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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 04:17:26 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Lingfield (AW)
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Regal Guest
05:20 Lingfield (AW)
+4.8% (15.000 → 14.28)
Strongest market support today
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Regal Guest (4.8%) 05:20 Lingfield (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Megaphone (-7.3%) 05:20 Lingfield (AW) | 10/3 7/2    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Active Signals (15%+)
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Chepstow 🔒Lingfield (AW) ✓Roscommon 🔒Wolverhampton (AW) 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:20Lingfield (AW) • 7f1y • Class 6
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Regal Guest (+0.34 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
Dupont Circle → 15 → 12 (20%)
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Roger Teal
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/20 won (15%); Open→SP 4/19 won (21.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (63%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4
7/4 → 7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.1% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 13/8
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Ryan
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 1/12 won (8.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (40%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.22pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.6% • +0.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Bet MGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 26% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 10.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Myla Coppins(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/126 won (22.2%); Open→SP 38/137 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.3% (26/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.7% • +0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Margarson
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.34pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/9 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/10 won (10%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.34pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.8% • +0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J. R. Jenkins
Jockey: Jonny Peate
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.34pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 40/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 40/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (67%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.34pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 4.8% • +0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 12/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig Benton
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (20%)
Late money horse (67%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.28pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 4% • +0.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 10/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon Dow
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/11 won (27.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 75% (3/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.1% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 40/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Lingfield (AW). The current market is 31% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 59.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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