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Odds database updated: 01:49:19 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Lingfield (AW)
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Ten Cuidado
04:08 Lingfield (AW)
+7.9% (36.000 → 33.16)
Strongest market support today
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Ten Cuidado (7.9%) 04:08 Lingfield (AW)    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Chepstow 🔒Lingfield (AW) ✓Roscommon 🔒Wolverhampton (AW) 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
04:08Lingfield (AW) • 1m1y • Class 6
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Ten Cuidado (+0.24 probability points)
Weakest support: Venturing (-0.35 probability points)
🟢 Needs Support (26%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey: Jude Fernandes(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.57pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/68 won (30.9%); Open→SP 18/72 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.3% (11/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 8/13 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 4/6Market avg 4/6
8/11 → 8/11 ↓ 4/6 ↑ 4/6 ↓ 4/7 ↑ 8/11 ↓ 4/6 ↓ 4/7 ↑ 8/13 ↑ 4/6
PRICE MOVE
-0.57pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1% • -0.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/11 1.91 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 8/13
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Marco Botti
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.13pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/49 won (24.5%); Open→SP 14/44 won (31.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.5% (11/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 0.6% • -0.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Karen Jewell
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/6 won (16.7%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.3% • +0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 6/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 2/2 at Lingfield (AW). The average SP at this course is 13.8 and today's market has the horse trading 49% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (10%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
Jockey: Alfie Redman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/26 won (19.2%); Open→SP 5/22 won (22.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.3% (3/11).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 12/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.2% • +0.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: Millie Wonnacott(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.26pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/14 won (21.4%); Open→SP 3/14 won (21.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (71%)
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.26pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 7 previous runs.
Price change: 3.7% • +0.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet MGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 14/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: William Cox
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.35pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/126 won (22.2%); Open→SP 38/137 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.3% (26/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.35pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 8% • -0.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
04:08Lingfield (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.24pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 7.9% • +0.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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