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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 18:47:03 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Wolverhampton (AW)
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Vaguer
08:10 Wolverhampton (AW)
+22.4% (23.000 → 17.846)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Optician
08:10 Wolverhampton (AW)
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
James Choice
08:10 Wolverhampton (AW)
+19.2% (2.880 → 2.328)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Pure Moon
08:10 Wolverhampton (AW)
-122.3% (5.000 → 11.115)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Vaguer (22.4%) 08:10 Wolverhampton (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Pure Moon (-122.3%) 08:10 Wolverhampton (AW) | 4/1 10/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
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Active Signals (15%+)
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Catterick 🔒Lingfield (AW) 🔒Windsor 🔒Wolverhampton (AW) ✓
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
08:10Wolverhampton (AW) • 1m4f51y • Class 5
11 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Vaguer (+1.26 probability points)
Weakest support: Pure Moon (-11.00 probability points)

Trainer: Warren Greatrex
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.62pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/30 won (13.3%); Open→SP 4/29 won (13.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (3/15).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
08:10Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 15/8Market avg 11/8
11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4
PRICE MOVE
+8.23pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 19.2% • +8.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 53% shortened another 1pp • 45% another 2pp • 39% another 3pp • 30% another 5pp (n=414)
Possible next price: 11/10
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.41pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/66 won (24.2%); Open→SP 20/70 won (28.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
08:10Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+5.41pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 21.3% • +5.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 3/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.74pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/34 won (41.2%); Open→SP 14/37 won (37.8%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
08:10Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.82pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 5.6% • -0.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Michael Herrington
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.73pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/46 won (23.9%); Open→SP 11/49 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.2% (7/24).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
08:10Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1
15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.37pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 2.9% • +0.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 13/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tom Clover
Jockey: Clifford Lee
Trainer market read
Today's move is -9.34pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/30 won (30%); Open→SP 10/31 won (32.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.1% (8/19).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 11/10 → 11/10 | Avg: 11/10Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
08:10Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 10/1
11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-11.00pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 122.3% • -11.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Liam Bailey
Jockey: Toby Moore(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/20 won (25%); Open→SP 5/18 won (27.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (29%)
08:10Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.13pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 7 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 14.4% • +1.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Thomas Faulkner
Jockey: Robert Havlin
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.03pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/25 won (16%); Open→SP 3/23 won (13%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
08:10Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 16/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.89pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 32.5% • -1.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 2 times from 4 starts at Wolverhampton (AW). Historical course average SP is 14.3, while today's market is 21% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Fanshawe
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/69 won (31.9%); Open→SP 19/68 won (27.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.6% (11/36).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
08:10Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 22/1Market avg 16/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.26pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 22.4% • +1.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.74pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/53 won (41.5%); Open→SP 19/55 won (34.5%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 61.5% (8/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/2 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (50%)
08:10Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↓ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.70pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 13.6% • -0.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 22% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 15.8.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Dan Horsford
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.48pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/11 won (36.4%); Open→SP 3/10 won (30%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
08:10Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.53pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 11.1% • -0.53 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Spreadex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Antony Brittain
Jockey: Cam Hardie
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.76pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/17 won (11.8%); Open→SP 3/18 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
08:10Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.77pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 46.4% • -0.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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