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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 19:42:52 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Lingfield (AW)
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Balon d'Or
05:52 Lingfield (AW)
+30.3% (6.500 → 4.529)
Strongest market support today
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Happier
05:52 Lingfield (AW)
-24.9% (3.000 → 3.747)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Balon d'Or (30.3%) 05:52 Lingfield (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Happier (-24.9%) 05:52 Lingfield (AW) | 2/1 11/4    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Chepstow 🔒Lingfield (AW) ✓Roscommon 🔒Wolverhampton (AW) 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:52Lingfield (AW) • 6f1y • Class 6
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Weakest support: Big Bard (-5.65 probability points)
🟢 Needs Support (20%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Martin Keighley
Jockey: Toby Moore(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.65pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/19 won (21.1%); Open→SP 3/18 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 5/1 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 2/1Market avg 11/4
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ EVS ↑ 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.65pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 24.9% • -6.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Chamings
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.11pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (29%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 10/1
9/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.11pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 23.5% • -2.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 5 starts at Lingfield (AW). Historical course average SP is 16.3, while today's market is 32% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Wallis
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.93pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 2/4 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

0/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (43%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 11/1
10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 10/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.93pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 5/5Historical Drift Profile

06 May 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 6
17 Apr 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 25/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 7
25 Mar 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 25/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 80/1 | Fin: 12
03 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 4/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 8
14 Feb 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 11/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 70.9% • -5.93 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Lingfield (AW) on our records. Today's market is 80% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 61.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Chris Gordon
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.66pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/32 won (9.4%); Open→SP 4/30 won (13.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (43%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 12/1
15/2 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-7.66pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 99.1% • -7.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 1/12
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 3 runs at Lingfield (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 9.5, today's price is 36% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Morris
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.63pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/30 won (6.7%); Open→SP 3/26 won (11.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (40%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
14/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.63pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 12% • -0.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/4
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Phillips
Jockey: Jonny Peate
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.65pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (50%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.65pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

04 Aug 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 7
30 Jan 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 9/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 9
02 Jan 26 | Chelmsford (AW) | Open: 9/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 6
Price change: 65.9% • -2.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 25/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey: Jude Fernandes(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.65pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/68 won (30.9%); Open→SP 18/72 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.3% (11/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
05:52Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 33/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.65pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 210.9% • -5.65 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Virgin Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 25/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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