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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 04:17:26 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Lingfield (AW)
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Regal Guest
05:20 Lingfield (AW)
+4.8% (15.000 → 14.28)
Strongest market support today
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Regal Guest (4.8%) 05:20 Lingfield (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Megaphone (-7.3%) 05:20 Lingfield (AW) | 10/3 7/2    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
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Active Signals (15%+)
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Chepstow 🔒Lingfield (AW) ✓Roscommon 🔒Wolverhampton (AW) 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:20Lingfield (AW) • 7f1y • Class 6
11 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Regal Guest (+0.34 probability points)
Weakest support: Megaphone (-1.57 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
Dupont Circle → 15 → 12 (20%)
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Roger Teal
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/20 won (15%); Open→SP 4/19 won (21.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (63%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4
7/4 → 7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.1% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 13/8
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Christian Howarth(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.57pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/30 won (13.3%); Open→SP 5/36 won (13.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (3/15).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (71%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.57pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 7.3% • -1.57 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 3/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Chelsea Banham
Jockey: Joey Haynes
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.54pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/13 won (61.5%); Open→SP 8/14 won (57.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (6/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.54pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 3.3% • -0.54 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 4/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Ryan
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/11 won (9.1%); Open→SP 1/12 won (8.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (40%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.22pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.6% • +0.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Bet MGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 26% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 10.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Myla Coppins(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/126 won (22.2%); Open→SP 38/137 won (27.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.3% (26/63).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.7% • +0.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (23%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Keiran Burke
Jockey: Josephine Gordon
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.34pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 3/16 won (18.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (2/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 9/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (46%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2
17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.34pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
31th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 9 of 13 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3.1% • -0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 5 starts at Lingfield (AW). Historical course average SP is 12.3, while today's market is 25% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Margarson
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.34pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/9 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/10 won (10%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.34pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.8% • +0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J. R. Jenkins
Jockey: Jonny Peate
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.34pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 40/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 40/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (67%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.34pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 4.8% • +0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 12/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig Benton
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/4 won (25%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (20%)
Late money horse (67%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.28pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Price change: 4% • +0.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 10/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Attwater
Jockey: James Glennon(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.23pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 2/19 won (10.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (20%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.23pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.1% • -0.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Lingfield (AW) is limited (3 runs without making the frame). Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP profile of 20.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon Dow
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/11 won (27.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 75% (3/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
05:20Lingfield (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 0.1% • +0.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 40/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Lingfield (AW) on our records. Today's market is 31% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 59.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
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