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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 04:19:47 • LIVE
Featured meeting preview: Lingfield (AW)
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🔥 BEST BACKED
Diamond Bay
02:30 Lingfield (AW)
+5.3% (3.750 → 3.553)
Strongest market support today
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Diamond Bay (5.3%) 02:30 Lingfield (AW)    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
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Chepstow 🔒Lingfield (AW) ✓Roscommon 🔒Wolverhampton (AW) 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:30Lingfield (AW) • 1m7f169y • Class 5
8 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Diamond Bay (+1.48 probability points)
Weakest support: Wise Counsellor (-0.84 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
Wise Counsellor → 26 → 21 (19.2%)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
Jockey: Mr Simon Walker
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.95pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 2/4 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (29%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/8Market avg 6/4
6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 ↓ 6/4
PRICE MOVE
-1.95pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 4.9% • -1.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/8 2.63 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 6/4
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Mr Henry Callan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.48pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/11 won (27.3%); Open→SP 5/14 won (35.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 5/2
5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.48pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 5.3% • +1.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/4
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (24%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Hayley Burton
Jockey: Mr Fletcher Yarham
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/11 won (45.5%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 25/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (44%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.24pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.5% • +0.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Lingfield (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jo Davis
Jockey: Miss Brodie Hampson
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.34pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.34pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 2.8% • +0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 17/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Bernard Llewellyn
Jockey: Miss Jessica Llewellyn(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 25/1 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (44%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 15/2
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.33pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
22th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2.9% • +0.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 8/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
At Lingfield (AW) this horse has recorded 2 placed efforts from 2 runs. The current market is 60% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 21.8.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mike Murphy
Jockey: Mrs Charlotte Owen(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/15 won (33.3%); Open→SP 6/14 won (42.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 57.1% (4/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (33%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.22pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 6 previous runs.
Price change: 2.8% • +0.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet MGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Wigham
Jockey: Mr Morgan Tidman(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/4 won (50%); Open→SP 3/7 won (42.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 1.6% • +0.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet MGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey: Mr Hezekiah March(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.84pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/68 won (30.9%); Open→SP 18/72 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.3% (11/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (19.2%)
Late money horse (40%)
02:30Lingfield (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.84pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 21.5% • -0.84 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal Paddy Power
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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