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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 06:43:19 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Carlisle
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Golden Strike
04:20 Carlisle
+17% (7.000 → 5.813)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Havana Prince
04:20 Carlisle
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Peace Belle
02:38 Carlisle
+13.1% (1.440 → 1.251)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Green Area
02:38 Carlisle
-17.8% (2.750 → 3.24)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Golden Strike (17%) 04:20 Carlisle    WEAK FAVOURITE: Green Area (-17.8%) 02:38 Carlisle | 7/4 9/4    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Carlisle ✓Kempton (AW) 🔒Sligo 🔒Worcester 🔒York 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:05Carlisle • 5f182y • Class 4
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Guadalevin (+3.17 probability points)
Weakest support: Oh So Slow Sloth (-0.92 probability points)

Trainer: Charlie Fellowes
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.17pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/25 won (20%); Open→SP 6/23 won (26.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (75%)
02:05Carlisle
Opened 5/4Market avg 11/10
11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 ↓ EVS ↑ 11/10 → 11/10 ↑ 6/5 ↓ 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10
PRICE MOVE
+3.17pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 6.7% • +3.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/5 2.2 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/10
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/19 won (42.1%); Open→SP 8/19 won (42.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (4/8).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
02:05Carlisle
Opened 2/1Market avg 2/1
2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 0.1% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 15/8
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.02pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/49 won (34.7%); Open→SP 18/42 won (42.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.1% (11/18).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:05Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 7.7% • -1.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 15/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Adrian Keatley
Jockey: Barry McHugh
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.32pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/7 won (42.9%); Open→SP 4/7 won (57.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:05Carlisle
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.32pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 4% • -0.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/58 won (17.2%); Open→SP 8/59 won (13.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:05Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 0.6% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.88pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/24 won (29.2%); Open→SP 8/30 won (26.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
02:05Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.92pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 13.5% • -0.92 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Ryan Sexton
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/31 won (35.5%); Open→SP 11/36 won (30.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 47.1% (8/17).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:05Carlisle
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.12pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 2% • +0.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
02:38Carlisle • 1m3f39y • Class 3
4 runners

Trainer: Jennie Candlish
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.54pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/43 won (23.3%); Open→SP 11/50 won (22%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 23.1% (6/26).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (75%)
02:38Carlisle
Opened 4/9Market avg 1/4
1/4 → 1/4 → 1/4 ↓ 2/9 ↑ 1/4 → 1/4 → 1/4 → 1/4 → 1/4 → 1/4
PRICE MOVE
+10.49pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 13.1% • +10.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/10 1.3 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 10–12pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 44% another 2pp • 32% another 3pp • 21% another 5pp (n=488)
Possible next price: 1/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/83 won (24.1%); Open→SP 18/79 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.1% (12/46).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 8/15 → 10/3 | Avg: 15/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:38Carlisle
Opened 4/7Market avg 4/7
4/7 → 4/7
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/7 1.57 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.02pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/85 won (18.8%); Open→SP 20/92 won (21.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.4% (11/32).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
02:38Carlisle
Opened 7/4Market avg 9/4
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
-5.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 17.8% • -5.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Donald Whillans
Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.27pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/12 won (33.3%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
02:38Carlisle
Opened 20/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.31pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 38.1% • -1.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:13Carlisle • 6f195y • Class 6
10 runners

Trainer: Bryan Smart
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/18 won (27.8%); Open→SP 4/18 won (22.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.17pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.8% • +0.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Paul Midgley
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.10pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/29 won (17.2%); Open→SP 5/32 won (15.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (2/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.10pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 0.5% • -0.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 10/3 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (38%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.08pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.4% • -0.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 4/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ruth Carr
Jockey: James Sullivan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.82pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/62 won (17.7%); Open→SP 12/66 won (18.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.82pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 10% • -1.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/52 won (25%); Open→SP 9/44 won (20.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (5/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (33%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.13pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 1.2% • +0.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 8/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.56pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/58 won (17.2%); Open→SP 8/59 won (13.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:13Carlisle
Opened 17/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.56pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 5.1% • +0.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/17 won (17.6%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:13Carlisle
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Wainwright
Jockey: Gianluca Sanna(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Donald Whillans
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.25pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/12 won (33.3%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (67%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.25pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.4% • -0.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
Possible next price: 20/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Brian Rothwell
Jockey: Faye McManoman
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.16pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (71%)
03:13Carlisle
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.16pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 8.9% • -0.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 71 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 80/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:48Carlisle • 6f195y • Class 6
9 runners
🟢 Needs Support (35%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Geoffrey Harker
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.15pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/6 won (0%); Open→SP 0/7 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 6/1 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 9/4Market avg 9/4
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
-0.15pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.5% • -0.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/4
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (11%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.71pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/58 won (17.2%); Open→SP 8/59 won (13.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (67%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 10/3Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+3.71pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 13.9% • +3.71 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 3/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/64 won (23.4%); Open→SP 17/57 won (29.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.4% (7/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (100%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.17pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 0.8% • +0.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Fionn McSharry
Jockey: Harry Russell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/8 won (25%); Open→SP 2/8 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (2/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:48Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 2.9% • -0.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Denis Coakley
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/14 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/10 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Sam England
Jockey: Shane Gray
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/40 won (27.5%); Open→SP 13/39 won (33.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 44.4% (4/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 1.6% • +0.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Steph Hollinshead
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/11 won (18.2%); Open→SP 2/10 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.8% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 20/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David & Nicola Barron
Jockey: William Pyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.13pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/27 won (18.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
03:48Carlisle
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 2.5% • -0.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
03:48Carlisle
Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.09pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2.7% • +0.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 40/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
04:20Carlisle • 6f195y • Class 4
12 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.41pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous comparable moves was stronger.
2/2 placed when backed like this (100%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Price change: 13.5% • +2.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/64 won (23.4%); Open→SP 17/57 won (29.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.4% (7/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

2/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (38%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.92pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
2/3 placed when backed like this (67%).
When backed like this: 1/3 WON
Price change: 17% • +2.92 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jessica Macey
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/12 won (0%); Open→SP 1/18 won (5.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.24pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
42th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.5% • +0.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 5/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.96pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.96pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 6.3% • +0.96 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (28%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.91pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/67 won (25.4%); Open→SP 21/71 won (29.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 3/1 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.91pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 6% • +0.91 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.84pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 11/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (43%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 6/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 7.7% • -1.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 13/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Mark Winn
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.55pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 9/1Market avg 17/2
17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.50pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.8% • +0.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (31%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Linda Perratt
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/17 won (17.6%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 7/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (57%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.4% • -0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.27pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (40%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.19pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 2.5% • +0.19 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (13%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/49 won (34.7%); Open→SP 18/42 won (42.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.1% (11/18).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (70%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 14/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.25pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
04:20Carlisle
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.28pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 6.3% • -0.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 20/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Seb Spencer
Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/11 won (18.2%); Open→SP 3/10 won (30%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
04:20Carlisle
Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 0.9% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 28/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
04:55Carlisle • 5f182y • Class 6
8 runners

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Ryan Sexton
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.94pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/31 won (35.5%); Open→SP 11/36 won (30.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 47.1% (8/17).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 15/8Market avg 13/8
7/4 ↓ 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+3.01pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 8% • +3.01 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/8
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.08pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.4% • +0.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Nigel Tinkler
Jockey: Alex Jary(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.23pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/31 won (22.6%); Open→SP 11/42 won (26.2%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.23pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 7.3% • -1.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: Dougie Costello
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.34pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/22 won (22.7%); Open→SP 5/23 won (21.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.34pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2.1% • -0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.3% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jedd O'Keeffe
Jockey: James Sullivan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 18/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
No meaningful price change.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tracy Waggott
Jockey: Barry McHugh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.51pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/8 won (25%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 18/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.51pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 8.8% • +0.51 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Micky Hammond
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.55pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/27 won (11.1%); Open→SP 5/31 won (16.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (33%)
04:55Carlisle
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.55pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 10.3% • -0.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:30Carlisle • 7f173y • Class 5
11 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/7 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.2% • -0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/3
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Herrington
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.45pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/46 won (23.9%); Open→SP 11/49 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.2% (7/24).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 6/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.45pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2.1% • -0.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Conor Whiteley(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.39pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/79 won (21.5%); Open→SP 20/80 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (10/30).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 20/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (38%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.39pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2% • -0.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 11/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 3/4 at Carlisle. The average SP at this course is 8.9 and today's market has the horse trading 43% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.75pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/133 won (20.3%); Open→SP 29/138 won (21%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27% (17/63).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 17/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (45%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 5/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.82pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
55th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 11 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.7% • +0.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 17/2
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Carlisle this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 21% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 7.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Gemma Tutty
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.64pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/15 won (33.3%); Open→SP 4/16 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.64pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4% • -0.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Declan Carroll
Jockey: Zak Wheatley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.62pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 10/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.62pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 7.3% • -0.62 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jedd O'Keeffe
Jockey: Jack Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.70pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 10/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.70pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 8.3% • -0.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Carlisle. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig Lidster
Jockey: Sam James
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/16 won (6.3%); Open→SP 2/14 won (14.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (29%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.14pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2.1% • -0.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 22/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Carlisle this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 260% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 4.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Alan Brown
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.69pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/8 won (12.5%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (30%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 12/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.72pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 28.8% • -1.72 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 18/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/31 won (35.5%); Open→SP 11/36 won (30.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 47.1% (8/17).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
05:30Carlisle
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 1.3% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Susan Corbett
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.12pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/12 won (8.3%); Open→SP 2/18 won (11.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
05:30Carlisle
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.12pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 5.1% • -0.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 66/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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