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (57%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 9/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 67.2% • -4.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.69pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 20/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.90pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 23.4% • -0.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Seb Spencer
Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.05pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/11 won (18.2%); Open→SP 3/10 won (30%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
04:20Carlisle
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.35pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 10% • -0.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:55Carlisle • 5f182y • Class 6
8 runners

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Ryan Sexton
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/31 won (35.5%); Open→SP 11/36 won (30.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 47.1% (8/17).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (40%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 15/8Market avg 6/4
6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+5.11pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 12.9% • +5.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/8
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Nigel Tinkler
Jockey: Alex Jary(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.60pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/31 won (22.6%); Open→SP 11/42 won (26.2%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.82pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 9.1% • +1.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 6/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.75pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.66pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 22.4% • -3.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: Dougie Costello
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.38pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/22 won (22.7%); Open→SP 5/23 won (21.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (50%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 5/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.94pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 13.2% • -1.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.80pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 8/1
17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.47pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 40.9% • -4.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tracy Waggott
Jockey: Barry McHugh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.79pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/8 won (25%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Best at SP (50%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 18/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.94pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 15.2% • +0.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jedd O'Keeffe
Jockey: James Sullivan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.72pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 18/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (40%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.00pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

21 May 26 | Catterick | Open: 16/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 11
05 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 11/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 4
10 Feb 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 12/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 2
Price change: 35.3% • -2.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Micky Hammond
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.41pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/27 won (11.1%); Open→SP 5/31 won (16.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.48pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 8.9% • -0.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:30Carlisle • 7f173y • Class 5
11 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.27pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 17/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Early money horse (45%)
Late move vs early profile
05:30Carlisle
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/4
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+9.23pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 11 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 35.6% • +9.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 35% shortened another 1pp • 28% another 2pp • 22% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=1348)
Possible next price: 13/2
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Carlisle this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 47% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 7.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Conor Whiteley(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.31pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 20/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (38%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.84pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.4% • -0.84 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 9/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Carlisle stands at 3 placed efforts from 4 runs. Today's market is 41% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 8.9.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.30pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Late money horse (50%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 3/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.35pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 41.7% • -7.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Gemma Tutty
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/15 won (33.3%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.52pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3% • +0.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Herrington
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.90pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/46 won (23.9%); Open→SP 11/49 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.2% (7/24).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 6/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Late money horse (50%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 7/2Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-7.56pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 51.6% • -7.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jedd O'Keeffe
Jockey: Jack Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.55pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.27pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 3% • -0.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Declan Carroll
Jockey: Zak Wheatley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.67pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (60%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 10/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.41pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 36% • -2.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal talkSPORT BET
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 16/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig Lidster
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.10pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/16 won (6.3%); Open→SP 2/14 won (14.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (29%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.87pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 14.9% • -0.87 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 18/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/2 at Carlisle. The average SP at this course is 4.3 and today's market has the horse trading 306% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Alan Brown
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.69pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/8 won (12.5%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

0/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (30%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.26pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

18 Jul 26 | Doncaster | Open: 2/1 → Final: 6/1 | SP: 5/1 | Fin: 3
29 Jun 26 | Pontefract | Open: 13/2 → Final: 9/1 | SP: 8/1 | Fin: 6
26 Apr 26 | Musselburgh | Open: 6/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 6
07 Apr 26 | Pontefract | Open: 9/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 9
Price change: 41.7% • -2.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 18/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/31 won (35.5%); Open→SP 11/36 won (30.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 47.1% (8/17).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
05:30Carlisle
Opened 33/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.29pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 11.5% • -0.29 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Susan Corbett
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.14pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/12 won (8.3%); Open→SP 2/18 won (11.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 40/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.77pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 45.9% • -0.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 66/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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